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olivLaw · US equity research

LendingTree, Inc. TREE

Loan Brokers · SIC 6163 · Vertical: Nondepository credit (SIC 616x)

38.35USD+32.84% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

LendingTree runs an online platform that compares loan, insurance and other financial offers and sends consumers to partners in its network, earning match fees. Its insurance segment has become the main growth driver, and the company reported in the second quarter of 2026 revenue growth of 25% year over year.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, LendingTree, Inc. (TREE) stock was 38.35 USD (+32.84% on the day), with market capitalisation 538.4 m USD, P/E 3.1 on diluted EPS of 12.46 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.32, 52-week range 24.00–68.01 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 313.4 m USD (+25.3% YoY), net income of 9.6 m USD (+8.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.68 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
538.4 m USD
shares as of 27 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
3.1
Diluted EPS TTM 12.46 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
32.50%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.32
Volatility (1y) 75%
52-week range
24.0068.01

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
82.5
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
21.11 – 32.65
above the upper band · %B 1.49 · band width 42.9%
SMA 50 / 200
26.54 / 37.56
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.31 / 0.32
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+56.5%−1.1%+57.6 pp—
3 months+13.4%−0.5%+13.9 pp—
6 months−3.3%+4.4%−7.7 pp—
Year to date−27.8%+12.3%−40.1 pp—
1 year−38.2%+13.5%−51.7 pp−49.9%
3 years+138.5%+76.4%+62.1 pp−13.2%
5 years−74.4%+63.7%−138.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−64.7%
16 Jan 2026 → 23 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−93.1%
09 Nov 2021 → 25 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−23.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
313.4 m USD
+25.3% YoY
Net income
9.6 m USD
+8.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.68
+4.6% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 7.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue260.8 m261.5 m239.7 m250.1 m307.8 m319.7 m327.3 m313.4 m
Cost of revenue9.4 m9.7 m9.9 m10.0 m11.0 m11.6 m11.7 m11.3 m
Gross profit78.6 m87.9 m79.0 m85.1 m94.6 m93.4 m100.8 m88.8 m
Research & development11.2 m12.9 m11.9 m11.5 m11.3 m10.6 m11.5 m10.0 m
Operating income9.9 m17.9 m-7.1 m20.9 m28.8 m22.2 m31.1 m21.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation4.6 m4.4 m4.3 m4.2 m4.0 m3.9 m4.2 m4.3 m
Pre-tax income-57.5 m9.1 m-14.8 m10.8 m11.6 m13.5 m22.9 m14.1 m
Income tax447.0 k1.6 m-2.4 m1.9 m1.4 m-131.2 m5.7 m4.6 m
Net income-58.0 m7.5 m-12.4 m8.9 m10.2 m144.7 m17.3 m9.6 m
Diluted EPS-4.340.56 ≈-0.920.650.739.83 ≈1.220.68
Operating cash flow45.3 m ≈16.2 m-210.0 k28.0 m ≈28.8 m ≈16.5 m11.6 m29.2 m ≈
Capex2.9 m ≈2.8 m3.4 m2.7 m ≈3.3 m ≈3.0 m2.8 m3.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 21-quarter history (min 3.4, median 56.5, max 374.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue764.9 m1.1 bn910.0 m1.1 bn985.0 m672.5 m900.2 m1.1 bn
Revenue YoY+23.8%+44.7%−17.8%+20.7%−10.3%−31.7%+33.9%+24.1%
Net incomeunavailableunavailable-48.3 m69.1 m-188.0 m-122.4 m-41.7 m151.3 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−371.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS6.851.22-3.715.05-14.69-9.46-3.1410.78
Diluted EPS YoY+500.9%−82.2%−404.1%unavailable−390.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %unavailableunavailable-5.3%6.3%-19.1%-18.2%-4.6%13.5%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable31.5 m55.0 m51.0 m60.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
81.1 m USD
Financial debt
391.6 m USD
Net debt
310.5 m USD
Equity
286.8 m USD
Total assets
855.7 m USD
Debt / equity
1.37x
Current ratio
1.67x
ROE
76.5%
ROA
18.6%
FCF margin
5.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
672.5 m
2024
900.2 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
38.8 m
2024
36.1 m
2025
42.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
289.8 m
2024
309.6 m
2025
352.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
47.2 m
2024
46.4 m
2025
45.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-40.6 m
2024
44.6 m
2025
64.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
19.1 m
2024
18.3 m
2025
16.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-21.5 m ≈
2024
62.9 m ≈
2025
81.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-124.9 m
2024
-37.4 m
2025
21.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-2.5 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
-130.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-122.4 m
2024
-41.7 m
2025
151.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-9.46
2024
-3.14
2025
10.78

