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olivLaw · US equity research

Escalade, Incorporated ESCA

Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC · SIC 3949 · Vertical: Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC (SIC 3949)

20.39USD−3.50% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Escalade designs and sells sporting goods and recreation equipment under brands such as Goalrilla, Bear Archery and STIGA, and extended its portfolio with the Gold Tip acquisition in September 2025. In the second quarter of 2026 net sales rose 6.2% to 57.7 million USD, but part of the profit came from a one-time tariff recovery, which makes the underlying operating base important to track.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Escalade, Incorporated (ESCA) stock was 20.39 USD (−3.50% on the day), with market capitalisation 280.5 m USD, P/E 11.7 on diluted EPS of 1.75 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.97%, beta 0.82, 52-week range 11.54–22.60 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 65.6 m USD (−3.2% YoY), net income of 6.7 m USD (+21.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.48 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
280.5 m USD
shares as of 21 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.7
Diluted EPS TTM 1.75 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
8.57%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.97%
Beta (2y)
0.82
Volatility (1y) 39%
52-week range
11.5422.60

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
17.32 – 20.96
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.84 · band width 19.0%
SMA 50 / 200
19.41 / 18.27
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.36 / 0.09
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.3%−1.1%+10.4 pp—
3 months−8.3%−0.5%−7.9 pp—
6 months+3.0%+4.4%−1.4 pp—
Year to date+51.1%+12.3%+38.8 pp—
1 year+70.3%+13.5%+56.8 pp−0.6%
3 years+11.7%+76.4%−64.7 pp−9.6%
5 years+1.2%+63.7%−62.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−19.3%
07 Aug 2026 → 13 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−52.8%
24 Nov 2021 → 13 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
65.6 m USD
−3.2% YoY
Net income
6.7 m USD
+21.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.48
+20.0% YoY
net / operating
10.3% / 13.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue63.9 m55.5 m54.3 m67.8 m62.6 m55.8 m57.7 m65.6 m
Cost of revenue48.0 m40.7 m40.9 m48.7 m45.2 m38.6 m42.6 m46.4 m
SG&A10.9 m10.6 m10.2 m11.2 m11.6 m10.7 m12.5 m11.6 m
Operating income4.5 m3.7 m2.6 m7.3 m5.2 m5.8 m11.9 m8.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.4 m1.2 m1.3 m1.3 m1.3 m1.2 m1.3 m ≈1.3 m ≈
Interest expense307.0 k244.0 k213.0 k204.0 k175.0 k188.0 k176.0 k165.0 k
Pre-tax income4.3 m3.4 m2.5 m7.1 m5.0 m5.7 m12.2 m8.7 m
Income tax1.6 m820.0 k634.0 k1.6 m1.3 m1.4 m2.8 m2.0 m
Net income2.7 m2.6 m1.8 m5.6 m3.7 m4.4 m9.4 m6.7 m
Diluted EPS0.19 ≈0.190.130.400.27 ≈0.320.680.48
Operating cash flow12.3 m3.8 m13.3 m ≈-965.0 k ≈14.9 m6.1 m8.7 m ≈14.9 m ≈
Capex556.0 k543.0 k433.0 k ≈291.0 k ≈1.2 m848.0 k442.0 k ≈955.0 k ≈
Dividends paid2.1 m2.1 m2.1 m ≈2.1 m ≈2.1 m2.1 m2.1 m ≈2.1 m ≈
Share repurchases2.2 m1.4 m790.0 k ≈0 ≈927.0 k281.0 k1.0 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 40 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 6.7, median 13.7, max 28.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue175.8 m180.5 m273.6 m313.6 m313.8 m263.6 m251.5 m240.2 m
Revenue YoY−0.9%+2.7%+51.6%+14.6%+0.0%−16.0%−4.6%−4.5%
Net income20.4 m7.3 m25.9 m24.4 m18.0 m9.8 m13.0 m13.7 m
Net income YoY+45.4%−64.5%+257.3%−5.9%−26.3%−45.4%+32.1%+5.5%
Diluted EPS1.410.501.821.761.310.710.930.99
Diluted EPS YoY+43.9%−64.5%+264.0%−3.3%−25.6%−45.8%+31.0%+6.5%
net %11.6%4.0%9.5%7.8%5.7%3.7%5.2%5.7%
Free cash flow3.7 m13.9 m-2.8 m-8.6 m6.5 m46.2 m34.0 m28.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
11.9 m USD
Financial debt
18.5 m USD
Net debt
6.6 m USD
Equity
173.2 m USD
Total assets
222.1 m USD
Debt / equity
0.11x
Current ratio
4.28x
ROE
8.0%
ROA
6.1%
FCF margin
11.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
263.6 m
2024
251.5 m
2025
240.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
201.8 m
2024
189.3 m
2025
175.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
61.8 m ≈
2024
62.2 m ≈
2025
64.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
3.1 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
3.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
41.5 m
2024
43.3 m
2025
43.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
17.8 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
18.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.7 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
5.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
23.5 m ≈
2024
26.0 m ≈
2025
23.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
5.3 m
2024
2.3 m
2025
836.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
12.5 m
2024
17.8 m
2025
18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.7 m
2024
4.8 m
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
9.8 m
2024
13.0 m
2025
13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.71
2024
0.93
2025
0.99

