olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

The Boeing Company BA

Aircraft · SIC 3721 · Vertical: Aircraft (SIC 3721)

173.31USD−1.19% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

The Boeing Company is one of the world's major aerospace firms, building commercial airplanes, military aircraft, satellites and maintenance services. The company reports strong demand and a record backlog, but is still recovering from production and quality problems, which matters now for the aviation market.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, The Boeing Company (BA) stock was 173.31 USD (−1.19% on the day), with market capitalisation 137.3 bn USD, P/E 18.2 on diluted EPS of 9.51 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.74%, beta 1.16, 52-week range 167.14–252.15 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 24.2 bn USD (+3.9% YoY), net income of -116.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.26 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
137.3 bn USD
shares as of 20 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.2
Diluted EPS TTM 9.51 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.49%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.74%
DPS 12m 8.22
Beta (2y)
1.16
Volatility (1y) 35%
52-week range
167.14252.15

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
166.96 – 200.31
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.19 · band width 18.2%
SMA 50 / 200
194.61 / 216.25
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-6.44 / -5.60
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−10.5%−2.0%−8.5 pp—
3 months−26.9%−2.2%−24.8 pp—
6 months−22.8%+4.3%−27.0 pp—
Year to date−20.2%+10.6%−30.7 pp—
1 year−15.3%+10.5%−25.7 pp−52.4%
3 years−11.1%+73.7%−84.8 pp−16.5%
5 years−18.6%+61.7%−80.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.7%
23 Jan 2026 → 28 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−50.3%
15 Nov 2021 → 13 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.0%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
24.2 bn USD
+3.9% YoY
Net income
-116.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.26
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-0.5% / 1.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue15.2 bn19.5 bn22.7 bn23.3 bn23.9 bn22.2 bn24.6 bn24.2 bn
Cost of revenue16.8 bn17.1 bn20.3 bn25.6 bn22.1 bn19.7 bn22.1 bn22.0 bn
Gross profit-1.6 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn-2.4 bn1.8 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn2.2 bn
Research & development836.0 m844.0 m910.0 m897.0 m964.0 m903.0 m921.0 m830.0 m
Operating income-3.8 bn461.0 m-176.0 m-4.8 bn8.8 bn448.0 m156.0 m354.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation509.0 m466.0 m460.0 m491.0 m536.0 m573.0 m596.0 m584.0 m
Interest expense755.0 m708.0 m710.0 m694.0 m659.0 m616.0 m600.0 m573.0 m
Pre-tax income-4.1 bn76.0 m-561.0 m-5.2 bn8.3 bn26.0 m-365.0 m-123.0 m
Income tax-232.0 m107.0 m51.0 m140.0 m99.0 m33.0 m63.0 m-7.0 m
Net income-3.9 bn-37.0 m-611.0 m-5.3 bn8.2 bn-4.0 m-444.0 m-116.0 m
Diluted EPS-5.23 ≈-0.16-0.92-7.1410.55 ≈-0.11-0.67-0.26
Operating cash flow-3.5 bn-1.6 bn227.0 m ≈1.1 bn ≈1.3 bn-179.0 m1.4 bn ≈1.5 bn ≈
Capex648.0 m674.0 m427.0 m ≈885.0 m ≈956.0 m1.3 bn733.0 m ≈1.0 bn ≈
Dividends paid—72.0 m86.0 m86.0 m87.0 m86.0 m86.0 m86.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 15 percentile of its own 20-quarter history (min 17.0, median 21.2, max 93.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue101.1 bn76.6 bn58.2 bn62.3 bn66.6 bn77.8 bn66.5 bn89.5 bn
Revenue YoY+7.6%−24.3%−24.0%+7.1%+6.9%+16.8%−14.5%+34.5%
Net income10.5 bn-636.0 m-11.9 bn-4.2 bn-4.9 bn-2.2 bn-11.8 bn2.2 bn
Net income YoY+23.7%−106.1%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS17.85-1.12-20.88-7.15-8.30-3.67-18.362.48
Diluted EPS YoY+28.9%−106.3%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %10.3%-0.8%-20.4%-6.7%-7.4%-2.9%-17.8%2.5%
Free cash flow13.6 bn-4.3 bn-19.7 bn-4.4 bn2.3 bn4.4 bn-14.3 bn-1.9 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
10.9 bn USD
Financial debt
62.3 bn USD
Net debt
51.4 bn USD
Equity
5.5 bn USD
Total assets
168.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
11.42x
Current ratio
1.19x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
1.4%
FCF margin
-2.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
77.8 bn
2024
66.5 bn
2025
89.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
70.1 bn
2024
68.5 bn
2025
85.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
7.7 bn
2024
-2.0 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Research & development
2023
3.4 bn
2024
3.8 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-773.0 m
2024
-10.7 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
-8.9 bn ≈
2025
6.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-2.0 bn
2024
-12.2 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Income tax
2023
237.0 m
2024
-381.0 m
2025
397.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Net income
2023
-2.2 bn
2024
-11.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-3.67
2024
-18.36
2025
2.48

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
605.8 m
2024
646.9 m
2025
762.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
12.7 bn
2024
13.8 bn
2025
10.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Current assets
2023
109.3 bn
2024
128.0 bn
2025
128.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
10.7 bn
2024
11.4 bn
2025
15.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
8.1 bn
2024
8.1 bn
2025
17.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Total assets
2023
137.0 bn
2024
156.4 bn
2025
168.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
12.0 bn
2024
11.4 bn
2025
13.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
5.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
52.1 bn
2024
53.6 bn
2025
53.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
95.8 bn
2024
97.1 bn
2025
108.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
154.2 bn
2024
160.3 bn
2025
162.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Equity
2023
-17.2 bn
2024
-3.9 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Oct 2022verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
6.0 bn
2024
-12.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.5 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
4.4 bn ≈
2024
-14.3 bn ≈
2025
-1.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.4 bn
2024
-12.0 bn
2025
499.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-5.5 bn
2024
25.2 bn
2025
-3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
331.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 30 Jan 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
34.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
9.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
20.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
2,156.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
40.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
7.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
4.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
4.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
16.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
33.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
14 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
137.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
178.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
17.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
21.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
18.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
8,583.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.49
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 38 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

173.31 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 137.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
137.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
21.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
34.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Oct 2026
verified 3093derived 222

Score by group

  • Valuation20
  • Balance sheet26
  • Quality73
  • Growth86
  • Returns2

Estimated value range

Low
55.28
USD per share
Mid
67.85
USD per share
High
88.70
USD per share
Price: 173.31 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -60.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -155.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.54 – 145.27 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)2.54 – 32.13 (Mid 11.80)
    WACC 8.4% · starting FCFF 2.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)108.02 – 145.27 (Mid 123.90)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Aircraft (SIC 3721)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 38/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality20.1%100 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality8.1%100 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality0.2%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.3%86 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.4x18 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.0x38 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x28 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation18.2x54 (on a fixed band)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.8x2 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation0.0%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.3%4 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns2,156.3%0 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet26/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial86/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality73/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns2/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation20/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

THE BOEING COMPANY (BA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 89.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 34.5%; net margin 8.1%; net debt/EBITDA 3.4x.

The estimated value range is 55.28–88.70 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 67.85 USD, the price of 173.31 USD leaves a potential of -60.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -155.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 38/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 20.1%
  • Net margin: 8.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 10.3%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 0.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.4x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 14.8x
  • FCF yield: 0.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 2,156.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Aircraft (SIC 3721) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
18.2x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
vertical median —
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 10.9x
below median (−86.7%)
P/B
21.0x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+1,151.2%)
ROE
—
vertical median -46.8%
Net margin
8.1%
vertical median -611.0%
above median
EBIT margin
10.3%
vertical median -398.9%
above median
Revenue YoY
34.5%
vertical median 51.7%
below median (−33.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.4x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
4.7%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
BAThe Boeing Company137.3 bn18.2—8.1%+34.5%−15% / −11%
EMBJEmbraer S.A.56.8 bn163.610.8%4.6%+18.5%+25% / +349%
AVAVAerovironment, Inc.5.8 bn—-4.6%-10.1%+140.9%−59% / −18%
JOBYJoby Aviation, Inc.5.0 bn—-65.9%-755.1%+39,183.1%−65% / −15%
ACHRArcher Aviation Inc.3.2 bn—-44.8%-11,589.9%unavailable−47% / −31%
BETABETA Technologies, Inc.951.1 m—-46.8%-1,007.8%+136.0%−7% / unavailable
AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.171.0 m—-3.6%-23.9%+4.6%−37% / unavailable
MOBMobilicom Limited36.5 m—-369.2%-705.4%+5.8%−58% / +115%
UAVSAgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.21.8 m—-106.1%-276.5%−4.3%−74% / −100%
DUKRDUKE Robotics Corp.11.2 m—-66.6%-611.0%+249.1%+1,382% / +3,160%
EVTLVertical Aerospace Ltd.————+51.7%−91% / −94%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
110.14
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
194.19
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
291.81
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
119.79
Total return -31% · Per year -12%
236.40
Total return 36% · Per year 11%
388.15
Total return 124% · Per year 31%
5 years
130.29
Total return -25% · Per year -6%
287.78
Total return 66% · Per year 11%
516.31
Total return 198% · Per year 24%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 59.10
  • Net margin± 41.37
  • Annual revenue growth± 32.16
  • Annual dilution± 3.48

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 28 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

The Boeing Company is one of the world's major aerospace firms, building commercial airplanes, military aircraft, satellites and maintenance services. The company reports strong demand and a record backlog, but is still recovering from production and quality problems, which matters now for the aviation market 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a record order backlog, a broad presence across commercial aviation, defense and services, and a solid international customer base 12.
  • Global Services brings recurring revenue from maintenance, training and parts, which can help stabilize results 13.
  • The company retains access to undrawn credit facilities, giving financial flexibility 3.

Weaknesses

  • Operating margins remain thin, and losses in recent years have weighed on profitability 12.
  • Dependence on a few airlines and on the U.S. government makes revenue sensitive to outside changes 1.
  • Quality problems and certification delays have generated extra costs and losses on important programs 13.

Opportunities

  • Announced aircraft demand and forecast fleet growth could support long-term expansion 1.
  • If production stabilizes, higher delivery rates could convert the record backlog into greater revenue 23.
  • Defense and space demand from outside the U.S. could bring new contracts 13.

Threats

  • Strong competition from Airbus and Chinese manufacturers could reduce market share 1.
  • Funding interruptions and budget changes in the U.S. could delay programs and payments 1.
  • New labor actions or supply chain interruptions could again disrupt production 1.

Risks

  • Production and certification delayshigh

    New programs and rate increases could slip if production systems or FAA approvals do not meet expectations 1. This could affect deliveries and costs.

  • Dependence on government fundinghigh

    Budget delays or government shutdowns could halt defense programs and certifications 1.

  • Supply chainmedium

    Suppliers facing financial difficulties or late deliveries could affect production schedules 13.

  • Labor disputesmedium

    Earlier strikes halted production, and contracts with several unions expire in coming years, which could bring new disruptions 1.

  • Costs and inflationmedium

    Rising material and labor costs could reduce margins on fixed-price contracts 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If production and deliveries keep rising, the record order backlog could convert into a significant share of demand as revenue 23.
  • Stabilized operations and certification of new programs could restore customer confidence and ease cost pressure 2.
  • The services segment could keep delivering steady revenue, especially if margins recover 13.

What would break the thesis

  • If quality problems or certification delays return, costs and losses could rise again 1.
  • Competition from Airbus and Chinese manufacturers could reduce market share and pricing power 1.
  • Dependence on government funding and budget delays could weigh on defense revenue 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in operating margin and free cash flowQ3 2026
  • First delivery of the 777X program2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 28 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Boeing runs three reportable segments: Commercial Airplanes, which builds narrow-body and wide-body jets, Defense, Space & Security, which produces military aircraft, satellites and space systems, and Global Services, which offers parts, training, maintenance and digital solutions 1. Revenues in fiscal 2025 were 89,463 million dollars, and the company had about 182,000 employees on December 31, 2025 1.

Segments

Defense, Space & Security

The segment covers military aircraft, strategic systems, satellites and space systems, with fiscal 2025 revenues of 27,234 million dollars 1. In the second quarter of 2026, losses on the VC-25B program weighed on results, and first delivery is anticipated in 2028 3.

Global Services

The segment provides parts, maintenance, training and digital analytics, with fiscal 2025 revenues of 20,923 million dollars 1. The operating margin was 18.1 percent in the second quarter of 2026, lower than the prior year after the Digital Aviation Solutions divestiture 3.

Market context

The company operates in a commercial aircraft market where demand for single-aisle and wide-body jets remains above current supply, and where two major manufacturers dominate 1. Its forecast projects 3.1 percent growth in the global fleet over 20 years and demand for about 43,600 new airplanes 1.

In defense and services, demand remains solid, and non-U.S. orders form an important part of the portfolio 13. The aviation sector still relies on airline profits, financing and supply chains that remain under pressure 1.

Trends

  • Strong airline demandtailwind

    Sources indicate demand for wide-body and single-aisle airplanes remains above supply, supporting the order backlog 1. If this demand holds, it could support revenue growth in the coming years.

  • Recovery of production and qualitymixed

    The company says operations are more stable and key certification programs remain on plan, though supply chain productivity is still affected by inflation 23. If stability strengthens, production could reach planned rates.

  • Defense budgets and funding interruptionsmixed

    The company depends on U.S. government funding, and delayed budgets or shutdowns could affect deliveries and contracts 1. Shifts in acquisition priorities could also lead to program reductions or delays.

Competitive position

In commercial airplanes, the main rival is Airbus, while entrants from China are seeking greater market share 1. In defense and space, competitors include General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX and SpaceX, and non-U.S. firms such as BAE Systems are expanding in the U.S. 1.

In services, Boeing faces the same defense and aviation competitors plus other specialized firms, and the market is described as highly competitive 1. The company aims to grow share through high customer satisfaction and productivity 1.

  • Airbus

    Main rival in wide-body and narrow-body commercial aircraft, described in the filing as an aggressive competitor for global market share.

  • General DynamicsGD

    Competitor in defense, named in the annual report for military aircraft and systems.

  • Lockheed MartinLMT

    Competitor in defense and space systems, named in the annual report.

  • Northrop GrummanNOC

    Competitor in defense and strategic systems, named in the annual report.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / The Boeing Company · 30 Jan 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Boeing Company · 28 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Boeing Company · 28 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

The Boeing Company (BA): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw