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olivLaw · US equity research

ICU Medical, Inc. ICUI

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

172.62USD+6.67% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

ICU Medical develops, manufactures and sells medical products for infusion therapy, vascular access and critical care, serving hospitals, clinics and home care providers. In 2025 it sold a controlling stake in its IV Solutions line to a joint venture and now focuses on consumables and infusion systems, with total revenues of $2.2 billion in 2025.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, ICU Medical, Inc. (ICUI) stock was 172.62 USD (+6.67% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.3 bn USD, P/E 144.2 on diluted EPS of 1.20 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.01, 52-week range 115.45–187.26 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 551.7 m USD (+0.5% YoY), net income of 19.1 m USD (−46.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.76 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.3 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
144.2
Diluted EPS TTM 1.20 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.69%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.01
Volatility (1y) 36%
52-week range
115.45187.26

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
157.11 – 170.94
above the upper band · %B 1.12 · band width 8.4%
SMA 50 / 200
163.20 / 148.87
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.06 / 0.58
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.0%−2.0%+8.9 pp—
3 months+3.7%−2.2%+5.9 pp—
6 months+44.3%+4.3%+40.1 pp—
Year to date+21.0%+10.6%+10.4 pp—
1 year+37.4%+10.5%+26.9 pp−5.6%
3 years+68.3%+73.7%−5.4 pp+6.7%
5 years−28.4%+61.7%−90.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.2%
22 Jan 2026 → 29 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−67.2%
21 Mar 2022 → 09 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−6.5%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
551.7 m USD
+0.5% YoY
Net income
19.1 m USD
−46.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.76
−46.9% YoY
net / operating
3.5% / 7.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue589.1 m629.8 m604.7 m548.9 m537.0 m540.7 m530.2 m551.7 m
Cost of revenue384.3 m402.5 m394.6 m340.8 m336.1 m337.7 m324.0 m316.6 m
Gross profit204.9 m227.3 m210.1 m208.1 m200.9 m203.0 m206.2 m235.1 m
Research & development21.0 m22.4 m23.3 m21.9 m21.3 m21.1 m21.3 m22.7 m
SG&A162.7 m158.8 m157.2 m159.4 m152.8 m155.8 m154.6 m151.9 m
Operating income8.2 m37.7 m12.9 m10.6 m13.7 m5.6 m13.6 m39.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation55.7 m ≈53.0 m49.4 m49.7 m ≈50.8 m ≈50.8 m50.0 m49.6 m ≈
Interest expense24.7 m34.2 m22.0 m20.5 m19.8 m31.0 m16.5 m15.7 m
Pre-tax income-17.9 m8.2 m-10.9 m33.7 m-2.5 m-15.9 m-4.0 m23.1 m
Income tax15.1 m32.0 m4.6 m1.2 m-658.0 k-2.7 m-34.7 m7.1 m
Net income-33.0 m-23.8 m-15.5 m35.3 m-3.4 m-15.7 m30.1 m19.1 m
Diluted EPS-1.35-0.97 ≈-0.631.43-0.14-0.62 ≈1.200.76
Operating cash flow36.1 m ≈40.2 m51.3 m11.2 m ≈56.7 m ≈60.6 m38.9 m80.2 m ≈
Capex19.9 m ≈24.1 m14.6 m19.7 m ≈29.1 m ≈24.6 m11.3 m18.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 85 percentile of its own 26-quarter history (min 27.9, median 65.4, max 3,835.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.4 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoY+8.3%−9.6%+0.4%+3.6%+73.2%−0.9%+5.4%−6.3%
Net income28.8 m101.0 m86.9 m103.1 m-74.3 m-29.7 m-117.7 m732.0 k
Net income YoY−58.1%+250.9%−14.0%+18.7%−172.0%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS1.334.694.024.74-3.11-1.23-4.830.03
Diluted EPS YoY−59.6%+252.6%−14.3%+17.9%−165.6%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %2.1%8.0%6.8%7.8%-3.3%-1.3%-4.9%0.0%
Free cash flow67.5 m4.6 m130.7 m199.0 m-152.4 m82.3 m124.7 m91.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
308.0 m USD
Financial debt
1.3 bn USD
Net debt
976.7 m USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
4.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.60x
Current ratio
2.39x
ROE
0.0%
ROA
0.0%
FCF margin
4.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
739.9 m
2024
824.8 m
2025
822.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
85.3 m
2024
88.6 m
2025
87.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
606.7 m
2024
638.8 m
2025
625.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
22.8 m
2024
43.0 m
2025
42.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
228.8 m
2024
219.5 m
2025
200.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
251.6 m ≈
2024
262.5 m ≈
2025
243.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
102.7 m
2024
106.5 m
2025
93.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-78.3 m
2024
-66.0 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-48.6 m
2024
51.7 m
2025
2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-29.7 m
2024
-117.7 m
2025
732.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.23
2024
-4.83
2025
0.03

