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olivLaw · US equity research

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. MKTX

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

165.61USD−0.04% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

MarketAxess operates electronic trading platforms for fixed-income securities, serving about 2,100 institutional and broker-dealer clients, with commissions making up most of its revenue. In 2026 the company is in a transition period, marked by a merger agreement with Intercontinental Exchange and growing volumes in block and portfolio trading.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) stock was 165.61 USD (−0.04% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.8 bn USD, P/E 19.5 on diluted EPS of 8.48 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.86%, beta -0.10, 52-week range 109.09–193.61 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 218.4 m USD (−0.5% YoY), net income of 68.1 m USD (−4.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.93 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.8 bn USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5
Diluted EPS TTM 8.48 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.12%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.86%
DPS 12m 3.08
Beta (2y)
-0.10
Volatility (1y) 36%
52-week range
109.09193.61

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
74.7
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
163.97 – 165.64
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.98 · band width 1.0%
SMA 50 / 200
163.93 / 155.30
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.70 / 0.76
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+1.0%−1.1%+2.1 pp—
3 months+2.0%−0.5%+2.4 pp—
6 months+11.3%+4.4%+6.9 pp—
Year to date−8.6%+12.3%−20.9 pp—
1 year+2.7%+13.5%−10.9 pp−16.4%
3 years−24.7%+76.4%−101.2 pp+64.7%
5 years−57.4%+63.7%−121.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.7%
03 Mar 2026 → 25 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.7%
15 Dec 2021 → 25 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−15.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
218.4 m USD
−0.5% YoY
Net income
68.1 m USD
−4.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.93
+1.0% YoY
net / operating
31.2% / 41.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue206.7 m202.4 m208.6 m219.5 m208.8 m209.4 m233.4 m218.4 m
Operating income87.1 m80.0 m88.4 m91.9 m85.6 m76.0 m100.9 m89.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation18.7 m18.5 m18.2 m19.2 m19.7 m19.6 m19.2 m19.3 m
Interest expense346.0 k318.0 k213.0 k139.0 k171.0 k964.0 k2.9 m1.9 m
Pre-tax income92.9 m84.6 m96.2 m97.4 m93.6 m79.8 m103.9 m89.8 m
Income tax21.4 m19.5 m81.1 m26.2 m25.4 m-12.6 m25.8 m21.4 m
Net income71.5 m65.1 m15.1 m71.1 m68.2 m92.2 m77.9 m68.1 m
Diluted EPS1.901.73 ≈0.401.911.842.51 ≈2.201.93
Operating cash flow95.1 m ≈176.2 m29.6 m103.7 m ≈90.2 m ≈158.6 m-75.3 m26.8 m ≈
Capex835.0 k ≈215.0 k1.9 m1.2 m ≈1.5 m ≈3.6 m259.0 k649.0 k ≈
Dividends paid27.7 m ≈27.7 m29.5 m28.2 m ≈29.4 m ≈28.0 m28.4 m27.5 m ≈
Share repurchases15.0 m ≈16.8 m38.1 m36.7 m ≈45.3 m ≈300.0 m00 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 5 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 13.4, median 47.4, max 72.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue435.6 m511.4 m689.1 m699.0 m718.3 m752.5 m817.1 m846.3 m
Revenue YoY+9.6%+17.4%+34.8%+1.4%+2.8%+4.8%+8.6%+3.6%
Net income172.9 m204.9 m299.4 m257.9 m250.2 m258.1 m274.2 m246.6 m
Net income YoY+16.7%+18.5%+46.1%−13.9%−3.0%+3.1%+6.2%−10.0%
Diluted EPS4.575.407.856.776.656.857.286.64
Diluted EPS YoY+17.5%+18.2%+45.4%−13.8%−1.8%+3.0%+6.3%−8.8%
net %39.7%40.1%43.4%36.9%34.8%34.3%33.6%29.1%
Free cash flow188.0 m253.6 m389.5 m264.6 m276.1 m324.4 m375.3 m373.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
519.7 m USD
Financial debt
220.0 m USD
Net debt
-299.7 m USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
1.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.19x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
19.5%
ROA
13.2%
FCF margin
44.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
752.5 m
2024
817.1 m
2025
846.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
315.0 m
2024
340.9 m
2025
341.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
70.6 m
2024
73.8 m
2025
76.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
385.6 m ≈
2024
414.7 m ≈
2025
418.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
2.0 m
2024
1.6 m
2025
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
332.7 m
2024
360.5 m
2025
367.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
74.6 m
2024
86.4 m
2025
120.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
258.1 m
2024
274.2 m
2025
246.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.85
2024
7.28
2025
6.64

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
37.7 m
2024
37.7 m
2025
37.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.88
2024
2.96
2025
3.04

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
451.3 m
2024
544.5 m
2025
519.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
102.7 m
2024
107.3 m
2025
112.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
236.7 m
2024
236.7 m
2025
283.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
119.1 m
2024
98.1 m
2025
110.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
220.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
722.1 m
2024
400.6 m
2025
776.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.3 bn †
2024
1.4 bn †
2025
1.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
333.8 m
2024
385.2 m
2025
382.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
9.3 m
2024
9.9 m
2025
8.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
324.4 m ≈
2024
375.3 m ≈
2025
373.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-155.3 m
2024
-86.9 m
2025
-96.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-147.1 m
2024
-201.4 m
2025
-332.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
109.7 m
2024
112.7 m
2025
115.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
75.5 m
2025
420.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-10.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
49.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
40.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
35.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
22.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
26.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
36.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
58.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-129.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
59.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
200.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
6.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
194.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
63.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
46.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
6.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
16.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
30.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

165.61 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
35.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 1995derived 190

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth23
  • Quality53
  • Returns95
  • Valuation29

Estimated value range

Low
84.66
USD per share
Mid
110.51
USD per share
High
140.75
USD per share
Price: 165.61 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -33.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -49.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 39.95 – 206.53 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)80.66 – 121.14 (Mid 96.41)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 199.2 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 32.6%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA92.06 – 206.53 (Mid 176.63)
    3 companies used · median multiple 14.1x · quartiles 7.2x – 16.6x
    BLK, COHN, MIAX
  • Peers: P/E88.65 – 160.35 (Mid 124.60)
    17 companies used · median multiple 14.7x · quartiles 10.4x – 18.9x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, IBKR, JEF, MIAX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, SF, TIGR, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)39.95 – 53.72 (Mid 45.82)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality26.6%40 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality35.2%81 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality63.4%48 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth5.6%47 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet59.9x100 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation19.5x32 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.2x16 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation3.3%42 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.9%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns58.4%88 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth23/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns95/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation29/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INC (MKTX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 846.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.6%; net margin 35.2%; ROE 23.3%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 84.66–140.75 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 110.51 USD, the price of 165.61 USD leaves a potential of -33.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -49.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 35.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.3x
  • Interest coverage: 59.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 58.4%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -0.1%
  • EV/EBITDA: 13.2x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Current ratio.

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.5x
vertical median 15.6x
above median (+25.4%)
EV/EBITDA
13.2x
vertical median 16.6x
below median (−20.2%)
P/S
6.7x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+258.6%)
P/B
4.7x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+198.0%)
ROE
23.3%
vertical median 18.0%
above median (+30.0%)
Net margin
35.2%
vertical median 13.4%
above median (+163.2%)
EBIT margin
40.5%
vertical median 16.5%
above median (+145.8%)
Revenue YoY
3.6%
vertical median 19.6%
below median (−81.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median -1.8x
above median
Dividend yield
1.9%
vertical median 1.9%
at median

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley304.6 bn15.618.0%—unavailable+14% / +144%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.189.7 bn28.112.2%24.2%+89.3%+17% / +63%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp161.5 bn16.820.3%38.8%+22.0%+1% / +52%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.32.4 bn14.718.5%13.6%+6.6%+8% / +60%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+3% / −25%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn5.216.5%14.6%+6.7%−10% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Holdings, Inc.1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.—8.733.6%13.5%+26.2%+48% / +195%
NMRNomura America Finance, LLC————+12.7%+29% / +138%
ETOReToro Group Ltd.—10.41.4%1.6%+9.5%−43% / unavailable
OPYOppenheimer Holdings Inc.—12.49.1%4.9%+14.4%+35% / +131%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MKTX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
101.58
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
179.49
Total return 10% · Per year 10%
270.24
Total return 66% · Per year 66%
3 years
100.81
Total return -35% · Per year -13%
200.23
Total return 27% · Per year 8%
330.67
Total return 108% · Per year 28%
5 years
100.05
Total return -32% · Per year -7%
223.35
Total return 46% · Per year 8%
404.61
Total return 159% · Per year 21%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 50.06
  • Net margin± 35.04
  • Annual revenue growth± 28.46
  • Annual dilution± 2.94

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

MarketAxess operates electronic trading platforms for fixed-income securities, serving about 2,100 institutional and broker-dealer clients, with commissions making up most of its revenue. In 2026 the company is in a transition period, marked by a merger agreement with Intercontinental Exchange and growing volumes in block and portfolio trading 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad client network and Open Trading liquidity create strong network effects that support attracting new participants 1.
  • Revenue is dominated by commissions, and the company keeps its own technology infrastructure, including the CP+ pricing engine 1.
  • The company has available borrowing capacity and considerable liquidity, which allow it to fund its capital plans 23.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends heavily on trading volumes, which can fall in periods of low volatility 1.
  • Portfolio trades carry lower fees, and the average credit fee per million has declined in recent quarters 3.
  • The company incurred notable merger costs in 2026, which weigh on its reported operating margin 3.

Opportunities

  • Bonds remain largely not traded electronically, and rising block trading could open new revenue 13.
  • Expansion into emerging markets, eurobonds and government bonds could diversify revenue sources 1.
  • Selling data and analytics to third parties could raise service revenue if partnerships expand 13.

Threats

  • Rival platforms may offer portfolio and matching protocols that reduce the company's market share 12.
  • Regulatory change, including the Treasury central clearing mandate, could alter trading flows 1.
  • A data breach or cyber attack could disrupt the platforms and harm the company's reputation 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on market volumeshigh

    Declines in bond market or platform volumes would directly reduce commissions, which make up most revenue 1.

  • Loss of institutional clientshigh

    Losing major institutional clients could reduce revenue and volumes, and brokers may use their own or third-party platforms 1.

  • Pressure on transaction feesmedium

    Growth in portfolio and block trades, which carry lower fees, could reduce revenue per transaction 23.

  • Merger-related risksmedium

    The transaction with Intercontinental Exchange is still pending, and the costs and uncertainties of completion could affect results 3.

  • Cybersecurity and technology risksmedium

    System failures or cyber attacks could interrupt the platforms and lead to regulatory penalties 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the shift from voice to electronic bond trading continues, the company could benefit from higher volumes on its platforms 1.
  • Growth in block and portfolio volumes, combined with rising services revenue, could support a recovery in margins 3.
  • An extensive international client network and Open Trading could strengthen the company's position against competitors 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If trading volumes fall or the fee per million keeps declining, commission revenue could stagnate or shrink 23.
  • Competitors offering portfolio protocols could reduce the company's market share 1.
  • Merger costs and technology spending could weigh on margins in the coming period 3.

What to watch

  • Completion of the merger with Intercontinental Exchange and its effect on operations2026
  • Trend in the average variable fee per million for total creditQ4 2026
  • Volume growth in block and portfolio trading channelsQ4 2026
  • Implementation of the SEC Treasury central clearing mandate31 December 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. operates electronic trading platforms for the fixed-income market and gives institutional investors and broker-dealers access to a global liquidity network. Its central product is Open Trading, an all-to-all marketplace that connects participants in an anonymous liquidity pool 1. The company adds information, post-trade and technology services, and in 2025, 86.8% of revenue came from commissions on transactions executed on its platforms 1.

The X-Pro platform and the AI-driven CP+ pricing engine combine several trading protocols, automation tools and market data in one interface 1. The company extended its activity through the acquisition of Pragma, which brought algorithmic solutions for equities and foreign exchange, and through a majority stake in RFQ-hub, a request-for-quote platform for ETFs and derivatives 1.

The company states that in 2025 more than 32% of revenue came from international clients, and that its clients are based in about 90 countries 1. According to the latest quarterly release, in the third quarter of 2026 revenue rose slightly, and the company reported controlled expenses and merger costs linked to the agreement with Intercontinental Exchange 3.

Market context

As of 30 September 2025, the U.S. corporate bond market had about 11.5 trillion USD in principal outstanding, and the U.S. government bond market exceeded 30 trillion USD 1. Electronic trading of bonds remains far lower than in other asset classes, which leaves room for growth 1.

In the first six months of 2026, estimated volumes in most of the company's key markets rose year on year, partly because of event-driven volatility and elevated primary issuance 2. High-yield and municipal volumes grew, while the fee per million declined 3.

Trends

  • Shift from voice to electronic tradingtailwind

    Bonds remain less electronified than other asset classes, and the company is positioned to capture volumes moving to electronic platforms 1. If this transition continues, it could support volume growth on the company's platform.

  • Growth of portfolio trades with lower feesheadwind

    Demand for portfolio workflows has increased and can lower the average variable fee per million, which could weigh on revenue even as volumes grow 12.

  • Central clearing rules for Treasury securitiesmixed

    The SEC mandate on central clearing of certain Treasury transactions could change where clients clear trades, and its full effect on liquidity is still uncertain 1.

  • International and emerging market growthtailwind

    Growth in emerging markets and eurobonds supports geographic diversification, although these segments can carry different pricing conditions 13.

Competitive position

Competition includes direct bilateral trading between brokers and clients by telephone or electronic messaging, as well as other multi-dealer or all-to-all platforms 2. Competitors include companies in which some of the company's broker-dealer clients have invested, which may create conflicts of interest 1.

The company differentiates itself through its client network, dealer liquidity, total transaction costs and platform quality 2. Portfolio protocols and matching sessions offered by rival platforms could reduce its market share 1.

  • Other multi-dealer electronic platforms

    Platforms offering matching sessions and portfolio trading, which dealer clients increasingly use according to the company's filings.

  • All-to-all platforms

    Rivals developing or acquiring electronic trading platforms, in some cases with participation from broker-dealer clients.

  • Bilateral telephone and messaging trading

    The traditional main form of competition, which the company still regards as its principal rival where it holds a leading position.

  • Bond pricing and information providers

    Data and pricing providers that could compete with the company's analytics products; the sources do not name them.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 11 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / MarketAxess Holdings Inc. · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / MarketAxess Holdings Inc. · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / MarketAxess Holdings Inc. · 23 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.