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olivLaw · European equity research

LAMDA Development A.E. LAMDA.AT

Greece · Athens Stock Exchange · ISIN GRS245213004 · Vertical: Listed companies from Greece

5.85EUR−2.01% · 1 dayClose 06 Nov 2026

LAMDA Development is a holding company listed on the Athens Exchange that develops, invests in and manages real estate, mainly in Greece and in South-East Europe including Romania. Its central project is the redevelopment of the former Ellinikon airport, which includes a 2 million sq m metropolitan park and a 3.5 km seafront line, so progress on this project matters for the whole group.

At the close of 06 Nov 2026, LAMDA Development A.E. (LAMDA.AT) stock was 5.85 EUR (−2.01% on the day), with market capitalisation 998.5 m EUR, P/E 11.0 on diluted EPS of 0.53 EUR over the last 12 months, beta 0.63, 52-week range 5.85–7.56 EUR.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: ESEF annual reports and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
998.5 m EUR
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
11.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.53 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
9.07%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.63
Volatility (1y) 26%
52-week range
5.857.56

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
40.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.80 – 6.14
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.14 · band width 5.8%
SMA 50 / 200
6.22 / 6.41
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyEURO STOXX 50vs EURO STOXX 50Vertical median
1 month−4.1%−0.6%−3.5 pp—
3 months−8.7%−4.2%−4.5 pp—
6 months−4.2%+4.3%−8.5 pp—
Year to date−17.9%+7.5%−25.4 pp—
1 year−19.4%+9.9%−29.3 pp+0.4%
3 years−10.1%+49.8%−59.9 pp+38.4%
5 years−20.8%+42.8%−63.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−22.7%
05 Feb 2026 → 06 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−31.7%
09 Nov 2021 → 05 Jul 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.6%
EURO STOXX 50 +7.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 13.4, median 27.1, max 42.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenue450.6 m665.0 m567.2 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+47.6%−14.7%
Net income27.0 m46.3 m90.5 m
Net income YoYunavailable+71.2%+95.8%
Diluted EPS0.160.270.53
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+68.8%+96.3%
net %6.0%7.0%16.0%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailable

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
750.4 m EUR
Financial debt
1.4 bn EUR
Net debt
689.8 m EUR
Equity
1.3 bn EUR
Total assets
5.0 bn EUR
Debt / equity
1.09x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
7.1%
ROA
1.9%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (EUR)

Margins

Income statement · EUR

Revenue
2023
450.6 m
2024
665.0 m
2025
567.2 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Operating income
2023
187.8 m
2024
185.1 m
2025
243.2 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
11.3 m
2024
12.1 m
2025
12.5 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
199.1 m ≈
2024
197.2 m ≈
2025
255.7 m ≈

esef· 23 Oct 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
140.4 m
2024
127.1 m
2025
118.7 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
57.3 m
2024
77.0 m
2025
136.4 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Income tax
2023
30.2 m
2024
29.5 m
2025
43.9 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Net income
2023
27.0 m
2024
46.3 m
2025
90.5 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.16
2024
0.27
2025
0.53

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
173.9 m
2024
174.2 m
2025
172.2 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Balance sheet · EUR

Cash
2023
464.1 m
2024
642.2 m
2025
750.4 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Receivables
2023
140.9 m
2024
165.1 m
2025
264.3 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Inventories
2023
251.3 m
2024
406.1 m
2025
678.7 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
82.9 m
2024
89.4 m
2025
102.8 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.2 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
5.0 bn

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
339.0 m
2024
496.3 m
2025
659.6 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
757.8 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.7 bn

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
168.8 m
2024
171.3 m
2025
170.8 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026derived

Cash flow · EUR

Operating cash flow
2023
121.4 m
2024
357.9 m
2025
75.3 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-65.5 m
2024
-92.8 m
2025
-147.4 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-107.3 m
2024
-87.0 m
2025
180.2 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
8.8 m
2024
23.9 m
2025
26.2 m

esef· 23 Oct 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
31.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
95.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
96.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
45.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
42.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
689.8 m EUR
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
2.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
75.3 m EUR
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
29.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
138 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
998.5 m EUR
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
1.7 bn EUR
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
11.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
11.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
9.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
1.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
6.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
6.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
3.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 57 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

5.85 EUR

06 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 998.5 m EUR

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
998.5 m EUR
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
11.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
6.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

24/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: esefpublished 23 Oct 2026
verified 77derived 3

Score by group

  • Quality63
  • Returns38
  • Balance sheet45
  • Valuation68

Estimated value range

Low
5.54
EUR per share
Mid
6.68
EUR per share
High
11.25
EUR per share
Price: 5.85 EUR
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 14.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 12.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.42 – 15.36 EUR.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (EUR per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA6.67 – 15.36 (Mid 7.43)
    5 companies used · median multiple 7.7x · quartiles 7.2x – 13.0x
    ATTICA.AT, BRIQ.AT, BYLOT.AT, DIMAND.AT, DOMIK.AT
  • Peers: P/E4.42 – 7.15 (Mid 5.94)
    26 companies used · median multiple 11.2x · quartiles 8.3x – 13.5x
    AEGN.AT, AEM.AT, ALMY.AT, ASCO.AT, ASTAK.AT, AVAX.AT, BELA.AT, BIOKA.AT, BIOSK.AT, BIOT.AT, BRIQ.AT, BYLOT.AT, CENER.AT, CENTR.AT, DAIOS.AT, DIMAND.AT, EIS.AT, ELBE.AT, ELHA.AT, ELLAKTOR.AT, ELSTR.AT, ELTON.AT, ETE.AT, EUROB.AT, EYAPS.AT, FAIS.AT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
3.0%
Equity risk premium
5.5%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
8.5%
Terminal growth
2.0%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 57/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.8%59 (vs peers)17%
Net margin · Quality16.0%69 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.7x67 (vs peers)17%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.0x8 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.0x57 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation6.6x80 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.6%38 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet45/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality63/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial38/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation68/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

LAMDA Development - Ανώνυμη Εταιρεία Συμμετοχών και Αξιοποίησης Ακινήτων (LAMDA.AT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 567.2 m EUR in 2025; YoY growth -14.7%; net margin 16.0%; ROE 7.1%; net debt/EBITDA 2.7x.

The estimated value range is 5.54–11.25 EUR per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 6.68 EUR, the price of 5.84 EUR leaves a potential of 14.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 12.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 57/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/EBITDA: 6.6x

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: 2.0x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Current ratio, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Listed companies from Greece · same country · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.0x
vertical median 12.1x
below median (−8.9%)
EV/EBITDA
6.6x
vertical median 7.7x
below median (−13.8%)
P/S
1.8x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+8.8%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 1.4x
below median (−44.6%)
ROE
7.1%
vertical median 10.2%
below median (−29.8%)
Net margin
16.0%
vertical median 7.9%
above median (+100.8%)
EBIT margin
42.9%
vertical median 8.9%
above median (+383.9%)
Revenue YoY
-14.7%
vertical median 7.2%
below median (−303.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.7x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−7.5%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 2.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
EUROB.ATΤραπεζα Eurobank Ανωνυμη Eταιρεια16.5 bn12.114.0%39.7%+2.7%+32% / +165%
ETE.ATΕθνικη Τραπεζα Της Ελλαδος Α.ε.14.8 bn12.713.3%42.5%−5.4%+21% / +159%
ELPE.ATHelleniq Energy Ανωνυμη Εταιρεια Συμμετοχων4.9 bn28.26.4%1.5%−9.0%+95% / +111%
CENER.ATCenergy Holdings4.4 bn22.924.3%9.4%+14.7%+41% / +199%
BELA.ATJumbo Ανωνυμη Εμπορικη Εταιρεια3.7 bn11.521.5%26.0%+7.2%+0% / +14%
AKTR.ATΑκtor Ανώνυμη Εταιρεία Συμμετοχών, Τεχνικών Και Ενεργειακών Έργων2.0 bn110.66.7%1.3%+11.2%+7% / +186%
EYDAP.ATΕταιρια Υδρευσεως Και Αποχετευσεως Πρωτευουσης Ανωνυμη Εταιρια1.4 bn—-2.6%-5.9%−2.4%+83% / +132%
ELHA.ATEλβαλχαλκορ Ελληνικη Βιομηχανια Χαλκου Και Αλουμινιου Ανωνυμος Εταιρεια1.3 bn12.29.8%2.9%+5.1%+4% / +80%
LAMDA.ATLAMDA Development - Ανώνυμη Εταιρεία Συμμετοχών και Αξιοποίησης Ακινήτων998.5 m11.07.1%16.0%−14.7%−17% / −11%
AEGN.ATΑεροπορια Αιγαιου Ανωνυμη Αεροπορικη Εταιρεια995.2 m6.727.7%7.9%+4.6%−23% / −3%
AVAX.ATΑβαξ Ανωνυμη Εταιρεια Εργοληπτικη-Τουριστικη-Εμπορικη-Βιομηχανικη-Οικοδομικων Υλικων & Μηχανηματων495.3 m10.425.9%5.0%+47.1%+37% / +119%
BYLOT.ATBally's Intralot Α.ε.460.2 m15.1-9.3%-12.6%+34.8%+10% / +17%
ELLAKTOR.ATΕλλακτωρ Ανωνυμη Εταιρεια419.4 m2.726.1%175.2%−74.8%−32% / −44%
AEM.ATAlter Ego Media Α.ε.350.0 m17.818.3%14.0%+12.6%−3% / unavailable
ALMY.ATΑλουμυλ Βιομηχανια Αλουμινιου Αε319.4 m10.423.5%6.0%+11.7%+15% / +118%
DIMAND.ATDimand Ανωνυμη Εταιρεια Αξιοποιησης Και Εκμεταλλευσης Ακινητων Και Κατασκευων Υπηρεσιων Και Συμμετοχων266.7 m7.618.5%58.5%+110.6%+42% / +28%
EVR.ATΕυρώπη Holdings Α.ε.168.6 m37.22.9%30.7%+435.3%−32% / +33%
EYAPS.ATΕταιρεια Υδρευσης & Αποχετευσης Θεσσαλονικης Α.ε.166.6 m21.64.1%8.8%+2.4%+22% / +39%
BRIQ.ATBriq Properties Ανωνυμη Εταιρεια Επενδυσεων Σε Ακινητη Περιουσια148.6 m5.915.5%116.9%+37.8%+12% / +69%
FAIS.ATΦαις Συμμετοχων Ανωνυμη Εταιρεια116.3 m8.722.1%6.3%+12.9%−7% / unavailable
DAIOS.ATΔαϊος Πλαστικα Ανωνυμη Βιομηχανικη Εμπορικη Εταιρεια Α.ε.102.0 m10.314.0%15.6%+9.1%−5% / +113%
ASTAK.ATAlpha Real Estate Services Ae94.7 m12.610.4%30.3%+22.4%−7% / −7%
ASCO.ATA.s. Εμπορικη-Βιομηχανικη Εταιρια Η/υ & Παιχνιδιων Α.ε.59.6 m10.414.1%15.8%+16.4%+10% / +105%
AVE.ATAve Α.ε.50.4 m—-25.2%-7.4%+8.2%−8% / −13%
ELTON.ATΕλτον Διεθνους Εμποριου Ανωνυμη Εμπορικη Βιομηχανικη Εταιρεια46.8 m13.74.9%1.9%+8.6%−12% / −19%

