Quiz · Superforecasting — calibrated forecasting step by step (2026)

Question 1 of 75Lesson 1

Which wording passes the clairvoyance test?

1. AThe leu will be under pressure in 2027
2. BThe EUR/RON reference rate published by the BNR will be above 5.3000 on at least one day by 31 December 2027
3. CThe EUR/RON rate will rise significantly over the medium term
4. DThere are major risks to exchange-rate stability