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olivLaw · US equity research

CW CW

Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment · SIC 3590 · Vertical: Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3590)

452.13USD−9.17% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Curtiss-Wright (CW) is a global engineered-products group that supplies mainly Aerospace & Defense markets, plus critical technologies for commercial nuclear power and industry. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported sales of $924 million, up 5%, and raised its full-year 2026 outlook. The company relies on U.S. Government business, which represented 58% of net sales in 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, CW (CW) stock was 452.13 USD (−9.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 16.7 bn USD, P/E 31.1 on diluted EPS of 14.53 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.22%, beta 1.17, 52-week range 452.13–792.77 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 924.0 m USD (+5.4% YoY), net income of 151.2 m USD (+24.9% YoY), diluted EPS 4.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
16.7 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.1
Diluted EPS TTM 14.53 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.21%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.22%
DPS 12m 0.98
Beta (2y)
1.17
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
452.13792.77

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
32.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
458.72 – 520.67
below the lower band · %B -0.11 · band width 12.6%
SMA 50 / 200
532.01 / 666.19
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-18.59 / -20.34
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−16.4%−1.1%−15.3 pp—
3 months−39.6%−0.5%−39.1 pp—
6 months−39.1%+4.4%−43.5 pp—
Year to date−18.0%+12.3%−30.3 pp—
1 year−22.8%+13.5%−36.4 pp−49.2%
3 years+121.9%+76.4%+45.5 pp−18.0%
5 years+232.5%+63.7%+168.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.0%
06 Jul 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−43.0%
06 Jul 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+27.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
924.0 m USD
+5.4% YoY
Net income
151.2 m USD
+24.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.07
+27.6% YoY
net / operating
16.4% / 19.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue798.9 m824.3 m805.6 m876.6 m869.2 m947.0 m913.7 m924.0 m
Cost of revenue500.7 m506.9 m513.2 m550.4 m541.7 m591.5 m582.2 m559.9 m
Gross profit298.3 m317.4 m292.5 m326.2 m327.5 m355.4 m331.5 m364.1 m
Research & development20.7 m25.8 m23.0 m23.3 m23.4 m25.4 m24.2 m25.1 m
Operating income144.9 m154.8 m129.2 m156.3 m166.3 m181.8 m159.5 m178.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation26.7 m26.8 m30.8 m31.3 m31.2 m31.5 m28.4 m28.4 m
Interest expense11.4 m11.7 m10.1 m10.5 m10.5 m12.0 m9.9 m9.9 m
Pre-tax income143.6 m153.2 m125.1 m156.8 m161.2 m177.0 m157.8 m194.3 m
Income tax32.5 m35.3 m23.8 m35.7 m36.3 m40.0 m29.6 m43.1 m
Net income111.2 m117.9 m101.3 m121.1 m124.8 m137.0 m128.2 m151.2 m
Diluted EPS2.893.09 ≈2.683.193.313.69 ≈3.464.07
Operating cash flow177.3 m ≈301.3 m-38.8 m136.6 m ≈192.8 m ≈352.7 m-5.7 m181.2 m ≈
Capex14.6 m ≈23.3 m15.8 m19.4 m ≈16.9 m ≈37.6 m11.8 m29.5 m ≈
Dividends paid8.0 m ≈15.9 m——9.0 m ≈17.8 m——
Share repurchases112.8 m ≈112.4 m14.3 m20.8 m ≈290.0 m ≈139.8 m14.5 m14.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 86 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 13.1, median 22.0, max 52.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.4 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.6 bn2.8 bn3.1 bn3.5 bn
Revenue YoY+6.2%+3.2%−3.9%+4.6%+2.2%+11.3%+9.7%+12.1%
Net income275.7 m307.6 m201.4 m262.8 m294.3 m354.5 m405.0 m484.2 m
Net income YoY+28.3%+11.5%−34.5%+30.5%+12.0%+20.4%+14.2%+19.6%
Diluted EPS6.227.154.806.477.629.2010.5512.87
Diluted EPS YoY+29.6%+15.0%−32.9%+34.8%+17.8%+20.7%+14.7%+22.0%
net %11.4%12.4%8.4%10.5%11.5%12.5%13.0%13.8%
Free cash flow282.9 m351.7 m213.7 m346.6 m256.6 m403.4 m483.3 m553.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
371.3 m USD
Financial debt
957.9 m USD
Net debt
586.5 m USD
Equity
2.5 bn USD
Total assets
5.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
1.44x
ROE
19.4%
ROA
9.5%
FCF margin
15.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
85.8 m
2024
91.6 m
2025
95.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
484.6 m
2024
528.6 m
2025
633.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
116.2 m
2024
107.7 m
2025
124.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
600.8 m ≈
2024
636.3 m ≈
2025
758.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
51.4 m
2024
44.9 m
2025
43.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
463.1 m
2024
522.1 m
2025
620.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
108.6 m
2024
117.1 m
2025
135.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
354.5 m
2024
405.0 m
2025
484.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
9.20
2024
10.55
2025
12.87

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
38.5 m
2024
38.4 m
2025
37.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.79
2024
0.83
2025
0.93

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
406.9 m
2024
385.0 m
2025
371.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 07 May 2026verified

Inventories
2023
510.0 m
2024
541.4 m
2025
615.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
332.8 m
2024
339.1 m
2025
382.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
557.6 m
2024
596.8 m
2025
532.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.6 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
243.8 m
2024
247.2 m
2025
310.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
90.0 m
2025
200.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.1 bn
2024
958.9 m
2025
757.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
806.5 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.3 bn †
2024
2.4 bn †
2025
2.5 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
448.1 m
2024
544.3 m
2025
643.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
44.7 m
2024
61.0 m
2025
89.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
403.4 m ≈
2024
483.3 m ≈
2025
553.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-35.5 m
2024
-283.3 m
2025
-90.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-273.4 m
2024
-271.5 m
2025
-578.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
30.2 m
2024
31.7 m
2025
34.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
50.1 m
2024
250.0 m
2025
465.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
19.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
19.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
18.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
19.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
22.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
21.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
37.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
22.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
19.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
16.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
16.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
480.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
16.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
721.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
95.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
625.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
115.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
89.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
103 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
16.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
17.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
30.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
6.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
4.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
25.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
26.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
6.17
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 69 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

452.13 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 16.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
16.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
6.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
19.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2935derived 237

Score by group

  • Balance sheet92
  • Valuation13
  • Quality100
  • Growth96
  • Returns65

Estimated value range

Low
322.44
USD per share
Mid
363.44
USD per share
High
437.82
USD per share
Price: 452.13 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -19.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -24.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 265.39 – 457.57 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)265.39 – 418.07 (Mid 324.36)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 658.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 26.5%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E379.49 – 457.57 (Mid 402.52)
    3 companies used · median multiple 27.7x · quartiles 26.1x – 31.5x
    EPAC, ETN, MOG-A
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate12.22 – 16.44 (Mid 14.02)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3590)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 69/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality16.3%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality14.8%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality115.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth11.0%92 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth19.1%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.6x97 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet16.2x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x67 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation31.1x0 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation21.3x0 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation3.7%47 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%42 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns5.7%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet92/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth96/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns65/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation13/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

CURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION (CW). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 12.1%; net margin 14.8%; ROE 19.7%; net debt/EBITDA 0.6x.

The estimated value range is 322.44–437.82 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 363.44 USD, the price of 452.13 USD leaves a potential of -19.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -24.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 69/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 16.3%
  • Net margin: 14.8%
  • FCF conversion: 115.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 11.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 19.1%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.6x
  • Interest coverage: 16.2x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 5.7%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 31.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 21.3x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Misc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3590) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
31.1x
vertical median 27.7x
above median (+12.3%)
EV/EBITDA
21.3x
vertical median —
P/S
4.6x
vertical median 4.3x
above median (+6.6%)
P/B
6.0x
vertical median 4.8x
above median (+26.1%)
ROE
19.7%
vertical median -48.9%
above median
Net margin
14.8%
vertical median -100.7%
above median
EBIT margin
18.8%
vertical median -134.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
12.1%
vertical median 5.7%
above median (+110.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.6x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.2%
vertical median 0.4%
below median (−40.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ETNEATON CORPORATION plc137.2 bn35.319.6%12.2%+10.3%+2% / +55%
CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation16.7 bn31.119.7%14.8%+12.1%−23% / +122%
EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.2.2 bn24.520.2%13.8%+5.7%+11% / +55%
ZOOZZOOZ Strategy Ltd.972.0 m—-88.3%-22,505.7%−76.3%−49% / unavailable
VHUBVenhub Global, Inc.21.4 m——-11,799.2%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
LIQTLiqtech International, Inc.10.4 m—-48.9%-63.2%+13.0%−83% / −91%
SMXSMX (Security Matters) Public Limited Company2.1 m—-2,287.2%—unavailable−100% / −100%
HTOOFusion Fuel Green PLC——-204.5%-855.5%−61.3%−53% / −97%
MOG-AMOOG Inc.—27.718.2%8.7%+7.0%+42% / +133%
SHMDSCHMID Group N.V.———-138.3%−32.6%−47% / unavailable
RAINRain Enhancement Technologies Holdco, Inc.————unavailable−89% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for CW from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
287.23
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
506.31
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
760.61
Total return 69% · Per year 69%
3 years
316.46
Total return -29% · Per year -11%
623.98
Total return 39% · Per year 12%
1,023.72
Total return 127% · Per year 32%
5 years
348.66
Total return -22% · Per year -5%
769.00
Total return 72% · Per year 11%
1,377.84
Total return 207% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 156.00
  • Net margin± 109.20
  • Annual revenue growth± 84.37
  • Annual dilution± 9.18

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Curtiss-Wright (CW) is a global engineered-products group that supplies mainly Aerospace & Defense markets, plus critical technologies for commercial nuclear power and industry. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported sales of $924 million, up 5%, and raised its full-year 2026 outlook 2. The company relies on U.S. Government business, which represented 58% of net sales in 2025 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Sole-source positions on long-term defense programs and presence on many military platforms give multi-year visibility 1.
  • Strong 2026 results, with operating margins up in all three segments and record defense electronics demand 2.
  • Diversification across defense, commercial aerospace, nuclear power and industry reduces dependence on a single cycle 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on U.S. Government funding and fixed-price contracts, where the company absorbs most cost overruns 1.
  • Exposure to sole-source suppliers and raw material prices, which can affect margins and delivery timing 1.
  • Defense electronics sales declined in the second quarter of 2026 because of sales timing 2.

Opportunities

  • Higher defense spending and naval programs could expand orders for the company 1.
  • Nuclear revival and small modular reactors could open new markets for pumps and equipment 1.
  • Growing international defense demand, especially in Europe, could raise the share of foreign sales 1.

Threats

  • Delays in defense budgets or multi-year plans could postpone major orders 1.
  • Cyber attacks or intrusions into information systems could disrupt operations and damage reputation 1.
  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensions could raise supply chain costs 1.

Risks

  • Cybersecurityhigh

    The company stores sensitive data, and an intrusion could compromise information, disrupt operations and lead to legal claims 1.

  • Product liability and warrantymedium

    A product failure could lead to claims or recalls, and insurance may not fully cover the obligations 1.

  • Sole-source suppliers and costshigh

    If a sole-source supplier fails to deliver, production could be delayed, and higher material prices may not be fully passed on to customers 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Acquisitions could fail to deliver expected benefits or bring unexpected liabilities, and financing may not be available on acceptable terms 1.

  • Technology developmentmedium

    Markets change quickly, and research spending might not produce competitive products on time 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rising orders, record backlog and a raised 2026 outlook could support profit growth if execution holds 2.
  • Positions on long-term defense programs and nuclear power could provide multi-year visibility 1.
  • Diversification across several markets could limit the impact of any single cycle or program 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on U.S. Government budgets and fixed-price contracts could weigh on margins if costs rise 1.
  • A sales decline in one segment, such as defense electronics in the second quarter, could show timing volatility 2.
  • Higher research and capital spending could reduce cash flow if revenues do not grow enough 2.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the raised 2026 sales and margin guidanceQ3 2026
  • Trend in new orders and the book-to-bill ratioQ3 2026
  • U.S. defense budget funding for 20272027
  • Timing of defense electronics deliveriesnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Curtiss-Wright Corporation is a Delaware corporation headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, that provides highly engineered products, solutions and services mainly to Aerospace & Defense (A&D) markets, and critical technologies for commercial nuclear power, process and industrial markets 1. Its Pivot to Growth strategy targets revenue, operating income and free cash flow growth through organic and acquisition-led expansion, plus shareholder returns through buybacks and dividends 1. In 2025, sales to the U.S. Government and foreign government end use were 58% of net sales, and about 47% came from contracts with U.S. Government agencies and prime contractors 1.

Market context

The company's defense business is tied to U.S. defense budgets and foreign spending, and it notes support for over 400 platforms and 3,000 programs worldwide 1. The U.S. budget outlook includes additional funding that could push defense spending close to a trillion dollars if it is fully realised 1. In commercial aerospace, about 90% of sales in that market come from commercial jets, tied to Boeing and Airbus production rates 1.

In nuclear power, U.S. executive orders aim to expand capacity, and the company has content on every operating reactor in the U.S., Canada and the U.K. 1. Global GDP growth is expected to remain below 3% for the foreseeable future, which could weigh on industrial demand 1. If aircraft output and defense spending hold up, demand could continue to support margin gains 2.

Trends

  • Rising defense budgetstailwind

    Additional funding and NATO spending targets could lift demand for the company's naval and defense electronics products 1. Delays in appropriations or unclear multi-year plans could postpone orders 1.

  • Commercial aircraft production ratestailwind

    Higher Boeing and Airbus production could expand sales of actuation and sensor products, since the company has content on most commercial programs 1. A slowdown in output would have the opposite effect 1.

  • Nuclear power revivalmixed

    Bipartisan support for nuclear energy and data-centre power demand could expand orders for new reactors and upgrades 1. Licensing or construction delays could slow this effect 1.

  • Macro uncertainty and tradeheadwind

    Tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty could raise input costs and weigh on industrial demand, pressuring margins 1. Higher labour and energy costs add to this risk 1.

Competitive position

The company says it competes globally, primarily on technology and pricing, and holds competitive positions through sole-source defense content and long-standing customer relationships 1. Competition could intensify as industry consolidation reduces acquisition targets and pressures prices 1.

In nuclear and industrial markets it competes with specialised suppliers of pumps, valves and reactor equipment; the sources do not name listed competitors with comparable scale 1. The company points to customer relationships and engineering capability as its advantages 1.

  • Defense and aerospace electronics suppliers

    Companies in this group compete for defense electronics and systems contracts, but the sources do not name them, so no verified ticker is given.

  • Commercial aircraft actuation and sensor makers

    Competition in actuation and sensors for commercial OEMs is mentioned in general terms without named companies in the sources.

  • Nuclear power equipment suppliers

    The company operates in a segment served by specialised suppliers; the sources do not name individual competitors.

  • Industrial process equipment providers

    Competition in severe-service valves and industrial equipment is referenced without naming listed companies.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report05 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report06 Oct 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 Sept 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report19 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report11 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 May 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Shareholder vote

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / CW · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / CW · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.