1- and 3-year price returns: for LAMDA.AT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (EUR)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
3.13
Total return -47% · Per year -47%
5.55
Total return -5% · Per year -5%
8.40
Total return 44% · Per year 44%
3 years
2.48
Total return -58% · Per year -25%
5.01
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
8.40
Total return 44% · Per year 13%
5 years
1.97
Total return -66% · Per year -20%
4.52
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
8.40
Total return 44% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.25
  • Net margin± 0.88
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.79
  • Annual dilution± 0.07

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

LAMDA Development is a holding company listed on the Athens Exchange that develops, invests in and manages real estate, mainly in Greece and in South-East Europe including Romania. Its central project is the redevelopment of the former Ellinikon airport, which includes a 2 million sq m metropolitan park and a 3.5 km seafront line, so progress on this project matters for the whole group.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Declared leadership position in real estate development in Greece, with a portfolio of shopping centres and marinas already operating.
  • Large-scale The Ellinikon project with potential to generate long-term development in the Athens metropolitan area.
  • Formalised sustainability strategy with decarbonisation targets validated by an independent body.

Weaknesses

  • Pronounced geographic concentration in Greece, making results sensitive to local economic conditions.
  • Dependence on large development projects whose execution can be delayed by administrative processes and financing.
  • Sustainability reporting requires multiple verifications, raising administrative costs.

Opportunities

  • Completion of the Corfu marina and the shopping centres under construction could add income-generating assets.
  • Extending the sustainability strategy to all activities could attract investors focused on ESG criteria.
  • Developing housing, hotels and office space at The Ellinikon could diversify revenue sources.

Threats

  • Climate change may bring floods, heatwaves and wildfires that affect project infrastructure.
  • CSRD and ESRS reporting requirements may evolve quickly and impose additional costs.
  • Financing conditions and market demand could influence the timing of large projects.

Risks

  • Delay in The Ellinikon projecthigh

    The project is complex and large in scale, and execution could be postponed by permits, financing or infrastructure works.

  • Physical climate risksmedium

    The report flags asset exposure to floods, heatwaves and wildfires, which could cause damage and disruption.

  • Quality of sustainability datamedium

    Reporting relies on collecting and verifying data from many sources, and errors could affect the credibility of public information.

  • Changes to the regulatory frameworkmedium

    Changes to sustainability rules and building regulations could raise costs or shift project timelines.

  • Dependence on suppliers and contractorslow

    Project execution depends on third parties, and their problems could delay works or raise costs.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If The Ellinikon advances as planned, the group could benefit from a new portfolio of commercial, residential and hotel assets.
  • Its leadership in Greece and its partner network may support running several projects in parallel.
  • A validated decarbonisation strategy could make its assets more attractive to tenants and ESG-focused investors.

What would break the thesis

  • Concentration in Greece and in large projects makes the group sensitive to administrative delays and changes in the local economy.
  • Climate risks and rising reporting requirements could add costs that compress profit margins.
  • If financing or demand for retail and housing space weakens, the development timetable could be reconsidered.

What to watch

  • Construction progress at The Ellinikon Mall and Riviera Galleria2027
  • Completion date of the Corfu Mega Yacht marina2027
  • Progress against the SBTi-validated decarbonisation targetsnext annual report
  • Update of the sustainability strategy for The Ellinikonnext annual report

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

According to the annual report for the year ended 31 December 2025, the group operates as a holding company that develops, invests in and manages real estate, mainly in Greece and, through subsidiaries, in Serbia, Romania and Montenegro. Its model covers the property life cycle, split into managing the investment portfolio and carrying out development projects, supported by a network of strategic partners. The document describes the group as the leader in real estate development in Greece.

The investment portfolio includes The Mall Athens, Golden Hall, Mediterranean Cosmos and Designer Outlet Athens shopping centres, plus the Flisvos, Agios Kosmas and Corfu Mega Yacht marinas, the latter under development. The report also mentions property investments (land, offices, parking spaces) and investments in the energy sector.

Development projects are dominated by The Ellinikon, where the group intends to build housing, hotels, retail areas, offices, cultural and educational centres, alongside the metropolitan park and seafront redevelopment. The report also lists The Ellinikon Mall and Riviera Galleria as under development or construction.

Segments

Investment portfolio management

Covers shopping centres, marinas and other income-generating property assets. The annual report describes this segment as supported by property managers, energy suppliers and technical service providers.

Development project execution

Covers The Ellinikon project, the shopping centres under construction and the Corfu marina. Execution relies on design consultants, contractors and legal, financial and technology partners.

Other energy and real estate investments

The report mentions investments in the energy sector and in other properties in Greece and abroad, without detailing their size in the available text.

Market context

The annual report shows activity concentrated in Greece, with a presence in Serbia, Romania and Montenegro, and presents the group as the leader in Greek real estate development. Exact market figures do not appear in the available excerpt.

Demand for retail and leisure space remains linked to tourism and urban consumption in Athens and Thessaloniki, where most assets are located. The report does not quantify this demand in the available excerpt.

Trends

  • Stricter sustainability reporting rulesheadwind

    The report refers to CSRD and ESRS as evolving frameworks that require updated reporting processes and additional checks. The cost and complexity of these requirements could add to the administrative burden.

  • Decarbonisation and building standardsmixed

    The group set a 2030 decarbonisation strategy, validated by SBTi in 2025, and its building targets could lower operating costs for tenants. The same process requires ongoing investment.

  • Demand for regenerated urban projectstailwind

    Redevelopment of former industrial or airport land, such as The Ellinikon, could attract investors and users if infrastructure and local acceptance advance. The report links long-term value to such projects.

  • Physical climate risksheadwind

    The report flags exposure to floods, heatwaves and wildfires, which could affect project infrastructure and ecosystems. Mitigation measures are described as part of the continuity strategy.

Competitive position

The available report excerpt does not explicitly name the group's competitors. Competition likely comes from other developers and operators of shopping centres and marinas in Greece and South-East Europe, but the source contains no verified list.

The advantage the company describes rests on its leadership position in Greek real estate development, the scale of the Ellinikon project and its partner network. Without comparative data in the source, the size of this advantage cannot be assessed.

  • Greek real estate developers

    Competitors in the local development and property investment market, named generically in the source.

  • Shopping centre operators

    Competition comes from other shopping centres and outlets in Athens and northern Greece.

  • Marina operators

    The Flisvos, Agios Kosmas and Corfu marinas compete with other Mediterranean marinas.

  • Regional property investors

    Competition in Serbia, Romania and Montenegro comes from local and regional investors.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

Annual reports (ESEF)

Sources

  1. [1] Annual report, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 (ESEF) · SEC / LAMDA Development A.E. · 31 Dec 2025

Figures computed by olivLaw from ESEF annual reports and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

LAMDA Development A.E. (LAMDA.AT): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw