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olivLaw · US equity research

ESAB Corporation ESAB

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC · SIC 3569 · Vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC (SIC 3569)

69.76USD−5.90% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

ESAB is a global producer of welding and cutting equipment and consumables, headquartered in Maryland, USA, that also supplies robotics, gas control systems and digital solutions. The company has widened its portfolio through acquisitions, and in 2026 it closed the Eddyfi deal, so its outlook now depends closely on integrating these assets and on fast-growing markets. Second quarter 2026 sales reached a record level.

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, ESAB Corporation (ESAB) stock was 69.76 USD (−5.90% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.3 bn USD, P/E 25.0 on diluted EPS of 2.80 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.60%, beta 1.37, 52-week range 64.51–134.82 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 807.6 m USD (+12.9% YoY), net income of 32.4 m USD (−51.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.50 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.3 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.0
Diluted EPS TTM 2.80 · TTM to 03 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.01%
TTM to 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.60%
DPS 12m 0.42
Beta (2y)
1.37
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
64.51134.82

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
62.32 – 72.91
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.70 · band width 15.7%
SMA 50 / 200
70.10 / 93.46
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.07 / -0.88
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.9%−0.9%+6.8 pp—
3 months−19.4%+1.2%−20.6 pp—
6 months−28.8%+4.8%−33.6 pp—
Year to date−37.6%+10.7%−48.3 pp—
1 year−40.9%+11.1%−52.0 pp−25.2%
3 years+10.2%+80.7%−70.5 pp+32.8%
5 yearsunavailable+64.6%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.2%
13 Feb 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−52.2%
11 Nov 2024 → 19 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.5%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 03 Jul 2026

Revenue
807.6 m USD
+12.9% YoY
Net income
32.4 m USD
−51.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.50
−54.1% YoY
net / operating
4.0% / 9.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue673.3 m670.8 m678.1 m715.6 m727.8 m721.0 m745.6 m807.6 m
Cost of revenue419.5 m412.4 m422.9 m449.5 m458.5 m463.2 m470.5 m500.4 m
Gross profit253.8 m258.3 m255.2 m266.0 m269.3 m257.8 m275.1 m307.2 m
Research & development9.2 m10.2 m10.1 m10.5 m10.5 m12.9 m12.5 m13.3 m
SG&A145.9 m145.2 m140.9 m155.6 m158.3 m153.7 m174.5 m210.2 m
Operating income106.0 m111.4 m109.8 m109.1 m106.6 m86.6 m90.5 m78.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.1 m16.8 m17.5 m19.4 m21.9 m25.4 m23.9 m27.9 m
Pre-tax income89.1 m96.5 m93.1 m88.1 m83.0 m64.1 m64.9 m48.1 m
Income tax18.1 m22.9 m20.5 m18.3 m17.7 m12.7 m13.1 m11.7 m
Net income68.2 m53.7 m67.4 m66.9 m54.8 m37.7 m47.6 m32.4 m
Diluted EPS1.110.88 ≈1.101.090.900.62 ≈0.780.50
Operating cash flow101.0 m ≈126.9 m35.4 m46.6 m ≈81.5 m ≈97.1 m46.9 m33.4 m ≈
Capex10.6 m24.7 m7.3 m9.2 m11.2 m19.6 m13.7 m17.7 m ≈
Dividends paid4.9 m ≈4.9 m4.9 m4.9 m ≈6.1 m ≈6.1 m6.1 m6.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 18-quarter history (min 9.9, median 24.6, max 33.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.0 bn2.4 bn2.6 bn2.8 bn2.7 bn2.8 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+24.5%+6.8%+7.0%−1.2%+3.7%
Net income157.4 m235.1 m223.7 m205.3 m264.8 m226.8 m
Net income YoYunavailable+49.4%−4.8%−8.3%+29.0%−14.4%
Diluted EPS2.623.923.693.364.313.67
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+49.6%−5.9%−8.9%+28.3%−14.8%
net %8.1%9.7%8.6%7.4%9.7%8.0%
Free cash flow269.0 m215.2 m174.1 m282.3 m303.6 m213.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
185.9 m USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
1.0 bn USD
Equity
2.2 bn USD
Total assets
4.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.56x
Current ratio
1.90x
ROE
11.3%
ROA
5.2%
FCF margin
7.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
38.8 m
2024
39.2 m
2025
44.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
587.5 m
2024
579.8 m
2025
608.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
404.2 m
2024
447.5 m
2025
412.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
75.0 m
2024
66.8 m
2025
84.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
479.2 m ≈
2024
514.2 m ≈
2025
496.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
319.1 m
2024
370.4 m
2025
328.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
95.7 m
2024
77.3 m
2025
69.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
205.3 m
2024
264.8 m
2025
226.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.36
2024
4.31
2025
3.67

