olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation CPK

Natural Gas Transmisison & Distribution · SIC 4923 · Vertical: Natural Gas Transmisison & Distribution (SIC 4923)

141.70USD+2.64% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Chesapeake Utilities is a Delaware energy delivery company distributing natural gas, electricity and propane, with regulated earnings and unregulated CNG, RNG and LNG services. It is expanding investment, including the Florida Energy Pathway pipeline project, with operating revenues of 930.0 million USD in fiscal 2025.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK) stock was 141.70 USD (+2.64% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.4 bn USD, P/E 22.6 on diluted EPS of 6.27 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.49%, beta 0.09, 52-week range 118.97–141.70 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 201.9 m USD (+4.7% YoY), net income of 25.4 m USD (+6.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.4 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.6
Diluted EPS TTM 6.27 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.43%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.49%
DPS 12m 2.11
Beta (2y)
0.09
Volatility (1y) 20%
52-week range
118.97141.70

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
71.8
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
125.24 – 140.66
above the upper band · %B 1.07 · band width 11.6%
SMA 50 / 200
131.23 / 129.42
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.45 / 1.48
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.2%−1.1%+13.3 pp—
3 months+5.9%−0.5%+6.3 pp—
6 months+12.6%+4.4%+8.2 pp—
Year to date+13.6%+12.3%+1.3 pp—
1 year+7.6%+13.5%−5.9 pp+4.0%
3 years+52.8%+76.4%−23.6 pp+28.7%
5 years+4.6%+63.7%−59.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−14.4%
28 Nov 2025 → 22 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−40.5%
31 Dec 2021 → 10 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
201.9 m USD
+4.7% YoY
Net income
25.4 m USD
+6.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.05
+2.9% YoY
net / operating
12.6% / 26.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue160.2 m215.0 m298.7 m192.8 m179.6 m258.9 m353.1 m201.9 m
Operating income40.9 m66.9 m86.8 m50.3 m45.0 m73.8 m99.4 m52.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation16.8 m14.0 m22.5 m21.9 m23.3 m24.0 m21.5 m22.9 m
Interest expense17.1 m17.5 m18.1 m17.8 m18.2 m18.4 m18.7 m18.4 m
Pre-tax income24.3 m49.7 m69.3 m32.9 m27.0 m63.8 m80.7 m35.0 m
Income tax6.8 m13.0 m18.4 m9.0 m7.6 m17.7 m21.4 m9.6 m
Net income17.5 m36.7 m50.9 m23.9 m19.4 m46.1 m59.3 m25.4 m
Diluted EPS0.781.60 ≈2.211.020.821.93 ≈2.471.05
Operating cash flow50.3 m ≈21.7 m85.0 m54.2 m ≈59.1 m ≈35.4 m118.0 m95.6 m ≈
Capex97.3 m95.7 m113.8 m99.9 m122.8 m126.4 m141.9 m125.0 m ≈
Dividends paid14.1 m ≈14.3 m14.5 m14.5 m ≈15.8 m ≈15.9 m16.2 m16.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 36 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 17.5, median 23.7, max 31.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue490.3 m479.6 m488.2 m570.0 m680.7 m670.6 m787.2 m930.0 m
Revenue YoY+9.0%−2.2%+1.8%+16.7%+19.4%−1.5%+17.4%+18.1%
Net income56.6 m65.2 m71.5 m83.5 m89.8 m87.2 m118.6 m140.3 m
Net income YoY−2.7%+15.2%+9.7%+16.7%+7.6%−2.9%+36.0%+18.3%
Diluted EPS3.453.964.264.735.044.735.265.97
Diluted EPS YoY−2.8%+14.8%+7.6%+11.0%+6.6%−6.2%+11.2%+13.5%
net %11.5%13.6%14.6%14.6%13.2%13.0%15.1%15.1%
Free cash flow-123.0 m-81.8 m-6.6 m-36.4 m30.6 m14.9 m-115.9 m-214.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.8 m USD
Financial debt
1.5 bn USD
Net debt
1.5 bn USD
Equity
1.6 bn USD
Total assets
4.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.93x
Current ratio
0.45x
ROE
9.4%
ROA
3.7%
FCF margin
-23.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
670.6 m
2024
787.2 m
2025
930.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
150.8 m
2024
228.2 m
2025
255.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
65.5 m
2024
65.7 m
2025
91.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
216.3 m ≈
2024
293.9 m ≈
2025
347.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
36.9 m
2024
68.4 m
2025
72.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
115.3 m
2024
161.8 m
2025
193.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
28.1 m
2024
43.2 m
2025
52.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
87.2 m
2024
118.6 m
2025
140.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.73
2024
5.26
2025
5.97

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
18.4 m
2024
22.5 m
2025
23.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.31
2024
2.51
2025
2.70

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
4.9 m
2024
7.9 m
2025
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
71.8 m
2024
76.7 m
2025
101.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
185.7 m
2024
204.3 m
2025
237.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
508.2 m
2024
507.7 m
2025
507.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
16.9 m
2024
15.0 m
2025
13.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
77.5 m
2024
78.3 m
2025
115.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
179.9 m
2024
196.5 m
2025
158.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
386.4 m
2024
419.4 m
2025
529.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.2 bn †
2024
1.4 bn †
2025
1.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
203.5 m
2024
239.4 m
2025
233.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
188.6 m
2024
355.3 m
2025
448.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
14.9 m ≈
2024
-115.9 m ≈
2025
-214.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-349.9 m
2025
-435.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
906.6 m
2024
113.5 m
2025
195.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
40.0 m
2024
54.2 m
2025
60.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
18.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
13.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
36.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
27.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
33.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
308.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
516.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-208.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-138.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
84.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
32 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
22.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
18.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 36 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

141.70 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2344derived 161

Score by group

  • Valuation18
  • Returns27
  • Quality64
  • Balance sheet10
  • Growth65

Estimated value range

Low
83.92
USD per share
Mid
98.91
USD per share
High
120.84
USD per share
Price: 141.70 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -30.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -43.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 35.42 – 188.78 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA105.03 – 120.84 (Mid 112.32)
    3 companies used · median multiple 11.8x · quartiles 11.3x – 12.3x
    OKE, RGCO, SWX
  • Peers: P/E83.92 – 188.78 (Mid 98.91)
    4 companies used · median multiple 15.8x · quartiles 13.4x – 30.1x
    CTRI, OKE, RGCO, SWX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)35.42 – 47.63 (Mid 40.62)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Transmisison & Distribution (SIC 4923)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 36/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.3%80 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality15.1%100 (on a fixed band)7%
FCF conversion · Quality-138.5%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth11.0%91 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth5.8%39 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.3x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.7x34 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.3x0 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation22.6x40 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.7x12 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation-6.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet10/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth65/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality64/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial27/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation18/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CHESAPEAKE UTILITIES CORP (CPK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 930.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 18.1%; net margin 15.1%; ROE 9.5%; net debt/EBITDA 4.3x.

The estimated value range is 83.92–120.84 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 98.91 USD, the price of 141.70 USD leaves a potential of -30.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -43.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 36/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 6.3%
  • Net margin: 15.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 11.0%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -138.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.3x
  • Current ratio: 0.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 13.7x
  • FCF yield: -6.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Transmisison & Distribution (SIC 4923) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.6x
vertical median 17.8x
above median (+27.1%)
EV/EBITDA
13.7x
vertical median 11.8x
above median (+16.6%)
P/S
3.4x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+261.1%)
P/B
2.0x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−14.5%)
ROE
9.5%
vertical median 14.1%
below median (−32.7%)
Net margin
15.1%
vertical median 5.1%
above median (+194.5%)
EBIT margin
27.3%
vertical median 15.7%
above median (+73.4%)
Revenue YoY
18.1%
vertical median 12.6%
above median (+43.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.3x
vertical median 3.8x
above median (+11.8%)
Dividend yield
1.5%
vertical median 4.2%
below median (−64.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
OKEONEOK, Inc.55.9 bn13.817.9%9.4%+55.0%+22% / +29%
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings, Inc.6.7 bn12.214.1%—+9.6%+11% / +56%
CPKChesapeake Utilities Corp3.4 bn22.69.5%15.1%+18.1%+8% / +53%
CTRICenturi Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn67.14.0%0.9%+13.1%−9% / unavailable
BIPCBrookfield Infrastructure Corporation1.7 bn——-6.6%+0.1%−16% / +24%
NEXTNextdecade Corporation1.7 bn129.9292.6%—unavailable+2% / +25%
RGCORGC Resources, Inc.248.3 m17.811.7%13.1%+12.6%+6% / +36%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CPK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
88.62
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
156.21
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
234.67
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
97.54
Total return -27% · Per year -10%
192.34
Total return 41% · Per year 12%
315.57
Total return 130% · Per year 32%
5 years
107.36
Total return -17% · Per year -4%
236.82
Total return 77% · Per year 12%
424.36
Total return 213% · Per year 26%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 48.08
  • Net margin± 33.66
  • Annual revenue growth± 26.02
  • Annual dilution± 2.83

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Chesapeake Utilities is a Delaware energy delivery company distributing natural gas, electricity and propane, with regulated earnings and unregulated CNG, RNG and LNG services. It is expanding investment, including the Florida Energy Pathway pipeline project, with operating revenues of 930.0 million USD in fiscal 2025 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A regulated earnings base and approved rates give high earnings visibility and a good ability to recover costs 1.
  • The company has shown steady growth in adjusted gross margin and adjusted EPS in the first half of 2026 3.
  • Diversification across regulated distribution, transmission, propane and unregulated CNG, RNG and LNG services reduces reliance on any single revenue source 12.

Weaknesses

  • Planned growth requires large capital investment beyond operating cash flow, so financing depends on capital markets 1.
  • Revenue is sensitive to heating-season weather, and some areas lack revenue normalization mechanisms 1.
  • Propane margins depend on purchase costs and the ability to pass price changes on to customers 1.

Opportunities

  • The Florida Energy Pathway project could open a major new source of long-term growth if partners and approvals are secured 3.
  • Expansion of compressed, liquefied and renewable gas services could add unregulated revenue 12.
  • Strategic propane acquisitions could strengthen the company's position in existing markets and new growth areas 2.

