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olivLaw · US equity research

Novanta Inc. NOVT

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · SIC 3690 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

145.23USD−1.53% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Novanta Inc. is a global supplier of core technology solutions for medical, life science and advanced industrial original equipment manufacturers. In 2026 the company is accelerating organic growth and widening its medical exposure through the Riverpoint Medical acquisition, which makes its business model more relevant for investors and analysts. Revenue in the second quarter of 2026 reached 265.8 million USD, and annual guidance points to growth above 15 percent.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Novanta Inc. (NOVT) stock was 145.23 USD (−1.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.5 bn USD, P/E 92.8 on diluted EPS of 1.56 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.68, 52-week range 99.22–168.75 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 265.8 m USD (+10.3% YoY), net income of 12.5 m USD (+178.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.30 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.5 bn USD
shares as of 29 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
92.8
Diluted EPS TTM 1.56 · TTM to 03 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.08%
TTM to 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.68
Volatility (1y) 52%
52-week range
99.22168.75

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
129.49 – 154.14
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.64 · band width 17.4%
SMA 50 / 200
142.61 / 142.50
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.32 / 0.51
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.6%−1.1%−2.5 pp—
3 months−5.2%−0.5%−4.7 pp—
6 months+4.6%+4.4%+0.2 pp—
Year to date+22.1%+12.3%+9.7 pp—
1 year+12.3%+13.5%−1.2 pp−60.2%
3 years+2.7%+76.4%−73.7 pp−50.2%
5 years−19.8%+63.7%−83.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−25.1%
05 Nov 2025 → 20 Nov 2025
Max drawdown (5y)
−46.7%
16 Jul 2024 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−4.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 03 Jul 2026

Revenue
265.8 m USD
+10.3% YoY
Net income
12.5 m USD
+178.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.30
+150.0% YoY
net / operating
4.7% / 6.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue244.4 m238.1 m233.4 m241.0 m247.8 m258.3 m257.7 m265.8 m
Cost of revenue135.2 m129.8 m129.0 m134.3 m136.9 m145.1 m144.1 m144.9 m
Gross profit109.2 m108.2 m104.4 m106.7 m110.9 m113.3 m113.6 m120.9 m
Research & development23.3 m25.3 m23.2 m25.3 m24.1 m22.9 m23.3 m24.0 m
SG&A44.3 m43.3 m45.6 m47.1 m51.4 m51.6 m54.4 m60.0 m
Operating income32.6 m26.7 m32.4 m14.9 m21.8 m24.8 m27.5 m18.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation14.2 m14.4 m13.6 m15.6 m15.7 m17.1 m14.2 m14.6 m
Pre-tax income24.2 m20.8 m26.4 m5.8 m15.8 m21.7 m26.4 m15.9 m
Income tax5.0 m4.3 m5.2 m1.3 m5.1 m4.2 m5.3 m3.4 m
Net income19.2 m16.5 m21.2 m4.5 m10.7 m17.5 m21.1 m12.5 m
Diluted EPS0.530.46 ≈0.590.120.300.45 ≈0.510.30
Operating cash flow23.0 m ≈61.6 m31.7 m15.1 m ≈8.5 m ≈8.8 m51.6 m64.9 m ≈
Capex3.6 m ≈2.2 m4.3 m3.4 m ≈4.3 m ≈3.7 m4.1 m7.5 m ≈
Share repurchases——6.2 m0 ≈14.1 m ≈19.1 m18.6 m0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 79 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 17.1, median 77.5, max 124.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue614.3 m626.1 m590.6 m706.8 m860.9 m881.7 m949.2 m980.6 m
Revenue YoY+17.8%+1.9%−5.7%+19.7%+21.8%+2.4%+7.7%+3.3%
Net income49.1 m40.8 m44.5 m50.3 m74.1 m72.9 m64.1 m53.8 m
Net income YoY−18.2%−17.0%+9.2%+13.1%+47.1%−1.6%−12.1%−16.0%
Diluted EPS1.431.151.251.412.062.021.771.47
Diluted EPS YoY+26.5%−19.6%+8.7%+12.8%+46.1%−1.9%−12.4%−16.9%
net %8.0%6.5%7.5%7.1%8.6%8.3%6.8%5.5%
Free cash flow75.0 m52.5 m129.7 m74.6 m71.1 m100.1 m141.4 m48.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
380.9 m USD
Financial debt
250.8 m USD
Net debt
-130.0 m USD
Equity
1.3 bn USD
Total assets
1.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.19x
Current ratio
3.69x
ROE
5.2%
ROA
3.4%
FCF margin
4.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
881.7 m
2024
949.2 m
2025
980.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
481.8 m
2024
527.7 m
2025
545.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
399.9 m
2024
421.5 m
2025
435.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
91.7 m
2024
95.5 m
2025
95.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
164.5 m
2024
175.9 m
2025
195.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
110.5 m
2024
110.6 m
2025
94.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
46.6 m
2024
55.6 m
2025
61.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
157.1 m ≈
2024
166.1 m ≈
2025
155.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
83.7 m
2024
79.1 m
2025
69.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
10.9 m
2024
15.0 m
2025
15.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
72.9 m
2024
64.1 m
2025
53.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.02
2024
1.77
2025
1.47

