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olivLaw · European equity research

Metro Bank Holdings PLC MTRO.L

United Kingdom · London Stock Exchange · ISIN GB00BMX3W479 · Vertical: Listed companies from United Kingdom

1.82GBP+1.67% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Metro Bank Holdings PLC is a UK retail and business bank with a network of stores in England and Wales, which in 2025 reported its highest underlying profit in its history and targets a return on tangible equity above 18% by 2028. The goal rests on shifting lending from retail toward corporate, commercial and SME lending as well as specialist mortgages. Underlying profit before tax was 98.1 million pounds sterling, and the net interest margin was 2.98%.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Metro Bank Holdings PLC (MTRO.L) stock was 1.82 GBP (+1.67% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn GBP, P/E 23.7 on diluted EPS of 0.08 GBP over the last 12 months, beta 0.90, 52-week range 1.00–1.83 GBP.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: ESEF annual reports and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn GBP
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
23.7
Diluted EPS TTM 0.08 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
4.23%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.90
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
1.001.83

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.49 – 1.78
above the upper band · %B 1.13 · band width 17.8%
SMA 50 / 200
1.69 / 1.54
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.00 / -0.02
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyEURO STOXX 50vs EURO STOXX 50Vertical median
1 month+12.2%−0.6%+12.8 pp—
3 months+5.0%−4.2%+9.1 pp—
6 months+17.4%+4.3%+13.1 pp—
Year to date+51.1%+7.5%+43.6 pp—
1 year+54.4%+9.9%+44.5 pp+6.7%
3 years+328.2%+49.8%+278.4 pp+24.8%
5 years+38.7%+42.8%−4.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−18.3%
03 Feb 2026 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−81.2%
14 Feb 2023 → 19 Mar 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
+6.8%
EURO STOXX 50 +7.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 2.8, median 15.0, max 15.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenueunavailableunavailableunavailable
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable
Net income29.5 m42.5 m52.4 m
Net income YoYunavailable+44.1%+23.3%
Diluted EPS0.130.060.08
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−53.0%+22.2%
net %unavailableunavailableunavailable
Free cash flow616.0 m-1.4 bn-1.1 bn

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.2 bn GBP
Financial debt
unavailable GBP
Net debt
unavailable GBP
Equity
1.5 bn GBP
Total assets
16.5 bn GBP
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
3.9%
ROA
0.3%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (GBP)

Income statement · GBP

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
77.7 m
2024
77.3 m
2025
61.7 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
30.5 m
2024
-212.1 m
2025
87.2 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
1.0 m
2024
-254.6 m
2025
17.5 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
29.5 m
2024
42.5 m
2025
52.4 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.13
2024
0.06
2025
0.08

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · GBP

Cash
2023
3.9 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
723.0 m
2024
711.0 m
2025
—

esef· 27 May 2025verified

Total assets
2023
22.2 bn
2024
17.6 bn
2025
16.5 bn

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
21.1 bn
2024
16.4 bn
2025
15.0 bn

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
213.8 m
2024
674.6 m
2025
671.8 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026derived

Cash flow · GBP

Operating cash flow
2023
628.0 m
2024
-1.4 bn
2025
-1.1 bn

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
12.0 m
2024
41.0 m
2025
34.0 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
616.0 m ≈
2024
-1.4 bn ≈
2025
-1.1 bn ≈

esef· 21 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
1.0 bn
2024
327.0 m
2025
260.0 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
291.0 m
2024
-22.0 m
2025
206.0 m

esef· 21 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
23.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
22.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
unavailable
input data missing
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
-1.1 bn GBP
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
34.0 m GBP
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-1.1 bn GBP
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
-2,148.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn GBP
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
23.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
23.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-92.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 3 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.82 GBP

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn GBP

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn GBP
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
23.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

16/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: esefpublished 21 Apr 2026
verified 49derived 3

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation assumptions for the reporting currency