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
13.9 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
13.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
16.0 k
2024
4.2 m
2025
11.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
50.0 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
46.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
92.5 m
2024
76.0 m
2025
68.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
146.8 m
2024
133.8 m
2025
130.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
23.8 m
2024
22.2 m
2025
22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
42.3 m
2024
42.3 m
2025
42.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
28.6 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
25.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
253.0 m
2024
226.3 m
2025
222.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
7.1 m
2024
7.1 m
2025
7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
43.8 m
2024
18.5 m
2025
11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
33.3 m
2024
34.5 m
2025
30.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
88.4 m
2024
57.3 m
2025
48.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
164.6 m †
2024
169.0 m †
2025
173.2 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
48.3 m
2024
36.0 m
2025
31.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.1 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
2.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
46.2 m ≈
2024
34.0 m ≈
2025
28.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.9 m
2024
3.9 m
2025
-4.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-50.3 m
2024
-35.8 m
2025
-18.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
6.2 m
2024
8.3 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
2.2 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-2.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-12.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
6.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-16.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
28.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
15.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
17.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
10.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
13.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
16.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
20.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-11.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
44.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
44.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
3.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
41.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
169.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
121.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
76 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
167 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
280.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
269.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
8.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
6.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 67 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

20.39 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 280.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
280.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 21 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2641derived 193

Score by group

  • Growth0
  • Returns72
  • Balance sheet80
  • Valuation83
  • Quality82

Estimated value range

Low
33.59
USD per share
Mid
39.59
USD per share
High
50.96
USD per share
Price: 20.39 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 94.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 48.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 29.38 – 55.12 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)33.59 – 50.96 (Mid 40.32)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 41.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA29.38 – 34.53 (Mid 32.50)
    3 companies used · median multiple 11.9x · quartiles 10.7x – 12.6x
    CALY, GOLF, YETI
  • Peers: P/E37.68 – 55.12 (Mid 39.59)
    3 companies used · median multiple 22.7x · quartiles 21.6x – 31.5x
    GOLF, PTON, YETI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC (SIC 3949)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 67/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality13.2%60 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality10.0%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality169.7%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.5%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.9%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.3x60 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet44.9x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.0x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.7x83 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation7.3x70 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation14.7%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.8%54 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns20.2%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet80/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality82/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns72/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation83/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

ESCALADE, INCORPORATED (ESCA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 240.2 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -4.5%; net margin 10.0%; ROE 13.5%; net debt/EBITDA -0.3x.

The estimated value range is 33.59–50.96 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 39.59 USD, the price of 20.39 USD leaves a potential of 94.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 48.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 67/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 10.0%
  • FCF conversion: 169.7%
  • Interest coverage: 44.9x
  • Current ratio: 3.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 11.7x
  • FCF yield: 14.7%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 20.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -8.9%

Versus the vertical median

Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC (SIC 3949) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.7x
vertical median 22.7x
below median (−48.5%)
EV/EBITDA
7.3x
vertical median 11.9x
below median (−38.2%)
P/S
1.2x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−9.2%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+13.3%)
ROE
13.5%
vertical median -9.6%
above median
Net margin
10.0%
vertical median -3.1%
above median
EBIT margin
13.1%
vertical median -2.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
-4.5%
vertical median -0.5%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.3x
vertical median 0.1x
below median (−322.2%)
Dividend yield
3.0%
vertical median 1.8%
above median (+67.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.4.8 bn22.725.7%8.2%+4.1%−1% / +48%
YETIYETI Holdings, Inc.3.4 bn20.525.3%9.2%unavailable+13% / +10%
CALYCallaway Golf Company2.8 bn—-11.3%-12.4%−0.8%+24% / +30%
ESCAEscalade, Incorporated280.5 m11.713.5%10.0%−4.5%+70% / +12%
AOUTAmerican Outdoor Brands, Inc.217.7 m—-2.4%-2.0%−14.3%+141% / +101%
CLARClarus Corporation162.7 m—-14.9%-12.4%−5.2%+19% / −25%
KBSXFST Corp.61.3 m—-7.8%-3.1%+31.4%−3% / −88%
GMEXGmex Robotics Corporation9.4 m—-91.5%-308.0%+7.9%−100% / −100%
NWTGNewton Golf Company, Inc.4.1 m—-2,023.2%-124.4%+136.1%−55% / −100%
TRUGTrugolf Holdings, Inc.528.4 k—-349.3%-55.7%−13.6%−100% / −100%
PTONPeloton Interactive, Inc.—40.4—2.6%−1.8%−17% / 0%
JOUTJohnson Outdoors Inc.——-1.8%-1.2%−0.1%+16% / −10%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ESCA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
10.99
Total return -46% · Per year -46%
19.54
Total return -4% · Per year -4%
29.56
Total return 45% · Per year 45%
3 years
8.73
Total return -57% · Per year -25%
17.63
Total return -14% · Per year -5%
29.56
Total return 45% · Per year 13%
5 years
6.93
Total return -66% · Per year -19%
15.91
Total return -22% · Per year -5%
29.56
Total return 45% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 4.41
  • Net margin± 3.09
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.79
  • Annual dilution± 0.26

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

Escalade designs and sells sporting goods and recreation equipment under brands such as Goalrilla, Bear Archery and STIGA, and extended its portfolio with the Gold Tip acquisition in September 2025. In the second quarter of 2026 net sales rose 6.2% to 57.7 million USD, but part of the profit came from a one-time tariff recovery, which makes the underlying operating base important to track.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of recognized brands across several niche categories, with leadership positions claimed in table tennis and residential basketball goals 1.
  • Long experience in manufacturing and importing, which supports a competitive cost model and relatively quick launches of new products 1.
  • A balance sheet that strengthened in 2026, with lower debt and available credit, giving flexibility in difficult periods 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on a few large customers makes revenues sensitive to their purchasing decisions 1.
  • The second quarter 2026 result was lifted by a one-time tariff recovery, which makes reported profit harder to compare with earlier periods 3.
  • Sales declined in 2025, and excess inventory hurt results in the past, although inventory has since been reduced 1.

Opportunities

  • Brand acquisitions in categories with barriers to entry could widen the portfolio and add growth, in line with the stated strategy 13.
  • Developing the company's own direct-to-consumer e-commerce channel could improve margins and customer relationships 1.
  • Archery, safety and table tennis categories showed recent growth and could keep supporting sales if demand holds 3.

Threats

  • New tariffs and freight costs could reduce margins and limit price competitiveness 23.
  • Discretionary demand could weaken if inflation and energy costs persist, as management warns 2.
  • Pressure from larger competitors and powerful retailers could affect pricing and shelf access 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    Losing or reducing orders from a major customer could significantly affect revenues and financial condition, and the company needs to broaden its customer base 1.

  • Tariffs and supply chainhigh

    Tariffs, shipping delays and supply chain disruptions could raise costs and interrupt deliveries 12.

  • Executive leadership transitionmedium

    The move to a new chief executive could cause operational disruption and divert management attention from other priorities 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Recent and future acquisitions could bring integration difficulties, additional debt or goodwill impairment 1.

  • Credit refinancinglow

    The revolving facility and the term loan maturing in January 2027 could become a concern if cash generation weakens 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If margins stay above historical levels and growth in archery and safety continues, results could show a shift toward steadier profitability.
  • A less indebted balance sheet and available credit could allow strategic acquisitions without major pressure on liquidity.
  • If the direct-to-consumer e-commerce channel grows, the company could capture more margin and depend less on large retailers.

What would break the thesis

  • Second quarter profit may rest largely on a one-time recovery, and without it the operating result could look much more modest.
  • Dependence on a few large customers could mean that any reduction in orders quickly shows up in quarterly revenues.
  • If tariffs and freight costs rise more than expected, margins could fall back to lower levels.

What to watch

  • Gross margin trend after tariff and freight cost effectsQ3 2026
  • Sales growth excluding tariff recovery contributions2026
  • Renewal or refinancing of the revolving facility and the term loanQ1 2027
  • Any new brand acquisitions and their integrationnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

Escalade, Incorporated operates in one segment, Sporting Goods (Escalade Sports), headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, with more than 95 years of manufacturing and selling experience 1. The company makes, imports and distributes brands in basketball goals, archery, table tennis, pickleball, fitness, billiards, darts and outdoor games through major retailers, specialty dealers, online retailers and direct-to-consumer channels 1. Its strategy rests on product innovation, strong brands and strategic acquisitions, with Gold Tip and AllCornhole added in 2025 1.

Customer concentration is a central feature of the model: one customer accounted for approximately 19% of revenues in 2025, and another for approximately 11% 1. The company manufactures some products in the USA and imports others from South America and Asia through several contract manufacturers 1.

On the liquidity side, Escalade ended the second quarter of 2026 with 16.4 million USD in cash and equivalents, and availability of 56.7 million USD on its senior secured revolving credit facility 3. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of 0.1525 USD per share 3.

Segments

Sporting Goods (Escalade Sports)

The only reported segment, with net sales of 240,158 thousand USD in 2025, down 4.5% from 2024 1. Categories include basketball, archery, billiards, outdoor games, fitness and water sports, and in the second quarter of 2026 growth came from archery, safety, table tennis and basketball 3.

Recreation and game accessories

This category includes billiards, darts, pickleball and cornhole brands, some recently acquired, such as AllCornhole in December 2025 1. The aim is to expand into categories with barriers to entry, which could support growth if demand holds steady.

Market context

The sporting goods market is described as fragmented and intensely competitive, with many categories growing slowly and larger competitors having substantially greater financial resources 1. Demand can shift quickly, and online channels are gaining importance alongside traditional retail 1.

The macroeconomic backdrop remains a key variable: management points to inflation, energy costs, interest rates and weaker consumer confidence as factors that could affect demand 2. High uncertainty could limit growth in discretionary categories.

Trends

  • Tariffs and tariff recoveriesmixed

    New US tariffs could raise import costs, yet the company has recognized recoveries of earlier tariffs, which strongly influenced the second quarter 2026 result 23.

  • Archery category growthtailwind

    The Gold Tip acquisition and new product launches supported archery sales, pointing to a direction of growth in the category with the strongest recent traction 3.

  • Freight and material costsheadwind

    The company expects higher costs from freight rates, commodity inflation and new tariffs, which could compress margins if not offset 3.

  • Margin recovery and deleveragingtailwind

    Gross margin rose in 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026 while debt declined, which could give flexibility for acquisitions and investment 13.

Competitive position

The company states that no single competitor offers the same range of products, but competition exists across nearly every product line 1. Competitors may be regional, national or international, and some have far greater resources for promotion and pricing 1.

Escalade's stated advantages are its relationships with major customers, its manufacturing and import experience, and its ability to launch new products at controlled cost 1. Dependence on a few large customers, however, means losing one could significantly affect revenues 1.

  • US and foreign sporting goods and recreation manufacturers

    The company describes larger competitors with greater financial resources that may discount prices more heavily 1. The sources do not name them.

  • Major sporting goods retailers and mass merchants

    These players compete for shelf space and online visibility, which shapes the company's negotiating position 1.

  • Online retail platforms

    E-commerce is both a channel and a competitor, which the company is trying to build through its own direct-to-consumer channel 1.

  • Game table and equipment manufacturers

    The sources do not detail these competitors, but the company acknowledges competition in billiards, darts and outdoor games 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Escalade, Incorporated · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Escalade, Incorporated · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Escalade, Incorporated · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.