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olivLaw · US equity research

Friedman Industries, Incorporated FRD

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills · SIC 3310 · Vertical: Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills (SIC 3310)

35.50USD−8.48% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Friedman Industries, Incorporated is a Texas metals manufacturer and processor operating in two segments: flat-roll products and tubular products. In the first fiscal 2027 quarter ended June 30, 2026, net sales reached 239.971 million USD and the company reported record volumes, a context shaped by strong steel price trends.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Friedman Industries, Incorporated (FRD) stock was 35.50 USD (−8.48% on the day), with market capitalisation 256.1 m USD, P/E 40.8 on diluted EPS of 0.87 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.45%, beta 0.67, 52-week range 17.01–48.08 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 240.0 m USD (+78.1% YoY), net income of 12.8 m USD (+154.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.79 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
256.1 m USD
shares as of 06 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.8
Diluted EPS TTM 0.87 · TTM to 31 Mar 2025
E/P (TTM)
2.45%
TTM to 31 Mar 2025
Dividend yield
0.45%
DPS 12m 0.16
Beta (2y)
0.67
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
17.0148.08

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
28.9
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
38.09 – 44.88
below the lower band · %B -0.38 · band width 16.3%
SMA 50 / 200
41.79 / 29.83
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.59 / -0.02
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−16.0%−1.1%−14.9 pp—
3 months−5.9%−0.5%−5.4 pp—
6 months+68.8%+4.4%+64.4 pp—
Year to date+73.3%+12.3%+60.9 pp—
1 year+63.7%+13.5%+50.2 pp−2.8%
3 years+219.8%+76.4%+143.4 pp−1.4%
5 years+167.9%+63.7%+104.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.2%
17 Aug 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−50.0%
12 Nov 2021 → 07 Jul 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+21.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
240.0 m USD
+78.1% YoY
Net income
12.8 m USD
+154.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.79
+152.1% YoY
net / operating
5.3% / 8.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q1 '27
Revenue114.6 m106.8 m94.1 m129.2 m134.8 m152.4 m168.0 m240.0 m
Cost of revenue115.9 m107.0 m2.2 m434.5 m127.7 m149.5 m164.1 m218.9 m
SG&A4.5 m3.9 m3.9 m3.8 m5.5 m6.3 m7.2 m10.8 m
Operating income-1.4 m-224.0 k-1.2 m5.9 m7.0 m2.9 m3.9 m21.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation795.0 k823.0 k827.0 k846.0 k847.0 k937.0 k1.0 m1.1 m
Interest expense681.0 k869.0 k632.0 k771.0 k678.0 k754.0 k1.3 m1.2 m
Pre-tax income3.3 m-902.0 k-1.6 m6.8 m6.6 m3.0 m4.0 m17.0 m
Income tax732.0 k-227.0 k-400.0 k1.5 m1.6 m737.0 k961.0 k4.2 m
Net income2.6 m-675.0 k-1.2 m5.3 m5.0 m2.2 m3.0 m12.8 m
Diluted EPS0.37-0.10-0.17—0.710.320.431.79
Operating cash flow-6.1 m10.8 m ≈2.7 m ≈-11.8 m15.5 m437.0 k ≈-4.7 m ≈7.3 m
Capex1.1 m846.0 k ≈1.1 m ≈957.0 k1.8 m2.5 m ≈1.6 m ≈2.2 m
Dividends paid279.0 k278.0 k ≈279.0 k ≈279.0 k282.0 k283.0 k ≈281.0 k ≈284.0 k
Share repurchases123.0 k11.0 k ≈37.0 k ≈010.0 k-1.0 k ≈1.0 k ≈82.0 k