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

    Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

    Risk-free rate
    6.5%
    Equity risk premium
    6.0%
    Beta (default)
    1.00
    Cost of equity
    12.5%
    Terminal growth
    3.0%

    Factor scorecard

    Insufficient data

    Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%

    FactorValueScoreWeight used
    ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
    Net margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
    FCF conversion · Quality-2,148.9%0 (on a fixed band)25%
    Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
    EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
    Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
    Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
    Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
    P/E (TTM) · Valuation23.7x21 (vs peers)42%
    EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
    FCF yield · Valuation-92.0%0 (on a fixed band)33%
    Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
    Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

    Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

    Score groups

    • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
    • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
    • Quality· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
    • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
    • Valuation12/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

    A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

    Memo

    METRO BANK HOLDINGS PLC (MTRO.L). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

    Figures computed from the financial statements: ROE 3.9%.

    The estimated value range is 0.91–1.65 GBP per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.18 GBP, the price of 1.82 GBP leaves a potential of -35.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -54.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

    Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%).

    Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

    What supports the thesis

    No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

    What contradicts it

    • FCF conversion: -2,148.9%
    • P/E (TTM): 23.7x
    • FCF yield: -92.0%
    • The price is above the estimated value range

    Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net margin, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

    Versus the vertical median

    Listed companies from United Kingdom · same country · compared with 40 companies

    Multiples and returns vs the median

    P/E
    23.7x
    vertical median 16.3x
    above median (+45.6%)
    EV/EBITDA
    —
    vertical median —
    P/S
    —
    vertical median 1.5x
    P/B
    0.8x
    vertical median 2.1x
    below median (−59.8%)
    ROE
    3.9%
    vertical median 13.9%
    below median (−71.7%)
    Net margin
    —
    vertical median 10.7%
    EBIT margin
    —
    vertical median 21.1%
    Revenue YoY
    —
    vertical median 7.5%
    Net debt/EBITDA
    —
    vertical median —
    Dividend yield
    —
    vertical median 2.8%

    Companies in the vertical

    Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
    BATS.LBritish American Tobacco P.L.C.104.3 bn13.516.5%30.3%−1.0%+7% / +88%
    ABF.LAssociated British Foods PLC14.7 bn14.39.2%5.3%−3.1%−5% / −15%
    0EV1.LCarnival PLC5.5 bn4.146.7%13.4%+6.4%unavailable / unavailable
    BAB.LBabcock International Group PLC5.1 bn24.734.7%4.1%+7.2%−10% / +158%
    AUTO.LAutotrader Group PLC4.8 bn16.460.2%47.1%+3.9%−13% / −23%
    BBY.LBalfour Beatty PLC4.2 bn16.323.2%2.8%+15.2%+20% / +160%
    ABDN.LAberdeen Group PLC4.1 bn10.88.0%28.9%−2.1%+11% / +41%
    BKG.LThe Berkeley Group Holdings PLC3.6 bn11.38.8%13.4%−4.2%−0% / −22%
    BME.LB&M European Value Retail PLC2.9 bn17.421.2%2.8%+3.7%+68% / −51%
    AJB.LAj Bell PLC2.4 bn22.849.9%33.1%+18.0%+8% / +128%
    ASHM.LAshmore Group PLC1.4 bn13.913.1%71.6%−0.1%+28% / +18%
    BCG.LBaltic Classifieds Group PLC1.2 bn23.215.8%57.6%+6.9%−99% / −99%
    APN.LApplied Nutrition PLC763.6 m36.241.2%19.7%+24.2%+71% / unavailable
    BAG.LA.G. Barr P.L.C.671.9 m14.414.4%10.8%+4.0%−7% / +26%
    ASC.LAsos PLC494.5 m—-81.3%-12.0%−14.7%+71% / +8%
    ALFA.LAlfa Financial Software Holdings PLC486.8 m16.361.5%23.8%+15.3%−28% / +10%
    AML.LAston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC344.3 m—-93.4%-39.2%−20.6%−45% / −85%
    APTD.LAptitude Software Group PLC111.3 m28.57.2%6.2%−7.3%−30% / −23%
    BMS.LBraemar PLC78.3 m39.22.7%1.7%−4.4%+13% / −11%
    AMGO.LAmigo Holdings PLC9.9 m———−81.9%+325% / +844%
    ASBE.LAssociated British Engineering PLC605.3 k—-19.1%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
    AMIF.LAmicorp Fs (uk) PLC221.6 k0.127.5%9.1%+8.1%unavailable / unavailable
    AAF.LAirtel Africa PLC——24.1%10.6%+29.5%−7% / +164%
    AAL.LAnglo American PLC——-19.3%-20.2%+4.5%+30% / +76%
    ACG.LAcg Metals Limited——-80.3%-32.0%+134.8%+60% / +63%

    1- and 3-year price returns: for MTRO.L from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

    olivLaw engine forecast

    The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

    The engine has no published run for this company yet.

    Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

    Illustrative scenarios

    Scenarios are not available. input data missing

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Metro Bank Holdings PLC is a UK retail and business bank with a network of stores in England and Wales, which in 2025 reported its highest underlying profit in its history and targets a return on tangible equity above 18% by 2028. The goal rests on shifting lending from retail toward corporate, commercial and SME lending as well as specialist mortgages 1. Underlying profit before tax was 98.1 million pounds sterling 1, and the net interest margin was 2.98% 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The bank has an integrated model that combines physical stores with digital services and a strong organisational culture, which supports customer relationships 1.
    • Liquidity and capital are above regulatory minimums, and capital ratios rose during 2025 1.
    • The cost of deposits is among the lowest on the High Street, which supports margins 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Non-interest income declined slightly, and profitability still depends on continued cost reduction 1.
    • The total capital plus MREL ratio remains a constraint that the bank is actively managing 1.
    • A large store footprint carries fixed costs, which the bank is trying to reduce by moving to smaller sites 1.

    Opportunities

    • Growth in corporate, commercial and SME lending could support higher revenue in the coming years 1.
    • Specialist mortgages and expansion in the north of England could open new sources of growth 1.
    • Digitalisation and automation could reduce costs and improve customer experience 1.

    Threats

    • Competitive pressure from large banks and new digital entrants could reduce market share 1.
    • Cyber risks and rising fraud could generate losses and additional compliance costs 1.
    • Prolonged economic stagnation or geopolitical instability could raise credit costs 1.

    Risks

    • Credit riskmedium

      A subdued macroeconomic environment could lead to more arrears and provisions, especially in the growing corporate and commercial portfolio 1.

    • Capital riskhigh

      If profitability does not grow enough, the total capital plus MREL ratio could stay under pressure, particularly with the new MREL framework from 2026 1.

    • Liquidity and funding riskmedium

      Falling customer deposits could increase reliance on more expensive funding if the asset strategy does not progress as planned 1.

    • Cyber and operational riskhigh

      A major security incident or disruption at outsourced partners could affect operations and reputation 1.

    • Financial crime riskmedium

      Failure of anti-money-laundering or fraud controls could lead to sanctions and reputational damage 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • The bank reported its highest underlying profit in its history and targets a high return on tangible equity by 2028; if SME and corporate lending growth continues, it could support sustainable profitability growth 1.
    • A low cost of deposits and a rising net interest margin could support revenue even in a lower interest rate environment 1.
    • Cost reduction and digitalisation could improve the cost-to-income ratio and make the bank more competitive 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Statutory profit in 2024 depended on one-off transactions, and the profit growth in 2025 may not be repeatable if revenue does not grow enough 1.
    • Customer deposits fell, and if the bank does not win them back, funding costs could become a margin pressure 1.
    • The total capital plus MREL ratio is still a constraint, and new regulatory requirements could limit the bank's ability to expand lending 1.

