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olivLaw · European equity research

Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA NAS.OL

Norway · Euronext Oslo Børs · ISIN NO0010196140 · Vertical: Listed companies from Norway

12.93NOK+3.52% · 1 dayClose 06 Nov 2026

Norwegian Air Shuttle is one of the largest low-cost airlines in the Nordics, flying short routes in domestic and European markets with the regional carrier Widerøe in its portfolio. The company paid its first dividend in 2025 and projects modest capacity growth in 2026, alongside a profitability programme and a growing owned fleet. Cost volatility remains high, and a dispute over EU ETS obligations for 2020 is ongoing.

At the close of 06 Nov 2026, Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA (NAS.OL) stock was 12.93 NOK (+3.52% on the day), with market capitalisation 13.5 bn NOK, P/E 5.2 on diluted EPS of 2.49 NOK over the last 12 months, dividend yield 7.05%, beta 0.96, 52-week range 10.79–17.98 NOK.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: ESEF annual reports and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
13.5 bn NOK
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
5.2
Diluted EPS TTM 2.49 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
19.26%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
7.05%
DPS 12m 0.91
Beta (2y)
0.96
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
10.7917.98

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
70.8
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
10.24 – 12.54
above the upper band · %B 1.17 · band width 20.2%
SMA 50 / 200
11.90 / 14.01
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.15 / -0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyEURO STOXX 50vs EURO STOXX 50Vertical median
1 month+13.8%−0.6%+14.4 pp—
3 months−3.7%−4.2%+0.5 pp—
6 months−11.0%+4.3%−15.4 pp—
Year to date−25.9%+7.5%−33.4 pp—
1 year−14.6%+9.9%−24.5 pp−4.7%
3 years+37.4%+49.8%−12.4 pp+12.7%
5 years+8.7%+42.8%−34.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−40.0%
16 Dec 2025 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−50.4%
29 Apr 2022 → 12 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+1.7%
EURO STOXX 50 +7.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 7.0, median 7.0, max 9.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenue25.5 bn35.3 bn37.6 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+38.3%+6.6%
Net income1.7 bn1.4 bn2.7 bn
Net income YoYunavailable−22.0%+99.9%
Diluted EPS1.541.202.49
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−22.1%+107.5%
net %6.8%3.8%7.2%
Free cash flow4.8 bn5.8 bn2.9 bn

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
7.4 bn NOK
Financial debt
5.8 bn NOK
Net debt
-1.6 bn NOK
Equity
7.7 bn NOK
Total assets
42.0 bn NOK
Debt / equity
0.76x
Current ratio
1.03x
ROE
36.3%
ROA
6.8%
FCF margin
7.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (NOK)

Margins

Income statement · NOK

Revenue
2023
25.5 bn
2024
35.3 bn
2025
37.6 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Operating income
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
3.7 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
3.0 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Income tax
2023
66.9 m
2024
0
2025
308.0 m

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
2.7 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.54
2024
1.20
2025
2.49

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
0.00
2025
0.91

esef· 21 Oct 2026derived

Balance sheet · NOK

Cash
2023
9.5 bn
2024
9.9 bn
2025
7.4 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.1 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Inventories
2023
259.6 m
2024
502.0 m
2025
566.0 m

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Current assets
2023
13.0 bn
2024
15.3 bn
2025
14.5 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Total assets
2023
30.6 bn
2024
37.6 bn
2025
42.0 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.5 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
121.9 m
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.1 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.6 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.8 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
9.0 bn
2024
13.1 bn
2025
14.0 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
24.8 bn
2024
30.4 bn
2025
34.4 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Equity
2023
5.8 bn
2024
7.2 bn
2025
7.7 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026derived

Cash flow · NOK

Operating cash flow
2023
5.3 bn
2024
6.9 bn
2025
7.8 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Capex
2023
459.6 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
4.9 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
4.8 bn ≈
2024
5.8 bn ≈
2025
2.9 bn ≈

esef· 21 Oct 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-577.9 m
2024
-3.2 bn
2025
-6.5 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-3.0 bn
2024
-3.4 bn
2025
-3.8 bn

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
0
2025
950.0 m

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
0
2025
48.0 m

esef· 21 Oct 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
99.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
99.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
107.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-49.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
9.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
36.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
81.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
13.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
36.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
32.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
-1.6 bn NOK
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
7.8 bn NOK
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
4.9 bn NOK
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
2.9 bn NOK
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
106.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
29 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
13.5 bn NOK
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
11.9 bn NOK
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
5.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
5.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
19.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
3.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
4.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
21.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

12.93 NOK

06 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 13.5 bn NOK

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
13.5 bn NOK
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
5.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
36.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
7.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: esefpublished 21 Oct 2026
verified 75derived 5

