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olivLaw · US equity research

Kenvue Inc. KVUE

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations · SIC 2844 · Vertical: Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations (SIC 2844)

19.31USD−1.28% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) is the world's largest pure-play consumer health company by revenue, with net sales of 15.1 billion USD in fiscal 2025. In the second quarter of 2026, net sales rose 3.0% and organic sales 1.6%. The company is in a pending merger with Kimberly-Clark, with closing expected in the fourth quarter of 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) stock was 19.31 USD (−1.28% on the day), with market capitalisation 37.1 bn USD, P/E 21.9 on diluted EPS of 0.88 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 5.40%, beta 0.16, 52-week range 14.37–19.88 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.9 bn USD (+3.2% YoY), net income of 430.0 m USD (+8.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.22 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
37.1 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.88 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.57%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.40%
DPS 12m 1.04
Beta (2y)
0.16
Volatility (1y) 24%
52-week range
14.3719.88

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
16.99 – 20.30
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.70 · band width 17.7%
SMA 50 / 200
18.41 / 18.19
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.40 / 0.31
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.3%−1.1%+10.4 pp—
3 months+0.4%−0.5%+0.8 pp—
6 months+10.8%+4.4%+6.4 pp—
Year to date+11.9%+12.3%−0.4 pp—
1 year+35.6%+13.5%+22.1 pp+4.5%
3 years+3.8%+76.4%−72.6 pp−14.8%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−13.3%
02 Jul 2026 → 02 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−48.7%
15 May 2023 → 16 Oct 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.9 bn USD
+3.2% YoY
Net income
430.0 m USD
+8.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.22
+4.8% YoY
net / operating
11.1% / 18.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.7 bn3.7 bn3.8 bn3.8 bn3.8 bn3.9 bn4.0 bn3.9 bn
Cost of revenue1.6 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn
Gross profit2.1 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.2 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn
Research & development106.0 m99.0 m91.0 m94.0 m98.0 m84.0 m94.0 m96.0 m
SG&A1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn
Operating income483.0 m558.0 m692.0 m629.0 m535.0 m767.0 m699.0 m706.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation150.0 m136.0 m142.0 m141.0 m138.0 m143.0 m145.0 m ≈143.0 m ≈
Interest expense108.0 m107.0 m107.0 m107.0 m109.0 m106.0 m103.0 m104.0 m
Pre-tax income346.0 m458.0 m588.0 m526.0 m427.0 m672.0 m598.0 m609.0 m
Income tax53.0 m136.0 m168.0 m128.0 m97.0 m198.0 m142.0 m179.0 m
Net income293.0 m322.0 m420.0 m398.0 m330.0 m474.0 m456.0 m430.0 m
Diluted EPS0.15 ≈0.170.220.210.17 ≈0.250.240.22
Operating cash flow793.0 m428.0 m621.0 m ≈294.0 m ≈854.0 m489.0 m688.0 m ≈700.0 m ≈
Capex132.0 m179.0 m88.0 m ≈98.0 m ≈110.0 m139.0 m64.0 m ≈80.0 m ≈
Dividends paid393.0 m392.0 m393.0 m ≈398.0 m ≈398.0 m398.0 m398.0 m ≈403.0 m ≈
Share repurchases121.0 m63.0 m64.0 m ≈70.0 m ≈000 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 25 percentile of its own 12-quarter history (min 20.2, median 25.7, max 42.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2022202320242025
Revenue15.1 bn15.4 bn15.5 bn15.1 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+2.6%+0.1%−2.1%
Net income2.1 bn1.7 bn1.0 bn1.5 bn
Net income YoYunavailable−19.9%−38.1%+42.7%
Diluted EPS1.210.900.540.76
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−25.6%−40.0%+40.7%
net %13.8%10.8%6.7%9.7%
Free cash flow39.0 m2.7 bn1.3 bn1.7 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
1.5 bn USD
Net debt
391.0 m USD
Equity
10.8 bn USD
Total assets
27.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.13x
Current ratio
0.96x
ROE
14.4%
ROA
5.6%
FCF margin
11.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
15.4 bn
2024
15.5 bn
2025
15.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.8 bn
2024
6.5 bn
2025
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
8.6 bn
2024
9.0 bn
2025
8.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
399.0 m
2024
408.0 m
2025
382.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
6.1 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
6.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
2.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
627.0 m
2024
622.0 m
2025
557.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
3.1 bn ≈
2024
2.5 bn ≈
2025
3.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
250.0 m
2024
431.0 m
2025
430.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
526.0 m
2024
385.0 m
2025
529.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.90
2024
0.54
2025
0.76

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.40
2024
0.81
2025
0.83

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
6.1 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
9.3 bn
2024
8.8 bn
2025
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
9.6 bn
2024
8.5 bn
2025
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
27.9 bn
2024
25.6 bn
2025
27.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
599.0 m
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
7.7 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2024verified

Current liabilities
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
16.6 bn
2024
15.9 bn
2025
16.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
11.2 bn †
2024
9.7 bn †
2025
10.8 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
3.2 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
469.0 m
2024
434.0 m
2025
475.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
2.7 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-488.0 m
2024
-425.0 m
2025
-436.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-2.5 bn
2024
-1.6 bn
2025
-1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
766.0 m
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
7.0 m
2024
235.0 m
2025
197.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
31.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
42.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-10.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
40.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
29.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
58.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
17.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
16.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
13.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
118.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
68.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
82.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
6.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
393.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
138.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
83.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
102 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
145 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
15 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
37.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
37.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
22.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
11.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
15.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 58 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

19.31 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 37.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
37.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
11.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROE
16.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 844derived 47

Score by group

  • Valuation55
  • Balance sheet75
  • Quality84
  • Growth1
  • Returns66

Estimated value range

Low
13.95
USD per share
Mid
17.38
USD per share
High
22.98
USD per share
Price: 19.31 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -10.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -11.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 10.84 – 42.27 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)16.63 – 25.43 (Mid 20.05)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 2.6 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -1.4%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA34.55 – 42.27 (Mid 37.68)
    4 companies used · median multiple 22.1x · quartiles 20.3x – 24.8x
    CL, COTY, ELF, EPC
  • Peers: P/E11.27 – 20.54 (Mid 14.71)
    5 companies used · median multiple 16.7x · quartiles 12.8x – 23.3x
    AXIL, CL, IPAR, ODD, UG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)10.84 – 14.58 (Mid 12.44)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations (SIC 2844)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 58/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality18.3%80 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality10.9%73 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality138.3%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.2%1 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-14.4%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.0x100 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet6.4x76 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x13 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.9x57 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation11.4x33 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation6.3%79 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.3%61 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns68.3%74 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet75/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth1/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality84/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Kenvue Inc. (KVUE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 15.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -2.1%; net margin 10.9%; ROE 16.3%; net debt/EBITDA 0.0x.

The estimated value range is 13.95–22.98 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 17.38 USD, the price of 19.31 USD leaves a potential of -10.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -11.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 58/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 18.3%
  • Net margin: 10.9%
  • FCF conversion: 138.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.0x
  • Interest coverage: 6.4x
  • FCF yield: 6.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 68.3%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.2%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -14.4%
  • Current ratio: 1.0x

Versus the vertical median

Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations (SIC 2844) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.9x
vertical median 23.3x
below median (−6.0%)
EV/EBITDA
11.4x
vertical median 22.1x
below median (−48.7%)
P/S
2.4x
vertical median 2.6x
below median (−7.1%)
P/B
3.7x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+33.0%)
ROE
16.3%
vertical median 6.0%
above median (+169.1%)
Net margin
10.9%
vertical median 2.4%
above median (+351.9%)
EBIT margin
17.4%
vertical median 6.9%
above median (+150.9%)
Revenue YoY
-2.1%
vertical median 3.8%
below median (−156.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.0x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−98.9%)
Dividend yield
5.4%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+152.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CLColgate-Palmolive Company78.5 bn38.7358.9%9.6%+1.4%+23% / +25%
KVUEKenvue Inc.37.1 bn21.916.3%10.9%−2.1%+36% / +4%
ELFe.l.f. Beauty, Inc.6.7 bn113.66.0%3.4%+24.6%+49% / −4%
IPARInterparfums, Inc.4.0 bn23.319.5%11.3%+2.5%+52% / −1%
COTYCoty Inc.3.1 bn—-18.5%-10.4%−1.5%+5% / −70%
EPCEdgewell Personal Care Company1.4 bn—-6.2%-4.2%−1.3%+66% / −15%
SLSNSolesence, Inc.64.6 m—-15.1%-3.8%+18.6%−60% / +22%
AXILAxil Brands, Inc.38.2 m16.723.3%9.3%+17.5%+10% / unavailable
UGUnited-Guardian, Inc.31.5 m12.821.4%22.0%−13.4%+18% / −16%
CABRCaring Brands, Inc.9.3 m—-3,889.1%-183,298.7%unavailable−13% / unavailable
BNKKBonk, Inc.9.3 m—-332.4%-2,330.4%+201.6%−82% / −99%
YCBDcbdMD, Inc.4.5 m—-40.3%-13.8%−1.5%−34% / −93%
HLNHaleon plc——10.2%15.1%−1.8%−6% / +8%
ODDOddity Tech Ltd—12.032.6%13.7%+25.2%−50% / −37%
YSGYatsen Holding Limited——-2.7%-1.9%+32.2%−67% / −49%
ELEstee Lauder Companies Inc—111.79.3%2.4%+5.0%+19% / −12%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KVUE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
10.89
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
19.29
Total return 4% · Per year 4%
29.11
Total return 56% · Per year 56%
3 years
9.66
Total return -40% · Per year -16%
19.35
Total return 14% · Per year 4%
32.19
Total return 84% · Per year 23%
5 years
8.58
Total return -40% · Per year -10%
19.41
Total return 23% · Per year 4%
35.59
Total return 115% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.84
  • Net margin± 3.39
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.90
  • Annual dilution± 0.28

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

In brief

Kenvue Inc. (KVUE) is the world's largest pure-play consumer health company by revenue, with net sales of 15.1 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026, net sales rose 3.0% and organic sales 1.6% 3. The company is in a pending merger with Kimberly-Clark, with closing expected in the fourth quarter of 2026 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of well-known brands backed by science and recommended by healthcare professionals 1.
  • Global scale and a wide distribution network across more than a hundred countries 1.
  • Free cash flow generation, supported by recent first-half 2026 results 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a few large brands, and the interim review of Skin Health and Beauty shows pressure on profitability 1.
  • Gross and operating margins declined year over year due to inflation and tariffs 3.
  • Significant indebtedness, with total debt remaining high in mid-2026 3.

Opportunities

  • Growth in eCommerce and the digital strategy could support expansion into new categories 3.
  • New product launches such as Tylenol® with Naproxen could open new over-the-counter pain care options 3.
  • Synergies from the Kimberly-Clark combination, if realized, could generate cost savings 1.

Threats

  • Regulatory actions and petitions on acetaminophen could reduce Tylenol® sales and invite litigation 1.
  • Trade tariffs and raw material pressures could erode margins if not offset 12.
  • Competition from private-label brands and niche producers could limit market share gains 1.

Risks

  • Kimberly-Clark mergerhigh

    Completion depends on foreign regulatory approvals and other conditions, and delay or failure could affect operations and the share price 12.

  • Acetaminophen and litigationhigh

    Regulatory developments and citizen petitions on acetaminophen could lead to lower sales and new lawsuits 1.

  • Tariffs and costsmedium

    Import tariffs and retaliatory trade measures could raise supply chain costs 1.

  • Goodwill impairmentmedium

    The interim review of Skin Health and Beauty showed a thin cushion over carrying value; further market deterioration could lead to an impairment 1.

  • Raw material volatilitymedium

    The Middle East conflict and other geopolitical events could create volatility in the cost and availability of inputs 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Organic growth for three consecutive quarters and results meeting or exceeding plans in the first half of 2026 could indicate renewed momentum 3.
  • A portfolio of well-known brands and recent launches could support market share in several categories 3.
  • If the Kimberly-Clark merger completes, the announced synergies could create value for shareholders 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Gross and operating margins fell from the prior year, and cost pressures could persist 3.
  • Litigation and regulatory risk around acetaminophen could affect a major brand 1.
  • Uncertainty around the merger and its closing conditions could delay or change expected outcomes 2.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Kimberly-Clark merger and foreign regulatory approvalsQ4 2026
  • Organic sales and margin trends in Skin Health and BeautyQ3 2026
  • Impact of tariffs and raw material costs on marginsnext 10-Q
  • Developments in acetaminophen litigation and regulation2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (30 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

The business

Kenvue aims to realize the extraordinary power of everyday care through three reportable segments, Self Care, Skin Health and Beauty, and Essential Health, with products marketed in more than 165 countries 1. Its portfolio includes Tylenol®, Zyrtec®, Neutrogena®, Aveeno®, BAND-AID® Brand and Listerine® 1. The company relies on in-house manufacturing that delivered about 60% of sales volume in fiscal 2025, with the rest supplied by third parties 1.

Market context

Recent organic growth points to stable demand in the company's categories, though macroeconomic uncertainty and the Middle East conflict could affect raw material and logistics costs 2.

Trends

  • Trade tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs imposed by the US government and retaliation by other countries could raise supply chain costs and affect consumers, if exposure is not offset by internal measures 1.

  • Digital and eCommercetailwind

    Digital strategy and eCommerce supported growth in the second quarter of 2026 across several segments, which could continue if the trend holds 3.

  • Inflation and conflictheadwind

    Volatility in raw material, logistics and transport costs linked to the Middle East conflict could weigh on margins if these pressures persist 2.

  • Operational efficiencymixed

    Productivity savings and optimization of the global supply chain have partly offset margin pressure, and the 2026 restructuring aims to reduce complexity 3.

Competitive position

The company names Haleon, Procter & Gamble and Reckitt Benckiser in Self Care, Beiersdorf, Estée Lauder and L’Oréal in Skin Health and Beauty, and Church & Dwight, Colgate-Palmolive and Kimberly-Clark in Essential Health 1. Private-label brands add pressure across all segments 1.

Competition includes both established companies and emerging niche brands that distribute through online or direct-to-consumer channels 1.

  • Haleon

    Competitor in Self Care and Essential Health, listed in London rather than the United States 1.

  • Procter & GamblePG

    Competitor across all three segments with similar consumer product categories 1.

  • L’Oréal

    Competitor in Skin Health and Beauty, particularly in skin and hair care 1.

  • Kimberly-ClarkKMB

    Merger partner and competitor in Essential Health 12.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Item 3.03 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Termination of a material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Delisting notice · Item 3.03 · Item 5.01 · Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report30 Oct 2026
  • Current report30 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report07 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / Kenvue Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / Kenvue Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Kenvue Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.