olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Ingersoll Rand Inc. IR

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment · SIC 3560 · Vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3560)

84.18USD−0.45% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ingersoll Rand Inc. is a global provider of flow creation and industrial and life science solutions, with operations across six continents. In 2025 it had over 21,000 employees and over 60 key manufacturing facilities. For the second quarter of 2026 it reported revenues of 2049 million USD, up 9%, and its 2026 revenue growth guidance is 4.5% to 6.5%.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) stock was 84.18 USD (−0.45% on the day), with market capitalisation 32.3 bn USD, P/E 23.7 on diluted EPS of 3.55 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.10%, beta 1.23, 52-week range 68.54–98.76 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.1 bn USD (+5.6% YoY), net income of 669.9 m USD (+174.4% YoY), diluted EPS 1.73 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
32.3 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
23.7
Diluted EPS TTM 3.55 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.22%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.10%
Beta (2y)
1.23
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
68.5498.76

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
68.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
72.54 – 84.30
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.99 · band width 15.0%
SMA 50 / 200
76.53 / 81.09
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.44 / 0.57
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.2%−1.1%+8.3 pp—
3 months−6.5%−0.5%−6.0 pp—
6 months+7.0%+4.4%+2.6 pp—
Year to date+6.3%+12.3%−6.1 pp—
1 year+9.0%+13.5%−4.6 pp+19.3%
3 years+28.8%+76.4%−47.6 pp+69.8%
5 years+47.0%+63.7%−16.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−30.6%
17 Feb 2026 → 19 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−36.6%
25 Nov 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+8.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.1 bn USD
+5.6% YoY
Net income
669.9 m USD
+174.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.73
+183.6% YoY
net / operating
32.4% / 37.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.9 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn
Cost of revenue1.1 bn951.3 m1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn
Gross profit815.4 m765.5 m824.9 m855.2 m890.7 m792.4 m862.6 m924.3 m
SG&A331.7 m350.0 m371.2 m361.0 m357.1 m370.7 m400.8 m389.7 m
Operating income378.8 m302.5 m76.4 m375.5 m390.2 m289.7 m380.3 m782.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation123.6 m120.0 m120.5 m124.5 m140.8 m136.9 m132.8 m137.7 m
Interest expense61.8 m61.2 m62.7 m65.1 m64.9 m63.8 m63.3 m62.7 m
Pre-tax income325.1 m253.1 m28.1 m319.4 m334.7 m229.9 m327.1 m725.2 m
Income tax88.2 m58.5 m21.0 m73.6 m66.3 m36.1 m69.1 m53.6 m
Net income229.8 m186.5 m-115.3 m244.1 m266.1 m192.1 m256.8 m669.9 m
Diluted EPS0.57 ≈0.46-0.290.610.67 ≈0.490.661.73
Operating cash flow526.2 m256.4 m245.7 m ≈354.6 m ≈499.0 m199.7 m295.9 m ≈647.8 m ≈
Capex35.3 m33.7 m35.3 m29.1 m37.5 m36.3 m27.0 m ≈24.5 m ≈
Dividends paid8.1 m8.1 m8.0 m ≈7.9 m ≈7.8 m7.8 m7.9 m ≈7.6 m ≈
Share repurchases62.5 m10.0 m500.7 m ≈193.1 m ≈314.2 m89.5 m249.3 m ≈350.3 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 16 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 15.8, median 39.7, max 227.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.7 bn2.0 bn4.0 bn5.2 bn5.9 bn6.9 bn7.2 bn7.7 bn
Revenue YoY+13.2%−25.0%+96.9%+29.7%+14.8%+16.2%+5.2%+5.7%
Net income269.4 m159.1 m-33.3 m562.5 m604.7 m778.7 m838.6 m581.4 m
Net income YoY+1,364.1%−40.9%−120.9%unavailable+7.5%+28.8%+7.7%−30.7%
Diluted EPS1.290.76-0.091.341.471.902.061.45
Diluted EPS YoY+1,190.0%−41.1%−111.8%unavailable+9.7%+29.3%+8.4%−29.6%
net %10.0%7.9%-0.8%10.9%10.2%11.3%11.6%7.6%
Free cash flow392.3 m305.4 m872.3 munavailableunavailable1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.2 bn USD
Financial debt
1.4 m USD
Net debt
-1.2 bn USD
Equity
10.2 bn USD
Total assets
18.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
2.06x
ROE
5.7%
ROA
3.2%
FCF margin
15.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.9 bn
2024
7.2 bn
2025
7.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
108.2 m
2024
116.6 m
2025
114.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
459.1 m
2024
482.0 m
2025
505.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.6 bn ≈
2024
1.8 bn ≈
2025
1.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
156.7 m
2024
213.2 m
2025
253.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
935.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
240.0 m
2024
262.5 m
2025
219.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
778.7 m
2024
838.6 m
2025
581.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.90
2024
2.06
2025
1.45

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
409.0 m
2024
407.2 m
2025
401.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
711.4 m
2024
842.1 m
2025
930.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
6.6 bn
2024
8.1 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
3.6 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
15.6 bn
2024
18.0 bn
2025
18.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
801.2 m
2024
843.6 m
2025
996.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
30.6 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.7 bn
2024
7.8 bn
2025
8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.8 bn
2024
10.2 bn
2025
10.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
105.4 m
2024
149.1 m
2025
135.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-3.1 bn
2025
-660.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-337.5 m
2024
1.7 bn
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
32.4 m
2024
32.3 m
2025
31.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
263.0 m
2024
260.7 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-30.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-29.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
43.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
29.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
22.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
17.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
16.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-642.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
7.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
125.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
109.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
68.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
100 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
69 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
98 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
32.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
31.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
23.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
23.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
17.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
3.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
3.61
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 66 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

84.18 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 32.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
32.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
23.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
17.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 1675derived 143

Score by group

  • Valuation45
  • Balance sheet91
  • Quality89
  • Growth37
  • Returns67

Estimated value range

Low
67.85
USD per share
Mid
92.91
USD per share
High
102.86
USD per share
Price: 84.18 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 10.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 9.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 51.29 – 156.56 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)67.85 – 102.86 (Mid 81.47)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 1.7 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 10.5%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA84.16 – 156.56 (Mid 100.13)
    3 companies used · median multiple 15.8x · quartiles 13.2x – 24.9x
    GHM, GTES, ZBRA
  • Peers: P/E51.29 – 94.44 (Mid 92.91)
    7 companies used · median multiple 26.1x · quartiles 14.4x – 26.6x
    EFXT, GTEC, GTES, ITW, TWIN, ZBRA, ZWS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3560)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 66/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality16.7%83 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality17.2%88 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality109.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.9%75 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.5%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet7.2x88 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.7x74 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation23.7x63 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.3x16 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation4.7%59 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.2%46 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns2.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet91/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth37/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality89/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns67/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation45/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 5.7%; net margin 17.2%; ROE 13.4%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 67.85–102.86 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 92.91 USD, the price of 84.18 USD leaves a potential of 10.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 9.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 66/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 16.7%
  • Net margin: 17.2%
  • FCF conversion: 109.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 8.9%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.3x
  • Interest coverage: 7.2x
  • Current ratio: 1.7x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 2.0%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -0.5%
  • EV/EBITDA: 13.3x

Versus the vertical median

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3560) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
23.7x
vertical median 26.2x
below median (−9.7%)
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
vertical median 15.8x
below median (−16.2%)
P/S
4.0x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+87.7%)
P/B
3.1x
vertical median 3.3x
below median (−5.7%)
ROE
13.4%
vertical median 16.2%
below median (−17.0%)
Net margin
17.2%
vertical median 10.1%
above median (+70.5%)
EBIT margin
22.9%
vertical median 14.2%
above median (+61.2%)
Revenue YoY
5.7%
vertical median 8.2%
below median (−29.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−113.6%)
Dividend yield
0.1%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−88.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc83.4 bn26.1101.7%19.4%+0.9%+18% / +21%
IRIngersoll Rand Inc.32.3 bn23.713.4%17.2%+5.7%+9% / +29%
ZBRAZebra Technologies Corporation15.7 bn26.816.5%9.8%+8.3%+32% / +40%
ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation7.5 bn26.317.7%15.9%+8.3%−5% / +53%
GTESGates Industrial Corporation Ltd.6.1 bn17.010.6%10.4%+1.0%+7% / +100%
EFXTEnerflex Ltd2.5 bn39.36.0%2.5%+6.5%+46% / +377%
GHMGraham Corporation816.0 m67.17.5%4.5%+16.9%+21% / +275%
TWINTwin Disc, Incorporated370.7 m11.916.3%8.0%+11.9%+64% / +86%
GTECGreenland Technologies Holding Corporation10.7 m0.916.0%12.3%+8.0%−51% / −79%

1- and 3-year price returns: for IR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
52.76
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
93.09
Total return 11% · Per year 11%
139.95
Total return 66% · Per year 66%
3 years
55.89
Total return -34% · Per year -13%
110.49
Total return 31% · Per year 9%
181.72
Total return 116% · Per year 29%
5 years
59.20
Total return -30% · Per year -7%
131.15
Total return 56% · Per year 9%
235.95
Total return 180% · Per year 23%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 27.62
  • Net margin± 19.34
  • Annual revenue growth± 15.22
  • Annual dilution± 1.62

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Ingersoll Rand Inc. is a global provider of flow creation and industrial and life science solutions, with operations across six continents 1. In 2025 it had over 21,000 employees and over 60 key manufacturing facilities 1. For the second quarter of 2026 it reported revenues of 2049 million USD, up 9%, and its 2026 revenue growth guidance is 4.5% to 6.5% 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large installed base that generates recurring revenue from parts and services 1.
  • Strong brands and a reputation for reliability support long-standing customer relationships 1.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity are described as strong, and its credit rating was raised in 2026 3.

Weaknesses

  • A large share of revenue and costs is in foreign currencies, which makes results sensitive to exchange rates 1.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin in the industrial segment declined in the second quarter of 2026 due to inflationary pressures 3.
  • Some critical components come from single sources, which raises exposure to disruption 1.

Opportunities

  • Recent acquisitions in filtration and blowers could extend the portfolio into growing segments 3.
  • Demand in life sciences and water treatment could continue to grow 1.
  • Connected monitoring systems and software could add higher-margin service revenue 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and retaliatory measures could raise costs and reduce demand 1.
  • A global economic slowdown could reduce customers' industrial investment 1.
  • Larger competitors with greater financial resources may compete aggressively on price 1.

Risks

  • Exposure to the global economyhigh

    Demand depends on industrial investment, and an economic slowdown could weigh on revenue and profitability 1.

  • International operationshigh

    Most revenue comes from outside the United States, so political, currency and regulatory risks could affect results 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policymedium

    Uncertainty over tariffs could raise material costs and affect demand in some markets 12.

  • Raw material costsmedium

    Sharp increases in the cost of cast iron, aluminum, steel and copper could reduce margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.

  • Acquisition integration and cyber securitylow

    Integrating acquisitions and any failure of information systems could disrupt operations 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A large installed base and recurring parts and services revenue could provide stability even in a weak economic cycle 1.
  • Orders rose in the second quarter of 2026, and the precision and science segment showed strong organic growth 3.
  • If the recent acquisitions are integrated successfully, the company could expand its portfolio in filtration and blowers 3.

What would break the thesis

  • The industrial segment's margin declined, and cost pressures could persist if prices cannot be adjusted enough 3.
  • High exposure to markets outside the United States and to foreign currencies could amplify losses in periods of instability 1.
  • Tariffs and retaliatory trade measures could persist, which might reduce demand and raise costs in several markets 2.

What to watch

  • Delivery of 2026 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidanceQ4 2026
  • Closing of the Fai Filtri acquisitionQ4 2026
  • Effect of tariffs and IEEPA refunds on costs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

The company designs, manufactures and sells compressors, pumps, vacuum and blower products, together with associated parts and services, under more than 90 brands including Ingersoll Rand and Gardner Denver 1. Aftermarket parts, consumables and services represented 36.5% of total revenue in 2025, providing a recurring revenue stream from its installed base 1. Acquisitions are part of the growth strategy, including SSI Aeration for 97.8 million USD and TMIC/Adicomp for 193.2 million USD in 2025 1.

In the second quarter of 2026, revenues were 2049 million USD and Adjusted EBITDA was 520 million USD, with a margin of 25.4% 3. Liquidity stood at 3.8 billion USD at June 30, 2026 3. Net debt to Adjusted EBITDA leverage was 1.7x 3.

Market context

The company's markets are tied to customers' capital spending and industrial capacity utilization, and demand for compressors and related products tends to follow these indicators 1. Life sciences benefits from trends such as higher healthcare spending and an aging population 1. The flow products market is fragmented, so price, quality and local presence matter 1.

Management describes the 2026 macroeconomic environment as uncertain, due to inflation, elevated interest rates, shifts in U.S. trade policy and conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East 2. Tariffs were ruled unauthorized in part by a court, and the company is still monitoring cost and supply chain effects 2.

Trends

  • Industrial investment cyclemixed

    Demand for industrial equipment depends on customer investment and capacity use, so a recovery in investment could support sales of compressors and vacuum products 1. A slowdown would have the opposite effect 1.

  • Acquisitions and integrationmixed

    The company keeps using acquisitions for growth, and in 2026 it announced deals such as Fai Filtri and a U.S. blower manufacturer 3. These can add growth, but integration and valuation risks could reduce the expected benefits 1.

  • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs on steel, aluminum and imports have raised material costs, and their legal status remains uncertain 1. If tariffs stay high, costs and demand in some markets could be affected 2.

  • Life sciences demandtailwind

    Trends such as health investment and safety infrastructure in emerging economies can support demand for the precision and science segment 1. Order growth in this segment in the second quarter of 2026 partly reflects this direction 3.

Competitive position

In compressors, vacuum and blowers, principal competitors include Atlas Copco, Flowserve, IDEX Corporation, Kaeser Compressors, Kaishan Group and Elgi Equipments, in a fragmented market 1. In precision and science, competitors include Dover, Graco, IDEX, KNF Neuberger, Netzsch, NOV, Sartorius, SPX Flow, Thermo Fisher Scientific and Watson-Marlow 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 12 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ingersoll Rand Inc. · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ingersoll Rand Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ingersoll Rand Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.