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
12.9 m
2024
13.3 m
2025
14.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
112.1 m
2024
106.6 m
2025
81.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
55.0 m
2024
97.8 m
2025
110.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
196.5 m
2024
238.5 m
2025
229.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
50.5 m
2024
42.8 m
2025
32.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
381.5 m
2024
381.5 m
2025
381.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
50.6 m
2024
43.3 m
2025
38.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
802.8 m
2024
767.7 m
2025
855.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
3.1 m
2024
124.9 m
2025
3.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
525.6 m
2024
344.1 m
2025
387.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
75.6 m
2024
240.5 m
2025
137.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
678.6 m
2024
658.9 m
2025
568.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
124.1 m †
2024
108.8 m †
2025
286.8 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
67.6 m
2024
62.3 m
2025
73.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
12.5 m
2024
11.2 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
55.0 m ≈
2024
51.0 m ≈
2025
60.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-12.5 m
2024
-11.2 m
2025
-9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-242.0 m
2024
-56.5 m
2025
-88.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 07 Mar 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
24.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
45.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
18.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
82.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
20.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
279.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
86.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
12.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
73.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
40.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
71.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
538.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
817.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
3.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
32.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
7.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
7.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
13.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 71 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

38.35 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 538.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
538.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
3.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
82.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 31 Jul 2026
verified 2316derived 174

Score by group

  • Balance sheet59
  • Growth36
  • Valuation91
  • Quality67

Estimated value range

Low
111.37
USD per share
Mid
164.82
USD per share
High
219.19
USD per share
Price: 38.35 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 329.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 76.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 111.37 – 219.19 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E111.37 – 219.19 (Mid 164.82)
    4 companies used · median multiple 13.2x · quartiles 8.9x – 17.6x
    FIGR, FINV, ONIT, PFSI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Nondepository credit (SIC 616x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 71/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality16.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net margin · Quality14.3%63 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality40.7%15 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.3%36 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.3x48 (on a fixed band)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x87 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation3.1x100 (on a fixed band)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation6.8x75 (on a fixed band)14%
FCF yield · Valuation13.7%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet59/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial36/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality67/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation91/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

LendingTree, Inc. (TREE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 24.1%; net margin 14.3%; ROE 82.8%; net debt/EBITDA 2.3x.

The estimated value range is 111.37–219.19 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 164.82 USD, the price of 38.35 USD leaves a potential of 329.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 76.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 71/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 16.5%
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • P/E (TTM): 3.1x
  • EV/EBITDA: 6.8x
  • FCF yield: 13.7%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 40.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Nondepository credit (SIC 616x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
3.1x
vertical median 13.2x
below median (−76.7%)
EV/EBITDA
6.8x
vertical median —
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−81.1%)
P/B
1.7x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+167.1%)
ROE
82.8%
vertical median 2.8%
above median (+2,901.1%)
Net margin
14.3%
vertical median 6.1%
above median (+134.1%)
EBIT margin
8.2%
vertical median —
Revenue YoY
24.1%
vertical median 22.2%
above median (+8.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.3x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc.3.5 bn15.25.6%640.7%−25.2%−50% / −13%
FOAFinance Of America Companies Inc.751.1 m—-0.1%-0.1%+26.1%−50% / +31%
TREELendingTree, Inc.538.4 m3.182.8%14.3%+24.1%−38% / +138%
BETRBetter Home & Finance Holding Company383.2 m—-267.7%-112.6%+52.0%−58% / −12%
ONITOnity Group Inc.256.5 m2.025.9%12.3%+9.3%−31% / +19%
UWMCUWM Holdings Corp174.2 m—-2.7%-1.0%+18.2%−71% / −69%
BLNEBeeline Holdings, Inc.22.8 m—-41.1%-215.3%+600.0%−66% / −95%
FIGRFigure Technology Solutions, Inc.—24.816.8%33.5%+48.7%−36% / unavailable
FINVFinVolution Group—11.316.3%2,679.2%+3.9%−39% / −31%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TREE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
23.49
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
41.53
Total return 8% · Per year 8%
62.55
Total return 63% · Per year 63%
3 years
22.70
Total return -41% · Per year -16%
45.17
Total return 18% · Per year 6%
74.72
Total return 95% · Per year 25%
5 years
21.94
Total return -43% · Per year -11%
49.13
Total return 28% · Per year 5%
89.25
Total return 133% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.29
  • Net margin± 7.90
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.50
  • Annual dilution± 0.66

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

LendingTree runs an online platform that compares loan, insurance and other financial offers and sends consumers to partners in its network, earning match fees. Its insurance segment has become the main growth driver, and the company reported in the second quarter of 2026 revenue growth of 25% year over year 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The LendingTree brand has long recognition, which the company says helps attract consumers more easily than less known competitors 1. A broad partner network lets consumers compare several offers in one search 1.
  • The insurance segment showed strong growth in the second quarter of 2026, and segment profit rose 3. The company has reported double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth over several consecutive quarters 3.
  • A revenue model based on match fees paid by partners rather than consumers can be attractive to users and allow scaling without direct costs to customers 1.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on one large partner, Progressive, which made up a significant share of revenue in 2025, exposes the company to concentration risk 1.
  • The Consumer segment declined in the second quarter of 2026, and demand for small business loans weakened through the quarter 3.
  • The Home segment depends on interest rates and the real estate market, which have remained weak, and these conditions can limit business volume 12.

Opportunities

  • The company launched new AI-based consumer features in 2026 and expanded its platform into more product categories. If these raise conversion, they could add revenue 3.
  • Management expects a rebound in demand for business loans, which could restore quarterly growth if the trend is confirmed 3.
  • If mortgage rates fall, refinancing could pick up again, and the Home segment could benefit from higher request volumes 12.

Threats

  • Partners could cut acquisition budgets or leave the platform if they are dissatisfied with lead quality 1.
  • Regulatory changes on telemarketing and consumer consent may change costs and limit some acquisition channels 1.
  • Dependence on search engines and online advertising exposes the company to algorithm changes and higher customer acquisition costs 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on network partnershigh

    A significant part of revenue comes from a small number of partners. If they reduce demand or end their relationship, revenue could fall materially 1.

  • Sensitivity to interest rateshigh

    Refinancing and mortgage activity are directly affected by interest rates. A rise in rates could reduce demand and Home segment revenue 12.

  • Marketing regulationmedium

    Companies using automated calls and messages face strict consent rules. Legislative or court changes could alter the company's customer acquisition model 1.

  • Dependence on online channelsmedium

    The company depends on search engines and advertising networks. Changes to algorithms or policies could reduce traffic and raise costs 1.