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
60.7 m
2024
61.1 m
2025
61.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.23
2024
0.30
2025
0.38

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
102.0 m
2024
249.4 m
2025
185.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
385.2 m
2024
370.3 m
2025
451.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
392.9 m
2024
403.7 m
2025
481.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
997.7 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
294.3 m
2024
298.3 m
2025
381.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
499.5 m
2024
488.0 m
2025
673.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
306.6 m
2024
318.5 m
2025
360.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
15.0 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
620.1 m
2024
632.1 m
2025
664.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
330.5 m
2024
355.4 m
2025
260.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
48.2 m
2024
51.8 m
2025
47.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
282.3 m ≈
2024
303.6 m ≈
2025
213.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-62.2 m
2024
-205.7 m
2025
-479.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-219.7 m
2024
31.7 m
2025
113.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
13.3 m
2024
17.0 m
2025
21.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-29.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
37.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF margin
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROA
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROIC
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROCE
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
15.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
258.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
62.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
196.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
114.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
56.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
61 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
102 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
88 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
6.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
25.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/FCF
22.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
FCF yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.62
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 50 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

69.76 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 03 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 03 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 908derived 75

Score by group

  • Returns45
  • Quality88
  • Growth13
  • Valuation55
  • Balance sheet28

Estimated value range

Low
77.82
USD per share
Mid
84.89
USD per share
High
90.76
USD per share
Price: 69.76 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 21.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 17.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 77.82 – 90.76 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E77.82 – 90.76 (Mid 84.89)
    4 companies used · median multiple 30.4x · quartiles 27.8x – 32.5x
    HSAI, NDSN, RRX, TAYD
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate4.99 – 6.72 (Mid 5.73)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC (SIC 3569)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 50/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.4%90 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality5.7%71 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality114.0%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.1%26 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.2%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.7x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x97 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation25.0x100 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.1x8 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation4.5%57 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.6%8 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns12.4%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet28/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth13/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality88/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns45/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

ESAB Corporation (ESAB). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-03.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.7%; net margin 5.7%; ROE 7.5%; net debt/EBITDA 4.7x.

The estimated value range is 77.82–90.76 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 84.89 USD, the price of 69.76 USD leaves a potential of 21.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 17.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 50/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 7.4%
  • Net margin: 5.7%
  • FCF conversion: 114.0%
  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 25.0x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 12.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 3.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -0.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 14.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

General Industrial Machinery & Equipment, NEC (SIC 3569) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
25.0x
vertical median 32.5x
below median (−23.3%)
EV/EBITDA
14.1x
vertical median 66.9x
below median (−78.9%)
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 6.0x
below median (−76.0%)
P/B
1.7x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−30.5%)
ROE
7.5%
vertical median -1.7%
above median
Net margin
5.7%
vertical median -13.6%
above median
EBIT margin
12.1%
vertical median -15.3%
above median
Revenue YoY
3.7%
vertical median 32.3%
below median (−88.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.7x
vertical median 0.1x
above median (+3,107.6%)
Dividend yield
0.6%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYMSymbotic Inc.22.9 bn789.31.8%0.3%+25.7%−53% / +11%
NDSNNordson Corporation18.0 bn32.617.8%18.6%+3.8%+39% / +52%
RRXRegal Rexnord Corp10.5 bn32.44.8%5.4%−1.6%+12% / +33%
ESABESAB Corporation4.3 bn25.07.5%5.7%+3.7%−41% / +10%
OUSTOuster, Inc.2.1 bn—-18.0%-26.0%+52.5%−11% / +679%
CHRNChronoscale Holdings Corporation2.1 bn—-42.0%-70.3%+459.4%+167% / −12%
HSAIHesai Group1.9 bn28.36.9%14.4%+52.1%−49% / +26%
HLPHongli Group Inc.298.2 m135.33.5%9.9%+39.0%+165% / +89%
AZA2z Cust2mate Solutions Corp.269.0 m—-82.1%-477.6%+47.0%−17% / +60%
SERVServe Robotics Inc.225.4 m—-64.6%-2,315.8%+46.2%−80% / unavailable
TAYDTaylor Devices, Inc.180.2 m26.49.9%17.5%−10.0%+22% / +153%
RRRichtech Robotics Inc.20.1 m—-16.2%-700.1%+19.0%−80% / unavailable
KITTNauticus Robotics, Inc.10.7 m——-1,132.2%+191.8%−98% / −100%
INLFInlif Limited1.2 m—-41.3%-29.6%+16.5%−100% / unavailable
ATSATS Corp——-1.7%-1.1%−16.5%−33% / −45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ESAB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
40.36
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
71.41
Total return 3% · Per year 3%
107.62
Total return 55% · Per year 55%
3 years
38.08
Total return -44% · Per year -18%
75.91
Total return 11% · Per year 3%
125.77
Total return 83% · Per year 22%
5 years
35.93
Total return -46% · Per year -12%
80.69
Total return 19% · Per year 4%
146.98
Total return 115% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 18.98
  • Net margin± 13.28
  • Annual revenue growth± 11.05
  • Annual dilution± 1.12

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

ESAB is a global producer of welding and cutting equipment and consumables, headquartered in Maryland, USA, that also supplies robotics, gas control systems and digital solutions. The company has widened its portfolio through acquisitions, and in 2026 it closed the Eddyfi deal, so its outlook now depends closely on integrating these assets and on fast-growing markets 13. Second quarter 2026 sales reached a record level 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of consumables and equipment, where the consumables share brings recurring revenue, and a strong global presence with operations in many countries.
  • The EBXai management system and a culture of continuous improvement, which management regards as an important competitive advantage.
  • Established experience in acquisitions and their integration, which has allowed rapid expansion of the offering and closing of deals ahead of schedule.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on foreign markets exposes the company to currency, political and trade risks that can affect results.
  • The core market in developed economies is mature and cyclical, which makes organic growth vulnerable to drops in industrial investment.
  • Margins can be squeezed by raw material and logistics costs, especially if not all increases can be passed on to customers.

Opportunities

  • High growth markets and expansion into inspection and monitoring through Eddyfi could open new segments with higher margins.
  • Automation, robotics and digital solutions could increase the value offered to customers and strengthen customer loyalty.
  • If efficiency programs and acquisition integration reach their targets, adjusted margins could improve over time.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and retaliatory measures can raise costs and cause supply chain disruptions.
  • Geopolitical conflicts and sanctions can restrict access to certain markets and affect currency values.
  • Large and regional competitors may pressure prices, and delays in integrating acquisitions could reduce the expected benefits.

Risks

  • Cyclicality of industrial investmenthigh

    Demand depends on customers' capital and maintenance spending. A prolonged decline could reduce orders and the coverage of fixed costs.

  • Exposure to international operationshigh

    Most sales come from outside the US, creating political, currency and regulatory risks that can affect results.

  • Tariffs and trade policymedium

    Tariffs on steel and aluminum and retaliatory measures can raise costs and change sourcing, with effects that are hard to anticipate.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    If the integration of Eddyfi or other acquisitions runs into difficulties, expected synergies could be delayed or reduced.

  • Conflicts and sanctionsmedium

    The war in Ukraine and Middle East tensions can affect logistics, energy prices and operations in the region, and sanctions can restrict access to certain markets.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the Eddyfi acquisition integrates well, the company could enter inspection segments with higher margins and faster growth than its core market.
  • The record second quarter 2026 sales and the raised guidance suggest that demand and acquisitions can offset weak organic pressures.
  • The share of consumables, which is recurring, and the global presence could support revenue even in a weaker industrial cycle.

What would break the thesis

  • Organic growth has remained modest, at only 2.5% in the quarter, which could indicate that industrial demand is still fragile.
  • Most of the raised guidance comes from acquisitions, so if integration proves difficult, performance could fall short of expectations.
  • Tariffs, raw material costs and regional conflicts could keep compressing margins, and higher acquisition debt could limit flexibility.

What to watch

  • Integration of Eddyfi and its contribution to sales and marginsQ3 2026
  • Development of core organic sales growth in both segmentsQ3 2026
  • Update of core adjusted EBITDA guidance and logistics cost trendsQ4 2026
  • Effect of US trade policy on steel and aluminum costsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

ESAB Corporation, founded in 1904 and based in North Bethesda, Maryland, formulates, develops, manufactures and supplies cutting and welding consumables and equipment, robotics and gas control equipment, under several brands, most notably ESAB 1. Products reach customers through independent distributors and direct salespeople in about 150 countries 1. The company describes itself as a focused premier industrial compounder, and its strategy relies on acquisitions that extend its workflow solutions 1. Besides equipment and consumables, ESAB offers digital solutions and automation 1.

Most revenue comes from outside the United States: about 80% of 2025 sales came from operations abroad, and 40% of net sales were in the Americas segment, versus 60% in EMEA and APAC 1. Consumables made up 66% of sales and equipment 34% 1. The gas control business is positioned in markets such as medical and specialty gas control 1.

Acquisitions are a core part of the strategy: in 2025 the company completed four acquisitions, and in January 2026 it agreed to acquire Eddyfi, a global leader in advanced inspection and monitoring technologies, for about 1.45 billion dollars 1. The deal was closed ahead of schedule, according to the second quarter 2026 release 3.

Segments

Americas

The Americas segment includes operations in North America and South America. It generated 40% of net sales in 2025 and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 19.9% 1.

EMEA and APAC

The EMEA and APAC segment covers Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa and Asia Pacific and accounted for most sales, 60% in 2025 1. Its adjusted EBITDA margin was 19.5% in 2025 1.

Market context

The company expects its addressable market to reach about 45 billion dollars by the end of 2028 1. The welding and cutting market is considered mature in developed economies such as North America and Western Europe and is cyclical, with demand depending on industrial capital spending 1. About 52% of 2025 revenue came from high growth markets such as South America, Eastern Europe, India, Asia Pacific and the Middle East, which the company expects to grow faster than developed markets 1.

Competition is fragmented, and no single company competes with ESAB across all markets; regional firms, specialists and larger players each target niches 1. The main criteria are technical ability to meet specifications, product quality, brand, price, application expertise and aftermarket support 1.

Competitive position

ESAB faces regional competitors, firms specialized in particular markets and larger competitors. The filings explicitly name Lincoln Electric and the welding business within Illinois Tool Works as active in the same markets 1. The company considers itself a leading competitor in each of its markets 1.

ESAB's stated advantages are global scale combined with regional agility, a broad range of consumables and equipment, and its EBXai management system 1. If rivals expand their digital and automation offerings, competitive pressure could increase.

  • Lincoln ElectricLECO

    Active in welding markets; named explicitly in ESAB filings as a competitor in the same markets.

  • Illinois Tool Works, welding businessITW

    The welding business of a larger industrial group, named as active in ESAB's markets.

  • Regional competitors

    Well-established regional firms present in local markets and competing in specific niches.

  • Niche specialists

    Companies competing on particular product lines or applications without a broad generalist presence.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report06 Aug 2026
  • Current report06 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Jun 2026
    Acquisition or disposition of assets · Item 3.02 · Item 3.03 · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 May 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report07 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Apr 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement27 Mar 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / ESAB Corporation · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / ESAB Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / ESAB Corporation · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

ESAB Corporation (ESAB): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw