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olivLaw · US equity research

Primoris Services Corporation PRIM

Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction · SIC 1623 · Vertical: Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction (SIC 1623)

68.45USD−13.98% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Primoris Services Corporation is a provider of critical infrastructure services active mainly in the United States and Canada through its Utilities and Energy segments. In 2026 the company reported a record backlog, but margins under pressure from a few renewable energy projects, so its trajectory is closely watched by investors.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) stock was 68.45 USD (−13.98% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.6 bn USD, P/E 38.7 on diluted EPS of 1.77 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.47%, beta 1.51, 52-week range 65.03–202.92 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.0 bn USD (−10.4% YoY), net income of 51.3 m USD (−45.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.95 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.6 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
38.7
Diluted EPS TTM 1.77 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.59%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.47%
DPS 12m 0.32
Beta (2y)
1.51
Volatility (1y) 96%
52-week range
65.03202.92

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.6
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
63.30 – 85.44
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.23 · band width 29.8%
SMA 50 / 200
75.13 / 112.53
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.16 / -1.35
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−15.0%−1.1%−13.9 pp—
3 months−17.9%−0.5%−17.5 pp—
6 months−32.4%+4.4%−36.8 pp—
Year to date−44.9%+12.3%−57.2 pp—
1 year−46.5%+13.5%−60.1 pp+2.1%
3 years+122.8%+76.4%+46.4 pp+112.1%
5 years+140.5%+63.7%+76.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−68.0%
05 May 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−68.0%
05 May 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+19.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.0 bn USD
−10.4% YoY
Net income
51.3 m USD
−45.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.95
−45.1% YoY
net / operating
2.6% / 4.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.7 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn2.2 bn1.9 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.6 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn
Gross profit184.6 m170.7 m231.7 m235.7 m175.0 m134.7 m82.4 m204.7 m
SG&A96.5 m99.5 m104.6 m97.7 m97.5 m105.8 m106.3 m109.0 m
Operating income87.5 m70.4 m126.6 m137.0 m77.5 m24.4 m-26.8 m94.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation22.6 m21.4 m22.5 m23.8 m24.2 m23.8 m30.7 m34.0 m
Pre-tax income76.1 m62.3 m118.7 m131.0 m71.9 m19.9 m-36.6 m80.6 m
Income tax22.2 m18.1 m34.4 m36.4 m20.2 m2.5 m-12.4 m29.3 m
Net income54.0 m44.2 m84.3 m94.6 m51.8 m17.4 m-24.2 m51.3 m
Diluted EPS0.990.811.541.730.950.32-0.450.95
Operating cash flow298.2 m66.2 m78.4 m ≈182.9 m ≈142.9 m-122.6 m-8.7 m ≈140.2 m ≈
Capex28.2 m40.6 m33.1 m ≈34.5 m ≈21.7 m27.8 m22.5 m ≈42.1 m ≈
Dividends paid3.3 m4.3 m4.3 m ≈4.3 m ≈4.4 m4.3 m4.4 m ≈4.3 m ≈
Share repurchases———————100.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 93 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 7.2, median 14.2, max 43.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.9 bn3.1 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn4.4 bn5.7 bn6.4 bn7.6 bn
Revenue YoY+23.5%+5.7%+12.4%+0.2%+26.4%+29.3%+11.4%+19.0%
Net income77.5 m82.3 m105.0 m115.7 m133.0 m126.1 m180.9 m274.9 m
Net income YoY+7.1%+6.3%+27.5%+10.2%+14.9%−5.2%+43.5%+52.0%
Diluted EPS1.501.612.162.172.472.333.315.02
Diluted EPS YoY+7.1%+7.3%+34.2%+0.5%+13.8%−5.7%+42.1%+51.7%
net %2.6%2.7%3.0%3.3%3.0%2.2%2.8%3.6%
Free cash flow16.6 m24.5 m248.6 m-54.1 m-11.3 m95.5 m381.8 m340.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
535.5 m USD
Financial debt
469.9 m USD
Net debt
-65.6 m USD
Equity
1.7 bn USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.28x
Current ratio
1.26x
ROE
17.8%
ROA
6.4%
FCF margin
4.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.7 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
7.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.1 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
587.5 m
2024
703.2 m
2025
813.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
328.7 m
2024
383.3 m
2025
399.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
253.1 m
2024
317.4 m
2025
411.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
107.0 m
2024
95.5 m
2025
91.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
360.1 m ≈
2024
412.9 m ≈
2025
503.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2021verified

Pre-tax income
2023
177.6 m
2024
254.9 m
2025
384.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
51.5 m
2024
74.0 m
2025
109.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
126.1 m
2024
180.9 m
2025
274.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.33
2024
3.31
2025
5.02

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
54.2 m
2024
54.6 m
2025
54.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.24
2024
0.26
2025
0.32

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
217.8 m
2024
455.8 m
2025
535.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
112.2 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2024verified

Current assets
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
475.9 m
2024
488.2 m
2025
531.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
857.7 m
2024
856.9 m
2025
856.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
227.6 m
2024
207.9 m
2025
190.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.8 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
629.0 m
2024
624.3 m
2025
744.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
72.9 m
2024
74.6 m
2025
60.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
885.4 m
2024
660.2 m
2025
409.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.2 bn †
2024
1.4 bn †
2025
1.7 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
198.5 m
2024
508.3 m
2025
470.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
103.0 m
2024
126.5 m
2025
129.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
95.5 m ≈
2024
381.8 m ≈
2025
340.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-30.0 m
2024
-27.2 m
2025
-93.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-205.3 m
2024
-244.4 m
2025
-296.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
12.8 m
2024
12.9 m
2025
17.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
19.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
19.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
29.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
52.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
27.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
21.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
51.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
26.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
18.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
46.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
580.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
151.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
114.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
37.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
53.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
47 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
4.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
37.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
38.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
24.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
95.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.85
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 40 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

68.45 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
38.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2558derived 159

Score by group

  • Balance sheet48
  • Valuation12
  • Quality24
  • Growth100
  • Returns44

Estimated value range

Low
37.00
USD per share
Mid
40.17
USD per share
High
43.91
USD per share
Price: 68.45 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -41.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -70.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 37.00 – 43.91 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E37.00 – 43.91 (Mid 40.17)
    4 companies used · median multiple 22.7x · quartiles 20.9x – 24.8x
    DY, MTZ, MYRG, PLPC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate4.21 – 5.66 (Mid 4.82)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction (SIC 1623)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 40/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.3%33 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality1.4%20 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality39.1%13 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth19.7%100 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth26.7%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.1x56 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x29 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation38.7x20 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.8x2 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation1.0%13 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.5%7 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns46.2%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet48/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality24/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns44/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation12/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 19.0%; net margin 1.4%; ROE 6.0%; net debt/EBITDA 2.1x.

The estimated value range is 37.00–43.91 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 40.17 USD, the price of 68.45 USD leaves a potential of -41.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -70.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 40/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 19.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 26.7%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 46.2%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 1.4%
  • FCF conversion: 39.1%
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 38.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 14.8x
  • FCF yield: 1.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.5%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction (SIC 1623) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
38.7x
vertical median 24.0x
above median (+61.4%)
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
vertical median —
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.9x
below median (−45.9%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 3.2x
below median (−28.0%)
ROE
6.0%
vertical median 13.5%
below median (−55.2%)
Net margin
1.4%
vertical median 4.5%
below median (−69.5%)
EBIT margin
2.4%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−51.8%)
Revenue YoY
19.0%
vertical median 16.4%
above median (+15.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.1x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.5%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MTZMasTec, Inc.13.5 bn27.413.5%2.8%+16.2%−22% / +176%
DYDycom Industries, Inc.6.4 bn19.319.2%4.8%+17.9%−41% / +104%
MYRGMyr Group Inc.4.1 bn21.426.9%4.5%+8.8%+18% / +112%
PRIMPrimoris Services Corporation3.6 bn38.76.0%1.4%+19.0%−47% / +123%
PLPCPreformed Line Products Company1.4 bn24.012.0%7.6%+12.7%+39% / +129%
ESOAEnergy Services of America CORP162.9 m436.5——+16.8%−2% / +94%
SKKRantizo77.4 m—-40.2%-22.6%+16.6%+7% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for PRIM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
46.33
Total return -32% · Per year -32%
81.53
Total return 20% · Per year 20%
122.30
Total return 79% · Per year 79%
3 years
54.95
Total return -18% · Per year -7%
107.83
Total return 59% · Per year 17%
176.11
Total return 160% · Per year 37%
5 years
65.18
Total return -2% · Per year -0%
142.60
Total return 112% · Per year 16%
253.60
Total return 275% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 26.96
  • Net margin± 18.87
  • Annual revenue growth± 14.07
  • Annual dilution± 1.59

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Primoris Services Corporation is a provider of critical infrastructure services active mainly in the United States and Canada through its Utilities and Energy segments. In 2026 the company reported a record backlog, but margins under pressure from a few renewable energy projects, so its trajectory is closely watched by investors.13

SWOT

Strengths

  • The record backlog and the large share of long-term contracted work give visibility on future revenue.
  • The national position in utilities and the ability to execute complex projects are advantages smaller competitors find hard to replicate.
  • The owned equipment fleet and stable workforce reduce reliance on external suppliers and raise barriers to entry for rivals.

Weaknesses

  • Cost overruns on renewable projects heavily weighed on operating results in the second quarter of 2026.
  • Revenue concentration in large customers makes the company vulnerable if one of them reduces investment.
  • Financing costs and higher debt could limit financial flexibility if margins do not recover.

Opportunities

  • Investment in electric grids, gas infrastructure and gas-fired generation could bring new contracts across both segments.
  • Broadband programmes and communications network upgrades could open new projects for the Utilities segment.
  • If delayed projects are executed better, the company could recover margins and benefit from its existing backlog.

Threats

  • Changes in emissions and renewable energy regulation could reduce demand for some projects.
  • A pullback in oil and gas investment, driven by price volatility, could lower demand for pipeline work.
  • Inflationary pressure and higher labour costs could weigh on margins if they cannot be passed on to clients.

Risks

  • Cost overruns on renewable projectshigh

    Execution problems on renewable projects produced negative gross margins and could persist if completion is delayed.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A large share of revenue comes from a few customers, and losing one of them could materially affect results.

  • Interest rate sensitivitymedium

    Debt with variable rates exposes the company to rate increases, and financing costs rose in the first half of 2026.

  • Dependence on public policymedium

    Funding for transport and broadband projects depends on government budgets, which can be reduced or delayed.

  • Weather and climate riskslow

    Severe weather and natural events can interrupt work and delay collections, particularly in winter quarters.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The record backlog and the visibility from multi-year contracts could support a revenue recovery if projects are completed as planned.
  • Structural demand for electric grid and gas infrastructure could remain solid over the long term, regardless of renewable project cycles.
  • If margins improve in the second half of the year, the company could show that the problems of 2026 were temporary.

What would break the thesis

  • Negative gross margins in the Energy segment suggest execution problems could last longer than management expects.
  • Customer concentration and a growing share of less predictable project work could make revenue more volatile.
  • If financing costs and debt pressure rise, the company's financial flexibility could be constrained.

What to watch

  • Completion of the six renewable projects with cost overrunsQ3-Q4 2026
  • Recovery of gross margin in the Energy segmentQ3 2026
  • Development of the MSA backlog and new contract awardsQ4 2026
  • Guidance on interest expense and results for 20272027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

The strategy emphasises controlled growth, expansion with existing customers, ownership or long-term leasing of a large equipment fleet and a stable skilled workforce. Primoris bids selectively and tries to limit concentration of work with any one customer or industry.1

Revenue is seasonal: utility work tends to be weaker in the first quarter and weather can affect results. Large customers account for a significant part of revenue, and the top ten customers generated 53.1% of revenue in 2025, a much higher share than in earlier years.1

Segments

Utilities

The Utilities segment builds and maintains natural gas and electric distribution and transmission systems and communications systems in the United States. In the second quarter of 2026 it generated revenue of 712.6 million USD, slightly up, but with a lower gross margin of 11.9%.123

Energy

The Energy segment offers engineering, procurement, construction and maintenance services for renewable energy, storage, renewable fuels, petrochemical and state transport projects in the United States and Canada. In the second quarter of 2026 the segment posted a negative gross margin, due to cost overruns on six renewable projects.23

Corporate

Corporate and non-allocated costs generate no revenue of their own but affect consolidated operating results, mainly through administrative and transaction costs.

Market context

Demand for electric grid, gas infrastructure and renewable and gas-fired generation construction remains, in management's view, a long-term growth driver. However, demand in the pipeline segment and renewable projects depends on oil and gas prices, regulation and public funding, factors that can delay or cancel projects.

Primoris's market is shaped by public policy, utility grid investment and the funding of broadband programmes. If these programmes expand, demand for communications and network work could rise, while if government budgets shrink, transport and infrastructure projects could be postponed.

Trends

  • Investment in electric gridstailwind

    Utilities are investing in grid reliability, modernisation and the integration of renewable energy, which the company describes as a tailwind for the Utilities segment.

  • Renewable projects with cost overrunsheadwind

    Six renewable projects produced cost overruns in 2026, a major source of margin pressure with a short-term impact on profitability.

  • Regulation and emissions pressuremixed

    Rules on greenhouse gas emissions and policy changes for renewable energy could affect demand for Energy projects, depending on the final form of the rules.

  • Natural gas and gas-fired generationtailwind

    Rising power demand and the need for gas-fired plants could create opportunities for the Energy segment, if projects obtain the necessary permits on time.

Competitive position

Primoris competes with regional and national firms as well as smaller local contractors, and price, reputation for quality, safety, schedule certainty and relevant experience are the decisive factors. In utility markets the main rivals are Quanta Services, Dycom Industries, MYR Group and MasTec, while industrial and renewable markets also involve large private contractors.

Competitive pressure can reduce margins, especially when rivals bid aggressively on large projects. The company has noted that it does not win every bid and that pricing high-risk projects can affect profitability.

  • Quanta Services, Inc.PWR

    Competitor in utility markets, cited in the annual report as a direct rival.

  • Dycom Industries, Inc.DY

    Competitor in utility and telecommunications markets in the United States.

  • MYR Group Inc.MYRG

    Competitor in utility and electrical work cited in the report.

  • MasTec, Inc.MTZ

    Competitor in infrastructure work for utilities and communications.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Primoris Services Corporation · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Primoris Services Corporation · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Primoris Services Corporation · 04 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.