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olivLaw · US equity research

ResMed Inc. RMD

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

240.51USD+5.91% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

ResMed is a global leader in digital health and cloud-connected medical devices focused on sleep apnea and home respiratory care. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached 5.7 billion USD, up 10%, with GAAP gross margin of 61.1%. The company agreed to sell its MatrixCare business for 490 million USD to concentrate investment on sleep and breathing health.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, ResMed Inc. (RMD) stock was 240.51 USD (+5.91% on the day), with market capitalisation 33.8 bn USD, P/E 21.9 on diluted EPS of 10.98 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.02%, beta 0.61, 52-week range 182.82–275.96 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 1.4 bn USD (+5.9% YoY), net income of 418.4 m USD (+20.0% YoY), diluted EPS 2.92 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
33.8 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.9
Diluted EPS TTM 10.98 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.57%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.02%
DPS 12m 2.46
Beta (2y)
0.61
Volatility (1y) 31%
52-week range
182.82275.96

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.7
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
222.87 – 258.91
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.49 · band width 15.0%
SMA 50 / 200
231.79 / 224.53
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.50 / 4.50
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.9%−1.1%+9.0 pp—
3 months+7.4%−0.5%+7.8 pp—
6 months+14.7%+4.4%+10.3 pp—
Year to date−0.1%+12.3%−12.5 pp—
1 year−2.4%+13.5%−15.9 pp+24.9%
3 years+57.4%+76.4%−19.0 pp+13.6%
5 years−7.7%+63.7%−71.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.8%
09 Feb 2026 → 02 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−49.8%
08 Dec 2021 → 27 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−1.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.4 bn USD
+5.9% YoY
Net income
418.4 m USD
+20.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.92
+23.2% YoY
net / operating
29.6% / 32.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn
Cost of revenue530.8 m525.3 m527.9 m517.9 m544.1 m540.4 m602.4 m544.2 m
Gross profit751.3 m766.4 m820.1 m817.7 m878.7 m891.0 m861.2 m870.6 m
Research & development81.4 m83.9 m86.4 m89.5 m91.0 m94.3 m105.7 m102.9 m
SG&A241.6 m245.3 m267.2 m281.6 m278.4 m285.7 m296.3 m314.7 m
Operating income417.2 m426.3 m454.5 m446.5 m491.7 m499.8 m448.7 m453.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation46.4 m43.7 m63.6 m47.7 m49.9 m59.0 m44.8 m41.7 m
Interest expense———7.1 m———4.8 m
Pre-tax income418.3 m417.7 m458.1 m446.8 m496.1 m502.3 m474.2 m539.2 m
Income tax73.7 m52.7 m78.3 m98.3 m103.6 m103.6 m90.7 m120.7 m
Net income344.6 m365.0 m379.7 m348.5 m392.6 m398.7 m383.4 m418.4 m
Diluted EPS2.342.482.58 ≈2.372.682.742.64 ≈2.92
Operating cash flow308.6 m ≈578.7 m ≈538.8 m457.3 m339.7 m ≈554.1 m ≈454.6 m422.4 m
Capex20.6 m ≈20.8 m ≈30.6 m43.0 m28.5 m ≈33.7 m ≈51.1 m48.7 m
Dividends paid77.7 m ≈77.7 m ≈77.6 m87.8 m87.6 m ≈87.2 m ≈87.1 m95.0 m
Share repurchases75.0 m ≈75.0 m ≈100.0 m150.0 m175.0 m ≈175.0 m ≈200.0 m936.4 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 9 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 18.7, median 34.8, max 77.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue2.6 bn3.0 bn3.2 bn3.6 bn4.2 bn4.7 bn5.1 bn5.7 bn
Revenue YoY+11.4%+13.4%+8.1%+11.9%+18.0%+10.9%+9.8%+9.9%
Net income404.6 m621.7 m474.5 m779.4 m897.6 m1.0 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn
Net income YoY+28.2%+53.7%−23.7%+64.3%+15.2%+13.7%+37.2%+8.8%
Diluted EPS2.804.273.245.306.096.929.5110.43
Diluted EPS YoY+27.9%+52.5%−24.1%+63.6%+14.9%+13.6%+37.4%+9.7%
net %15.5%21.0%14.8%21.8%21.3%21.8%27.2%26.9%
Free cash flow390.3 m706.9 m634.0 m216.3 m573.6 m1.3 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
1.5 bn USD
Financial debt
659.4 m USD
Net debt
-809.9 m USD
Equity
6.6 bn USD
Total assets
9.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.10x
Current ratio
3.10x
ROE
24.3%
ROA
17.8%
FCF margin
29.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
4.7 bn
2025
5.1 bn
2026
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.1 bn
2026
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Research & development
2024
307.5 m
2025
331.3 m
2026
378.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
917.1 m
2025
993.1 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
176.9 m
2025
198.5 m
2026
201.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.9 bn ≈
2026
2.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Aug 2021verified

Pre-tax income
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
243.8 m
2025
276.8 m
2026
396.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
6.92
2025
9.51
2026
10.43

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
147.6 m
2025
147.3 m
2026
146.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
1.92
2025
2.12
2026
2.40

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
238.4 m
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
837.3 m
2025
939.5 m
2026
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
822.3 m
2025
927.7 m
2026
945.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
2.4 bn
2025
3.5 bn
2026
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
548.0 m
2025
550.8 m
2026
581.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.0 bn
2026
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
485.9 m
2025
464.9 m
2026
452.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
6.9 bn
2025
8.2 bn
2026
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
237.7 m
2025
278.2 m
2026
308.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
9.9 m
2025
9.9 m
2026
260.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
697.3 m
2025
658.4 m
2026
399.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
910.7 m
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.2 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
4.9 bn †
2025
6.0 bn †
2026
6.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
99.5 m
2025
89.9 m
2026
156.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.7 bn ≈
2026
1.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-269.8 m
2025
-200.0 m
2026
-545.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-606.3 m
2026
-1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
282.3 m
2025
310.9 m
2026
349.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
150.0 m
2025
300.0 m
2026
700.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
11.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
19.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
26.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
26.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
61.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
36.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
33.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
28.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
26.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
19.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
27.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
27.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
22.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
22.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-601.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
162.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
101.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
84.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
161 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
173 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
33.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
33.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
17.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
5.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
21.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 85 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

240.51 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 33.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
33.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
26.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2947derived 263

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth93
  • Quality91
  • Returns87
  • Valuation68

Estimated value range

Low
265.70
USD per share
Mid
314.41
USD per share
High
337.63
USD per share
Price: 240.51 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 30.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 23.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 213.99 – 397.25 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA213.99 – 278.01 (Mid 246.24)
    4 companies used · median multiple 16.3x · quartiles 14.1x – 18.4x
    BDX, BSX, MMM, SYK
  • Peers: P/E317.41 – 397.25 (Mid 382.57)
    5 companies used · median multiple 34.8x · quartiles 28.9x – 36.2x
    BSX, DXCM, MMM, SYK, WST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate31.54 – 42.41 (Mid 36.18)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 85/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality27.9%80 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality27.8%100 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality101.0%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.2%85 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth19.6%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x100 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.6x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.9x83 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation15.9x60 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation4.8%59 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.4%78 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns22.2%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth93/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality91/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns87/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation68/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

ResMed Inc. (RMD). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.7 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 9.9%; net margin 27.8%; ROE 26.4%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 265.70–337.63 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 314.41 USD, the price of 240.51 USD leaves a potential of 30.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 23.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 85/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 27.9%
  • Net margin: 27.8%
  • FCF conversion: 101.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 10.2%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 19.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.3x
  • Current ratio: 2.6x
  • P/E (TTM): 21.9x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.4%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 22.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 4.6 bn and 292.0 bn (within 8× of the company's); 107 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.9x
vertical median 35.5x
below median (−38.3%)
EV/EBITDA
15.9x
vertical median 17.9x
below median (−11.2%)
P/S
5.9x
vertical median 4.4x
above median (+32.8%)
P/B
5.7x
vertical median 7.6x
below median (−24.7%)
ROE
26.4%
vertical median 18.6%
above median (+41.8%)
Net margin
27.8%
vertical median 15.3%
above median (+81.7%)
EBIT margin
33.0%
vertical median 19.7%
above median (+67.6%)
Revenue YoY
9.9%
vertical median 9.7%
at median
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−117.5%)
Dividend yield
1.0%
vertical median 1.3%
below median (−21.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp129.3 bn36.216.0%13.8%+11.2%−8% / +15%
MMM3m Company100.2 bn28.980.8%14.0%+1.5%+13% / +134%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation66.4 bn19.414.3%16.6%+19.9%−55% / −18%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company57.0 bn63.23.8%4.0%+8.2%+37% / +13%
RMDResMed Inc.33.8 bn21.926.4%27.8%+9.9%−2% / +57%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.33.0 bn34.837.7%19.4%+15.6%+39% / −23%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.5 bn45.921.2%18.8%+6.3%+47% / +17%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RMD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
155.04
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
273.38
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
410.81
Total return 72% · Per year 72%
3 years
168.24
Total return -27% · Per year -10%
332.07
Total return 42% · Per year 12%
545.31
Total return 132% · Per year 32%
5 years
182.56
Total return -19% · Per year -4%
403.36
Total return 75% · Per year 12%
723.84
Total return 210% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 83.02
  • Net margin± 58.11
  • Annual revenue growth± 45.23
  • Annual dilution± 4.88

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

ResMed is a global leader in digital health and cloud-connected medical devices focused on sleep apnea and home respiratory care. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached 5.7 billion USD, up 10% 12, with GAAP gross margin of 61.1% 2. The company agreed to sell its MatrixCare business for 490 million USD 1 to concentrate investment on sleep and breathing health.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading position in sleep apnea therapy and high gross margins supported by manufacturing and logistics efficiencies 12.
  • Solid cash generation that funds innovation and capital returns to shareholders 2.
  • International distribution network covering a large number of countries 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a concentrated product range and on components supplied by third parties 1.
  • High research and selling costs that could limit margins during periods of price pressure 1.
  • Exposure to FDA regulation and recall risk, as seen in a safety notification for Astral devices 2.

Opportunities

  • Home diagnostics integrated with therapy could widen the addressable market 1.
  • The Noctrix acquisition opens a new clinical area in sleep health 12.
  • Management software and AI features could grow recurring revenue in residential care 1.

Threats

  • New drugs for sleep apnea or obesity could reduce demand for CPAP therapy 1.
  • Buyer consolidation and reimbursement pressure could reduce selling prices 1.
  • Trade tariffs and currency fluctuations could affect margins 1.

Risks

  • Technological competitionhigh

    Development of new devices or pharmaceutical treatments could make current products less competitive 1.

  • Regulation and recallshigh

    Compliance problems or a new safety notice could create costs and sales restrictions 12.

  • Data securitymedium

    A cybersecurity incident could harm reputation and create legal liability 1.

  • Pricing pressuremedium

    Buyer consolidation and reimbursement reforms could reduce selling prices 1.

  • Currency and trade risklow

    Currency movements and tariffs could affect operating results 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Demand for devices and masks grew steadily and margins improved, which points to solid profitability 2.
  • Cash generation supports capital returns to shareholders and innovation, including a dividend increase 2.
  • A focus on sleep and breathing health after the MatrixCare sale could sharpen strategic clarity 1.

What would break the thesis

  • New drugs and therapy alternatives could reduce long-term demand for CPAP devices 1.
  • Safety and regulatory issues, such as the Astral safety notification, could create extra costs 2.
  • Pressure from consolidated buyers could limit margin expansion 1.

What to watch

  • Closing of the MatrixCare saleQ1 2027
  • Delivery of the planned capital return guidance2027
  • Gross margin trend after the Astral safety noticenext 10-K
  • Revenue impact of the Noctrix acquisition2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

ResMed designs devices and software for treating obstructive sleep apnea, starting from CPAP therapy commercialized after its 1989 formation 1. The company runs two segments: Sleep and Breathing Health and Residential Care Software 1. In June 2026 it acquired Noctrix Health, which treats restless legs syndrome 12.

Its respiratory business includes ventilators, high flow systems and accessories, mostly used in the home 1. Through the VirtuOx acquisition it also offers home-based diagnostic services for sleep and breathing in the U.S. 1. The company has about 11,370 employees and sells in more than 140 countries 1.

Software platforms Brightree, MEDIFOX DAN and MatrixCare serve residential care providers, and MatrixCare is being sold 1. Management has indicated that new product launches and digital capabilities remain priorities for fiscal 2027 2.

Segments

Residential Care Software

The segment had revenue of about 676 million USD in fiscal 2026, up 5% 1. Growth was driven by MEDIFOX DAN and the Home and Hospice verticals, partly offset by Senior Living 1.

Market context

COPD, a chronic respiratory disease, was estimated to affect about 480 million people worldwide in a 2022 study 1. Shifting treatment to the home could reduce healthcare costs for patients with severe conditions 1.

Trends

  • GLP-1 pharmaceutical therapiesheadwind

    GLP-1 drugs could reduce the severity of sleep apnea, which could affect demand for devices 1.

  • Digitalization and AImixed

    Adoption of AI in medical software could open new opportunities but requires significant investment in research and compliance 1.

  • Consolidation of healthcare buyersheadwind

    Consolidation among HME providers and payors could increase pressure on prices 1.

  • Growth of care at hometailwind

    Rising interest in home care supports demand for connected devices and remote diagnostics 12.

Competitive position

Main rivals include companies with greater research and marketing resources, and Philips operates in the U.S. under a consent decree after a product recall 1. The restrictions on Philips have created room for smaller companies 1.

New entrants in digital health and pharmaceutical companies could compete with ResMed products 1. In software, barriers to entry are low 1.

  • Philips

    Operates in the U.S. under a consent decree after a product recall, which opened room for other competitors 1.

  • Pharmaceutical therapy providers

    New drug treatments could reduce demand for CPAP devices 1.

  • Residential care software providers

    The software market is fragmented, with rapidly evolving products and low barriers to entry 1.

  • New digital health entrants

    New companies could compete with digital health models 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / ResMed Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / ResMed Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.