olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

ASP Isotopes Inc. ASPI

Miscellaneous Chemical Products · SIC 2890 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Chemical Products (SIC 2890)

1.91USD+5.52% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

ASP Isotopes is an advanced materials company building a proprietary isotope enrichment platform for nuclear medicine, semiconductors and nuclear energy. It recently expanded through the Renergen acquisition, a South African producer of liquid helium and LNG, while its 2025 net loss of 159.8 million USD shows that its projects are still in an investment phase.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI) stock was 1.91 USD (+5.52% on the day), with market capitalisation 292.8 m USD, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 2.72, 52-week range 1.81–9.00 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 5.1 m USD (+327.6% YoY), net income of -34.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.27 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
292.8 m USD
shares as of 14 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.09 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-57.05%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta (2y)
2.72
Volatility (1y) 99%
52-week range
1.819.00

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.66 – 2.62
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.26 · band width 45.1%
SMA 50 / 200
2.85 / 4.78
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.27 / -0.29
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−34.8%−1.1%−33.7 pp—
3 months−52.8%−0.5%−52.4 pp—
6 months−65.5%+4.4%−69.9 pp—
Year to date−64.3%+12.3%−76.6 pp—
1 year−76.8%+13.5%−90.3 pp+19.0%
3 years+81.9%+76.4%+5.5 pp−1.1%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−79.9%
07 Nov 2025 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−88.6%
11 Nov 2022 → 17 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
5.1 m USD
+327.6% YoY
Net income
-34.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.27
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-663.5% / -667.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.1 m1.2 m1.1 m1.2 m4.9 m16.7 m4.2 m5.1 m
Cost of revenue793.7 k588.5 k775.0 k626.0 k4.5 m14.6 m2.5 m3.6 m
Gross profit294.0 k605.1 k327.0 k572.0 k423.2 k2.1 m1.7 m1.5 m
Research & development1.0 m1.4 m1.5 m880.0 k3.1 m6.8 m5.3 m6.8 m
Operating income-5.4 m-7.6 m-8.0 m-12.0 m-15.0 m-25.0 m-24.9 m-34.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation—45.4 k149.0 k530.0 k ≈296.3 k ≈936.7 k3.1 m1.2 m ≈
Interest expense91.0 k85.2 k87.0 k82.0 k146.1 k260.0 k1.7 m1.8 m
Pre-tax income-7.4 m-9.1 m-8.5 m-75.1 m-12.8 m-63.1 m-26.7 m-34.1 m
Income tax-8.4 k153.2 k-71.0 k95.0 k73.6 k183.9 k-31.0 k-97.0 k
Net income-7.4 m-9.2 m-8.5 m-75.2 m-12.9 m-63.3 m-7.1 m-34.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.12-0.14 ≈-0.12-1.03-0.15-0.61 ≈-0.06-0.27
Operating cash flow-4.8 m ≈-3.8 m-3.2 m-7.9 m ≈-8.9 m ≈-17.9 m-17.8 m-23.3 m ≈
Capex4.5 m ≈1.3 m2.3 m1.8 m ≈3.1 m ≈2.4 m6.1 m4.1 m ≈
Dividends paid0 ≈341——0 ≈0——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20222023⚠ 20242025
Revenue0433.0 k4.1 m23.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable—+475.5%
Net income-4.9 m-16.3 m-32.4 m-159.8 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailable
Diluted EPS-0.18-0.49-0.63-2.11
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailable
net %unavailable-3,762.9%-782.4%-670.2%
Free cash flow-7.4 m-7.7 m-26.4 m-47.4 m

The series breaks before 2024: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
279.6 m USD
Financial debt
2.1 m USD
Net debt
-277.5 m USD
Equity
262.9 m USD
Total assets
498.0 m USD
Debt / equity
0.01x
Current ratio
12.23x
ROE
-101.8%
ROA
-54.0%
FCF margin
-198.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
433.0 k
2024
4.1 m
2025
23.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
294.1 k
2024
2.5 m
2025
20.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
139.0 k
2024
1.6 m
2025
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Research & development
2023
764.6 k
2024
3.1 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-16.0 m
2024
-26.4 m
2025
-59.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
—
2024
471.0 k
2025
1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
—
2024
-25.9 m ≈
2025
-58.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
118.5 k
2024
259.0 k
2025
575.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-16.3 m
2024
-32.3 m
2025
-159.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-6.1 k
2024
111.0 k
2025
282.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Net income
2023
-16.3 m
2024
-32.4 m
2025
-159.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.49
2024
-0.63
2025
-2.11