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
24.1 m
2024
24.4 m
2025
24.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
254.2 m
2024
308.6 m
2025
308.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
161.6 m
2024
182.8 m
2025
180.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
709.4 m
2024
584.7 m
2025
615.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
612.9 m
2024
442.7 m
2025
451.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
870.6 m
2024
740.8 m
2025
633.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
150.0 m
2024
148.0 m
2025
154.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
51.0 m
2024
51.0 m
2025
18.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
481.8 m
2024
556.2 m
2025
498.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
166.2 m
2024
204.0 m
2025
179.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
83.9 m
2024
79.4 m
2025
88.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
82.3 m ≈
2024
124.7 m ≈
2025
91.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-87.9 m
2024
-89.0 m
2025
122.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-36.0 m
2024
-55.8 m
2025
-311.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
9.4 m
2024
12.0 m
2025
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
11.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
-61.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
-62.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-26.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
932.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
236.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
83.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
152.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
507.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
86.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
170 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
156 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
5.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
143.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
144.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
19.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
72.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
28.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 33 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

172.62 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
144.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
19.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2972derived 235

Score by group

  • Valuation24
  • Returns3
  • Quality63
  • Balance sheet34
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
79.76
USD per share
Mid
107.22
USD per share
High
143.47
USD per share
Price: 172.62 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -37.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -61.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 19.84 – 153.43 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)79.76 – 153.43 (Mid 107.22)
    WACC 8.4% · starting FCFF 222.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 16.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA92.06 – 143.47 (Mid 126.70)
    9 companies used · median multiple 15.0x · quartiles 11.8x – 16.5x
    BDX, BSX, EMBC, HAE, MMM, MMSI, RMD, SOLV, SYK
  • Peers: P/E19.84 – 39.23 (Mid 29.13)
    12 companies used · median multiple 24.3x · quartiles 16.6x – 32.8x
    BSX, DXCM, EMBC, GCTK, GMED, LMAT, MMM, MMSI, RMD, SOLV, SYK, WST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 33/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality1.9%44 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality1.4%57 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality507.9%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.4x27 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.9x0 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation144.2x6 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation19.2x27 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation3.5%44 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.2%3 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet34/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality63/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial3/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation24/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ICU MEDICAL INC/DE (ICUI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -6.3%; net margin 1.4%; ROE 1.4%; net debt/EBITDA 3.4x.