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
36.0 m
2024
36.1 m
2025
36.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
105.1 m
2024
114.0 m
2025
380.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
139.4 m
2024
151.0 m
2025
184.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
149.4 m
2024
144.6 m
2025
188.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
415.3 m
2024
433.6 m
2025
782.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
109.4 m
2024
113.1 m
2025
118.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
484.5 m
2024
584.1 m
2025
647.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
145.0 m
2024
185.8 m
2025
180.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
57.2 m
2024
76.9 m
2025
94.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
5.0 m
2024
4.7 m
2025
38.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
349.4 m
2024
411.9 m
2025
212.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
139.2 m
2024
167.8 m
2025
212.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
552.6 m
2024
642.8 m
2025
492.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
673.5 m
2024
745.7 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
120.1 m
2024
158.5 m
2025
64.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
20.0 m
2024
17.2 m
2025
15.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
100.1 m ≈
2024
141.4 m ≈
2025
48.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-19.9 m
2024
-208.2 m
2025
-74.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-97.9 m
2024
56.9 m
2025
276.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
39.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-10.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-16.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-10.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-65.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
44.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROA
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROIC
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROCE
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-489.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
133.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
19.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
114.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
185.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
87.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
5.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
88.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
92.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/S
5.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
32.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
54.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
4.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/FCF
48.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
FCF yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 45 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

145.23 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
92.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
3.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
32.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROE
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 03 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 03 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2798derived 197

Score by group

  • Valuation34
  • Returns49
  • Quality46
  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth27

Estimated value range

Low
42.77
USD per share
Mid
55.45
USD per share
High
68.99
USD per share
Price: 145.23 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -61.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -161.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 35.03 – 69.97 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Sales35.03 – 68.00 (Mid 54.11)
    15 companies used · median multiple 1.5x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.0x
    ATKR, CHPT, DFLI, ELVA, ENR, ENS, EOSE, EPOW, GAUZ, MVST, NRGV, SPB, UCAR, ULBI, XPON
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA50.50 – 69.97 (Mid 56.78)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.8x · quartiles 9.2x – 14.0x
    ATKR, ENS, NVX, SPB
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 45/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality44.5%11 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality9.0%91 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality11.1%44 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.4%18 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth3.3%44 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-3.2x100 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.6x100 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation4.9x29 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation2.1%42 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.9%49 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth27/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality46/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns49/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation34/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

NOVANTA INC. (NOVT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-03.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 980.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.3%; net margin 6.0%; ROE 5.1%; net debt/EBITDA -3.2x.