Score by group

56% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation assumptions for the reporting currency

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

    Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

    Risk-free rate
    6.5%
    Equity risk premium
    6.0%
    Beta (default)
    1.00
    Cost of equity
    12.5%
    Terminal growth
    3.0%

    Factor scorecard

    Insufficient data

    Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%

    FactorValueScoreWeight used
    ROIC · Quality81.7%100 (vs peers)19%
    Net margin · Quality7.2%58 (vs peers)11%
    FCF conversion · Quality106.9%100 (on a fixed band)11%
    Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
    EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
    Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
    Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
    Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x20 (on a fixed band)7%
    P/E (TTM) · Valuation5.2x85 (vs peers)19%
    EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
    FCF yield · Valuation21.5%100 (on a fixed band)15%
    Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.4%100 (on a fixed band)11%
    Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns32.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%

    Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

    Score groups

    • Balance sheet· partial20/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
    • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
    • Quality89/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
    • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
    • Valuation92/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

    A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

    Memo

    NORWEGIAN AIR SHUTTLE ASA (NAS.OL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

    Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 37.6 bn NOK in 2025; YoY growth 6.6%; net margin 7.2%; ROE 36.3%.

    The estimated value range is 15.87–44.86 NOK per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 29.54 NOK, the price of 12.93 NOK leaves a potential of 128.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 56.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

    Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%).

    Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

    What supports the thesis

    • ROIC: 81.7%
    • FCF conversion: 106.9%
    • P/E (TTM): 5.2x
    • FCF yield: 21.5%
    • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.4%
    • Payout ratio (FCF): 32.8%
    • The price is below the estimated value range

    What contradicts it

    • Current ratio: 1.0x
    • The valuation methods diverge

    Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

    Versus the vertical median

    Listed companies from Norway · same country · compared with 39 companies

    Multiples and returns vs the median

    P/E
    5.2x
    vertical median 20.0x
    below median (−74.1%)
    EV/EBITDA
    —
    vertical median 9.0x
    P/S
    0.4x
    vertical median 1.3x
    below median (−72.5%)
    P/B
    1.8x
    vertical median 1.8x
    at median
    ROE
    36.3%
    vertical median 2.9%
    above median (+1,135.8%)
    Net margin
    7.2%
    vertical median 3.1%
    above median (+133.7%)
    EBIT margin
    9.9%
    vertical median 5.5%
    above median (+79.5%)
    Revenue YoY
    6.6%
    vertical median 6.0%
    above median (+10.0%)
    Net debt/EBITDA
    —
    vertical median 1.5x
    Dividend yield
    7.1%
    vertical median 5.0%
    above median (+40.2%)

    Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

    Companies in the vertical

    Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
    AKER.OLAker Asa79.8 bn20.37.9%21.4%+42.5%+36% / +59%
    AFG.OLAf Gruppen Asa21.5 bn19.839.7%3.4%+4.4%+8% / +69%
    ELK.OLElkem Asa19.2 bn39.31.9%2.7%−15.7%+10% / +73%
    ATEA.OLAtea Asa18.5 bn21.419.7%2.3%+8.1%+11% / +36%
    AKSO.OLAker Solutions Asa17.4 bn6.822.5%4.1%+19.2%+18% / −12%
    AUSS.OLAustevoll Seafood Asa16.6 bn37.11.6%1.1%+11.1%−7% / +10%
    BRG.OLBorregaard Asa15.6 bn25.111.4%8.0%+1.3%−18% / −9%
    NAS.OLNorwegian Air Shuttle Asa13.5 bn5.236.3%7.2%+6.6%−25% / +30%
    BONHR.OLBonheur ASA11.2 bn7.817.1%11.4%−10.8%+17% / +44%
    AFK.OLArendals Fossekompani Asa10.3 bn—-2.3%-3.1%−14.9%+39% / +31%
    B2I.OLB2 Impact Asa8.8 bn14.311.0%16.4%+2.6%+40% / +238%
    AKVA.OLAkva Group Asa5.7 bn31.213.7%4.2%+24.4%+74% / +152%
    ELMRA.OLElmera Group Asa5.1 bn32.010.5%1.3%−0.9%+32% / +98%
    BOUV.OLBouvet Asa5.0 bn14.280.7%9.2%−0.2%−19% / −16%
    CLOUD.OLCloudberry Clean Energy Asa4.0 bn61.91.3%13.1%+34.0%−5% / +29%
    ABG.OLAbg Sundal Collier Holding Asa3.6 bn10.734.9%16.8%+12.4%−13% / +20%
    ANDF.OLAndfjord Salmon Group As2.2 bn—-5.7%-12,770.4%+328.9%−18% / −11%
    BMA.OLByggma Asa1.6 bn—-25.3%-11.9%−2.5%+61% / +15%
    APR.OLAppear Asa1.4 bn10.530.1%16.1%+32.3%−53% / unavailable
    AZT.OLArcticzymes Technologies Asa1.1 bn108.92.9%8.6%+7.9%−8% / −48%
    CAPSL.OLCapsol Technologies Asa884.6 m—-89.4%-114.8%−25.0%−33% / −66%
    BOR.OLBorgestad Asa553.2 m36.12.1%1.4%−3.0%−7% / +41%
    ARR.OLArribatec Group Asa234.6 m4.822.1%9.3%+15.7%−33% / −55%
    DELIA.OLDellia Group Asa73.5 m1.522.6%7.7%+140.0%−62% / unavailable
    ABTEC.OLAqua Bio Technology Asa11.1 m0.1—7,297.7%−87.2%−82% / −97%