The estimated value range is 79.76–143.47 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 107.22 USD, the price of 172.62 USD leaves a potential of -37.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -61.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 33/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 507.9%
  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.4x
  • Interest coverage: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 144.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 19.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
144.2x
vertical median 32.7x
above median (+341.4%)
EV/EBITDA
19.2x
vertical median 16.5x
above median (+16.4%)
P/S
2.0x
vertical median 3.6x
below median (−44.8%)
P/B
2.0x
vertical median 5.2x
below median (−61.5%)
ROE
1.4%
vertical median -8.7%
above median
Net margin
1.4%
vertical median -6.1%
above median
EBIT margin
3.3%
vertical median -4.0%
above median
Revenue YoY
-6.3%
vertical median 12.1%
below median (−152.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.4x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+106.3%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp118.2 bn33.116.0%13.8%+11.2%−16% / +5%
MMM3m Company91.5 bn26.480.8%14.0%+1.5%+3% / +114%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation63.1 bn18.414.3%16.6%+19.9%−57% / −22%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company54.0 bn59.83.8%4.0%+8.2%+30% / +7%
RMDResMed Inc.31.9 bn20.726.4%27.8%+9.9%−11% / +44%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.30.9 bn32.737.7%19.4%+15.6%+31% / −28%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.4 bn45.721.2%18.8%+6.3%+47% / +16%
SOLVSolventum Corporation15.2 bn10.934.0%17.3%+0.9%+5% / unavailable
PENPenumbra, Inc12.7 bn81.210.7%10.1%+17.5%+10% / +45%
GMEDGlobus Medical, Inc.11.7 bn22.311.8%17.0%+16.7%−4% / +94%
TFXTeleflex Incorporated6.4 bn—-28.9%-45.8%+17.2%+31% / −34%
HAEHaemonetics Corporation5.8 bn62.311.2%7.1%−2.0%+57% / +58%
MMSIMerit Medical Systems Inc5.4 bn34.09.8%9.9%+11.8%+5% / +27%
HTFLHeartflow, Inc.4.9 bn——-55.8%+39.9%+75% / unavailable
ICUIIcu Medical Inc4.3 bn144.21.4%1.4%−6.3%+37% / +68%
LMATLemaitre Vascular, Inc.2.0 bn30.916.8%25.0%+13.5%+6% / +67%
TNDMTandem Diabetes Care, Inc.1.3 bn—-48.0%-6.1%+7.9%−9% / −6%
IARTIntegra Lifesciences Holdings Corp1.2 bn88.31.2%0.8%+1.5%+13% / −62%
BBNXBeta Bionics, Inc.921.5 m—-23.9%-65.3%+53.9%−46% / unavailable
SGHTSight Sciences, Inc.533.3 m—-48.4%-35.7%−3.1%+16% / +184%
SSIISs Innovations International, Inc.454.9 m—-26.1%-23.7%+105.7%−66% / unavailable
CARLCarlsmed, Inc.439.3 m—-6,196.9%-57.4%+85.9%−1% / unavailable
BWAYBrainsway Ltd.439.0 m224.25.6%7.1%+29.0%+28% / +258%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.369.4 m4.4—8.6%−3.8%−49% / −64%
CLPTClearPoint Neuro, Inc.325.7 m—-167.5%-79.4%+17.8%−30% / +76%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ICUI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
97.17
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
172.24
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
260.07
Total return 51% · Per year 51%
3 years
84.67
Total return -51% · Per year -21%
169.78
Total return -2% · Per year -1%
282.82
Total return 64% · Per year 18%
5 years
73.79
Total return -57% · Per year -16%
167.35
Total return -3% · Per year -1%
307.56
Total return 78% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 42.45
  • Net margin± 29.71
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.67
  • Annual dilution± 2.50

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

ICU Medical develops, manufactures and sells medical products for infusion therapy, vascular access and critical care, serving hospitals, clinics and home care providers. In 2025 it sold a controlling stake in its IV Solutions line to a joint venture and now focuses on consumables and infusion systems, with total revenues of $2.2 billion in 2025.1

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of pumps, sets and integrated software, with customer-satisfaction recognition for the Plum 360 pump.
  • Global reach across many countries, manufacturing in several locations and long-term customer contracts.
  • Gross margin improvement after the disposal of the lower-margin business and integration synergies from acquisitions.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on single or limited source suppliers for certain components and raw materials, with risk of supply interruption.
  • Significant indebtedness, with part of the IV Solutions disposal proceeds used to prepay long-term debt.
  • U.S. sales depend on contracts with group purchasing organizations, which can lower prices and shift volume to competitors.

Opportunities

  • Growing adoption of infusion systems integrated with electronic health records, where safety software could add sales.
  • New products such as refreshed ambulatory and syringe pumps that were under FDA clearance review.
  • Expansion into home care and outpatient clinics, where the company targets new customer groups.

Threats

  • New tariffs or the removal of USMCA exemptions, which would raise import costs for products made in Mexico.
  • Pricing pressure from group purchasing organizations and reimbursement systems, which can reduce margins.
  • Competitors with much greater resources that could invest aggressively in similar products and win hospital contracts.

Risks

  • Tariffs and trade regulationhigh

    Imposed tariffs and a possible investigation into medical consumables imports could raise costs if trade exemptions were removed or narrowed.

  • Single-source supplier dependencehigh

    Certain components and raw materials come from a single supplier, and an interruption could affect production and deliveries to customers.

  • Customer and distributor concentrationmedium

    One distributor accounts for a significant share of sales, and losing such a partner could affect results.

  • Raw material costs and inflationmedium

    Higher oil, transport and energy prices could pressure margins, especially if long-term contracts do not allow cost pass-through.

  • Regulatory timing and acquisition integrationlow

    Delays in FDA clearances and resolution of the 2025 warning letter could postpone new product launches, and integration of Smiths Medical remains a factor.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If gross margin holds at its Q2 2026 level, profitability could keep improving after the sale of the lower-margin business.
  • Consumables and pump lines showed organic growth in 2026, and demand for integrated safety systems could support sales over the medium term.
  • The company raised its adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026, which suggests operating results could exceed earlier estimates.

What would break the thesis

  • Tariffs and a possible import investigation could raise costs and reduce the current benefit of manufacturing in Mexico.
  • Debt remains significant, and a fall in revenue could limit the company's ability to reduce borrowings.
  • Pressure from group purchasing organizations and competition from companies with far greater resources could reduce prices and market share.

What to watch

  • Third-quarter results and any change to the adjusted EBITDA guidanceQ3 2026
  • Outcome of the Section 232 investigation into medical consumables imports2026
  • FDA decisions on refreshed CADD and Medfusion pump clearances2026
  • Resolution of the 2025 FDA warning letter and its effect on the facilitynext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

ICU Medical, headquartered in San Clemente, California, was founded in 1984 and operates three product lines: consumables, infusion systems and vital care. The portfolio includes large volume and ambulatory infusion pumps, syringe pumps, IV sets, needlefree connectors, oncology closed system transfer devices, and vascular access and tracheostomy products.1

The company grew organically and through acquisitions, including Pfizer's Hospira Infusion Systems (2017), Pursuit Vascular (2019) and Smiths Medical (2022). In May 2025 ICU sold a 60% interest in its IV Solutions business to Otsuka Pharmaceutical Factory America and kept 40%, selling those products on behalf of the joint venture.1

Manufacturing is concentrated in the United States, Costa Rica, Mexico and the Czech Republic, and customers are in over 100 countries. Sales go through a direct sales force and independent distributors, and many U.S. sales go to group purchasing organizations and integrated delivery networks.1

Segments

Consumables

Consumables cover infusion therapy, oncology, vascular access and tracheostomy. They made up 50% of revenue in 2025 and grew year over year on new customer installations and higher demand for infusion consumables, oncology and tracheostomy lines.1

Infusion Systems

This line includes Plum large volume pumps, CADD ambulatory pumps, Medfusion syringe pumps and LifeShield safety software. It accounted for 31% of revenue in 2025, helped by higher LVP hardware and dedicated set sales.1

Vital Care

Vital Care includes hemodynamic monitoring, anesthesia and respiratory, temperature management and regional anesthesia trays. After the IV Solutions disposal its share fell to 19% of revenue in 2025, down from 29% in 2024.1

Market context

The market for consumable medical devices, particularly infusion products, is described by the company as intensely competitive and consolidating, with pricing pressure from group purchasing organizations. ICU's position depends on innovation, reliability, access to distribution channels and pricing.1

The company notes that most of its revenue comes from products made in Costa Rica and Mexico and imported into the U.S., where most Mexican products are exempt from tariffs under USMCA. Q2 2026 GAAP revenue was $551.7 million.13

Trends

  • Tariffs and the Section 232 investigationheadwind

    Tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration raise import costs, and a national security investigation into medical consumables could lead to additional tariffs if USMCA exemptions were reduced. The impact remains uncertain and depends on decisions outside the company's control.1

  • Margin recovery after the IV Solutions disposaltailwind

    The lower-margin IV Solutions business was partly divested, and GAAP gross margin rose to 43% in Q2 2026. If this trend holds, it could support profitability.13

  • Input cost and inflation pressureheadwind

    Materials are resins and plastics tied to oil and natural gas prices, and geopolitical tensions could raise transport and energy costs. Long-term contracts can limit the ability to pass these increases on to customers.1

  • Demand for integrated pumps and safety softwaremixed

    Plum pumps with safety software that connects to hospital electronic health records are presented as an adoption advantage. Demand for these systems supported the growth of the infusion systems line in 2025.1

Competitive position

Competitors include large medical device makers with full product lines and hospital-wide contracts, as well as smaller companies. Many have far greater economic resources, and several hold full-line contracts with major group purchasing organizations.1

The company states it could lose market share if it fails to differentiate through innovation and reliability or loses positions in group purchasing contracts. Competitors could also substantially increase resources for similar products.1

  • Large medical device makers with full infusion lines

    Described in the source as having substantially greater resources and hospital contracts covering all infusion needs; the source does not name them.

  • Smaller consumables manufacturers

    Smaller companies competing on specific products; the source does not identify them.

  • IV solutions producers

    Referred to indirectly through the 2024 shortage caused by damage to a competitor's plant; they are not named.

  • Group purchasing organizations and integrated delivery networks

    Not direct competitors, but they can shift customers to other suppliers and press prices.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / ICU Medical, Inc. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / ICU Medical, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / ICU Medical, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

ICU Medical, Inc. (ICUI): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw