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Addus HomeCare Corporation ADUS

Services-Home Health Care Services · SIC 8082 · Vertical: Services-Home Health Care Services (SIC 8082)

127.94USD+1.10% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Addus HomeCare provides in-home care through three segments: personal care, hospice and home health, serving mainly consumers eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. The company matters as the population ages and demand for home-based care as an alternative to institutional settings grows, with fiscal 2025 net service revenue of 1.42 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) stock was 127.94 USD (+1.10% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.4 bn USD, P/E 21.3 on diluted EPS of 6.00 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.35, 52-week range 88.49–127.94 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 387.7 m USD (+7.0% YoY), net income of 28.6 m USD (+25.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.54 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.4 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3
Diluted EPS TTM 6.00 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.69%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.35
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
88.49127.94

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
77.1
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
111.03 – 128.77
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.95 · band width 14.8%
SMA 50 / 200
117.35 / 106.62
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.01 / 2.10
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.2%−1.1%+14.3 pp—
3 months+9.9%−0.5%+10.3 pp—
6 months+32.4%+4.4%+28.0 pp—
Year to date+19.1%+12.3%+6.8 pp—
1 year+14.0%+13.5%+0.5 pp+24.9%
3 years+51.1%+76.4%−25.3 pp+1.6%
5 years+25.4%+63.7%−38.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.8%
26 Nov 2025 → 03 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−34.9%
21 Jan 2025 → 03 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+4.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
387.7 m USD
+7.0% YoY
Net income
28.6 m USD
+25.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.54
+24.2% YoY
net / operating
7.4% / 10.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue297.1 m337.7 m349.4 m362.3 m373.1 m363.6 m377.4 m387.7 m
Cost of revenue195.7 m230.0 m235.6 m245.6 m249.5 m247.7 m255.9 m263.3 m
Gross profit101.5 m107.7 m113.9 m116.7 m123.6 m115.9 m121.6 m124.4 m
Operating income26.9 m30.5 m32.9 m32.9 m42.3 m34.1 m38.9 m39.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.2 m3.9 m3.9 m4.4 m4.1 m4.0 m4.1 m4.1 m
Interest expense2.3 m4.0 m3.5 m3.3 m2.7 m2.2 m1.7 m1.3 m
Pre-tax income26.2 m27.0 m29.9 m30.4 m40.1 m32.4 m37.8 m39.1 m
Income tax6.7 m5.8 m7.9 m7.5 m10.4 m7.4 m10.2 m10.5 m
Net income19.5 m21.2 m22.1 m22.8 m29.8 m25.1 m27.6 m28.6 m
Diluted EPS1.07 ≈1.161.201.241.61 ≈1.361.491.54
Operating cash flow10.4 m18.9 m22.5 m ≈51.3 m ≈18.8 m52.4 m40.0 m ≈40.9 m ≈
Capex1.7 m1.9 m1.3 m ≈1.9 m ≈2.7 m1.7 m1.3 m ≈2.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 10 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 17.3, median 32.5, max 57.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue516.6 m648.8 m764.8 m864.5 m951.1 m1.1 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn
Revenue YoY+21.3%+25.6%+17.9%+13.0%+10.0%+11.3%+9.1%+23.2%
Net income16.4 m25.2 m33.1 m45.1 m46.0 m62.5 m73.6 m95.9 m
Net income YoY+37.5%+53.6%+31.3%+36.2%+2.0%+35.8%+17.7%+30.3%
Diluted EPS1.331.772.082.812.843.834.235.22
Diluted EPS YoY+29.1%+33.1%+17.5%+35.1%+1.1%+34.9%+10.4%+23.4%
net %3.2%3.9%4.3%5.2%4.8%5.9%6.4%6.7%
Free cash flow27.9 m7.4 m102.6 m34.8 m96.8 m102.8 m110.4 m103.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
unavailable USD
Financial debt
121.0 m USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
1.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.11x
Current ratio
1.80x
ROE
9.3%
ROA
6.7%
FCF margin
7.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
718.8 m
2024
779.6 m
2025
960.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
339.9 m
2024
375.0 m
2025
461.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
91.0 m
2024
102.7 m
2025
138.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
14.1 m
2024
13.5 m
2025
16.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
105.1 m ≈
2024
116.2 m ≈
2025
155.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
11.1 m
2024
7.7 m
2025
13.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
81.3 m
2024
99.4 m
2025
127.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
18.8 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
31.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
62.5 m
2024
73.6 m
2025
95.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.83
2024
4.23
2025
5.22

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
16.3 m
2024
17.4 m
2025
18.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
64.8 m
2024
98.9 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2025verified

Receivables
2023
115.5 m
2024
122.9 m
2025
151.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
200.0 m
2024
260.4 m
2025
269.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
24.0 m
2024
24.7 m
2025
25.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
663.0 m
2024
970.6 m
2025
996.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
92.0 m
2024
109.6 m
2025
102.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
26.2 m
2024
27.2 m
2025
16.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2021verified

Long-term debt
2023
124.1 m
2024
218.4 m
2025
121.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
145.1 m
2024
155.9 m
2025
149.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
317.7 m
2024
442.1 m
2025
352.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
706.7 m †
2024
970.5 m †
2025
1.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
18.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
112.2 m
2024
116.4 m
2025
111.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
9.5 m
2024
6.1 m
2025
7.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
102.8 m ≈
2024
110.4 m ≈
2025
103.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-119.2 m
2024
-354.6 m
2025
-32.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-8.2 m
2024
272.3 m
2025
-96.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
23.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
35.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
30.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
27.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
23.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
22.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
20.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
32.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
11.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
9.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
12.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
19.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
152.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
7.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
144.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
129.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
88.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
36 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
7 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
21.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

127.94 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2491derived 164

Score by group

58% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
120.14
USD per share
Mid
147.28
USD per share
High
174.91
USD per share
Price: 127.94 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 15.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 13.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 120.14 – 174.91 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E120.14 – 174.91 (Mid 147.28)
    4 companies used · median multiple 24.5x · quartiles 20.0x – 29.1x
    AVAH, BTSG, CHE, OPCH
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Home Health Care Services (SIC 8082)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality7.4%60 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality129.9%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.4%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth22.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet19.7x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x70 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.3x39 (on a fixed band)18%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation6.1%76 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet88/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality80/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Addus HomeCare Corp (ADUS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 23.2%; net margin 7.4%; ROE 10.0%.

The estimated value range is 120.14–174.91 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 147.28 USD, the price of 127.94 USD leaves a potential of 15.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 13.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 58.3% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 129.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 22.5%
  • Interest coverage: 19.7x
  • Current ratio: 1.6x
  • FCF yield: 6.1%

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Home Health Care Services (SIC 8082) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.3x
vertical median 24.5x
below median (−13.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.9x
P/S
1.6x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+74.3%)
P/B
2.0x
vertical median 6.4x
below median (−68.3%)
ROE
10.0%
vertical median 20.5%
below median (−51.5%)
Net margin
7.4%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+97.6%)
EBIT margin
10.3%
vertical median 5.9%
above median (+75.6%)
Revenue YoY
23.2%
vertical median 8.5%
above median (+171.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
BTSGBrightSpring Health Services, Inc.13.9 bn37.820.5%2.7%+28.2%+93% / unavailable
CHEChemed Corporation7.1 bn26.229.1%10.6%+4.1%+25% / −3%
OPCHOption Care Health, Inc.4.7 bn22.816.0%3.7%+13.0%+2% / +6%
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.3.1 bn11.6199.6%10.6%unavailable+52% / +421%
ADUSAddus HomeCare Corp2.4 bn21.310.0%7.4%+23.2%+14% / +51%
AHCOAdaptHealth Corp.998.0 m—-28.6%-11.4%−0.5%−24% / −14%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ADUS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
82.53
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
145.27
Total return 14% · Per year 14%
217.96
Total return 70% · Per year 70%
3 years
96.75
Total return -24% · Per year -9%
189.99
Total return 48% · Per year 14%
310.52
Total return 143% · Per year 34%
5 years
113.43
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
248.47
Total return 94% · Per year 14%
442.39
Total return 246% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 47.50
  • Net margin± 33.25
  • Annual revenue growth± 24.94
  • Annual dilution± 2.79

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Addus HomeCare provides in-home care through three segments: personal care, hospice and home health, serving mainly consumers eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. The company matters as the population ages and demand for home-based care as an alternative to institutional settings grows, with fiscal 2025 net service revenue of 1.42 billion USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A home-based care model regarded as lower cost than institutional care, with a client base concentrated in public and managed care programs 1.
  • A strong balance sheet and substantial available credit capacity that support acquisitions and expansion 23.
  • Sustained organic growth in personal care and hospice, reported for the second quarter of 2026 3.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue concentrated in a few states, especially Illinois, which makes the company sensitive to regulatory and funding changes there 1.
  • Reliance on government reimbursements, which can be delayed and affect liquidity 1.
  • The home health segment is smaller and has shown weaker volume in some periods 23.

Opportunities

  • An aging population and preference for home care can support long-term demand 1.
  • Industry consolidation can provide acquisition targets in new or existing states 1.
  • Broader partnerships with managed care organizations could increase referral volume 1.

Threats

  • Budget cuts in state or federal programs could reduce rates and service volumes 1.
  • Rising minimum wages and competition for staff can compress operating margins 1.
  • Regulatory changes such as electronic visit verification and price transparency can raise compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • Geographic concentrationhigh

    A large share of revenue comes from Illinois, so funding changes there could have a disproportionate effect on results 1.

  • Single payor dependencehigh

    One Illinois program accounts for a significant part of revenue, and cost reductions there could affect revenue and profitability 1.

  • Reimbursement delaysmedium

    The gap between providing services and receiving payment can strain working capital, especially if states delay payments because of budget problems 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Acquisitions can bring unforeseen liabilities and integration difficulties, and expected benefits may not materialize 1.

  • Government auditslow

    Audits can lead to recoupment of past payments and could weigh on financial position if systemic issues are found 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for home care keeps rising with the aging population, the company could sustain revenue and profit growth, as the second quarter of 2026 results suggest 13.
  • A strong balance sheet and access to credit could allow acquisitions that deepen presence in existing markets 2.
  • Higher reimbursement rates in key states such as Texas and Illinois could support margins if those adjustments hold 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on public funding in a few states leaves revenue exposed to budget cuts or policy changes 1.
  • Higher staffing costs driven by minimum wage rules could compress margins if rates do not keep pace 1.
  • The acquisition strategy depends on access to financing and compliance with credit agreement covenants, which could limit expansion 1.

What to watch

  • Revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin trends in the coming quartersQ3 2026
  • Pace of organic growth in hospice and personal care2026
  • Illinois budget changes to rates and minimum wage requirements for direct care workers2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Growth combines organic expansion in existing markets with acquisitions of local providers, particularly in states where it already operates, and adding clinical services such as hospice and home health 1. Four acquisitions were completed in 2025 and HomeCourt Home Care was acquired on May 1, 2026, extending personal care into Indiana 12. For the second quarter of 2026, net service revenue rose 8.0% year-over-year 3.

Management describes a scalable operating model and says the company has financial flexibility to pursue further acquisitions, while its low leverage gives room to invest 3.

Segments

Personal care

The largest segment, providing non-medical help with daily living activities, with fiscal 2025 revenue of 1.089 billion USD 1. Consumers are mostly funded through state, local and managed care programs 1.

Hospice

The segment provides palliative care for people with a terminal illness, with fiscal 2025 revenue of 262.5 million USD, mainly from Medicare payments 1. Organic growth in this segment was 11.1% in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Home health

The segment covers medically oriented services such as skilled nursing and therapy, with fiscal 2025 revenue of 70.8 million USD 1. Management regards it as complementary, allowing all three levels of care in select markets 3.

Market context

Demand for home care is supported by an aging U.S. population and by the preference for home-based care, which the company regards as more cost-effective than institutional care 1. The industry is fragmented, with many small providers and a few larger ones with regional share, and the company expects consolidation as regulatory and operating requirements rise 1. Managed care is an increasingly important payor source, accounting for 38.6% of net service revenue in the second quarter of 2026 2.

Trends

  • Aging populationtailwind

    A growing number of older people supports demand for long-term home care services, according to management 1.

  • Shift to managed caremixed

    States are moving Medicaid programs toward managed care models, which can bring referrals but also rate and cost pressure from these organizations 1.

  • Minimum wage pressureheadwind

    Minimum wage increases in Illinois and Chicago can raise staffing costs, and the company relies on reimbursement rate adjustments to offset them 1.

  • Industry consolidationtailwind

    Rising licensing and technology requirements may favor larger providers, which could support the company's acquisition strategy 1.

Competitive position

Competition comes from personal care and home health providers, hospice providers, private caregivers, publicly held and privately held companies, hospital-based agencies and non-profit organizations 1. Some competitors may have greater financial, technical or marketing resources, and new entrants can add pricing pressure 1.

Competitive position depends on quality of care, the ability to attract caregivers, relationships with referral sources and contract renewals with payors, whose bargaining power has grown through consolidation 1.

  • Regional personal care and hospice providers

    Local and regional companies competing for the same state and managed care contracts, without dominant share across all of the company's markets 1.

  • Publicly held home care companies

    Listed competitors named in the filing as part of the competitive field, whose scale is not detailed in the sources reviewed 1.

  • Hospital-based home care agencies

    Hospital-affiliated agencies that can serve patients in the same home care segments 1.

  • Private caregivers and non-profit organizations

    Actors without a large corporate structure but with direct relationships to consumers and local communities 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 23 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Addus HomeCare Corporation · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Addus HomeCare Corporation · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Addus HomeCare Corporation · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.