    1- and 3-year price returns: for NAS.OL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

    olivLaw engine forecast

    The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

    The engine has no published run for this company yet.

    Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

    Illustrative scenarios

    Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

    Bear
    Allowed range: -50 … 50%
    Allowed range: -100 … 100%
    Allowed range: 0 … 100
    Allowed range: -10 … 20%
    Allowed range: 0 … 100%
    Base
    Allowed range: -50 … 50%
    Allowed range: -100 … 100%
    Allowed range: 0 … 100
    Allowed range: -10 … 20%
    Allowed range: 0 … 100%
    Bull
    Allowed range: -50 … 50%
    Allowed range: -100 … 100%
    Allowed range: 0 … 100
    Allowed range: -10 … 20%
    Allowed range: 0 … 100%
    Nothing is saved.

    Estimated price (NOK)

    Estimated priceBearBaseBull
    1 years
    8.15
    Total return -31% · Per year -31%
    14.39
    Total return 19% · Per year 19%
    21.66
    Total return 77% · Per year 77%
    3 years
    8.24
    Total return -18% · Per year -7%
    16.35
    Total return 52% · Per year 15%
    26.97
    Total return 140% · Per year 34%
    5 years
    8.34
    Total return -5% · Per year -1%
    18.58
    Total return 88% · Per year 14%
    33.59
    Total return 219% · Per year 26%
    What moves the 3-year price the most
    • Exit P/E± 4.09
    • Net margin± 2.86
    • Annual revenue growth± 2.30
    • Annual dilution± 0.24

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Norwegian Air Shuttle is one of the largest low-cost airlines in the Nordics, flying short routes in domestic and European markets with the regional carrier Widerøe in its portfolio. The company paid its first dividend in 2025 and projects modest capacity growth in 2026, alongside a profitability programme and a growing owned fleet. Cost volatility remains high, and a dispute over EU ETS obligations for 2020 is ongoing.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A leading position in the Nordic short-haul market, with a strong loyalty brand and a well-known operating base 1.
    • A solid financial platform, as stated by management, and the first dividend in the company's history paid in 2025 1.
    • A complementary portfolio through Widerøe, covering small and medium-sized airports in Norway and selected European destinations 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Dependence on jet fuel prices; although part of consumption is hedged with derivatives, it remains a major cost factor 1.
    • Underlying unit cost excluding fuel is expected to rise slightly in 2026, which limits the effect of cost-reduction programmes 1.
    • Demand is strongly seasonal, concentrating revenue in certain periods of the year 1.

    Opportunities

    • Accelerated deliveries of MAX 8 aircraft from summer 2026 could lower total costs and increase financial flexibility 1.
    • Synergies between Norwegian and Widerøe could improve the route network and customer experience if integration proceeds as planned 1.
    • Program X could bring further gains in 2026 if revenue and cost measures are fully implemented 1.

    Threats

    • Geopolitical instability and the escalation in the Middle East could raise fuel prices and capital market volatility 1.
    • Costs linked to the EU ETS and the SAF mandate could rise, especially after free aviation allowances end in 2026 1.
    • A security event, a pandemic or industrial action could disrupt operations and reduce demand 1.

    Risks

    • ETS 2020 disputehigh

      In March 2026 the Borgarting Court of Appeal ruled that the company had to fulfil its EU ETS obligations for 2020 in full. The ruling is not final, and the company will appeal to the Supreme Court of Norway 1.

    • Jet fuel price volatilityhigh

      Jet fuel prices are volatile and influenced by events in the Middle East. Derivative hedges do not cover all consumption, and remaining exposure could affect operating margins 1.

    • Currency exposuremedium

      Leasing, aircraft, maintenance and fuel costs are mainly in USD, while revenue is largely in SEK, EUR and DKK. Exchange rate movements could influence reported results 1.

    • SAF and ETS costs after 2026medium

      Free ETS allowances for aviation end in 2026, and sustainable aviation fuel trades at a premium to kerosene. These costs could add pressure on margins 1.

    • Counterparty risklow

      The company is exposed to the risk of default by banks, suppliers and card companies, although credit sales are kept at a minimum level 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If Program X delivers the gains announced, the company could improve margins even in a volatile cost environment.
    • Accelerated delivery of owned aircraft could lower total costs and increase financial flexibility over the longer term.
    • Brand loyalty and a leading position in the Nordics provide a solid base for handling demand fluctuations.

    What would break the thesis

    • The ETS 2020 dispute could lead to additional payments if the final courts confirm the Court of Appeal's ruling.
    • Dependence on fuel prices and geopolitical tensions could affect results if derivative hedges prove insufficient.
    • Underlying unit costs excluding fuel expected to rise slightly in 2026 could reduce the benefit of the profitability programme.

    What to watch

    • Supreme Court decision on the ETS 2020 dispute2026
    • Pace of MAX 8 deliveries and effect on total costssummer 2026
    • Realisation of Program X gains versus the report's expectations2026
    • Jet fuel price trends and hedge coverage for 2027next annual report

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Norwegian operates a broad network of short-haul flights: domestic routes within Norway, Sweden, Denmark and Finland, routes across the Nordic countries and routes from the Nordics to key European destinations. Through Widerøe, the group serves small and medium-sized airports in Norway and selected European destinations. According to the 2025 annual report, the company relies on strong brand loyalty and a cost structure it is strengthening through Program X. The proposed dividend of NOK 0.80 per share for 2025 continues the distributions that began in 2025 1.

    Segments

    Norwegian (low-cost airline)

    The core segment operates short-haul flights on domestic and regional Nordic routes and to nearby European destinations. The projected fleet of 95 aircraft for summer 2026 and the 80 ordered MAX 8 aircraft show the direction of expansion and of lowering all-in costs by owning more of the fleet 1.

    Widerøe (regional flights)

    Widerøe serves routes from small and medium-sized airports in Norway and selected European destinations. The company expects capacity to rise by about 4% in 2026 and sees synergies with Norwegian through a more integrated route network 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in air travel across the Nordics and Europe, where the 2025 report describes encouraging booking trends and a supportive supply-and-demand balance. Norwegian forecasts 3% capacity growth for 2026, which depends on macroeconomic conditions, including fuel prices, exchange rates and geopolitical tensions 1.

    Demand is strongly seasonal, and it depends on consumer and business confidence in key markets. The report notes that a security event or pandemic could affect operations, as could industrial action or a disruption in the supply chain 1.

    Trends

    • Jet fuel price volatilityheadwind

      The military escalation in the Middle East increased volatility in capital markets and the price of jet fuel. The company has hedged part of its consumption with derivatives, which softens the short-term effect but does not remove it.

    • Program X and Widerøe integrationtailwind

      The profitability programme Program X and synergies between Norwegian and Widerøe are meant to support financial performance in 2026 and beyond. The effect depends on executing the cost and revenue measures.

    • Owned fleetmixed

      Deliveries of the 80 ordered MAX 8 aircraft accelerate from summer 2026. The company sees this as a path to lower all-in costs and greater financial flexibility, though it also means investment commitments.

    • EU ETS and sustainable fuel costsheadwind

      Free EU ETS allowances for aviation are discontinued from 2026, and the SAF mandate adds cost. The price of ETS allowances has historically been volatile, and SAF has traded at a significant premium to conventional jet fuel.

    Competitive position

    The annual report does not explicitly list competitors, but it indicates that Norwegian compares itself with some of its closest European competitors and peers, particularly on share return. Competition centres on price, network and customer loyalty.

    On Nordic routes the company competes with other low-cost carriers and with traditional airlines flying similar routes. Its stated advantages are a strong loyalty brand and a cost structure it is reducing through Program X.

    • Ryanair

      European low-cost carrier with a large short-haul network; a competitor on some European routes, not named in the source.

    • easyJet

      European low-cost airline with multiple bases; a competitor on popular European leisure routes.

    • SAS (Scandinavian Airlines)

      Traditional Nordic carrier and a direct competitor on domestic and regional routes in the region.

    • Finnair

      Finnish airline with routes in the Nordics and Europe; a competitor on certain regional routes.

    News & filings

    In the press

    Annual reports (ESEF)

    Sources

    1. [1] Annual report, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 (ESEF) · SEC / Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA · 31 Dec 2025

    Figures computed by olivLaw from ESEF annual reports and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA (NAS.OL): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw