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Before destroying you, fortune intoxicates you: it clouds your judgment exactly when you need it most.

Publilius Syrus · Sentințe · -50 · 6181 minute readpublic domain
Fortune makes him a fool whom she wishes to destroy.Publilius Syrus · Sentințe · -50 · 618

Luck doesn't strike out of nowhere: it first corrupts your judgment, then lets you fall on your own.

Syrus describes a recurring pattern of great misfortune: it doesn't strike out of nowhere, but first turns a person into a fool. Unearned success breeds arrogance, overconfidence, and blindness to warning signs; the person sabotages their own position, and the fall is merely the ending. The mechanism is judgment corrupted by euphoria: a brain that keeps winning stops testing its assumptions. An entrepreneur with three successful ventures borrows massively for a fourth without analyzing anything — and loses everything.

Why it mattersCheck your judgment precisely when luck smiles on you: a winning streak is when reasoning errors cost the most.

UnearnedluckEuphoriaandCloudedjudgmentThe fall
The chain by which luck prepares its victim

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