  • Technology and AI riskmedium

    AI systems and cloud providers can suffer outages or produce inaccurate results. These problems could affect reputation and operations 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the insurance segment keeps its growth pace, the company could exceed its 2026 guidance and strengthen profitability 3.
  • If demand for business loans returns, the Consumer segment could recover to earlier levels 3.
  • The shift of financial services online could support long-term growth of the platform and of partners' advertising budgets 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If interest rates stay high, the Home segment could remain weak and refinancing could stay low 12.
  • If demand for business loans keeps falling, the Consumer segment could contract further 3.
  • Dependence on a few large partners could expose the company to rapid revenue losses if one relationship deteriorates 1.

What to watch

  • Full-year 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA against guidance2026
  • Consumer segment revenue trend and recovery in demand for business loansQ3 2026
  • Mortgage rate path and refinance volume2027
  • Next annual report with partner concentration and revenue detailsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

LendingTree, Inc. describes itself as one of the leading online consumer platforms in financial services. Through multiple brands, consumers compare offers from approximately 770 Network Partners 1. The company does not charge consumers; revenue comes from match fees paid by partners that receive a consumer request, sometimes combined with fees for clicks or calls 1. Total revenue reached 1117.3 million dollars in 2025, up from 900.2 million in 2024 1.

The company began as a matching service for mortgage loans, and the LendingTree brand launched in 1998 1. Since then it has widened its product range, and in 2025 it exited the insurance agency business while keeping its insurance quote comparison 1. Its strategy rests on performance marketing, product development and the assumption that financial services are moving online, as retail and travel did 1.

Between July 2025 and June 2026 the company refinanced its existing debt with a new 475.0 million dollar facility maturing in 2030 12. It also publishes financial guidance, for example for 2026 revenue, so actual results can be compared with those expectations 3.

Segments

Home

The Home segment covers purchase mortgages, refinances and home equity loans. Revenue was 43.9 million dollars in the second quarter of 2026, up 9% 3. Activity depends heavily on interest rates and the real estate market 12.

Market context

The mortgage lead market is sensitive to interest rates. The average 30-year mortgage rate was 6.4% in the second quarter of 2026, compared with 6.8% a year earlier 2. The refinance share of mortgage origination dollars rose to 34% in 2025 from 21% in 2024 1. Pressure on home purchases remains, and existing home sales have stayed historically low 12.

The online insurance market looks more favourable: carriers reported strong auto underwriting results after several quarters of premium increases 13. The company notes that insurance advertising budgets have grown, which supported quarterly revenue in 2026 3.

Trends

  • Shift to online shoppingtailwind

    The company argues that financial services are moving online, as retail and travel did. If this continues, suppliers could move more advertising budgets to the online channel 1.

  • High mortgage ratesmixed

    High interest rates have reduced refinance demand and kept pressure on purchases. If rates fall, refinancing could recover, but lenders could also pay less per lead 12.

  • Strong auto insurance resultstailwind

    Insurance carriers have benefited from strong auto underwriting results, which has raised their marketing budgets. If this continues, the insurance segment could remain the main support for revenue 13.

  • Weaker demand for business and consumer loansheadwind

    Demand for small business and personal loans weakened in the second quarter of 2026, partly due to geopolitical events and larger tax refunds 23. If this persists, the Consumer segment could stay under pressure.

Competitive position

The company competes with other online marketing firms, including intermediaries running similar network models. It also competes with lenders and insurance agents that attract customers directly through their own websites, online advertising, television or branches 1. Partner relationships are key: if many consumers go directly to lenders, revenue could decline 1.

  • Network lenders and mortgage brokers that also market directly

    Partners that pay for leads but can also attract customers directly, reducing dependence on the platform 1.

  • Online network-type intermediaries

    Online marketing companies running similar matching models that could compete for the same partners and advertising budgets 1.

  • Insurance agents and quote sites

    Insurance agents and comparison sites that attract consumers directly, especially in auto insurance 1.

  • Lenders attracting customers directly

    Banks and lenders using their own sites, advertising and branch networks to win customers without intermediaries 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 28 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / LendingTree, Inc. · 09 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / LendingTree, Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / LendingTree, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.