olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Extra Space Storage Inc. EXR

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

155.98USD+3.08% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the United States, a REIT that owns, manages and finances storage space for individuals and businesses. It matters now because it is growing revenue from third-party management and bridge lending while occupancy recovers, and by mid-2026 it managed over 4,400 stores.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) stock was 155.98 USD (+3.08% on the day), with market capitalisation 32.6 bn USD, P/E 31.7 on diluted EPS of 4.92 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.15%, beta 0.47, 52-week range 126.69–155.98 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 889.8 m USD (+3.6% YoY), net income of 247.8 m USD (+49.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.17 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
32.6 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.7
Diluted EPS TTM 4.92 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.15%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
4.15%
DPS 12m 6.48
Beta (2y)
0.47
Volatility (1y) 23%
52-week range
126.69155.98

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
80.8
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
127.32 – 153.49
above the upper band · %B 1.10 · band width 18.6%
SMA 50 / 200
138.72 / 142.37
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.84 / 2.00
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+17.1%−2.3%+19.4 pp—
3 months+4.2%−0.8%+5.0 pp—
6 months+12.0%+4.7%+7.2 pp—
Year to date+19.8%+10.2%+9.6 pp—
1 year+16.8%+10.3%+6.6 pp+5.7%
3 years+45.8%+73.0%−27.2 pp+23.2%
5 years−21.8%+61.8%−83.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−16.0%
20 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.5%
31 Dec 2021 → 25 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
889.8 m USD
+3.6% YoY
Net income
247.8 m USD
+49.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.17
+50.0% YoY
net / operating
27.8% / 44.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue821.9 m820.0 m841.6 m858.5 m857.5 m856.0 m874.2 m889.8 m
Cost of revenue221.1 m223.6 m227.6 m235.5 m231.5 m238.3 m231.7 m238.8 m
Operating income380.0 m388.7 m374.0 m279.1 m370.9 m367.6 m392.2 m391.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation196.2 m180.4 m177.3 m177.5 m180.1 m185.8 m185.6 m189.6 m
Pre-tax income265.1 m274.0 m258.1 m161.0 m247.7 m247.2 m271.5 m268.4 m
Income tax6.0 m9.0 m11.6 m12.0 m9.0 m10.8 m12.1 m12.1 m
Net income262.5 m270.9 m249.7 m166.0 m287.4 m241.0 m263.5 m247.8 m
Diluted EPS1.41 ≈1.281.180.781.36 ≈1.141.251.17
Operating cash flow408.3 m481.4 m543.9 m ≈457.1 m ≈367.8 m489.9 m586.4 m ≈467.1 m ≈
Capex258.1 m117.1 m161.7 m0282.9 m12.4 m54.0 m8.1 m
Dividends paid344.0 m344.2 m343.9 m ≈343.8 m ≈342.4 m342.8 m342.0 m ≈340.6 m ≈
Share repurchases008.6 m ≈0 ≈140.9 m1.4 m0 ≈327.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 61 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 20.8, median 30.5, max 55.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn2.6 bn3.3 bn3.4 bn
Revenue YoY+8.3%+9.3%+3.6%+16.3%+22.0%+33.1%+27.2%+3.7%
Net income415.3 m420.0 m481.8 m827.6 m860.7 m803.2 m854.7 m974.0 m
Net income YoY−13.3%+1.1%+14.7%+71.8%+4.0%−6.7%+6.4%+14.0%
Diluted EPS3.273.243.716.196.414.744.034.59
Diluted EPS YoY−13.0%−0.9%+14.5%+66.8%+3.6%−26.1%−15.0%+13.9%
net %34.7%32.1%35.5%52.5%44.7%31.4%26.2%28.8%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable44.9 m1.3 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
138.9 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
14.3 bn USD
Total assets
29.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
6.7%
ROA
3.4%
FCF margin
38.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.6 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
612.0 m
2024
831.6 m
2025
918.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.9 bn ≈
2024
2.4 bn ≈
2025
2.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
506.1 m
2024
783.0 m
2025
715.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.7 bn ≈
2024
2.1 bn ≈
2025
2.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
419.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
817.2 m
2024
852.7 m
2025
940.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
21.6 m
2024
33.5 m
2025
41.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
803.2 m
2024
854.7 m
2025
974.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.74
2024
4.03
2025
4.59

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
169.2 m
2024
211.6 m
2025
211.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
6.48
2024
6.48
2025
6.48

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
99.1 m
2024
138.2 m
2025
138.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
48.7 m
2024
50.4 m
2025
65.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
170.8 m
2024
170.8 m
2025
170.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
66.3 m
2024
32.2 m
2025
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
27.5 bn
2024
28.8 bn
2025
29.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
12.0 bn
2024
14.0 bn
2025
14.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
15.4 bn
2024
14.9 bn
2025
14.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
135.6 m
2024
479.1 m
2025
561.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.4 bn ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.8 bn
2024
-1.6 bn
2025
-814.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
423.1 m
2024
-202.3 m
2025
-1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
149.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
20.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
20.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
73.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
65.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
43.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
29.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
44.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
131.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
88.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
357.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
84.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
32.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
31.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
9.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

155.98 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 32.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
32.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
29.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2162derived 165

Score by group

  • Returns53
  • Quality70
  • Growth100
  • Valuation62

Estimated value range

Low
101.92
USD per share
Mid
130.26
USD per share
High
151.23
USD per share
Price: 155.98 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -16.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -19.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 85.15 – 187.95 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)85.15 – 114.52 (Mid 97.68)
  • Peers: P/B118.69 – 187.95 (Mid 162.85)
    11 companies used · median multiple 2.6x · quartiles 1.9x – 3.1x
    DLR, ESS, HST, KIM, O, PLD, PSA, VICI, VMRK, VTR, WELL
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality7.9%46 (vs peers)9%
EBITDA margin · Quality65.1%88 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth20.6%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation2.5x62 (vs peers)27%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation31.7x63 (vs peers)12%
Dividend yield · Returns4.2%69 (vs peers)21%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns131.8%0 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality70/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns53/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation62/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

EXTRA SPACE STORAGE INC. (EXR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.7%; net margin 29.9%; ROE 7.9%.

The estimated value range is 101.92–151.23 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 130.26 USD, the price of 155.98 USD leaves a potential of -16.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -19.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBITDA margin: 65.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 20.6%

What contradicts it

  • Payout ratio (EPS): 131.8%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 16 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.8 bn and 242.0 bn (within 8× of the company's); 139 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
31.7x
vertical median 37.3x
below median (−15.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 19.0x
P/S
9.4x
vertical median 8.9x
above median (+5.7%)
P/B
2.5x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−7.6%)
ROE
7.9%
vertical median 8.0%
at median
Net margin
29.9%
vertical median 21.7%
above median (+37.6%)
EBIT margin
43.8%
vertical median 34.3%
above median (+27.6%)
Revenue YoY
3.7%
vertical median 5.9%
below median (−36.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.6x
Dividend yield
4.2%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+13.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.175.3 bn102.34.0%12.7%+35.6%+15% / +168%
PLDPrologis, Inc.120.9 bn32.77.1%42.5%+7.2%+1% / +13%
EQIXEquinix Inc98.4 bn59.711.5%16.4%+5.4%+32% / +22%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation87.3 bn26.490.6%30.7%+5.1%+4% / −10%
PSAPublic Storage62.3 bn33.916.0%37.8%+2.7%+21% / +29%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.61.8 bn45.96.2%21.7%+10.0%+10% / +27%
ORealty Income Corporation54.5 bn42.03.3%21.5%+9.1%−0% / +7%
VTRVentas, Inc.45.9 bn163.11.9%4.0%+18.5%+8% / +89%
CCICrown Castle Inc.37.0 bn44.2—20.7%−4.4%−5% / −26%
IRMIron Mountain Inc34.3 bn81.6—5.7%+12.2%+33% / +80%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.32.6 bn31.77.9%29.9%+3.7%+17% / +46%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.27.5 bn11.58.3%56.5%+4.1%−13% / −16%
VMRKVivmark Residential23.3 bn27.28.1%—+4.8%+1% / +9%
SBACSba Communications Corporation19.6 bn19.9—34.5%+5.1%−5% / −25%
HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.17.5 bn17.115.8%16.5%+7.6%+45% / +46%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.17.1 bn40.88.0%22.7%+6.4%+1% / +24%
KIMKimco Realty Corporation16.8 bn27.75.8%27.8%+5.1%+21% / +30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for EXR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
103.23
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
181.67
Total return 20% · Per year 20%
272.51
Total return 79% · Per year 79%
3 years
122.45
Total return -12% · Per year -4%
240.26
Total return 67% · Per year 19%
392.41
Total return 168% · Per year 39%
5 years
145.25
Total return 10% · Per year 2%
317.75
Total return 128% · Per year 18%
565.08
Total return 295% · Per year 32%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 60.07
  • Net margin± 42.05
  • Annual revenue growth± 31.36
  • Annual dilution± 3.53

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Extra Space Storage is the largest self-storage operator in the United States, a REIT that owns, manages and finances storage space for individuals and businesses 1. It matters now because it is growing revenue from third-party management and bridge lending while occupancy recovers, and by mid-2026 it managed over 4,400 stores 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the largest self-storage operator in the United States, with a national footprint and operating scale.
  • Revenue management systems allow daily rate adjustments in response to market conditions.
  • The third-party management platform and bridge lending diversify income while requiring relatively little capital.

