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olivLaw · US equity research

Scorpio Tankers Inc. STNG

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight · SIC 4412 · Vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

85.05USD−2.62% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Scorpio Tankers carries crude oil and refined petroleum products by sea with a fleet of ninety vessels whose weighted average age is about ten years. The company matters now because much of its fleet is exposed to spot markets and to disruptions from the conflict in Iran, which makes its earnings volatile.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG) stock was 85.05 USD (−2.62% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.4 bn USD, P/E 12.1 on diluted EPS of 7.03 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.87%, beta 0.35, 52-week range 49.51–95.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.4 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
12.1
Diluted EPS TTM 7.03 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
8.27%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.87%
DPS 12m 1.59
Beta (2y)
0.35
Volatility (1y) 38%
52-week range
49.5195.07

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
48.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
78.83 – 93.24
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.43 · band width 16.7%
SMA 50 / 200
84.22 / 77.46
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.15 / 1.10
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.6%−1.1%−0.5 pp—
3 months+14.9%−0.5%+15.3 pp—
6 months+3.0%+4.4%−1.4 pp—
Year to date+67.3%+12.3%+55.0 pp—
1 year+40.0%+13.5%+26.5 pp+30.6%
3 years+45.3%+76.4%−31.2 pp+34.6%
5 years+408.7%+63.7%+345.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−23.3%
10 Nov 2025 → 05 Jan 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−61.9%
27 Jun 2024 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+38.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 5-quarter history (min 3.8, median 6.1, max 7.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue585.0 m704.3 m915.9 m540.8 m1.6 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn938.2 m
Revenue YoY+14.1%+20.4%+30.0%−41.0%+189.0%−14.2%−7.3%−24.6%
Net income-190.1 m-48.5 m94.1 m-234.4 m637.3 m546.9 m668.8 m344.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−349.1%unavailable−14.2%+22.3%−48.5%
Diluted EPS-5.46-0.971.67-4.2810.3410.0313.157.03
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−356.3%unavailable−3.0%+31.1%−46.5%
net %-32.5%-6.9%10.3%-43.4%40.8%40.8%53.8%36.7%
Free cash flow31.7 m206.5 m419.4 m73.3 munavailableunavailableunavailable-81.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
752.0 m USD
Financial debt
600.1 m USD
Net debt
-151.9 m USD
Equity
3.2 bn USD
Total assets
3.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.19x
Current ratio
9.33x
ROE
11.4%
ROA
8.9%
FCF margin
-8.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
938.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
705.2 m
2024
764.6 m
2025
355.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
183.2 m
2024
109.5 m
2025
80.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
546.9 m
2024
668.8 m
2025
344.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
10.03
2024
13.15
2025
7.03

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
54.5 m
2024
50.9 m
2025
48.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.09
2024
1.67
2025
1.59

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
355.6 m
2024
332.6 m
2025
752.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
203.5 m
2024
150.2 m
2025
180.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
7.8 m
2024
10.2 m
2025
11.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
577.1 m
2024
576.3 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
8.2 m
2024
8.2 m
2025
8.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.2 bn
2024
3.8 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
10.0 m
2024
32.2 m
2025
34.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
221.0 m
2024
122.8 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
939.2 m
2024
665.9 m
2025
600.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
510.4 m
2024
237.2 m
2025
118.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
967.8 m
2025
718.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
53.1 m
2024
49.9 m
2025
51.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
865.5 m
2024
825.2 m
2025
491.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
572.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
-81.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
43.6 m
2024
308.0 m
2025
272.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-930.4 m
2024
-1.2 bn
2025
-344.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
57.7 m
2024
83.5 m
2025
82.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
489.7 m
2024
335.6 m
2025
309.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-53.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-48.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-18.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
29.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-46.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
33.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
37.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
36.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
11.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
22.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
-151.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
4.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
9.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
9.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
6.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
491.2 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
572.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-81.4 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
-23.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
64 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
12.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
12.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
4.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
12.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
4.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 31 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

85.05 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
12.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
11.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
36.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

28/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 20 Mar 2026
verified 293derived 9

Score by group

  • Balance sheet67
  • Valuation22
  • Quality45
  • Growth0
  • Returns27

Estimated value range

Low
26.36
USD per share
Mid
55.83
USD per share
High
98.26
USD per share
Price: 85.05 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -34.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -52.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 26.36 – 98.26 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E26.36 – 98.26 (Mid 55.83)
    28 companies used · median multiple 7.9x · quartiles 3.7x – 14.0x
    ASC, CCEC, CISS, CMBT, CMRE, CTRM, DHT, DSX, ECO, EHLD, ESEA, FRO, GASS, GNK, GSL, IMPP, LPG, NMM, NVGS, PANL, PSHG, PXS, SHIP, TEN, TK, TOPS, TRMD, ZIM
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate20.95 – 28.17 (Mid 24.03)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 31/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.4%54 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality36.7%76 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality-23.6%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-15.6%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-12.1%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet4.4x45 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet9.3x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation12.1x40 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-1.8%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet67/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality45/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial27/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation22/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 938.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -24.6%; net margin 36.7%; ROE 11.4%.

