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olivLaw · US equity research

Information Services Group, Inc. III

Services-Management Consulting Services · SIC 8742

6.08USD+1.16% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Information Services Group is a global AI-centered technology research and advisory firm serving more than 900 clients with about 1,500 professionals. Its relevance now comes from growth in AI advisory, research and governance platform revenue, against a backdrop of cautious client spending, per its filings.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Information Services Group, Inc. (III) stock was 6.08 USD (+1.16% on the day), with market capitalisation 289.5 m USD, P/E 25.2 on diluted EPS of 0.24 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.96%, beta 0.63, 52-week range 3.76–6.28 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 65.1 m USD (+4.4% YoY), net income of 3.4 m USD (+10.3% YoY), diluted EPS 0.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
289.5 m USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.2
Diluted EPS TTM 0.24 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.98%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.96%
DPS 12m 0.18
Beta (2y)
0.63
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
3.766.28

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
59.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.58 – 6.32
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.67 · band width 12.5%
SMA 50 / 200
5.57 / 4.72
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.17 / 0.18
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.5%−1.1%+5.6 pp—
3 months+42.7%−0.5%+43.2 pp—
6 months+46.9%+4.4%+42.5 pp—
Year to date+5.2%+12.3%−7.1 pp—
1 year+2.9%+13.5%−10.7 pp—
3 years+41.1%+76.4%−35.3 pp—
5 years−32.2%+63.7%−95.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−38.4%
10 Dec 2025 → 27 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−69.2%
12 Nov 2021 → 28 Jun 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
65.1 m USD
+4.4% YoY
Net income
3.4 m USD
+10.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.07
+16.7% YoY
net / operating
5.2% / 9.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue57.8 m59.6 m61.6 m62.4 m61.2 m61.2 m65.5 m65.1 m
Cost of revenue33.8 m33.9 m35.6 m36.0 m33.8 m34.8 m33.5 m36.6 m
SG&A22.6 m21.2 m20.1 m20.6 m21.2 m20.3 m25.1 m21.0 m
Operating income183.0 k3.4 m4.7 m4.6 m5.1 m5.0 m5.9 m6.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.2 m1.1 m1.2 m1.1 m1.1 m1.0 m1.1 m1.1 m
Interest expense1.2 m1.1 m1.0 m1.1 m913.0 k878.0 k897.0 k909.0 k
Pre-tax income3.6 m2.4 m3.6 m4.2 m4.4 m4.3 m5.2 m5.8 m
Income tax606.0 k910.0 k1.4 m1.1 m1.8 m1.6 m1.9 m2.5 m
Net income3.0 m1.5 m2.2 m3.1 m2.6 m2.7 m3.3 m3.4 m
Diluted EPS0.06 ≈0.030.040.060.05 ≈0.050.070.07
Operating cash flow6.6 m978.0 k11.9 m ≈11.1 m ≈5.1 m-672.0 k5.2 m ≈12.3 m ≈
Capex527.0 k837.0 k842.0 k ≈1.6 m ≈753.0 k841.0 k513.0 k ≈765.0 k ≈
Dividends paid4.5 m2.2 m2.4 m ≈2.4 m ≈2.2 m2.2 m2.3 m ≈2.4 m ≈
Share repurchases2.2 m2.6 m2.2 m ≈2.6 m ≈2.0 m1.3 m0 ≈3.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 35 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 11.6, median 30.8, max 223.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue275.8 m265.8 m249.1 m277.8 m286.3 m291.1 m247.6 m244.7 m
Revenue YoY+2.3%−3.6%−6.3%+11.5%+3.0%+1.7%−14.9%−1.2%
Net income5.7 m3.3 m2.8 m15.5 m19.7 m6.2 m2.8 m9.3 m
Net income YoYunavailable−41.1%−17.5%+463.7%+27.0%−68.8%−53.9%+229.0%
Diluted EPS0.120.070.060.300.390.120.060.19
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−41.7%−14.3%+400.0%+30.0%−69.2%−50.0%+216.7%
net %2.1%1.3%1.1%5.6%6.9%2.1%1.1%3.8%
Free cash flow15.1 m18.5 m42.8 m39.6 m7.7 m8.8 m17.0 m25.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
28.7 m USD
Financial debt
59.2 m USD
Net debt
30.5 m USD
Equity
94.7 m USD
Total assets
211.0 m USD
Debt / equity
0.63x
Current ratio
2.34x
ROE
9.8%
ROA
4.5%
FCF margin
10.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
291.1 m
2024
247.6 m
2025
244.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
178.9 m
2024
150.3 m
2025
139.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
112.1 m ≈
2024
97.3 m ≈
2025
105.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

SG&A
2023
91.3 m
2024
85.6 m
2025
83.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
14.6 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
17.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
6.3 m
2024
5.9 m
2025
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
20.9 m ≈
2024
11.6 m ≈
2025
22.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
6.2 m
2024
5.8 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
8.8 m
2024
5.2 m
2025
14.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.6 m
2024
2.4 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
6.2 m
2024
2.8 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.12
2024
0.06
2025
0.19

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
50.2 m
2024
50.0 m
2025
50.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.18
2024
0.18
2025
0.18

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
22.6 m
2024
23.1 m
2025
28.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2023verified

Current assets
2023
112.8 m
2024
91.3 m
2025
94.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 10 May 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
97.2 m
2024
87.3 m
2025
89.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
12.6 m
2024
3.6 m
2025
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
247.3 m
2024
204.5 m
2025
211.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
11.3 m
2024
9.2 m
2025
10.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2023verified

Long-term debt
2023
79.2 m
2024
59.2 m
2025
59.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
46.3 m
2024
38.4 m
2025
40.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
145.3 m
2024
108.2 m
2025
116.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
102.1 m †
2024
96.3 m †
2025
94.7 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
12.3 m
2024
19.9 m
2025
29.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
3.4 m
2024
2.8 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
8.8 m ≈
2024
17.0 m ≈
2025
25.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.4 m
2024
19.0 m
2025
-4.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-16.2 m
2024
-37.9 m
2025
-19.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
8.7 m
2024
9.4 m
2025
9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
3.5 m
2024
5.6 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
209.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
229.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-22.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
27.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
216.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-21.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
25.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
46.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
45.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
74.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
48.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
30.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
21.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
2.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
19.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
158.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
81.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
24 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
289.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
320.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
24.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
14.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
15.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 54 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

6.08 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 289.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
289.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
25.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 2468derived 181

Score by group

  • Valuation41
  • Balance sheet83
  • Quality67
  • Growth0
  • Returns88

Estimated value range

Low
3.51
USD per share
Mid
4.30
USD per share
High
5.58
USD per share
Price: 6.08 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -29.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -41.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.37 – 7.97 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)4.65 – 7.97 (Mid 5.89)
    WACC 8.3% · starting FCFF 21.2 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -3.8%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)2.37 – 3.18 (Mid 2.71)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 54/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality10.9%68 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality4.7%32 (on a fixed band)6%
FCF conversion · Quality158.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.1%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-21.3%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.1x82 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet6.2x73 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.8x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation25.2x22 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation12.0x28 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation6.6%82 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.6%80 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns48.4%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet83/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality67/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns88/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation41/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Information Services Group Inc. (III). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 244.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.2%; net margin 4.7%; ROE 12.7%; net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.

The estimated value range is 3.51–5.58 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 4.30 USD, the price of 6.08 USD leaves a potential of -29.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -41.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 54/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 158.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.1x
  • Interest coverage: 6.2x
  • Current ratio: 2.8x
  • FCF yield: 6.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 48.4%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -21.3%
  • P/E (TTM): 25.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 12.0x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Not enough comparable companies with data for an average.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
3.39
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
6.02
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
9.11
Total return 53% · Per year 53%
3 years
2.69
Total return -50% · Per year -21%
5.43
Total return -2% · Per year -1%
9.11
Total return 60% · Per year 17%
5 years
2.14
Total return -56% · Per year -15%
4.90
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
9.11
Total return 68% · Per year 11%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.36
  • Net margin± 0.95
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.86
  • Annual dilution± 0.08

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Information Services Group is a global AI-centered technology research and advisory firm serving more than 900 clients with about 1,500 professionals. Its relevance now comes from growth in AI advisory, research and governance platform revenue, against a backdrop of cautious client spending, per its filings 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a proprietary contract data base and a reputation for independence from vendors.
  • Recurring revenue has grown and adds predictability to the top line.
  • The GovernX and Tango platforms have brought in new clients and large contracts.

Weaknesses

  • Variable-rate debt exposes the firm to higher interest costs and a risk of covenant breaches.
  • Revenue declined in fiscal 2025 after the automation unit sale, and personnel costs remain high.
  • The business depends on consultant utilization, so shifts in demand can quickly affect results.

Opportunities

  • Demand for AI and supplier governance could continue to grow.
  • The public sector and the mid-market, reached through Tango, are areas for expansion.
  • Strategic acquisitions, such as the Italian one, could quickly widen the firm's presence in specific countries.

Threats

  • Clients could build AI capabilities in-house, reducing the need for external consultants.
  • Macroeconomic and trade uncertainty may lead clients to postpone projects.
  • Evolving AI regulation may impose compliance costs and liability risks.

Risks

  • Variable-rate debtmedium

    Outstanding debt under the credit facility carries a variable rate, and rising rates could increase debt service costs 1.

  • Covenant compliancehigh

    If financial performance declines, the firm could breach its leverage and interest coverage covenants, with consequences for liquidity 1.

  • AI initiative executionhigh

    If AI investments fail to deliver intended results or competitors outpace them, the firm could lose competitiveness 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Acquisitions such as Martino & Partners could face integration difficulties and divert management attention 1.

  • Economic slowdown and decision cyclesmedium

    If clients' business activity declines, demand for consulting could weaken, affecting revenue and margins 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Quarterly revenue growth and margin expansion suggest the AI and recurring strategy could sustain growth 3.
  • A rising share of recurring revenue and the success of GovernX and Tango could add predictability 1.
  • The new buyback authorization and dividend may signal capacity to return capital if cash flows hold up 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Variable-rate debt and covenants could limit flexibility if revenues fall 1.
  • Competition from technology vendors and AI-native firms could reduce the company's market share 1.
  • Revenue declined in fiscal 2025, and short-term growth depends on a recovery in demand and macro conditions 13.

What to watch

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin versus third-quarter guidanceQ3 2026
  • Share of recurring revenue and AI consulting in total revenuenext 10-K
  • Debt level and compliance with credit covenantsQ3 2026
  • Integration of Martino & Partners and rollout of new AI offerings2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

ISG is a technology research and advisory firm founded in 2006 that helps public and private organizations reduce costs and accelerate innovation. It builds its work on proprietary contract data, provider analysis and digital platforms such as GovernX, Tango and Inform 1. Revenue comes mainly from project-based services billed on time-and-materials or fixed-fee terms, plus a recurring base of subscriptions and multi-year contracts 1.

Total revenues in fiscal 2025 were 244.7 million USD, a slight decline, and about 46% of the total came from recurring revenue 1. The company sold its automation unit in 2024 and acquired Martino & Partners in Italy on September 1, 2025 1. Outstanding debt at December 31, 2025 was 59.2 million USD under a credit facility secured by substantially all assets 1.

Segments

AI consulting and research

Enterprise AI consulting and research represented about 30% of firmwide revenue in fiscal 2025, up from 10% a year earlier, according to the company 1. Offerings cover AI strategy, sourcing, data transformation and agentic AI 1.

Platforms and supplier governance

The GovernX supplier governance platform served more than 80 clients in fiscal 2025, and Tango managed more than 25 billion USD of total contract value 1. A new AI governance solution is planned 1.

Research and recurring services

The research business grew double digits in fiscal 2025, supported by Provider Lens evaluations and events 1. Recurring revenue reached a record quarterly level of 30 million USD in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Market context

The company operates in the technology and business advisory services market, where public and private clients seek cost reduction, efficiency and modernization of legacy systems 1. The company expects global software spending could exceed 1.4 trillion USD by the end of 2030, with AI as a catalyst 1.

Trends

  • AI adoption in sourcing and transformationtailwind

    Client adoption of AI technologies is accelerating, which management says increases demand for advisory, research and governance platforms 1. If this demand continues, it could support growth in newer services 3.

  • Competition from AI-native firms and large providersheadwind

    Competitors, including global consultancies, technology vendors and AI-native firms, could introduce capabilities that exceed ISG's offerings 1. Clients may build AI capabilities in-house, which could reduce demand for its services 1.

  • Macroeconomic pressure and cautious budgetsmixed

    Global economic conditions could lead clients to reduce or defer consulting spending, and the company acknowledges that a prolonged slowdown could pressure margins 1. However, management signaled a recovery in Europe in the second quarter of 2026 3.

  • Public sector modernization needstailwind

    Outdated systems and tight budgets at state and local governments may create opportunities for independent advisory, including in procurement and maintenance 1. The company views its neutral advisor position as an advantage 1.

Competitive position

The market is competitive, and the firm faces global consultancies, technology vendors, hyperscalers and AI-native firms, as described in the annual report risk discussion 1. The advantage the company cites is its independence from vendors and its proprietary data base 1.

Competition is intensifying in AI, where a rival that integrates AI more effectively could reduce ISG's ability to win contracts 1. The company focuses on mid-market clients, where Tango offers a cost advantage 1.

  • Global consultancies (not named in sources)

    The sources cite global consultancies as a competitive force without naming specific firms.

  • Technology vendors and hyperscalers

    The sources include technology vendors and hyperscalers as potential competitors in AI services.

  • Emerging AI-native firms

    The sources mention newer AI-native firms that could introduce competing capabilities.

  • Outsourcing providers (clients' in-house teams)

    Clients could develop capabilities internally, reducing demand for external advisory work.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Information Services Group, Inc. · 06 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Information Services Group, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Information Services Group, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.