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olivLaw · US equity research

Cardinal Health, Inc. CAH

Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' Sundries · SIC 5122 · Vertical: Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' Sundries (SIC 5122)

261.93USD+3.55% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cardinal Health (CAH) reported fiscal 2026 revenue of 254.2 billion USD, up 14%, and non-GAAP operating earnings rose 30% to 3.6 billion USD. For fiscal 2027 the company guided to non-GAAP diluted EPS of 12.40 to 12.60 USD, implying 13% to 15% growth.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH) stock was 261.93 USD (+3.55% on the day), with market capitalisation 60.9 bn USD, P/E 36.2 on diluted EPS of 7.23 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.78%, beta 0.27, 52-week range 182.50–261.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 65.6 bn USD (+18.8% YoY), net income of 467.0 m USD (+16.8% YoY), diluted EPS 1.97 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
60.9 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
36.2
Diluted EPS TTM 7.23 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.76%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.78%
DPS 12m 2.04
Beta (2y)
0.27
Volatility (1y) 26%
52-week range
182.50261.93

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
67.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
236.22 – 263.41
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.95 · band width 10.9%
SMA 50 / 200
239.16 / 222.82
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
5.16 / 4.89
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.4%−1.1%+13.5 pp—
3 months+9.5%−0.5%+9.9 pp—
6 months+36.8%+4.4%+32.4 pp—
Year to date+27.5%+12.3%+15.1 pp—
1 year+34.1%+13.5%+20.5 pp−3.9%
3 years+161.4%+76.4%+85.0 pp−28.2%
5 years+428.7%+63.7%+365.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.6%
02 Mar 2026 → 11 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−21.0%
20 Apr 2022 → 16 Jun 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+39.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 31 Dec 2025

Revenue
65.6 bn USD
+18.8% YoY
Net income
467.0 m USD
+16.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.97
+19.7% YoY
net / operating
0.7% / 1.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue54.9 bn59.9 bn52.3 bn55.3 bn54.9 bn60.2 bn64.0 bn65.6 bn
Cost of revenue52.9 bn58.0 bn50.4 bn53.3 bn52.8 bn58.0 bn61.7 bn63.2 bn
Gross profit1.9 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn
SG&A1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn
Operating income369.0 m401.0 m568.0 m549.0 m730.0 m428.0 m668.0 m707.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation177.0 m ≈186.0 m182.0 m192.0 m207.0 m ≈209.0 m233.0 m234.0 m
Interest expense28.0 m9.0 m32.0 m35.0 m74.0 m74.0 m80.0 m88.0 m
Pre-tax income342.0 m391.0 m541.0 m511.0 m665.0 m384.0 m598.0 m630.0 m
Income tax80.0 m158.0 m124.0 m110.0 m157.0 m141.0 m144.0 m159.0 m
Net income261.0 m235.0 m416.0 m400.0 m506.0 m239.0 m450.0 m467.0 m
Diluted EPS1.070.95 ≈1.701.65 ≈2.10 ≈1.00 ≈1.881.97 ≈
Operating cash flow-27.0 m ≈2.1 bn-1.6 bn-396.0 m ≈2.9 bn ≈1.5 bn973.0 m686.0 m ≈
Capex112.0 m ≈193.0 m90.0 m99.0 m ≈126.0 m ≈232.0 m108.0 m131.0 m ≈
Dividends paid122.0 m ≈122.0 m128.0 m122.0 m ≈124.0 m ≈120.0 m129.0 m122.0 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈0375.0 m15.0 m ≈375.0 m ≈0375.0 m383.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 81 percentile of its own 32-quarter history (min 10.4, median 21.6, max 382.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue145.5 bn152.9 bn162.5 bn181.3 bn205.0 bn226.8 bn222.6 bn254.2 bn
Revenue YoY+6.4%+5.1%+6.2%+11.6%+13.0%+10.7%−1.9%+14.2%
Net income1.4 bn-3.7 bn611.0 m-938.0 m330.0 m852.0 m1.6 bn1.7 bn
Net income YoY+432.4%−371.2%unavailable−253.5%unavailable+158.2%+83.2%+9.8%
Diluted EPS4.53-12.612.08-3.371.263.456.457.23
Diluted EPS YoY+459.3%−378.4%unavailable−262.0%unavailable+173.8%+87.0%+12.1%
net %0.9%-2.4%0.4%-0.5%0.2%0.4%0.7%0.7%
Free cash flow2.4 bn1.6 bn2.0 bn2.8 bn2.4 bn3.3 bn1.9 bn4.5 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
4.9 bn USD
Financial debt
1.9 bn USD
Net debt
-3.0 bn USD
Equity
-2.7 bn USD
Total assets
57.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.88x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
3.1%
FCF margin
1.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
226.8 bn
2025
222.6 bn
2026
254.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
219.4 bn
2025
214.4 bn
2026
244.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
7.4 bn
2025
8.2 bn
2026
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.4 bn
2026
6.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
1.2 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
710.0 m
2025
790.0 m
2026
956.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
2.0 bn ≈
2025
3.1 bn ≈
2026
3.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
51.0 m
2025
215.0 m
2026
348.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
1.2 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
348.0 m
2025
532.0 m
2026
469.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
852.0 m
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.45
2025
6.45
2026
7.23

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
247.0 m
2025
242.0 m
2026
237.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
2.00
2025
2.02
2026
2.04

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
5.1 bn
2025
3.9 bn
2026
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
15.0 bn
2025
16.8 bn
2026
17.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
34.9 bn
2025
36.4 bn
2026
38.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
4.7 bn
2025
9.7 bn
2026
11.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
45.1 bn
2025
53.1 bn
2026
57.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
31.8 bn
2025
34.7 bn
2026
38.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
434.0 m
2025
550.0 m
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
35.6 bn
2025
38.9 bn
2026
43.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
-3.2 bn
2025
-2.6 bn
2026
-2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
3.8 bn
2025
2.4 bn
2026
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
511.0 m
2025
547.0 m
2026
649.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
3.3 bn ≈
2025
1.9 bn ≈
2026
4.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-1.8 bn
2025
-5.6 bn
2026
-2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-847.0 m
2025
1.9 bn
2026
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
499.0 m
2025
494.0 m
2026
491.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
750.0 m
2025
765.0 m
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
73.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
22.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
79.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
28.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
144.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
19.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
28.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
10.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-3.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
7.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
5.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
649.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
4.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
264.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
145.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
25 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
60.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
57.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
35.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
36.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
22.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
13.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 61 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

261.93 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 60.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
60.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
36.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 2842derived 224

Score by group

  • Balance sheet79
  • Returns66
  • Quality81
  • Growth81
  • Valuation27

Estimated value range

Low
114.87
USD per share
Mid
194.40
USD per share
High
243.55
USD per share
Price: 261.93 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -25.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -34.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 26.81 – 463.55 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)306.78 – 463.55 (Mid 367.64)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 4.8 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -7.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA102.77 – 292.64 (Mid 198.80)
    4 companies used · median multiple 12.1x · quartiles 5.9x – 18.2x
    COR, HLF, MCK, NUS
  • Peers: P/E126.96 – 194.46 (Mid 190.00)
    3 companies used · median multiple 26.3x · quartiles 17.6x – 26.9x
    COR, HLF, MCK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)26.81 – 36.05 (Mid 30.75)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' Sundries (SIC 5122)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 61/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.7%63 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality264.0%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.4%62 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth79.0%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.8x100 (on a fixed band)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet7.5x92 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x7 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation36.2x0 (on a fixed band)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.2x0 (on a fixed band)12%
FCF yield · Valuation7.4%93 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%43 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns10.9%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet79/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth81/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality81/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation27/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 254.2 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 14.2%; net margin 0.7%; net debt/EBITDA -0.8x.