    What to watch

    • Evolution of the net interest margin against the 2.98% full-year level and the 3.17% exit rate2026
    • Total capital plus MREL ratio relative to requirements after the 1 January 2026 transfer firm status2026
    • Growth in corporate, commercial and SME lending and the trend in expected credit loss expensenext 10-K
    • Progress toward the return on tangible equity target of above 18% by 20282028

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The bank operates an integrated model that combines its physical stores with digital channels, with an emphasis on relationship banking. Revenue comes from the spread between interest charged on loans and interest paid on deposits, less operating costs and expected credit loss charges 1. In 2025 the bank cut underlying operating costs by 7%, to 473 million pounds sterling, and the underlying cost-to-income ratio fell to 81% 1. The network has 78 stores 1, and total customer deposits stood at 13445 million pounds sterling at year end 1.

    The balance sheet changed in 2025: gross lending reached 8993 million pounds sterling 1, while corporate and commercial lending grew 19% and the unsecured personal loan portfolio was sold. The bank opened three new stores in the north, including its first in the North East 1. Liquidity remains above regulatory minimum, with a liquidity coverage ratio of 306% 1.

    Segments

    Corporate, commercial and SME lending

    This is the main area of strategic growth. Gross corporate and commercial lending rose 19% to 3939 million pounds sterling at 31 December 2025, driven by 2 billion pounds sterling of gross new lending during the year 1. The bank also launched products such as SONIA-linked loans and revolving credit facilities 1.

    Mortgages

    Retail mortgages fell from 5145 to 4940 million pounds sterling as the bank gradually attrites its low-yielding prime back-book and replaces it with higher-yielding specialist mortgages, including limited company buy-to-let products 1.

    Deposits and current accounts

    Customer deposits fell 7% in 2025 while SME deposits rose 7% 1. The bank reduced excess liquidity and expensive fixed-term deposits, and its year-end exit cost of deposits was 0.94% 1.

    Market context

    The bank competes in the UK retail and business banking market, which management describes as liquid, competitive and highly innovative. Customers continue to value in-person service for complex products, although the shift to digital is growing in routine areas 1. Interest rates have remained elevated, and the fall in the Base Rate has affected interest income and deposit costs 1.

    Credit risk has remained moderate, with an economic environment described as stable but subdued, and inflation still above target could shape the path of lending. An expected credit loss expense of 14.3 million pounds sterling in 2025 mainly reflects the sale of the personal loan portfolio 1.

    Trends

    • Cost reduction and digitalisationtailwind

      The bank is pursuing automation, AI tools and outsourcing of some processes, which could reduce costs and improve operational efficiency if delivery holds 1.

    • Interest rate cyclemixed

      Falling interest rates could compress deposit margins and treasury yields, although the bank noted that fixed-rate treasury assets will be replaced with assets yielding at or above the prevailing Base Rate 1.

    • Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertaintyheadwind

      Geopolitical instability and prolonged economic stagnation could raise credit risk and pressure asset quality, with negative effects on loan loss provisions 1.

    • Financial crime and fraudheadwind

      More sophisticated cyber attacks and social engineering fraud could raise compliance and security costs for banks, which could weigh on margins 1.

    Competitive position

    The bank competes with large High Street banks and with newer digital-first or digital-only entrants, and management says a physical presence remains core while digitalisation must keep pace 1. Its culture and workforce diversity are presented as advantages in the competition for talent 1.

    In deposits, the bank says it has the lowest cost of deposits of any UK High Street bank 1, which could give it an advantage if pressure on deposit rates stays moderate.

    • Lloyds Banking Group

      Large High Street retail bank cited in the context of the traditional UK banks competing on the same customer segments.

    • NatWest Group

      Traditional UK retail and business bank competing for the same customer segments.

    • Barclays

      Large UK bank with retail and corporate activity present in the same market.

    • Monzo

      UK digital bank representing the category of newer digital-only entrants.

    News & filings

    In the press

    Annual reports (ESEF)

    Sources

    1. [1] Annual report, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 (ESEF) · SEC / Metro Bank Holdings PLC · 31 Dec 2025

    Figures computed by olivLaw from ESEF annual reports and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Metro Bank Holdings PLC (MTRO.L): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw