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olivLaw · US equity research

H&R Block, Inc. HRB

Services-Personal Services · SIC 7200 · Vertical: Services-Personal Services (SIC 7200)

55.47USD+4.38% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

H&R Block is one of the largest providers of tax return preparation services in the United States, Canada and Australia, complemented by financial products and small business solutions. Fiscal 2026 revenue was 3.95 billion USD, and the company entered fiscal 2027 with growth guidance and a policy of returning capital to shareholders.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, H&R Block, Inc. (HRB) stock was 55.47 USD (+4.38% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.8 bn USD, P/E 9.8 on diluted EPS of 5.66 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.03%, beta 0.06, 52-week range 28.34–55.47 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (+3.0% YoY), net income of 293.7 m USD (−1.9% YoY), diluted EPS 2.31 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.8 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
9.8
Diluted EPS TTM 5.66 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
10.20%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
3.03%
DPS 12m 1.68
Beta (2y)
0.06
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
28.3455.47

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
74.3
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
42.50 – 54.59
above the upper band · %B 1.07 · band width 24.9%
SMA 50 / 200
46.75 / 39.32
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.10 / 1.40
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+32.1%−2.0%+34.1 pp—
3 months+20.9%−2.2%+23.1 pp—
6 months+89.2%+4.3%+84.9 pp—
Year to date+27.3%+10.6%+16.7 pp—
1 year+11.0%+10.5%+0.5 pp−19.1%
3 years+30.0%+73.7%−43.7 pp−16.0%
5 years+119.8%+61.7%+58.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−44.9%
06 Nov 2025 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−57.4%
20 Aug 2024 → 12 Feb 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+17.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
+3.0% YoY
Net income
293.7 m USD
−1.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.31
+4.7% YoY
net / operating
25.7% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue193.8 m179.1 m2.3 bn1.1 bn203.6 m198.9 m2.4 bn1.1 bn
Cost of revenue269.6 m314.2 m969.4 m532.9 m274.0 m339.9 m1.0 bn550.5 m
SG&A152.6 m158.2 m329.4 m206.8 m136.6 m157.8 m329.3 m217.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation28.8 m29.2 m29.2 m29.6 m28.9 m30.0 m31.5 m32.0 m
Interest expense15.8 m21.8 m24.7 m15.8 m17.4 m23.4 m24.3 m15.5 m
Pre-tax income-232.3 m-312.3 m958.2 m367.8 m-216.3 m-319.2 m1.0 bn373.0 m
Income tax-60.8 m-69.8 m235.3 m67.4 m-51.0 m-77.7 m167.7 m78.5 m
Net income-172.6 m-243.4 m722.3 m299.4 m-165.8 m-242.2 m847.9 m293.7 m
Diluted EPS-1.24-1.805.312.21 ≈-1.26-1.926.602.31 ≈
Operating cash flow-328.6 m-567.1 m ≈1.3 bn ≈251.6 m-356.8 m-614.0 m ≈1.6 bn ≈252.0 m
Capex18.7 m30.4 m ≈22.7 m ≈10.3 m13.2 m35.5 m ≈18.4 m ≈15.5 m
Dividends paid44.7 m52.3 m ≈50.2 m ≈50.2 m50.2 m54.3 m ≈53.2 m ≈53.2 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 21 percentile of its own 38-quarter history (min 3.7, median 12.5, max 50.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue3.1 bn2.6 bn3.4 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.8 bn3.9 bn
Revenue YoY−2.1%−14.7%+29.3%+1.4%+0.3%+4.0%+4.2%+4.9%
Net income422.5 m-7.5 m583.8 m553.7 m553.7 m595.3 m605.8 m733.6 m
Net income YoY−31.1%−101.8%unavailable−5.2%+0.0%+7.5%+1.8%+21.1%
Diluted EPS2.04-0.043.083.223.514.124.395.66
Diluted EPS YoY−29.9%−102.0%unavailable+4.5%+9.0%+17.4%+6.6%+28.9%
net %13.7%-0.3%17.1%16.0%15.9%16.5%16.1%18.6%
Free cash flow511.0 m27.3 m573.1 m746.6 m752.1 m657.2 m598.8 m756.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
958.7 m USD
Financial debt
1.5 bn USD
Net debt
532.8 m USD
Equity
117.5 m USD
Total assets
3.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
12.69x
Current ratio
1.13x
ROE
710.9%
ROA
22.5%
FCF margin
19.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.8 bn
2026
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
1.6 bn ≈
2025
1.7 bn ≈
2026
1.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026derived

SG&A
2024
813.5 m
2025
846.9 m
2026
841.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
121.8 m
2025
116.8 m
2026
122.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Interest expense
2024
79.1 m
2025
78.1 m
2026
80.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
762.3 m
2025
781.4 m
2026
853.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
164.4 m
2025
172.0 m
2026
117.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
595.3 m
2025
605.8 m
2026
733.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
4.12
2025
4.39
2026
5.66

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
143.9 m
2025
137.3 m
2026
128.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
1.28
2025
1.50
2026
1.68

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
1.1 bn
2025
983.3 m
2026
958.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
69.1 m
2025
63.6 m
2026
58.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
131.3 m
2025
135.1 m
2026
141.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
785.2 m
2025
802.1 m
2026
812.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
264.1 m
2025
259.4 m
2026
267.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.3 bn
2026
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
155.8 m
2025
144.0 m
2026
156.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
349.9 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
977.3 m
2025
1.3 bn
2026
993.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.2 bn
2026
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
90.6 m †
2025
88.9 m †
2026
117.5 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
720.9 m
2025
680.9 m
2026
838.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
63.7 m
2025
82.0 m
2026
82.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
657.2 m ≈
2025
598.8 m ≈
2026
756.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-93.9 m
2025
-105.4 m
2026
-124.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-564.3 m
2025
-647.4 m
2026
-734.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
179.8 m
2025
197.3 m
2026
211.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
21.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
28.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
17.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
12.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
26.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
44.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
19.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
710.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
29.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
27.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
532.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
12.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
838.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
82.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
756.1 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
103.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
6 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
25 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
7.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
9.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
9.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
58.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
1.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
9.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
11.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 78 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

55.47 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
9.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
58.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
710.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 14 Aug 2026
verified 2812derived 200

Score by group

  • Valuation92
  • Returns66
  • Quality95
  • Balance sheet28
  • Growth68

Estimated value range

Low
66.29
USD per share
Mid
74.61
USD per share
High
150.08
USD per share
Price: 55.47 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 34.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 25.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 22.08 – 172.19 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)91.93 – 150.08 (Mid 113.85)
    WACC 8.6% · starting FCFF 825.6 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -22.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E66.29 – 172.19 (Mid 74.61)
    7 companies used · median multiple 13.2x · quartiles 11.7x – 30.4x
    CSV, EVI, RGS, SCI, UNF, WW, YELP
  • Dividend discount (DDM)22.08 – 29.69 (Mid 25.32)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Personal Services (SIC 7200)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 78/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality18.6%90 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality103.1%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.4%36 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth17.3%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x28 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation9.8x86 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation11.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.1%44 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns27.9%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial28/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth68/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality95/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation92/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

H&R BLOCK INC (HRB). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.9 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 4.9%; net margin 18.6%; ROE 710.9%.

The estimated value range is 66.29–150.08 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 74.61 USD, the price of 55.47 USD leaves a potential of 34.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 25.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 78/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 18.6%
  • FCF conversion: 103.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 17.3%
  • P/E (TTM): 9.8x
  • FCF yield: 11.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 27.9%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Personal Services (SIC 7200) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
9.8x
vertical median 13.2x
below median (−25.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.4x
P/S
1.7x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+251.6%)
P/B
58.2x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+2,995.8%)
ROE
710.9%
vertical median 17.3%
above median (+4,002.2%)
Net margin
18.6%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+400.4%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 4.5%
Revenue YoY
4.9%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+31.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.6x
Dividend yield
3.0%
vertical median 1.3%
above median (+142.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SCIService Corporation International10.5 bn19.235.7%12.7%+2.9%−3% / +26%
HRBH&R Block Inc6.8 bn9.8710.9%18.6%+4.9%+11% / +30%
YELPYelp Inc1.2 bn10.618.2%8.6%+3.7%−24% / −50%
CSVCarriage Services, Inc.571.4 m12.817.3%10.7%+3.3%−17% / +59%
EVIEVI Industries, Inc.282.3 m45.35.3%1.7%+14.6%+6% / −16%
WWWw International, Inc.121.3 m0.1332.6%148.1%−11.6%−57% / unavailable
RGSRegis Corporation79.4 m13.23.7%3.1%+6.8%+18% / +362%
DLPNDolphin Entertainment, Inc.12.2 m—-51.6%-6.3%+9.7%−42% / −70%
XWELXWELL, Inc.5.1 m——-82.9%−13.8%−21% / −75%
MRMMedirom Healthcare Technologies Inc.——26.0%1.8%+21.5%−85% / −94%
UNFUnifirst Corporation—41.75.0%4.3%+3.7%+45% / +45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for HRB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
34.42
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
60.86
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
91.68
Total return 69% · Per year 69%
3 years
33.31
Total return -33% · Per year -12%
66.27
Total return 30% · Per year 9%
109.63
Total return 111% · Per year 28%
5 years
32.23
Total return -30% · Per year -7%
72.17
Total return 48% · Per year 8%
131.09
Total return 160% · Per year 21%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 16.57
  • Net margin± 11.60
  • Annual revenue growth± 9.53
  • Annual dilution± 0.97

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

H&R Block is one of the largest providers of tax return preparation services in the United States, Canada and Australia, complemented by financial products and small business solutions. Fiscal 2026 revenue was 3.95 billion USD, and the company entered fiscal 2027 with growth guidance and a policy of returning capital to shareholders.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The network of company-owned and franchise offices, a well-known brand and a large filing volume give scale that is hard to match.
  • The company generates significant operating cash flow and has a consistent policy of returning capital to shareholders.
  • Diversification into financial products, small business services and international markets reduces reliance on any single product.

Weaknesses

  • The business is highly seasonal, causing losses in early quarters and a need for short-term funding.
  • Franchise royalty revenue declined and financial services contracted in fiscal 2026.
  • Seasonal staffing and office occupancy costs could grow faster than revenue if volumes fall.

Opportunities

  • Growth in Wave and expansion of small business services could add recurring revenue if the acquisition strategy works.
  • Artificial intelligence and automation could improve productivity and client experience if implemented effectively.
  • Acquiring franchise offices could increase control over revenue and margins if integration goes well.

Threats

  • Simplified filing or government pre-populated returns could reduce demand for paid preparation.
  • Free programs from government and competitors could erode pricing and market share.
  • Increasingly sophisticated fraud, including AI-enabled schemes, could create costs and reputational damage.

Risks

  • Changes in tax lawhigh

    Changes to tax rules or IRS procedures could reduce demand and fees for services, with a material effect on results.

  • Competition and free offeringshigh

    Free offerings and price pressure could reduce market share and margins, especially in the DIY segment.

  • Economic downturnmedium

    Recession, unemployment and high inflation could lead clients to skip filing or choose cheaper alternatives.

  • Fraud and data securitymedium

    Unauthorized access to accounts using stolen identity information could harm reputation and create additional costs.

  • Execution of growth strategymedium

    The new strategy and acquisitions might not deliver expected growth if integration or resource allocation is weak.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth in revenue, margins and operating cash flow in fiscal 2026 suggests the current strategy can work if the trend holds.
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance and the dividend increase suggest management confidence in the company's cash generation.
  • A leading position in tax preparation and a broad office network could strengthen market share against a fragmented field of competitors.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on tax legislation and seasonality makes revenue vulnerable to regulatory change or lower demand.
  • Part of the fiscal 2026 profit growth came from a one-time tax benefit, which could make future results look more modest.
  • Pressure from free programs and technology could limit growth in fees and volume over time.

What to watch

  • Delivery of fiscal 2027 revenue and adjusted EPS guidance2027
  • Trends in assisted and DIY return volumes during the tax seasonQ1 2027
  • Results of integrating acquired franchise offices and Wave growthnext 10-K
  • Legislative changes on pre-populated returns and IRS free filing programs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

H&R Block offers assisted and do-it-yourself (DIY) tax preparation through company-owned and franchise offices, online, mobile and virtual channels. The company also offers financial products tied to tax returns, such as refund transfers, the Emerald Prepaid Mastercard and the Spruce app, plus small business services through Block Advisors and Wave. In fiscal 2026 it prepared 11.3 million assisted U.S. tax returns and 3.6 million DIY online paid returns 1.

The company runs a mixed workforce of approximately 4.6 thousand regular full-time associates and a peak headcount of about 73.4 thousand including seasonal staff 1. Franchisees pay the company royalties of approximately 30% of gross U.S. tax preparation revenue 1.

Segments

Financial services

Refund-linked products, prepaid cards and short-term loans are offered through a bank partner and generate smaller revenue that fell slightly. Financial services revenue declined 2.3% in fiscal 2026 1.

Market context

The tax return preparation industry is highly competitive and fragmented, with accounting firms, software providers, independent preparers and government bodies competing on price and service. The market is affected by tax law changes, state initiatives to simplify filing and free programs that could reduce demand for paid services 1. In fiscal 2026 the company filed or was involved in 22.3 million returns 1.

Guidance for fiscal 2027 calls for revenue between 4.11 and 4.16 billion USD, pointing to continued moderate growth if current trends hold 2. Sensitivity to the economic cycle remains, since recession and high unemployment can reduce filings or push clients toward cheaper alternatives 1.

Trends

  • Growth in assisted tax preparationtailwind

    Assisted revenue rose in fiscal 2026, supported by a higher net average charge and company-owned office volume. This is a favorable trend if pricing power holds.

  • Capital return policymixed

    The company repurchased shares and raised its quarterly dividend by 10%, which supports income-oriented investors but uses cash that could otherwise fund other priorities.

  • Pressure from free offerings and automationheadwind

    Government free filing programs, if reinstated or expanded, and AI-driven technology could reduce the need for paid preparation.

  • Growth through franchise office acquisitionsmixed

    Buying franchise offices increases preparation revenue but lowers royalties, so the net effect depends on the volume and pricing of those offices.

Competitive position

Competition comes from accounting firms, independent preparers, online and mobile software providers, and government or volunteer organizations offering free returns. The company differentiates through its physical office network, its accuracy guarantee and its associated financial products 1.

In the DIY and small business segments pressure is on price and functionality, and competitors may match free offerings. The company acknowledged it cannot assure it will keep its full market share or margins 1.

  • Intuit (TurboTax)INTU

    Major provider of DIY tax software and business services, competing directly in the online segment.

  • Online and mobile tax software providers

    Applications and platforms offering DIY preparation, often at low or no cost, cited among the company's risks 1.

  • Accounting firms and CPAs

    Compete for clients with complex tax situations and for small business owners, especially for assisted preparation 1.

  • Tax authorities and volunteer organizations

    Offer or facilitate free returns, which could reduce demand for paid services as described by the company 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Sept 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / H&R Block, Inc. · 14 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / H&R Block, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.