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
33.1 m
2024
55.7 m
2025
83.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
7.9 m
2024
61.9 m
2025
279.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Receivables
2023
216.5 k
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 May 2024verified

Inventories
2023
0
2024
66.0 k
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Current assets
2023
10.5 m
2024
65.7 m
2025
399.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
10.7 m
2024
22.4 m
2025
33.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.3 m
2024
3.2 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
675.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Total assets
2023
27.5 m
2024
94.3 m
2025
498.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.1 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
939.0 k
2025
584.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
1.4 m
2025
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
5.7 m
2024
7.1 m
2025
32.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.7 m
2024
43.2 m
2025
235.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Equity
2023
18.8 m
2024
51.2 m
2025
262.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Dec 2022verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-5.4 m
2024
-16.7 m
2025
-37.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.3 m
2024
9.7 m
2025
9.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-7.7 m ≈
2024
-26.4 m ≈
2025
-47.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.5 m
2024
-11.4 m
2025
-110.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
13.4 m
2024
82.5 m
2025
371.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
2.8 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Apr 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
475.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-303.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-321.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-380.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-270.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-80.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-33.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-72.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-19.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
-159.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-25.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-67.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
15.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-83.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
19 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
292.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
133.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-57.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
9.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-28.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
-0.17
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.91 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 292.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
292.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-80.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-380.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
475.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 14 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 14 Aug 2026
verified 642derived 52

Score by group

42% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Chemical Products (SIC 2890)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-72.4%0 (vs peers)25%
Net margin · Quality-380.3%0 (vs peers)15%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-25.3x0 (on a fixed band)15%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.9x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-28.5%0 (on a fixed band)20%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)15%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ASP Isotopes Inc. (ASPI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 23.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 475.5%; net margin -380.3%; ROE -80.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 41.7% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 3.9x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -72.4%
  • Net margin: -380.3%
  • Interest coverage: -25.3x
  • FCF yield: -28.5%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Chemical Products (SIC 2890) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 31.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 10.3x
P/S
9.5x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+321.7%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−54.2%)
ROE
-80.9%
vertical median 7.4%
below median (−1,191.0%)
Net margin
-380.3%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−7,374.2%)
EBIT margin
-321.1%
vertical median 11.7%
below median (−2,841.6%)
Revenue YoY
475.5%
vertical median 3.8%
above median (+12,288.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.6x
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 1.5%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ESIElement Solutions Inc8.1 bn39.67.4%5.9%+3.8%+29% / +60%
CBTCabot Corp3.9 bn21.112.1%5.2%−7.0%+20% / −1%
WDFCWd-40 Company3.1 bn38.330.4%12.0%+11.0%+19% / −4%
FTKFlotek Industries Inc895.4 m25.037.8%13.0%+26.9%+73% / +685%
OECOrion S.A.331.8 m—-8.1%-1.8%−3.8%+16% / −75%
ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.292.8 m—-80.9%-380.3%+475.5%−77% / +82%
ARQArq, Inc.81.8 m—-25.0%-38.5%+10.4%−50% / −31%
FSIFlexible Solutions International, Inc80.1 m—-8.2%-8.8%+0.7%−8% / +313%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ASPI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    ASP Isotopes is an advanced materials company building a proprietary isotope enrichment platform for nuclear medicine, semiconductors and nuclear energy. It recently expanded through the Renergen acquisition, a South African producer of liquid helium and LNG, while its 2025 net loss of 159.8 million USD shows that its projects are still in an investment phase.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A proprietary enrichment platform with several operating facilities in South Africa, and a divisional structure that spreads risk.
    • PET Labs shows strong organic growth and an expanding radiopharmaceutical product flow.
    • Renergen brings helium and LNG production capacity, and long-term contracts under discussion could provide revenue visibility.

    Weaknesses

    • The company had not generated revenue from sales of enriched isotopes as of June 30, 2026, and net losses continue.
    • Reliance on a few large customers could make revenue vulnerable to delays or the loss of a single contract.
    • The company has identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting, and its capital needs are substantial.

    Opportunities

    • A separate listing of QLE and a possible distribution of its shares to shareholders could clarify the value of each division.
    • Demand for helium from geopolitically neutral sources could support Renergen revenue if Phase 1 is completed on schedule.
    • Development of new isotopes and expansion in radiopharmaceuticals could open new revenue lines in coming years.

    Threats

    • Technical delays with equipment and political or economic instability in South Africa could affect project execution.
    • Export controls and rules on dual-use technology could restrict operations and commercialization.
    • Volatility in natural gas and helium prices could reduce Renergen profitability.

    Risks

    • Continuing losses and need for capitalhigh

      The company reported a net loss of 159.8 million USD in fiscal 2025 and expects significant losses to continue, which could make it necessary to raise capital on unfavorable terms 1.

    • Export controls and dual-use statusmedium

      Enrichment technologies could be classified as dual-use, which could limit their publication and export.

    • Operational risk in South Africamedium

      Economic, political or social instability could disrupt project development and operations.

    • Dependence on a few large customersmedium

      Revenue could depend on a small number of customers, and losing one could materially affect results.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If PET Labs and Renergen reach their revenue and EBITDA targets, the company could reduce its dependence on isotopes not yet proven commercially.
    • Demand for helium from alternative sources could provide long-term revenue if take-or-pay contracts materialize.
    • A separate listing of QLE could highlight the value of the nuclear fuels division if the market responds favorably.

    What would break the thesis

    • Repeated losses and the need for additional funding could dilute shareholders if expected milestones do not materialize.
    • If isotope production stays delayed, expected revenue could remain below expectations for a long period.
    • A complex structure with many subsidiaries and intra-group transactions could make it hard to value the company accurately.

    What to watch

    • Start of helium production at Renergen and completion of Phase 1before September 30, 2026
    • PET Labs results and achievement of its 2026 revenue target2026
    • QLE listing timing and distribution of shares to shareholdersnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    ASP Isotopes operates through subsidiaries and focuses on its proprietary ASP and QE enrichment technologies, with its first isotope products targeted for commercial shipments in 2026. The company is active in three directions: specialist isotopes, nuclear fuels through the subsidiary Quantum Leap Energy and, since 2026, natural gas and helium through Renergen. Fiscal 2025 brought a net loss of 159.8 million USD, and cumulative losses bring the accumulated deficit to 231.3 million USD 1.

    Segments

    Nuclear fuels (Quantum Leap Energy)

    The QLE subsidiary pursues advanced nuclear fuels such as HALEU and lithium-6, with a uranium enrichment project in South Africa. The company intends to list QLE separately on a US exchange, and QLE confidentially submitted a draft Form S-1 in November 2025 1.

    Natural gas and helium (Renergen)

    Renergen, acquired in January 2026, produces LNG and liquid helium from the Virginia Gas Project. The company estimates annualized helium and LNG revenue of about 27 million USD after Phase 1 is completed, though these estimates depend on project execution 3.

    Market context

    The isotope market divides into niches in medicine, semiconductors and nuclear energy, each with different product cycles. According to the shareholder letter, about half of global helium supply is currently estimated to be offline, which could create demand for a supplier in a geopolitically neutral location 3. Demand for therapeutic radioisotopes could grow as more drugs are approved, but this remains uncertain.

    Trends

    • Demand for alternative helium supplytailwind

      A global helium shortfall could support pricing and customer interest in new suppliers if the supply situation does not normalize.

    • Nuclear regulation and export controlsheadwind

      Enrichment technologies may be treated as dual-use, which could limit their publication or export.

    • Growing demand for radiopharmaceuticalstailwind

      The large number of radiotherapy drugs in clinical trials could create need for more radioisotopes, particularly for PET Labs operations.

    Competitive position

    The supplied sources do not name direct competitors for ASP Isotopes. The company only notes that QLE could face competition from existing or new companies, which could create downward pressure on prices and market share. The sources do not provide information on the company's relative position against other suppliers.

    • Existing and new entrants in nuclear enrichment

      Mentioned in the QLE risk factors as a possible source of price and market share pressure, without named companies in the sources.

    • Existing helium suppliers

      The shareholder letter indicates a partly offline global helium supply but does not name specific competitors.

    • Radiopharmaceutical producers

      PET Labs operates in a radiopharmaceutical market where competitors are not identified in the supplied sources.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report26 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report15 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report02 Oct 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure
    • Current report08 Sept 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report18 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report14 Aug 2026
    • Current report06 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / ASP Isotopes Inc. · 10 Apr 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / ASP Isotopes Inc. · 14 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / ASP Isotopes Inc. · 04 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.