The estimated value range is 114.87–243.55 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 194.40 USD, the price of 261.93 USD leaves a potential of -25.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -34.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 61/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 264.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 79.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.8x
  • Interest coverage: 7.5x
  • FCF yield: 7.4%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 10.9%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 36.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 16.2x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC.

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale-Drugs, Proprietaries & Druggists' Sundries (SIC 5122) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
36.2x
vertical median 26.3x
above median (+37.9%)
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
vertical median 12.1x
above median (+33.9%)
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 0.3x
below median (−30.7%)
P/B
—
vertical median 4.3x
ROE
—
vertical median -32.5%
Net margin
0.7%
vertical median -7.9%
above median
EBIT margin
1.0%
vertical median -0.8%
above median
Revenue YoY
14.2%
vertical median 10.8%
above median (+31.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.8x
vertical median 1.4x
below median (−159.7%)
Dividend yield
0.8%
vertical median 0.7%
above median (+17.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MCKMcKESSON CORPORATION123.5 bn27.5—1.1%+12.4%+21% / +127%
CORCencora, Inc.67.6 bn26.3104.3%0.8%+9.3%−4% / +74%
CAHCardinal Health, Inc.60.9 bn36.2—0.7%+14.2%+34% / +161%
HLFHerbalife Ltd.1.6 bn8.8—3.4%+0.9%+17% / +16%
NUSNu Skin Enterprises, Inc.220.5 m—-32.5%-15.7%−14.3%−54% / −73%
COSMCosmos Health Inc.29.2 m—-104.0%-33.1%+19.9%−55% / −72%
HKPDCellyan Biotechnology Co., Ltd22.2 m—-0.6%-0.1%+21.7%+38% / unavailable
ESYNHwh International Inc.11.7 m—-88.9%-680.0%−30.8%−4% / −97%
MEDSDataMeds AI, Inc.3.7 m——-1,100.3%+28.7%−96% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for CAH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
162.48
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
286.86
Total return 10% · Per year 10%
431.56
Total return 66% · Per year 66%
3 years
167.16
Total return -34% · Per year -13%
331.16
Total return 29% · Per year 9%
545.65
Total return 112% · Per year 28%
5 years
171.98
Total return -31% · Per year -7%
382.30
Total return 51% · Per year 9%
689.90
Total return 170% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 82.79
  • Net margin± 57.95
  • Annual revenue growth± 46.27
  • Annual dilution± 4.87

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 11 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Cardinal Health (CAH) reported fiscal 2026 revenue of 254.2 billion USD, up 14% 2, and non-GAAP operating earnings rose 30% to 3.6 billion USD 2. For fiscal 2027 the company guided to non-GAAP diluted EPS of 12.40 to 12.60 USD, implying 13% to 15% growth 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The scale of distribution operations and long-term contracts provide stable revenue and a strong position in the pharmaceutical supply chain 2.
  • Profit growth across all five operating segments shows disciplined execution in fiscal 2026 2.
  • Strong cash flow and access to financing, including a new revolving credit facility, support investment and share repurchases 12.

Weaknesses

  • GAAP results were hit by impairment and litigation-related costs, showing exposure to one-off events 1.
  • Fourth-quarter profit benefited from a one-time tariff refund, which makes quarterly profit harder to compare 2.
  • Distribution margins are thin, and results depend heavily on large volumes and existing contracts.

Opportunities

  • Tuck-in acquisitions in specialty segments could extend growth beyond core distribution 12.
  • The new Indianapolis distribution center with advanced automation could add capacity and operational flexibility 2.
  • Growth in brand and specialty products could support revenue and margins over the medium term 2.

Threats

  • Opioid litigation implies long-term payments that could limit resources available for other investments 1.
  • Changes in trade policy or tariffs could affect costs and results in the medical segment 2.
  • Further impairment of units, as with Navista and ION, could affect results if growth assumptions do not hold 1.
  • Price pressure from customers and from generic drug suppliers could reduce margins.

Risks

  • Opioid litigationhigh

    Long-term payment obligations from litigation could reduce available cash flow and limit financial flexibility.

  • Goodwill impairmentmedium

    The Navista and ION unit has been impaired and could face further impairment if growth or discount rate assumptions worsen 1.

  • Effect of one-time tax recoveriesmedium

    Fourth-quarter profit included a one-time tariff gain, which could make future growth lower than in fiscal 2026 2.

  • Concentration on large customers and contractsmedium

    Reliance on large customer contracts, such as the Kroger renewal, means losing a major contract could affect volumes.

  • Acquisition executionlow

    Integrating tuck-in acquisitions and new services could prove harder than expected, with effects on profit.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If profit growth across all segments is sustained, fiscal 2027 guidance could be met or exceeded 2.
  • Adjusted free cash flow and the new repurchase authorization could support long-term shareholder value 12.
  • Acquisitions and automation investments could expand higher-margin activities.

What would break the thesis

  • Recent results include one-time gains, and without them growth could be slower than reported 2.
  • Opioid litigation obligations could limit capital spending and share repurchases 1.
  • Thin distribution margins make profit sensitive to price pressure and to the loss of contracts.

What to watch

  • Delivery of fiscal 2027 non-GAAP EPS guidance2027
  • GMPD segment profit trend after the one-time tariff effectQ1 2027
  • Integration of the Strive Medical and Diabetes Health acquisitions2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 11 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Adjusted profitability was supported in fiscal 2026 by segment profit increases across all five operating segments 2. The company generated 5.2 billion USD of operating cash flow and 5.0 billion USD of adjusted free cash flow 2, and used part of this for share repurchases of 1.4 billion USD 2. Management has a new 5.0 billion USD repurchase authorization approved 2.

Market context

The medical products and home-health market is more fragmented, and tuck-in acquisitions such as Solaris Health, and the announced purchase of the Diabetes Health business from AdaptHealth, are a way to expand smaller segments 2. Fiscal 2027 guidance includes the estimated effect of these acquisitions 2.

Trends

  • Growth in brand and specialty product volumestailwind

    Brand and specialty product sales to existing customers supported the main segment's growth in fiscal 2026 2. If this trend continues it could support the fiscal 2027 guidance.

  • IEEPA tariff refund recognitionmixed

    Recognition of a one-time tariff refund lifted fourth-quarter profit but is not expected to recur in the normal course 2. Analysis should focus on adjusted profit, and the effect could fade in later years.

  • Opioid litigation paymentsheadwind

    Annual payments under opioid settlements continue, and most of the remaining amounts could be paid through 2038 1. This is a long-term obligation that could limit available free cash flow.

  • Tuck-in acquisitions and service expansionmixed

    Acquisitions such as Solaris Health and Strive Medical, together with the announced Diabetes Health deal, point to a strategy of expanding into specialty segments 12. Integration could improve growth but also carries execution risk.

Competitive position

Cardinal Health operates in pharmaceutical distribution, where it faces strong competition from other large distributors of pharmaceutical and medical products. The sources provided do not name every competitor, but competition affects margins and contracts with major customers.

The company's advantages include operating scale, long-term contracts and vertical integration across distribution and services, including the long-term renewal of its wholesaler contract with Kroger 2. These could help maintain its position against competitors if the contracts remain stable.

  • Large pharmaceutical and medical products distributors

    Direct wholesale competitors are not named in the sources provided, but price and contract competition is a key factor for margins.

  • Home-health and direct-to-patient service providers

    The at-Home Solutions segment competes with specialized providers, and competition may affect the growth of this segment.

  • Nuclear pharmacy operators

    The nuclear and precision health business faces specialized competitors that may affect volumes and pricing.

  • Medical logistics providers

    OptiFreight Logistics operates in a competitive logistics market where cost efficiency is decisive.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report05 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement21 Sept 2026
  • Annual report11 Aug 2026
  • Current report11 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report11 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report30 Apr 2026
  • Current report30 Apr 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report23 Mar 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cardinal Health, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cardinal Health, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.