Weaknesses

  • Total debt is substantial, and interest costs rose in 2025, weighing on cash flow.
  • Newly acquired Certificate of Occupancy stores dilute earnings for two to four years while they lease up.
  • Operating costs including property taxes and payroll have at times grown faster than revenue.

Opportunities

  • Fragmentation of the industry offers chances to buy portfolios from smaller operators.
  • Expanding the management platform and lending to third parties could grow revenue without heavy capital.
  • A sector recovery and rising occupancy could support rent growth on existing stores.

Threats

  • New store development by competitors could limit occupancy and rate growth.
  • Local rules limiting rent increases and consumer protection laws may hit revenue in some states.
  • Natural disasters and cyber incidents could cause uninsured losses or operational disruption.

Risks

  • Exposure to the economic cyclemedium

    A recession, rising unemployment or higher interest rates could reduce demand for storage space and pressure occupancy and rents 1.

  • Competition from new constructionmedium

    Development of new facilities by other operators could intensify pressure on rates and occupancy 1.

  • Property taxes and rent regulationmedium

    Property reassessments and rent limits introduced in some states could reduce cash flow available for distributions 1.

  • Cyber and data privacy riskhigh

    Cyberattacks and failures to comply with data protection rules could bring costs, litigation and reputational harm 1.

  • Uninsured lossesmedium

    Certain events such as earthquakes or hurricanes may be excluded from coverage or exceed policy limits, directly affecting results 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the sector recovery continues, rising occupancy and same-store revenue could support earnings growth in the coming years 3.
  • National scale and the management platform could let the company grow fee revenue without large capital outlays 1.
  • Industry consolidation could open acquisition opportunities on favourable terms for operators with sufficient capital 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If new construction in its markets increases, pressure on rents and occupancy could slow revenue growth 1.
  • High debt and interest costs could limit financial flexibility if funding rates stay elevated 1.
  • Higher taxes and local regulation could compress margins and reduce cash available for distributions 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in same-store occupancy and same-store revenue versus the prior quarterQ3 2026
  • Pace of store acquisitions and bridge loan originations2026
  • Changes in new store supply from competitors in key markets2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

The company reports two segments: self-storage operations, covering rents from wholly-owned stores, and tenant reinsurance, which assumes risk of losses on tenants' stored goods 1. Management of third-party stores and the bridge lending program let it expand its footprint and generate income with little capital investment 1. Total revenue rose 3.7% in fiscal 2025 to 3,377.542 million USD 1.

Trends

  • Recovery after a supply-heavy periodtailwind

    The company describes improving store performance, with same-store revenue and NOI growth in 2026 3. If the recovery continues it could support rental and management revenue.

  • New store development by competitorsheadwind

    Development of new storage facilities by other operators has increased in recent years and could pressure rates and occupancy 1. The effect depends on how much new supply appears in the company's markets.

  • Acquisitions and lending for third partiesmixed

    Store acquisitions and the bridge loan programme could expand the acquisition pipeline and interest income, but they also raise financing exposure and competition for deals 13.

  • Cost and regulatory pressureheadwind

    Property taxes, insurance and payroll costs have risen, and rules limiting rent increases in some states could weigh on operating margins 13.

Competitive position

Competition is significant in local markets, affecting occupancy, rental rates and operating expenses 1. The company names CubeSmart, National Storage Affiliates and Public Storage as its three primary public self-storage REIT competitors 1.

The company argues that as the largest US operator it has scale advantages, revenue management technology and access to capital for acquisitions 1. Competitive bidding between public and private buyers is common, which can make acquisitions more expensive 1.

  • CubeSmartCUBE

    One of the three primary public self-storage REIT competitors named by the company.

  • National Storage AffiliatesNSA

    A public self-storage REIT identified among the company's principal competitors.

  • Public StoragePSA

    The most widely cited public competitor in the sector, named explicitly among the three primary competitors.

  • Small local operators

    Numerous regional and local operators with limited capital make up much of the market and could be acquired during consolidation.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Extra Space Storage Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Extra Space Storage Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Extra Space Storage Inc. · 28 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw