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olivLaw · US equity research

Arcosa, Inc. ACA

Fabricated Structural Metal Products · SIC 3440 · Vertical: Fabricated metal products (SIC 344x)

149.15USD+0.08% · 1 dayClose 22 Oct 2026

Arcosa is a provider of infrastructure products in North America, active in construction aggregates and in steel structures for power grids and wind energy. The company sold its barge business and agreed to be acquired by CRH for 150 dollars per share, a fact that matters for investors in the deal.

At the close of 22 Oct 2026, Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) stock was 149.15 USD (+0.08% on the day), with P/E 14.9 on diluted EPS of 9.98 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.09, 52-week range 92.25–149.15 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 658.7 m USD (+1.7% YoY), net income of 328.5 m USD (+450.3% YoY), diluted EPS 6.67 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
shares as of 15 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.9
Diluted EPS TTM 9.98 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.69%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.09
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
92.25149.15

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
82.0
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
145.42 – 148.61
above the upper band · %B 1.17 · band width 2.2%
SMA 50 / 200
146.08 / 129.84
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.67 / 0.49
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.7%−5.9%+7.7 pp—
3 months+2.8%−4.6%+7.4 pp—
6 months+24.1%+0.2%+23.9 pp—
Year to date+40.3%+7.4%+32.9 pp—
1 year+61.6%+8.2%+53.4 pp−3.9%
3 years+117.4%+68.4%+49.0 pp+57.8%
5 years+181.8%+56.5%+125.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.4%
10 Feb 2026 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−36.7%
25 Nov 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+23.0%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
658.7 m USD
+1.7% YoY
Net income
328.5 m USD
+450.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
6.67
+446.7% YoY
net / operating
49.9% / 12.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue640.4 m666.2 m547.6 m647.5 m797.8 m716.7 m571.7 m658.7 m
Cost of revenue503.7 m537.3 m439.7 m497.2 m605.9 m552.9 m450.8 m503.0 m
Gross profit136.7 m128.9 m107.9 m150.3 m191.9 m163.8 m120.9 m155.7 m
SG&A82.4 m89.0 m71.0 m70.0 m82.2 m78.2 m75.8 m89.1 m
Operating income33.8 m43.2 m41.0 m82.0 m112.3 m79.0 m47.1 m84.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation45.2 m60.4 m51.7 m54.2 m56.2 m57.1 m53.5 m58.0 m
Interest expense15.8 m35.4 m28.3 m28.5 m27.1 m24.9 m24.0 m23.1 m
Pre-tax income19.1 m10.4 m14.4 m57.0 m87.1 m55.2 m24.6 m62.3 m
Income tax2.5 m18.1 m2.8 m6.5 m14.1 m3.1 m1.3 m11.4 m
Net income16.6 m-7.7 m23.6 m59.7 m73.0 m52.1 m37.8 m328.5 m
Diluted EPS0.34-0.16 ≈0.481.221.481.06 ≈0.776.67
Operating cash flow135.0 m ≈248.2 m-700.0 k61.2 m ≈160.6 m ≈120.0 m71.9 m-11.2 m ≈
Capex34.4 m53.3 m33.0 m27.8 m39.6 m64.2 m43.5 m58.8 m ≈
Dividends paid2.4 m2.4 m2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m2.5 m2.4 m2.5 m
Share repurchases——00 ≈——17.5 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 19 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 10.8, median 25.1, max 50.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.5 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.6 bn2.9 bn
Revenue YoY−0.1%+18.9%+11.4%+5.2%+10.1%+2.9%+11.4%+12.2%
Net income75.7 m113.3 m106.6 m69.6 m245.8 m159.2 m93.7 m208.4 m
Net income YoY−15.6%+49.7%−5.9%−34.7%+253.2%−35.2%−41.1%+122.4%
Diluted EPS1.542.322.181.425.053.261.914.24
Diluted EPS YoY−16.3%+50.6%−6.0%−34.9%+255.6%−35.4%−41.4%+122.0%
net %5.2%6.5%5.5%3.4%11.0%6.9%3.6%7.2%
Free cash flow73.7 m273.4 m177.8 m81.4 m36.3 m57.5 m312.3 m175.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
214.6 m USD
Financial debt
8.5 m USD
Net debt
-206.1 m USD
Equity
2.6 bn USD
Total assets
5.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
2.20x
ROE
8.2%
ROA
4.2%
FCF margin
6.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
443.8 m
2024
515.2 m
2025
647.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
261.1 m
2024
320.0 m
2025
307.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
217.3 m
2024
197.6 m
2025
341.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
159.5 m
2024
195.0 m
2025
223.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
376.8 m ≈
2024
392.6 m ≈
2025
564.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
28.1 m
2024
70.9 m
2025
108.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
195.9 m
2024
130.0 m
2025
241.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
36.7 m
2024
36.3 m
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
159.2 m
2024
93.7 m
2025
208.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.26
2024
1.91
2025
4.24

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
48.7 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.20
2024
0.20
2025
0.20

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
104.8 m
2024
187.3 m
2025
214.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
357.1 m
2024
350.2 m
2025
412.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Inventories
2023
401.8 m
2024
359.9 m
2025
335.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Current assets
2023
912.0 m
2024
954.0 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.3 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
990.7 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
270.7 m
2024
338.3 m
2025
310.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.6 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
272.5 m
2024
237.3 m
2025
213.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
6.8 m
2024
12.1 m
2025
8.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
431.2 m
2024
516.0 m
2025
503.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 01 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.2 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.3 bn †
2024
2.4 bn †
2025
2.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
48.6 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Oct 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
261.0 m
2024
502.0 m
2025
341.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
203.5 m
2024
189.7 m
2025
165.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
57.5 m ≈
2024
312.3 m ≈
2025
175.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-285.8 m
2024
-1.5 bn
2025
-121.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-30.8 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
-192.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
9.8 m
2024
9.7 m
2025
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
13.8 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
73.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
122.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
14.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
122.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-43.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
23.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
11.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-424.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
341.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
206.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
135.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
27.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
62.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
69 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
90 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
Earnings yield
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 62 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

149.15 USD

22 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

The price is older than the freshness threshold; market indicators are unavailable.

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
input data missing
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 1472derived 107

Score by group

  • Quality60
  • Growth36
  • Balance sheet78
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
137.92
USD per share
Mid
172.95
USD per share
High
222.44
USD per share
Price: unavailable
Potential to the central value: unavailable (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: unavailable (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 90.00 – 305.87 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA90.00 – 139.01 (Mid 116.64)
    4 companies used · median multiple 9.7x · quartiles 7.3x – 11.7x
    GFF, JBI, VATE, VMI
  • Peers: P/E185.85 – 305.87 (Mid 229.26)
    4 companies used · median multiple 23.0x · quartiles 18.6x – 30.6x
    GFF, JBI, PRLB, VMI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate2.63 – 3.53 (Mid 3.01)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Fabricated metal products (SIC 344x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 62/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality11.5%73 (on a fixed band)16%
Net margin · Quality17.9%100 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality27.5%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.7%73 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.7%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.8x100 (vs peers)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.3x27 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.1x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns7.3%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet78/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth36/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality60/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Arcosa, Inc. (ACA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 12.2%; net margin 17.9%; ROE 17.9%; net debt/EBITDA -0.8x.

The estimated value range is 137.92–222.44 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 62/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 11.5%
  • Net margin: 17.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 8.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.8x
  • Current ratio: 3.1x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 7.3%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 27.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -5.7%
  • Interest coverage: 3.3x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Fabricated metal products (SIC 344x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.7x
P/S
—
vertical median 1.6x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.6x
ROE
17.9%
vertical median -3.3%
above median
Net margin
17.9%
vertical median 1.1%
above median (+1,524.4%)
EBIT margin
11.8%
vertical median 5.8%
above median (+102.6%)
Revenue YoY
12.2%
vertical median 0.7%
above median (+1,610.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.8x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−133.0%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
VMIValmont Industries, Inc.7.6 bn15.130.8%12.1%+0.7%−4% / +81%
ACAArcosa, Inc.7.3 bn14.917.9%17.9%+12.2%+62% / +117%
GFFGriffon Corporation4.6 bn26.1185.4%6.5%−3.9%+37% / +120%
PRLBProto Labs, Inc.1.5 bn44.25.1%6.0%+6.4%+24% / +74%
SMRNuscale Power Corporation1.0 bn—-13.0%-6,817.0%−15.0%−78% / +58%
JBIJanus International Group, Inc.650.8 m19.86.0%3.7%unavailable−23% / −55%
IMSRTerrestrial Energy Inc.271.7 m—-36.8%—unavailable−73% / unavailable
VATEInnovate Corp.67.8 m——-1.5%+12.5%−4% / −53%
TPCSTechprecision Corp50.7 m—-15.4%-3.7%−7.0%+11% / −17%
MTENMingteng International Corporation Inc.7.3 m—-11.7%-15.3%+15.3%−100% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for ACA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Arcosa is a provider of infrastructure products in North America, active in construction aggregates and in steel structures for power grids and wind energy. The company sold its barge business and agreed to be acquired by CRH for 150 dollars per share, a fact that matters for investors in the deal.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Arcosa holds solid market positions in recycled aggregates, specialty materials and utility structures. Its aggregates reserves are considerable and well located. The company has a moderate leverage balance sheet.
  • Backlog for utility structures has grown strongly, giving visibility into production. Recent acquisitions have extended the geographic footprint.
  • The company received substantial cash from selling its barge business, which gives it financial flexibility.

Weaknesses

  • Construction revenues are exposed to weather and seasonality. Residential demand is weak because of high interest rates.
  • Free cash flow from continuing operations was negative in the second quarter of 2026 because of working capital. Administrative expenses have risen.
  • The company relies on a limited number of suppliers for some raw materials and components, which can create vulnerabilities.

Opportunities

  • Demand for grid infrastructure and data centers could grow. The company is evaluating capacity expansion for utility structures.
  • Consolidation of the aggregates market offers acquisition opportunities. Recycled concrete is gaining ground because of resource scarcity.
  • If the highway program reauthorization is completed, demand for aggregates and traffic structures could return to higher levels.

Threats

  • Changes in tax policy may reduce demand for wind towers. The company has already seen lower orders in this segment.
  • Severe weather can delay projects and reduce volumes. Energy and raw material costs could rise.
  • The CRH transaction carries completion risks, including stockholder approval and regulatory clearance.

Risks

  • Completion of the CRH mergerhigh

    The transaction depends on stockholder approval and regulatory clearance. If these conditions are not met, the shares could remain listed and the strategy would need to be revisited.

  • Wind energy policymedium

    The removal of tax incentives could reduce orders for wind towers. The company has already reported a declining backlog.

  • Seasonality and weathermedium

    Rain and severe winters can reduce aggregates volumes and delay deliveries. The effect can be amplified by contracts with penalties for late delivery.

  • Dependence on public fundingmedium

    Revenues partly depend on government programs. Budget changes or delays in reauthorization can affect orders.

  • Energy and raw material costslow

    Higher energy and steel costs can reduce margins. The company says it has managed these pressures through pricing and cost control, but future outcomes are not certain.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the CRH transaction closes, shareholders receive a fixed cash sum per share, which removes the company's execution risk.
  • Record backlog for utility structures gives production visibility and supports segment growth if grid investment continues.
  • The position in recycled aggregates and considerable reserves could support good margins, especially if unit costs stay under control.

What would break the thesis

  • The transaction might not close if stockholders or regulators do not approve it, which leaves uncertainty over the situation.
  • Wind tower backlog is declining, and tax changes may limit recovery in this segment.
  • Free cash flow was negative in the second quarter, and transaction costs may weigh on results.

What to watch

  • Completion of the CRH merger and the stockholder voteQ1 2027
  • Development of the utility structures backlog2027
  • Effect of tax changes on wind tower ordersnext 10-K
  • Reauthorization of the federal highway program2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Arcosa, headquartered in Dallas, Texas, serves construction, engineered structures and transportation markets in North America. In fiscal 2025 revenues reached 2.9 billion dollars, up 12.2 percent, supported by the Stavola acquisition. The company says it aims to grow organically and through disciplined acquisitions in fragmented markets. 12

The Construction Products segment makes natural and recycled aggregates, specialty materials, asphalt and trench shoring equipment. The Stavola acquisition, for 1.2 billion dollars in cash, extended the company into the New York-New Jersey area. According to the annual report, about 45 percent of this segment's revenue comes from infrastructure construction. 1

In recent months Arcosa completed the sale of its barge business and announced a merger with CRH, which changes the company's structure. The Transportation Products segment is no longer reported separately after the sale. The company has also suspended financial guidance because of the transaction. 23

Segments

Engineered Structures

The segment makes steel and concrete structures for power grids, wind towers, traffic and lighting poles, and telecom structures. Demand for utility structures is strong and backlog grew sharply in 2026. Wind tower volumes are falling because of changes in tax policy. 123

Market context

Arcosa's core markets are Texas and New Jersey, which represent about 35 and 20 percent of 2025 segment revenues. The aggregates industry is highly fragmented, with more than 5,000 producers nationwide, which makes consolidation through acquisitions relevant. The figures in this profile are based on the company's reports. 1

Demand in the grid segment is supported by grid modernization and rising electricity use linked to AI projects. Residential demand remains weak because of high interest rates. The wind tower market depends on tax rules, and recent legislation has narrowed incentives. 12

Trends

  • Grid modernizationtailwind

    Investment in grid hardening and connecting renewable energy supports demand for utility structures. Backlog grew sharply in 2026. If this investment continues, revenues in this segment could keep growing. 12

  • Road infrastructuremixed

    Federal infrastructure programs support demand for aggregates and traffic structures. However, reauthorization of the federal highway program remains uncertain. The company expects Congress to complete a new reauthorization or extend current funding. 1

  • Wind energy tax policyheadwind

    The OBBBA phases out incentives for wind towers, and new orders have slowed. The company says demand may be pulled forward before the incentives expire. The effect on the segment is negative in the short term. 12

  • Weather and energy costsheadwind

    Heavy rain reduced aggregates volumes in the second quarter of 2026, and energy costs rose. Weather and energy costs could continue to affect margins. 3

Competitive position

The US aggregates market includes more than 5,000 producers, and competition mainly takes place regionally. Transport costs limit delivery distances, so quarries close to demand have an advantage. For specialty materials, barriers are higher and competition is national. 1

In utility and wind structures, competition comes from specialised North American manufacturers. The company says it is a leading maker of wind towers in wind-rich regions. Price and delivery reliability are key factors. 1

  • Regional aggregates producers

    Local and regional companies that compete with Arcosa in the markets where it operates, according to the 10-K.

  • National specialty materials producers

    Suppliers that sell specialty materials nationwide, where entry barriers are higher.

  • Utility structure manufacturers

    North American makers of steel and concrete poles and structures for power grids.

  • Wind tower manufacturers

    North American competitors that supply wind towers, where demand depends on tax policy.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 10 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report23 Oct 2026
    Termination of a material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Delisting notice · Item 3.03 · Item 5.01 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Jul 2026
    Item 1.04
  • Current report22 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Jun 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 May 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report01 May 2026
  • Current report30 Apr 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Arcosa, Inc. · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Arcosa, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Arcosa, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.