The estimated value range is 42.77–68.99 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 55.45 USD, the price of 145.23 USD leaves a potential of -61.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -161.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 45/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 9.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -3.2x
  • Current ratio: 4.6x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 44.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 4.4%
  • EV/Sales: 4.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 38 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
92.8x
vertical median 19.0x
above median (+388.8%)
EV/EBITDA
32.5x
vertical median 10.8x
above median (+201.7%)
P/S
5.3x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+325.3%)
P/B
3.4x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+98.6%)
ROE
5.1%
vertical median -62.0%
above median
Net margin
6.0%
vertical median -52.2%
above median
EBIT margin
9.0%
vertical median -42.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
3.3%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−63.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-3.2x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−291.1%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENSEnerSys5.6 bn16.718.4%9.3%+3.7%+9% / +76%
NOVTNovanta Inc.5.5 bn92.85.1%6.0%+3.3%+12% / +3%
ATKRAtkore Inc.3.2 bn—-11.9%-5.5%−11.0%+37% / −24%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn28.04.2%2.8%−5.2%+54% / +32%
NVXNOVONIX Ltd1.9 bn—-62.0%-1,650.8%−4.1%−81% / −88%
ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.1.7 bn21.342.2%2.7%+2.3%+38% / −18%
AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.1.2 bn—-36.1%-33.4%+202.1%−25% / +106%
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.1.2 bn———unavailableunavailable / unavailable
EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.779.3 m——-246.8%+631.8%−86% / +95%
ENVXEnovix Corporation612.3 m—-82.2%-473.9%+37.9%−64% / −75%
NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.578.2 m—-225.9%-48.6%+340.9%−8% / +38%
SLDPSolid Power, Inc.515.7 m—-20.5%-1,152.2%+8.0%−57% / +60%
FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.312.1 m—-20.7%-3.1%−16.1%−69% / −76%
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.306.4 m—-1,015.1%-40.6%−1.4%+39% / −69%
SESSES AI Corporation286.4 m—-31.2%-289.6%+929.4%−60% / −63%
ULBIEnerSys260.3 m1.4-4.8%-3.5%+16.2%+175% / +109%
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.255.7 m—11.4%13.9%+12.6%−81% / −43%
ELVAElectrovaya Inc.173.4 m—-673.8%-3.4%+170.8%+7% / +94%
ELPWElong Power Holding Ltd.145.7 m——-271.3%+430.7%−100% / −100%
NEOVNeoVolta, Inc.134.6 m—-101.1%-161.0%+58.2%−44% / +28%
GAUZGauzy Ltd.127.5 m——-51.4%+32.8%−86% / unavailable
BYRNByrna Technologies Inc.97.4 m—-14.9%-9.2%+37.7%−77% / −29%
EPOWE-Power Inc.88.8 m——-35.8%−28.6%−88% / −87%
BLNKBlink Charging Co.65.4 m—-79.9%-52.2%−18.0%−66% / −86%
STISolidion Technology, Inc.37.8 m—-1,382.4%-23,852.8%unavailable−59% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NOVT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
89.55
Total return -38% · Per year -38%
158.33
Total return 9% · Per year 9%
238.50
Total return 64% · Per year 64%
3 years
86.80
Total return -40% · Per year -16%
172.69
Total return 19% · Per year 6%
285.62
Total return 97% · Per year 25%
5 years
84.13
Total return -42% · Per year -10%
188.34
Total return 30% · Per year 5%
342.06
Total return 136% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 43.17
  • Net margin± 30.22
  • Annual revenue growth± 24.82
  • Annual dilution± 2.54

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Novanta Inc. is a global supplier of core technology solutions for medical, life science and advanced industrial original equipment manufacturers. In 2026 the company is accelerating organic growth and widening its medical exposure through the Riverpoint Medical acquisition, which makes its business model more relevant for investors and analysts. Revenue in the second quarter of 2026 reached 265.8 million USD, and annual guidance points to growth above 15 percent.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a broad proprietary technology portfolio and deep knowledge of customer applications, which strengthens relationships with OEMs. The mix of medical and industrial markets reduces dependence on a single economic cycle.
  • Products designed into customer systems face high barriers to replacement over the life cycle, especially in medical, which supports recurring revenue.
  • Organic growth accelerated in 2026 and a solid backlog gives some visibility into future demand.

Weaknesses

  • Operating income declined in fiscal 2025 compared with the prior year, due to higher selling and administrative costs and restructuring and acquisition expenses.
  • A significant part of components and subassemblies comes from a limited number of suppliers, some of them single sources, creating supply risk.
  • The company carries debt and credit agreements with financial covenants, and integrating Riverpoint may require close attention to compliance.

Opportunities

  • Expansion in minimally invasive and robotic surgery could raise the medical share and the higher-margin recurring consumables business.
  • Industrial applications such as robotics, additive manufacturing and automation could become long-term growth drivers.
  • Regionalising production and building centres of excellence could lower costs and ease access to regulated markets.

Threats

  • Tariffs, retaliatory measures and changing trade policy could raise costs and weigh on demand in certain regions.
  • Cycles in microelectronics and capital equipment can produce sudden demand declines that are hard to anticipate.
  • Competitors that innovate faster, including through artificial intelligence based technologies, could make existing products less competitive.

Risks

  • Dependence on large OEM customershigh

    A few OEM customers in medical account for significant portions of revenue, and losing or reducing orders from them could affect results.

  • Exposure to tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Changes in tariffs and trade agreements could raise production costs and reduce the competitiveness of products made in certain locations.

  • Cyclicality of industrial marketsmedium

    Demand in microelectronics and industrial equipment is cyclical, which could create quarter-to-quarter volatility in revenue and profit.

  • Integration of acquisitionsmedium

    Integrating Riverpoint Medical and other acquisitions could prove difficult, and the performance of an acquired business can be harder to forecast.

  • Cybersecurity threatslow

    Cyberattacks and security incidents could disrupt IT systems and expose confidential data, with remediation costs and liability.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the acceleration in organic growth seen in the second quarter of 2026 is sustained, the company could reach its annual revenue guidance.
  • The Riverpoint Medical acquisition could increase the share of recurring consumables and could improve margins and profitability.
  • Products integrated into OEM systems could generate stable revenue over long product life cycles.

What would break the thesis

  • If tariffs and trade tensions persist, production costs could rise faster than selling prices.
  • Cyclical downturns in microelectronics or capital equipment could abruptly reduce demand for the automation segment.
  • If integration of acquisitions or the performance of Riverpoint falls short of forecasts, profitability could come in below expectations.

What to watch

  • Delivery of third-quarter 2026 revenue guidance (300 to 304 million USD)Q3 2026
  • Development of organic growth and backlog after the Riverpoint acquisitionQ4 2026
  • Achievement of full-year revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance2026
  • Trend in customer concentration and the medical share of revenuenext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Novanta Inc. and its subsidiaries supply proprietary components and subsystems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the medical and advanced industrial markets. Over time the company has shifted from a focus on the semiconductor industry to one centred on medical and automation applications. Sales are made mainly through a direct technical sales force and partly through distributors.

The strategy aims to raise the share of medical sales through products for minimally invasive and robotic surgery, through complementary acquisitions, and through growth in high-growth industrial applications such as robotics, laser additive manufacturing and automation. Novanta also emphasises operational efficiency, with lean manufacturing and regionalised plants, which could support margins over the long term.

Customers are largely OEMs that integrate Novanta products into their systems, and once a product is designed in, switching suppliers is difficult over its life cycle, especially in medical. The company reports two segments: Automation Enabling Technologies and Medical Solutions.

Market context

The company operates mainly in two end markets: medical, which accounted for about 53 percent of revenue in 2025, and advanced industrial, at about 47 percent. Medical demand depends on hospital capital budgets, surgical procedure volumes and regulation, while industrial demand follows investment cycles and PMI indicators. More than 47 percent of revenue came from outside the U.S. in 2025.

Consolidated backlog was about 481.2 million USD at the end of fiscal 2025, up from the prior year. The company notes, however, that backlog is not a complete indicator of future revenue because customers can reschedule orders. Guidance for 2026 includes the contribution of the Riverpoint Medical acquisition.

Trends

  • Acceleration of organic growthtailwind

    In the second quarter of 2026 organic revenue growth was 9.3 percent, the strongest organic quarter since the first quarter of 2023, and management sees momentum building into the second half. If bookings and backlog hold, this momentum could support the annual guidance.

  • Expansion in minimally invasive surgerytailwind

    The Riverpoint Medical acquisition increases recurring medical consumables and raises medical exposure to about 60 percent of revenue, according to management. The medical strategy is supported by demand for robotic and minimally invasive surgery.

  • Tariffs and trade policy changesheadwind

    New tariffs, retaliatory measures and renegotiated trade agreements have affected production costs and the market for the company's products, and management says uncertainty persists. These could compress margins or slow demand in some regions.

  • Cyclicality of the microelectronics industrymixed

    Some advanced industrial sub-sectors, such as microelectronics and capital equipment, are cyclical and have experienced oversupply in the past. Demand downturns can affect the Automation Enabling Technologies segment directly, and their timing is hard to predict.

Competitive position

Novanta operates in markets with strong competition, ranging from large domestic and foreign organisations offering broad product lines to small firms specialised in niche applications. Success depends on technological performance, price-for-performance ratios, quality, application expertise and customer relationships.

According to the filing, the company's advantage lies in the breadth of its technologies and its deep application knowledge, which allow it to design products for OEMs. Once a product is integrated into a system, barriers to changing supplier are significant, especially in medical.

  • Large domestic and foreign organisations with broad product lines

    The source describes competitors only generically, without naming them, and their size and profile vary.

  • Small firms specialised in niche applications

    These companies compete on highly specialised products and are not identified in the documents provided.

  • Suppliers of components for robotics and automation

    The sources mention competition in the automation segment but do not name specific companies.

  • Suppliers of minimally invasive medical equipment

    Competition in medical is described generically, and the identity of competitors does not appear in the documents.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 04 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Jul 2026
    Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 May 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Current report15 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report11 May 2026
  • Current report11 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Novanta Inc. · 23 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / Novanta Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Novanta Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.