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olivLaw · US equity research

Hormel Foods Corporation HRL

Meat Packing Plants · SIC 2011 · Vertical: Food products (SIC 201x)

22.76USD+7.06% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hormel Foods is a global branded food company with Retail, Foodservice and International segments that generated net sales of $12.1 billion in fiscal 2025. The company is working through margin pressure from commodity costs and a reshaping of its portfolio, and in its third quarter of fiscal 2026 it raised its adjusted earnings per share outlook.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) stock was 22.76 USD (+7.06% on the day), with P/E 36.2 on diluted EPS of 0.63 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 5.13%, beta 0.02, 52-week range 19.19–26.51 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.0 bn USD (−2.4% YoY), net income of 59.6 m USD (−67.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
36.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.63 · TTM to 26 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.76%
TTM to 26 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
5.13%
DPS 12m 1.17
Beta (2y)
0.02
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
19.1926.51

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
71.7
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
18.82 – 22.32
above the upper band · %B 1.13 · band width 17.0%
SMA 50 / 200
20.69 / 22.78
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.31 / 0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.3%−1.1%+14.4 pp—
3 months−9.8%−0.5%−9.3 pp—
6 months+10.0%+4.4%+5.6 pp—
Year to date−4.0%+12.3%−16.3 pp—
1 year+5.5%+13.5%−8.1 pp−8.7%
3 years−30.8%+76.4%−107.2 pp+20.8%
5 years−47.3%+63.7%−111.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.6%
26 Jun 2026 → 09 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−65.0%
21 Apr 2022 → 09 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−12.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Jul 2026

Revenue
3.0 bn USD
−2.4% YoY
Net income
59.6 m USD
−67.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.11
−66.7% YoY
net / operating
2.0% / 3.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.1 bn3.0 bn2.9 bn3.0 bn3.2 bn3.0 bn3.0 bn3.0 bn
Cost of revenue2.6 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.7 bn2.6 bn2.5 bn2.5 bn
Gross profit521.2 m475.2 m484.4 m487.3 m444.8 m469.6 m518.5 m471.5 m
SG&A238.6 m263.0 m251.4 m258.7 m223.5 m241.7 m318.6 m323.5 m
Operating income294.5 m228.3 m248.4 m239.7 m2.2 m243.7 m217.1 m110.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation66.4 m65.9 m64.0 m64.7 m69.4 m67.1 m68.8 m66.4 m
Interest expense19.4 m19.5 m19.5 m19.5 m19.6 m19.7 m19.8 m19.6 m
Pre-tax income280.0 m218.1 m230.5 m236.5 m-21.6 m234.3 m206.1 m103.2 m
Income tax60.1 m47.5 m50.7 m52.8 m34.6 m52.5 m48.7 m43.6 m
Net income220.2 m170.6 m180.0 m183.7 m-56.1 m181.8 m157.5 m59.6 m
Diluted EPS0.40 ≈0.310.330.33-0.10 ≈0.330.290.11
Operating cash flow408.6 m309.2 m56.4 m ≈156.7 m ≈322.9 m349.2 m178.9 m ≈240.6 m ≈
Capex83.8 m72.2 m75.1 m ≈72.2 m ≈91.5 m69.0 m82.2 m ≈68.2 m ≈
Dividends paid155.0 m155.0 m159.2 m ≈159.5 m ≈159.5 m159.5 m160.9 m ≈161.0 m ≈
Share repurchases0———————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 98 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 19.2, median 23.7, max 40.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue9.5 bn9.5 bn9.6 bn11.4 bn12.5 bn12.1 bn11.9 bn12.1 bn
Revenue YoY+4.1%−0.5%+1.2%+18.5%+9.4%−2.8%−1.6%+1.6%
Net income1.0 bn978.8 m908.1 m908.8 m1,000.0 m793.6 m805.0 m478.2 m
Net income YoY+19.5%−3.3%−7.2%+0.1%+10.0%−20.6%+1.4%−40.6%
Diluted EPS1.861.801.661.661.821.451.470.87
Diluted EPS YoY+18.5%−3.2%−7.8%0.0%+9.6%−20.3%+1.4%−40.8%
net %10.6%10.3%9.5%8.0%8.0%6.6%6.8%4.0%
Free cash flow852.1 m629.2 m760.5 m769.5 m856.1 m777.6 m1.0 bn534.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 26 Oct 2025

Cash
670.7 m USD
Financial debt
2.9 bn USD
Net debt
2.2 bn USD
Equity
7.9 bn USD
Total assets
13.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.36x
Current ratio
2.47x
ROE
6.0%
ROA
3.6%
FCF margin
4.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
12.1 bn
2024
11.9 bn
2025
12.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
10.1 bn
2024
9.9 bn
2025
10.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Research & development
2023
33.7 m
2024
36.1 m
2025
35.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

SG&A
2023
942.2 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
996.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
718.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
253.3 m
2024
257.8 m
2025
263.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
982.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
73.4 m
2024
80.9 m
2025
78.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
663.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
220.6 m
2024
230.8 m
2025
185.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
793.6 m
2024
805.0 m
2025
478.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.45
2024
1.47
2025
0.87

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
549.0 m
2024
548.8 m
2025
550.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.10
2024
1.13
2025
1.16

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
736.5 m
2024
741.9 m
2025
670.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
817.4 m
2024
817.9 m
2025
784.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Inventories
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
4.9 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
13.4 bn
2024
13.4 bn
2025
13.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
771.4 m
2024
735.6 m
2025
731.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
950.5 m
2024
7.8 m
2025
6.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
7.7 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
7.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
845.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
270.2 m
2024
256.4 m
2025
310.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
777.6 m ≈
2024
1.0 bn ≈
2025
534.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-689.5 m
2024
-236.9 m
2025
-298.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-600.1 m
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
-614.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
592.9 m
2024
615.0 m
2025
633.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
12.3 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Dec 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-32.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-40.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-40.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-47.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
7.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
FCF margin
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
ROA
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
ROIC
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
ROCE
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
185.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
82.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
310.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
780.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
227.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
129.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
25 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
36.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 42 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

22.76 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
36.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 2751derived 205

Score by group

  • Valuation33
  • Returns54
  • Quality52
  • Balance sheet68
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
10.34
USD per share
Mid
15.50
USD per share
High
18.06
USD per share
Price: 22.76 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -31.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -46.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.43 – 20.50 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E5.43 – 15.62 (Mid 13.51)
    5 companies used · median multiple 21.5x · quartiles 8.6x – 24.9x
    JBS, PPC, SFD, TSN, WYHG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)15.24 – 20.50 (Mid 17.49)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food products (SIC 201x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 42/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality3.7%20 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality2.8%57 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality227.9%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.0%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-21.8%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.4x46 (on a fixed band)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet7.3x89 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.9x90 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation36.2x33 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns82.1%54 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet68/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial54/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial33/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

HORMEL FOODS CORPORATION (HRL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 12.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.6%; net margin 2.8%; ROE 4.3%; net debt/EBITDA 2.4x.

The estimated value range is 10.34–18.06 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 15.50 USD, the price of 22.76 USD leaves a potential of -31.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -46.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 42/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 227.9%
  • Interest coverage: 7.3x
  • Current ratio: 1.9x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: 3.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -21.8%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Food products (SIC 201x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
36.2x
vertical median 23.2x
above median (+56.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
—
vertical median 0.5x
P/B
—
vertical median 1.2x
ROE
4.3%
vertical median 7.5%
below median (−42.7%)
Net margin
2.8%
vertical median 2.3%
above median (+20.1%)
EBIT margin
4.7%
vertical median 4.0%
above median (+18.8%)
Revenue YoY
1.6%
vertical median 3.5%
below median (−55.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.4x
vertical median -0.4x
above median
Dividend yield
5.1%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.7.8 bn8.613.4%5.9%+9.8%−9% / unavailable
PPCPilgrim’s Pride Corporation6.9 bn21.58.6%1.7%+3.5%−24% / +13%
MAMAMama’s Creations, Inc.629.4 m78.17.5%3.5%+39.2%+18% / +230%
WYHGWing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited200.3 m24.94.8%5.9%−6.5%+8% / unavailable
BRIDBridgford Foods Corporation49.3 m—-12.3%-6.1%+3.3%−32% / −49%
TSNTyson Foods, Inc.—37.03.2%1.0%+2.1%+3% / +28%
JBSJbs N.V.—6.925.6%2.3%+11.7%−12% / unavailable
HRLHormel Foods Corporation—36.24.3%2.8%+1.6%+5% / −31%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HRL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Hormel Foods is a global branded food company with Retail, Foodservice and International segments that generated net sales of $12.1 billion in fiscal 2025 1. The company is working through margin pressure from commodity costs and a reshaping of its portfolio, and in its third quarter of fiscal 2026 it raised its adjusted earnings per share outlook 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of well-known brands, a strong retail presence and a long history of dividend increases 1.
  • A solid balance sheet, operating cash generation and ample liquidity at the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2026 23.
  • The Foodservice segment has grown for several consecutive quarters, supported by solutions-based offerings for operators 3.

Weaknesses

  • Margins under pressure from raw material costs, with gross margin declining in fiscal 2025 1.
  • High dependence on a few large customers, particularly one large retail chain, which concentrates commercial risk 1.
  • Impairments on intangible assets and equity investments have weighed on reported results 12.

Opportunities

  • Growth in value-added products and premium proteins could offset lower volumes in commodity lines 3.
  • Focusing the portfolio on markets with the strongest long-term growth could improve returns on international investment 3.
  • Savings from the transformation programme could support profit growth if delivered on schedule 1.

Threats

  • Inflation in pork, beef and nut costs could stay high and limit margin recovery 1.
  • Slowing consumer demand and pressure on operator budgets in foodservice could reduce sales 13.
  • Tariffs and retaliatory measures could raise procurement costs or reduce input availability 1.

Risks

  • Raw material costshigh

    Volatile prices for pork, beef and nuts could compress margins again, especially if hedging does not fully offset increases 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    Losing one of the largest customers could significantly affect that segment's results, given the high share of the top five customers 1.

  • Asset impairmentsmedium

    Impairment tests on intangible assets and the international unit could lead to further charges if growth and margin assumptions are not met 12.

  • Restructuring and transformationmedium

    Savings from the restructuring and modernisation programmes could be smaller or later than estimated, affecting profitability 1.

  • Operational disruptionlow

    An incident at a major plant or supplier could disrupt production and distribution, as a fire at a peanut butter facility showed 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If organic sales growth stays within the guided range and raw material costs stabilise, adjusted earnings could grow in line with the updated outlook 3.
  • Rising operating cash flow and a solid balance sheet could support dividends and investment in brands and capacity 21.
  • Steady growth in Foodservice and the success of premium brands could offset weakness in other categories 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If cost pressure and softer demand persist, margins could remain below historical levels and limit profit growth.
  • Repeated impairments of assets and investments could point to deeper problems in certain segments or in international strategy.
  • Dependence on a small number of large customers could magnify the impact of any order reduction or pricing renegotiation.

What to watch

  • Delivery against the updated adjusted earnings per share guidance and net sales outlookQ4 2026
  • Trend in pork, beef and nut costs and its effect on gross marginfiscal 2027
  • Direction of Retail volumes and whether Foodservice growth continuesQ1 2027
  • Completion of the transformation programme and the savings reported2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Hormel Foods Corporation, founded in 1891 in Austin, Minnesota as a meat processor, has expanded through organic growth and acquisitions into a branded food group sold in all 50 U.S. states and several international markets 1. Its brands include Planters, SPAM, Jennie-O, Skippy and Applegate, and its main raw materials are pork, turkey, beef, chicken and nuts 1. Walmart accounts for 15.6% of consolidated gross sales and the top five customers for about 38% 1.

The segment mix shows significant reliance on U.S. retail channels, alongside a foodservice segment that has grown steadily 12. In fiscal 2025 the company began a corporate restructuring plan intended to reduce administrative expenses and redirect resources toward growth 1.

In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 Hormel announced the sale of its Brazil operations under the Ceratti brand, part of an effort to simplify the portfolio and focus international strategy on markets with the strongest long-term growth 3.

Segments

Foodservice

The Foodservice segment supplies distributors and operators in restaurants, hospitality, healthcare and education, with net sales of $3.94 billion in fiscal 2025 1.

Market context

The processed meat and branded food market is highly competitive, and the company competes on price, quality, brand and product breadth, mainly with pork and turkey producers and national and regional producers of beef, chicken, fish, nuts and plant-based proteins 1.

Raw material prices, particularly for pork bellies, beef and nuts, weighed heavily on margins in fiscal 2025, and the company expects beef and nut costs to stay above historical averages in fiscal 2026 1.

Trends

  • Raw material cost pressureheadwind

    Costs for pork, beef and nuts compressed gross margin, and companies in the sector could keep feeling the pressure if prices stay elevated 12.

  • Transformation and efficiency programmetailwind

    The Transform and Modernize initiative has produced savings in procurement, production and logistics that partly offset inflation, with a goal of meaningful operating profit growth through fiscal 2026 13.

  • Pressured consumer demandmixed

    A difficult consumer environment reduced Retail volumes in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, while the Foodservice segment kept growing 23.

  • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs and trade restrictions had a minor impact in fiscal 2025 but could raise input costs or reduce their availability if they intensify 1.

Competitive position

Hormel competes directly with pork and turkey manufacturers and with national and regional producers of beef, chicken, fish, nuts and plant-based proteins, and differentiates on brand, quality, product range and customer service 1.

The company says it maintains its position through product innovation and long-term relationships with industry partners, while competition in processed proteins and nut snacks remains intense 1.

  • Pork and turkey meat manufacturers

    Direct competitors in the core processed meat lines, referred to generically in the company's filings and not named.

  • National beef and chicken producers

    Competitors in adjacent protein categories whose prices follow the same raw material cycles.

  • Nut and snack producers

    Rivals in the snack nut segment where Hormel competes through brands such as Planters.

  • Plant-based protein producers

    Companies offering plant-based alternatives, identified as rivals in the company's filings.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-26 · SEC / Hormel Foods Corporation · 05 Dec 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-26 · SEC / Hormel Foods Corporation · 27 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hormel Foods Corporation · 27 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.