The estimated value range is 26.36–98.26 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 55.83 USD, the price of 85.05 USD leaves a potential of -34.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -52.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 31/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 36.7%
  • Current ratio: 9.3x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -23.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -15.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -12.1%
  • FCF yield: -1.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
12.1x
vertical median 9.3x
above median (+29.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.3x
P/S
4.7x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+157.1%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+27.0%)
ROE
11.4%
vertical median 9.1%
above median (+24.2%)
Net margin
36.7%
vertical median 16.3%
above median (+125.5%)
EBIT margin
37.9%
vertical median 27.0%
above median (+40.2%)
Revenue YoY
-24.6%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.6x
Dividend yield
1.9%
vertical median 2.4%
below median (−21.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FROFrontline plc10.8 bn28.515.6%19.2%−8.8%+106% / +144%
CMBTCmb.tech NV5.4 bn3.849.1%92.6%−23.9%+56% / −5%
STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.4.4 bn12.111.4%36.7%−24.6%+40% / +45%
TRMDTORM plc3.8 bn13.213.3%21.3%−14.1%+76% / +33%
DHTDht Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn16.819.4%42.4%−12.8%+69% / +121%
ZIMZim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.3.4 bn7.111.9%6.9%−18.1%+39% / +306%
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.3.1 bn37.33.4%8.1%−17.6%+37% / +28%
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.3.0 bn22.525.0%31.4%−0.4%+130% / +252%
NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.2.5 bn8.6—21.2%+0.8%+57% / +232%
LPGDorian Lpg Ltd.2.1 bn6.528.3%55.0%+36.3%+99% / +17%
SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.1.7 bn—-2.5%-3.6%−18.9%+42% / +3%
CMRECostamare Inc.1.6 bn4.615.9%41.5%−1.2%−14% / +30%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.1.4 bn3.525.5%54.3%+7.8%+14% / +118%
TENTsakos Energy Navigation Limited1.4 bn10.59.1%20.1%−0.7%+91% / +132%
NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd1.3 bn13.98.2%17.1%+3.6%+14% / +40%
CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.1.2 bn7.312.0%—+62.0%+2% / +57%
TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.1.2 bn11.94.8%10.3%−22.2%+38% / +95%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Limited1.1 bn13.98.9%15.5%−19.1%+31% / +59%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.987.8 m14.37.8%13.4%−5.6%+37% / +98%
ASCArdmore Shipping Corp752.3 m21.06.6%13.2%−23.6%+51% / +36%
HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.719.3 m40.611.2%13.4%+6.7%+72% / +157%
PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.491.7 m10.111.0%6.7%+17.8%+7% / +7%
ESEAEuroseas Ltd.459.1 m3.333.1%60.1%+7.0%+8% / +172%
GASSStealthgas Inc.308.3 m5.19.2%35.0%+3.5%+21% / +24%
DSXDiana Shipping Inc.276.7 m21.73.5%8.3%−6.4%+21% / −30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for STNG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
43.02
Total return -48% · Per year -48%
76.45
Total return -8% · Per year -8%
115.67
Total return 38% · Per year 38%
3 years
34.16
Total return -56% · Per year -24%
68.99
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
115.67
Total return 42% · Per year 12%
5 years
27.13
Total return -63% · Per year -18%
62.27
Total return -19% · Per year -4%
115.67
Total return 46% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 17.25
  • Net margin± 12.07
  • Annual revenue growth± 10.90
  • Annual dilution± 1.01

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (19 Oct 2026), 6-K (07 Oct 2026), 6-K (30 Sept 2026), 6-K (03 Sept 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026).

In brief

Scorpio Tankers carries crude oil and refined petroleum products by sea with a fleet of ninety vessels whose weighted average age is about ten years. The company matters now because much of its fleet is exposed to spot markets and to disruptions from the conflict in Iran, which makes its earnings volatile.1

SWOT

Strengths

  • A relatively young fleet across LR2, MR and Handymax classes, with a large share employed in scaled commercial pools.
  • A mix of long-term charters and spot exposure lets the company capture upside while limiting part of the downside.
  • Management through affiliated entities gives access to pools and an extensive operating network.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on the spot market and spot-oriented pools exposes revenue to rapid declines in rates.
  • Related-party relationships create potential conflicts of interest with the commercial and technical managers.
  • An ageing fleet could raise operating costs and reduce appeal to some charterers.

Opportunities

  • Long-term charters signed in 2026 could stabilize revenue and support dividends over the medium term.
  • Renewing the fleet with newbuildings could lower operating costs and improve regulatory compliance.
  • Disruptions to shipping routes could lift demand for certain segments if rates remain high.

Threats

  • Oversupply from newbuilding orders could press rates lower across the market.
  • Environmental regulation and trade sanctions could restrict routes or raise costs.
  • A decline in oil demand driven by the energy transition could reduce transported volumes.

Risks

  • Charter rate volatilityhigh

    Revenue from the spot market and pools is sensitive to rate swings, and in the past rates have fallen below vessel operating costs.1

  • Indebtedness and covenantshigh

    Existing debt limits available funds, and financing agreements contain covenants that, if breached, could trigger a default.1

  • Iran conflict riskmedium

    The conflict has disrupted routes and prices, and the company says the effect on demand cannot be predicted.1

  • Related-party conflictsmedium

    The commercial and technical managers belong to the Scorpio group, which may create conflicts of interest.1

  • Impairment and vessel salesmedium

    Declines in vessel values could limit borrowing and could lead to losses on sales or impairment charges.1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If rates stay high amid route disruptions, the relatively young fleet and pool exposure could generate above-average revenue.
  • Five- and eight-year charters signed in 2026 could stabilize cash flow and support distributions to shareholders.
  • Selling older vessels and adding newbuildings could improve fleet efficiency over the medium term.

What would break the thesis

  • A large orderbook of newbuildings could press spot rates lower and reduce spot-market revenue.
  • Debt and financial covenants could limit flexibility if the market deteriorates.
  • Related-party arrangements and reliance on pool structures could make cost and revenue transparency harder to assess.

What to watch

  • Closing of the vessel sales announced in March 2026 and their effect on fleet and debtQ1 2026
  • Commencement of the eight-year STI Rambla charter and its effect on revenueQ2 2026
  • Spot rate trends and the effect of the Iran conflict on shipping routes2026
  • Delivery schedule of newbuildings and any shipyard delays2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (28 Oct 2026), 6-K (19 Oct 2026), 6-K (07 Oct 2026), 6-K (30 Sept 2026), 6-K (03 Sept 2026), 6-K (17 Aug 2026).

The business

Scorpio Tankers Inc., incorporated in the Marshall Islands and headquartered in Monaco, provides seaborne transportation of crude oil and refined petroleum products worldwide, with shares listed on the NYSE under STNG. As of March 19, 2026 its fleet consisted of 90 wholly owned tankers, 34 LR2, 42 MR and 14 Handymax, with a weighted average age of about 10.1 years.1 The company deploys vessels through a mix of commercial pools, time charters and spot exposure. Of the 90 vessels, 72 operated in the Scorpio Pools as of March 19, 2026.1

In March 2026 the company commenced a five-year time charter-out for the LR2 STI Lombard at $33,000 per day and agreed an eight-year charter-out for STI Rambla at $30,500 per day, expected to commence in the first or second quarter of 2026.1 In February 2026 the board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.45 per common share.1 If these long-term commitments hold, they could reduce reliance on the spot market.

The company sold several older vessels in January and February 2026 and in March 2026 agreed to sell three more, with closings expected in the first or second quarter of 2026.1 In February 2026 it declared options on two newbuilding LR2 tankers under construction in China at $68.5 million per vessel, with deliveries scheduled for 2029.1

Segments

Commercial pools

Most of the fleet, 72 of the 90 vessels operating as of March 19, 2026, is employed in the Scorpio Pools (SLR2P, SMRP, SHTP), which are managed by companies in the Scorpio group.1 Pool and spot revenues are more volatile because they are tied to market rates.1

Time and bareboat charters

Long-term charters give fixed revenue over a known period and partly offset the seasonality of the spot market. As of December 31, 2025, 14 vessels were on long-term charter-out agreements and one was on a long-term bareboat charter-out.1 The company says it may opportunistically enter more vessels into time charters.1

Market context

The seaborne oil tanker market is cyclical and volatile, and charter rates depend on oil demand, transport distances and the supply of new vessels.1 The company notes that the supply and demand factors are largely outside its control.1 The conflict in Iran has disrupted major routes such as the Strait of Hormuz and raised oil and product prices, which could affect demand.1

Tanker rates are typically stronger in northern hemisphere winter and weaker in summer, and historically revenues have been weaker in the second and third quarters.1 Oil price volatility has historically increased trading activity in winter months.1

Trends

  • Conflict in Iran and shipping routesmixed

    Disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and higher oil prices could support rates on some routes, but may also reduce demand, and the company cannot predict the net effect.1

  • Newbuilding supplyheadwind

    The large number of tankers on order at shipyards could increase global fleet capacity and press rates lower.1

  • Long-term charterstailwind

    Five- and eight-year charters signed in 2026 could stabilize revenue and reduce exposure to spot volatility.1

  • Environmental rules and fleet ageheadwind

    Emissions and fuel efficiency rules could shorten the useful life of older vessels and raise compliance costs.1

Competitive position

The product tanker market is highly competitive, and the company says that if it cannot operate its vessels profitably it may be unsuccessful in competing.1 Competition also comes from other modes of transport and alternative energy sources.1

Commercial pools let owners raise utilization through contracts of affreightment and backhaul voyages, so relative performance depends on the scale and efficiency of such structures.1

  • Other pool operators and product tanker owners

    The source does not name individual competitors; it refers generally to other shipowners in the product tanker market.

  • Crude oil tanker operators

    The company refers to competition from other shipping companies in oil and product transport without naming them.

  • Alternative energy sources

    Alternative energy could reduce demand for seaborne oil transport.

  • Other transport modes

    Pipelines and other land transport can compete with seaborne transport on some routes.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 28 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Scorpio Tankers Inc. · 20 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.