Threats

  • Changes in trade policy and tariffs could raise equipment costs and delay infrastructure projects 1.
  • Tighter credit markets and higher interest rates could raise the cost of capital and limit investment 1.
  • Severe weather and natural disasters could damage assets and interrupt operations, while raising insurance costs 1.

Risks

  • Access to capitalhigh

    The growth plan requires external funding, and the cost and availability of debt and equity depend on credit ratings and market conditions 1.

  • Debt covenant compliancemedium

    Breaching debt-to-capital or interest-coverage covenants could trigger acceleration of debt, although the company was in compliance at December 31, 2025 1.

  • Weather and seasonalitymedium

    Unusual heating-season temperatures can significantly change revenue and quarterly earnings 12.

  • Permitting and construction delaysmedium

    Regulatory approvals, rights-of-way and contractor availability could delay new facilities and reduce expected growth 1.

  • Operational safetylow

    Leaks, explosions and other safety incidents could raise costs and harm the company's reputation, with regulatory consequences 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rising adjusted margins and transmission investment support an earnings growth path, if projects are completed as planned 23.
  • The Florida Energy Pathway project and the long-term investment framework could open new revenue sources after 2028 3.
  • The regulated base and approved rates could provide stability even during periods of market volatility 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Heavy capital needs and dependence on financial markets could strain debt levels and dilute shareholders if financing costs rise 13.
  • Large transmission projects could face delays or cost overruns, which would reduce the return on investment 1.
  • Propane and unregulated service revenue could be hurt by volatile prices and competition 1.

What to watch

  • Long-term investment and EPS guidance for 2027-2031February 2027
  • Progress of partner discussions for the Florida Energy Pathway project2026
  • Final decision on the FCG rate case and base rate increase request2026
  • Quarterly results and segment adjusted gross margin trendsQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation is an energy delivery company formed as a Delaware corporation in 1947, with operations primarily in the Mid-Atlantic region, North Carolina, South Carolina, Florida and Ohio 1. It distributes natural gas, electricity and propane, transmits natural gas, generates electricity and steam, and provides mobile compressed natural gas services 1. Its strategy aims to grow earnings from a stable regulated base, with investments in related businesses that could offer returns above traditional utility levels 12.

The company expanded in Florida through the FCG acquisition, completed on November 30, 2023 for 922.8 million USD in cash; FCG serves about 125,000 residential and commercial natural gas customers in eight Florida counties 1. Operating revenues were 930.0 million USD in 2025, and GAAP net income was 140.3 million USD, or 5.97 USD per diluted share 1.

In 2026 Chesapeake Utilities announced the Florida Energy Pathway project and raised its 2026 capital guidance to 550-600 million USD, linking long-term growth to transmission and distribution investment 3. It reaffirmed its 2028 EPS guidance of 7.75-8.00 USD and expects to give a long-term guidance update in February 2027 3.

Market context

The company operates in regulated markets where rates are set by state or federal authorities, providing a relatively predictable revenue base 1. Natural gas demand is seasonal, peaking in the November to March heating season, so quarterly results vary with temperatures 12.

Rising demand for transmission capacity in south Florida and infrastructure investment support the company's market development 3. However, equipment and material costs could keep rising, and trade policy changes could affect capital projects 1.

Trends

  • Transmission and infrastructure investmenttailwind

    Growing investment in pipelines and infrastructure programs supports adjusted earnings, including through new transmission services and capacity expansions 23. If transmission projects stay on schedule, margin growth could continue.

  • Florida Energy Pathway projectmixed

    The south Florida pipeline could add new capacity and reliability, but it requires partners and regulatory approvals, with in-service targeted for 2030 3.

  • Inflation and supply chain pressureheadwind

    Prices of equipment, materials and skilled labor have risen and could keep rising, while tariffs could increase project costs 1.

  • Seasonal demand and weathermixed

    Revenue depends on heating-season temperatures; warmer-than-normal weather could reduce sales, while colder winters could increase them 12.

Competitive position

The company competes with interstate pipelines where customers are close enough to connect directly, and customers can switch to alternative fuels including renewables 1. In propane, competition centers on service and price, while electric competition is limited but exposed to other energy sources 1.

In CNG, RNG and LNG services, the company faces other energy service providers, and keeping market share depends on growing its customer base 12. Losing customers to competitors could reduce revenue and cash flow 1.

  • Interstate pipeline operators

    Interstate pipeline operators that could compete directly for customers located near their networks, as noted in the company's risk factors 1.

  • Other propane distributors

    Propane distributors that compete on service and price, a risk the company identifies in its propane business 1.

  • Alternative fuel and renewable energy providers

    Providers of alternative fuels and renewable sources that could draw customers away from natural gas 1.

  • Other electric power providers

    Electric power providers whose actions could change competition in distribution markets, especially if legislation or market conditions shift 1.

News & filings

SEC filings

  • Current report01 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Jul 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 May 2026
  • Current report06 May 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement25 Mar 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Chesapeake Utilities Corporation · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Chesapeake Utilities Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Chesapeake Utilities Corporation · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.