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 92 percentile of its own 24-quarter history (min 2.0, median 7.7, max 615.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2018201920202021⚠ 2022202320242025
Revenue121.2 m187.2 m142.1 m126.1 m285.2 m547.5 m516.3 m444.6 m
Revenue YoY+55.8%+54.5%−24.1%−11.3%—+92.0%−5.7%−13.9%
Net income3.9 m5.1 m-5.2 m11.4 m14.1 m21.3 m17.3 m6.1 m
Net income YoYunavailable+29.6%−202.9%unavailable—+51.7%−18.7%−64.9%
Diluted EPS0.560.73-0.751.632.042.912.390.87
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+30.4%−202.7%unavailable—+42.6%−17.9%−63.6%
net %3.2%2.7%-3.7%9.1%4.9%3.9%3.4%1.4%
Free cash flow2.9 m8.8 m6.3 m3.8 m-21.5 m47.4 m-813.0 k-8.4 m

The series breaks before 2022: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Mar 2025

Cash
3.7 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
132.4 m USD
Total assets
226.8 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
4.34x
ROE
4.7%
ROA
2.7%
FCF margin
-1.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
547.5 m
2024
516.3 m
2025
444.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
504.5 m
2024
491.7 m
2025
441.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
43.1 m ≈
2024
24.5 m ≈
2025
2.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025derived

SG&A
2023
21.9 m
2024
21.0 m
2025
16.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Operating income
2023
21.1 m
2024
24.5 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
2.5 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
23.6 m ≈
2024
27.6 m ≈
2025
6.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
2.2 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
28.2 m
2024
23.3 m
2025
7.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Income tax
2023
6.8 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Net income
2023
21.3 m
2024
17.3 m
2025
6.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.91
2024
2.39
2025
0.87

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
7.2 m
2024
7.2 m
2025
6.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.08
2024
0.10
2025
0.16

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.0 m
2024
2.9 m
2025
3.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Receivables
2023
49.4 m
2024
47.3 m
2025
47.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Inventories
2023
86.2 m
2024
115.8 m
2025
113.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Current assets
2023
143.7 m
2024
170.1 m
2025
166.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
53.9 m
2024
56.8 m
2025
56.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Total assets
2023
199.3 m
2024
230.0 m
2025
226.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
36.8 m
2024
43.9 m
2025
35.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
45.1 m
2024
54.1 m
2025
38.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
83.9 m
2024
102.5 m
2025
94.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Equity
2023
115.4 m †
2024
127.5 m †
2025
132.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
63.9 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
-4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Capex
2023
16.5 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
47.4 m ≈
2024
-813.0 k ≈
2025
-8.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-88.2 m
2024
-5.8 m
2025
-3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
13.6 m
2024
1.3 m
2025
6.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
589.0 k
2024
581.0 k
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
37.0 k
2024
5.2 m
2025
171.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
25.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-87.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-64.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-24.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-63.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-24.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
-49.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
EBITDA margin
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
EBIT margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
FCF margin
-1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025

Returns

ROE
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-658.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Capital expenditure
6.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Free cash flow
-7.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
FCF conversion
-47.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Cash conversion
-2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
61 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
26 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
80 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
256.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Earnings yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
3.58
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

35.50 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 256.1 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
256.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
16.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-13.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Dec 2025

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2198derived 161

Score by group

  • Returns6
  • Growth50
  • Balance sheet78
  • Valuation34
  • Quality33

Estimated value range

Low
2.10
USD per share
Mid
2.41
USD per share
High
2.83
USD per share
Price: 35.50 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -93.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -1,372.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.10 – 2.83 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)2.10 – 2.83 (Mid 2.41)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills (SIC 3310)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality2.7%67 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality-47.6%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth15.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-24.7%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.7x64 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.9x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation16.4x62 (on a fixed band)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-2.9%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.4%6 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet78/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality33/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial6/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation34/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FRIEDMAN INDUSTRIES INC (FRD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 444.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -13.9%; net margin 2.7%; ROE 10.4%.

The estimated value range is 2.10–2.83 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 2.41 USD, the price of 35.50 USD leaves a potential of -93.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -1,372.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 15.9%
  • Current ratio: 2.9x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -47.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -24.7%
  • FCF yield: -2.9%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.4%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills (SIC 3310) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
16.4x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 23.4x
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−35.4%)
P/B
1.6x
vertical median 1.6x
at median
ROE
10.4%
vertical median -0.5%
above median
Net margin
2.7%
vertical median 0.6%
above median (+324.4%)
EBIT margin
3.4%
vertical median 5.6%
below median (−40.2%)
Revenue YoY
-13.9%
vertical median 11.1%
below median (−224.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.5x
Dividend yield
0.5%
vertical median 1.8%
below median (−74.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WORWorthington Enterprises, Inc3.0 bn18.516.3%11.5%+19.7%+12% / +38%
WSWorthington Steel, Inc.1.8 bn—-3.6%-0.7%+11.3%+6% / +31%
ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.940.7 m—-15.6%-10.4%+11.0%−37% / −53%
IIINInsteel Industries Inc.521.4 m17.87.9%4.0%+14.2%−12% / −21%
FRDFriedman Industries Inc256.1 m16.410.4%2.7%−13.9%+64% / +220%
GGBGerdau S.A.——2.5%2.0%+4.2%+22% / +18%
SIDNational Steel Co——-17.4%-5.9%−3.9%−51% / −76%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FRD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
23.20
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
40.83
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
61.24
Total return 73% · Per year 73%
3 years
27.52
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
53.99
Total return 52% · Per year 15%
88.18
Total return 148% · Per year 35%
5 years
32.64
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
71.40
Total return 101% · Per year 15%
126.98
Total return 258% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 13.50
  • Net margin± 9.45
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.05
  • Annual dilution± 0.79

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Friedman Industries, Incorporated is a Texas metals manufacturer and processor operating in two segments: flat-roll products and tubular products. In the first fiscal 2027 quarter ended June 30, 2026, net sales reached 239.971 million USD and the company reported record volumes, a context shaped by strong steel price trends.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a solid balance sheet, with total assets and stockholders' equity both rising in the recent quarter 3. Diversification across two segments and a broad processing capability are strengths 1.
  • Rapid delivery and a wide range of processed gauges and widths are advantages against other processors 1.

Weaknesses

  • Margins depend heavily on HRC price movements, which makes results volatile 2.
  • The company relies on a limited number of raw material suppliers, and losing one could have a material adverse effect 1.
  • Sales concentration in the flat-roll segment, with one major customer, exposes the company to losing an important relationship 1.

Opportunities

  • Continued organic volume growth and better use of existing capacity could support higher revenue 3.
  • Integrating Century Metals could open access to new customers and a wider geographic footprint 3.
  • If demand from the energy and construction sectors stays robust, the tubular segment could grow 13.

Threats

  • A rapid drop in HRC prices could compress margins and generate hedging losses 2.
  • Competition from other service centers and producers could pressure selling prices 1.
  • Supply interruptions or higher freight costs could affect on-time delivery 12.

Risks

  • Raw material price volatilityhigh

    HRC prices directly influence margins, and a reversal of the cycle could reduce quarterly results 2. Hedging with derivatives only partly reduces this exposure.

  • Supplier dependencemedium

    Purchasing from a limited number of suppliers means losing one could have a material adverse effect on the business 1.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    One major flat-roll customer accounts for a significant share of sales, and its loss could affect revenue 1.

  • Acquisition integrationlow

    Integrating Century Metals carries added costs and the risk that expected benefits are not fully realized 23.

  • Hedging losseslow

    Losses on commodity hedges can reduce net earnings in a given quarter even when operations perform well 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Record volumes, a significant part of them from existing operations, suggest that demand and capacity utilization are improving 3.
  • Margins improved markedly in the recent quarter, and management expects sequential margin improvement in the next quarter 23.
  • Diversification across two segments and acquisition-led expansion could support long-term growth if execution holds 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Recent results depend on a favorable HRC price cycle, and a reversal could erase the margin benefit 2.
  • Processing, delivery and personnel costs have risen with volume, which could limit profitability gains 2.
  • Dependence on a few suppliers and one major customer could expose the company to operational shocks 1.

What to watch

  • Movement in volumes and average selling price versus the prior quarterQ2 2027
  • Adjusted gross profit as a percentage of salesQ2 2027
  • Century Metals contribution to revenue and profitnext 10-Q
  • HRC price trend and hedging results2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Friedman Industries, Incorporated is a Texas corporation incorporated in 1965 that manufactures and processes metals. Its business runs through two reportable segments: flat-roll products and tubular products, with facilities in Arkansas, Alabama, Florida, Indiana, Illinois and Texas plus a distribution facility in Orlando 1. It had 381 full-time employees, all in the United States, at March 31, 2026 1. In August 2025 it acquired Century Metals & Supplies, which added volume and geographic reach 23.

Flat-roll processing includes cut-to-length, leveling, temper rolling and slitting, plus a fiber laser at Granite City that turns sheet and plate into customer parts 1. Customers are mainly metals distributors and makers of metal buildings, railcars, heavy equipment and containers 1. The tubular segment operates in Lone Star, Texas, with two API-licensed electric resistance welded pipe mills producing line pipe, oil country pipe and structural pipe 1.

The company is not reliant on a single customer, though sales to O'Neal Steel accounted for about 15% of total sales in fiscal 2026 1. Inventory is purchased from a limited number of suppliers, and the loss of any one could have a material adverse effect on the business 1.

Segments

Tubular products

The segment accounted for about 8% of fiscal 2026 sales 1. In the quarter ended June 30, 2026, sales were about 18.2 million USD and operating earnings about 2.1 million USD 23.

Market context

The business is non-seasonal and highly competitive, competing with metal service centers, tubular manufacturers, metals distributors and brokers 1. Demand from the Midwest, Southwest and Southeast of the United States has been a key driver of recent growth 13. HRC prices rose about 28% in the preceding quarter and a further 10% during the quarter ended June 30, 2026, which directly shapes margins 2.

The company uses HRC futures, options and swaps to partly manage commodity exposure, recording hedging losses of about 2.8 million USD in the quarter versus a 0.3 million USD gain a year earlier 2. For the second fiscal 2027 quarter it expects volumes comparable to the first, with sequential margin improvement if average selling prices rise 3.

Trends

  • HRC price cyclemixed

    Hot-rolled coil prices rose sharply, which compressed purchase margins and lifted selling margins, a positive for recent profitability 23. If prices were to correct downward, margins could return toward weaker past levels.

  • Record volumes and demandtailwind

    Record volumes reflect both stronger customer demand and higher utilization of capacity, with a meaningful part coming from existing operations rather than acquisitions alone 3. This supports organic growth.

  • Integration of Century Metalsmixed

    The Century Metals & Supplies acquisition brought extra volume but also added operating costs, notably incentive pay and running expenses 23. Integration appears to be progressing well, though long-term effects depend on execution.

  • Processing and delivery costsheadwind

    Processing, warehousing and delivery costs rose with volume, partly offsetting the benefit of higher sales 2. If these costs kept rising faster than revenue, margins could come under pressure.

Competitive position

The company competes with other metal service centers, tubular manufacturers, metals distributors and brokers, mainly on price and on the ability to deliver to customer specifications on a rapid-delivery basis 1. Its edge rests on rapid delivery across several regional markets in the United States 1.

The market is fragmented, and rivals are largely private firms or divisions of industrial groups, so the sources do not provide a full list of listed competitors 1. The filings analyzed do not give a comparative market share 1.

  • Other metal service centers

    Direct competition in processing and rapid delivery of sheet and coil, described generically in the annual report 1.

  • Tubular and pipe manufacturers

    Rivals in the tubular segment, particularly ERW pipe for line pipe and structural uses 1.

  • Metals distributors and brokers

    Rivals selling similar products to construction and equipment customers 1.

  • Hot-rolled coil suppliers and large distributors

    Supply-chain participants whose access and pricing can influence raw material availability 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Friedman Industries, Incorporated · 11 Jun 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Friedman Industries, Incorporated · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Friedman Industries, Incorporated · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.