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olivLaw · US equity research

Orion S.A. OEC

Miscellaneous Chemical Products · SIC 2890 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Chemical Products (SIC 2890)

5.87USD+6.73% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Orion S.A. is one of the largest global producers of carbon black, with Specialty and Rubber segments serving tires, coatings, inks and batteries. The company is under pressure: annual net sales fell to 1806.7 million USD in fiscal 2025, and second-quarter 2026 net sales reached 500.9 million USD amid oil price swings and cheap Asian tire imports.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Orion S.A. (OEC) stock was 5.87 USD (+6.73% on the day), with market capitalisation 331.8 m USD, dividend yield 1.36%, beta 1.16, 52-week range 4.35–8.31 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 472.8 m USD (+4.9% YoY), net income of -3.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
331.8 m USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.58 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-9.91%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.36%
DPS 12m 0.08
Beta (2y)
1.16
Volatility (1y) 65%
52-week range
4.358.31

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.19 – 5.89
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.97 · band width 12.5%
SMA 50 / 200
5.77 / 6.38
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.05 / -0.10
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.3%−1.1%+1.4 pp—
3 months−10.5%−0.5%−10.1 pp—
6 months−28.4%+4.4%−32.8 pp—
Year to date+11.2%+12.3%−1.1 pp—
1 year+10.8%+13.5%−2.8 pp+19.0%
3 years−72.4%+76.4%−148.9 pp−0.5%
5 years−71.0%+63.7%−134.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−38.2%
11 Feb 2026 → 16 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−84.6%
26 Dec 2023 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−21.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
472.8 m USD
+4.9% YoY
Net income
-3.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-0.7% / 4.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue434.2 m477.7 m466.4 m450.9 m411.7 m459.5 m500.9 m472.8 m
Cost of revenue344.9 m379.6 m368.0 m365.3 m334.0 m380.3 m407.9 m382.0 m
Gross profit89.3 m98.1 m98.4 m85.6 m77.7 m79.2 m93.0 m90.8 m
Research & development7.0 m6.6 m6.5 m6.9 m7.5 m7.3 m7.2 m4.9 m
SG&A58.1 m58.4 m57.7 m57.5 m57.1 m59.1 m62.7 m59.9 m
Operating income23.6 m31.2 m32.1 m-53.7 m17.9 m11.4 m21.3 m22.8 m
Depreciation & amortisation35.3 m31.5 m32.0 m33.7 m34.7 m32.7 m32.9 m39.6 m
Pre-tax income15.6 m17.5 m13.0 m-68.1 m3.3 m-3.3 m5.0 m5.0 m
Income tax-2.1 m8.9 m4.6 m-500.0 k22.8 m6.7 m3.4 m8.2 m
Net income17.2 m9.1 m9.0 m-67.1 m-21.1 m-9.9 m1.8 m-3.1 m
Diluted EPS0.30 ≈0.160.16-1.20-0.38 ≈-0.180.03-0.05
Operating cash flow94.5 m400.0 k53.7 m ≈68.8 m ≈92.9 m-12.4 m27.3 m ≈57.8 m ≈
Capex71.0 m29.2 m42.2 m ≈40.9 m ≈48.7 m36.1 m25.4 m ≈11.8 m ≈
Dividends paid1.2 m1.2 m1.2 m ≈1.1 m ≈1.2 m1.2 m1.1 m ≈1.2 m ≈
Share repurchases8.7 m19.8 m5.0 m ≈0 ≈0800.0 k0 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.6 bn1.5 bn1.1 bn1.5 bn2.0 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+18.8%−6.5%−23.0%+36.1%+31.3%−6.7%−0.9%−3.8%
Net income121.3 m86.9 m18.2 m134.7 m106.2 m103.5 m44.2 m-70.1 m
Net income YoY+87.0%−28.4%−79.1%+640.1%−21.2%−2.5%−57.3%−258.6%
Diluted EPS1.991.420.302.211.731.730.76-1.24
Diluted EPS YoY+86.0%−28.6%−78.9%+636.7%−21.7%0.0%−56.1%−263.2%
net %7.7%5.9%1.6%8.7%5.2%5.5%2.4%-3.9%
Free cash flow10.9 m72.8 m-13.5 m-69.5 m-151.8 m173.1 m-81.4 m54.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
60.7 m USD
Financial debt
979.5 m USD
Net debt
918.8 m USD
Equity
384.6 m USD
Total assets
1.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
2.55x
Current ratio
1.03x
ROE
-16.3%
ROA
-3.7%
FCF margin
3.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
451.0 m
2024
428.8 m
2025
359.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
24.5 m
2024
27.1 m
2025
27.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
221.9 m
2024
237.8 m
2025
230.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
205.3 m
2024
102.7 m
2025
27.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
113.0 m
2024
125.3 m
2025
131.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
318.3 m ≈
2024
228.0 m ≈
2025
159.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
50.9 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
163.8 m
2024
53.9 m
2025
-34.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
60.3 m
2024
9.7 m
2025
35.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
103.5 m
2024
44.2 m
2025
-70.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.73
2024
0.76
2025
-1.24

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
60.0 m
2024
58.4 m
2025
56.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.08
2024
0.08
2025
0.08

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
37.5 m
2024
44.2 m
2025
60.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
241.0 m
2024
211.9 m
2025
213.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
287.1 m
2024
290.4 m
2025
277.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
646.1 m
2024
613.3 m
2025
643.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
76.1 m
2024
71.5 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
25.5 m
2024
18.5 m
2025
14.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
183.7 m
2024
156.2 m
2025
197.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
137.0 m
2024
258.8 m
2025
305.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
677.3 m
2024
647.0 m
2025
674.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
440.3 m
2024
516.7 m
2025
626.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
478.5 m †
2024
474.9 m †
2025
384.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
345.9 m
2024
125.3 m
2025
215.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
172.8 m
2024
206.7 m
2025
161.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
173.1 m ≈
2024
-81.4 m ≈
2025
54.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-172.8 m
2024
-206.7 m
2025
-161.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-197.1 m
2024
89.3 m
2025
-41.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
4.9 m
2024
4.8 m
2025
4.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
65.6 m
2024
26.6 m
2025
24.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-73.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-258.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-263.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
-1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
10.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
916.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
165.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
122.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
43.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
77.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
53 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
73 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
331.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
17.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
7.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
13.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

5.87 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 331.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
331.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
-8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
-1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 1433derived 104

Score by group

  • Valuation91
  • Balance sheet6
  • Quality37
  • Growth0
  • Returns54

Estimated value range

Low
11.84
USD per share
Mid
18.33
USD per share
High
30.31
USD per share
Price: 5.87 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 212.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 68.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.05 – 59.21 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA22.63 – 59.21 (Mid 35.45)
    3 companies used · median multiple 13.7x · quartiles 10.3x – 20.0x
    CBT, ESI, WDFC
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)1.05 – 1.41 (Mid 1.21)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Chemical Products (SIC 2890)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality4.6%33 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality-1.8%43 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.8%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.3x0 (on a fixed band)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x22 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.9x83 (on a fixed band)15%
FCF yield · Valuation13.1%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.7%24 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns10.8%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet6/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality37/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns54/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation91/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ORION S.A. (OEC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.8%; net margin -1.8%; ROE -8.1%; net debt/EBITDA 4.3x.

The estimated value range is 11.84–30.31 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 18.33 USD, the price of 5.87 USD leaves a potential of 212.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 68.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/EBITDA: 5.9x
  • FCF yield: 13.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 10.8%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.8%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.3x
  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.7%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Chemical Products (SIC 2890) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 31.7x
EV/EBITDA
5.9x
vertical median 13.7x
below median (−57.3%)
P/S
0.2x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−92.3%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−65.5%)
ROE
-8.1%
vertical median 7.4%
below median (−208.9%)
Net margin
-1.8%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−133.5%)
EBIT margin
4.0%
vertical median 11.7%
below median (−66.0%)
Revenue YoY
-3.8%
vertical median 10.4%
below median (−136.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.3x
vertical median 0.1x
above median (+3,219.4%)
Dividend yield
1.4%
vertical median 1.3%
above median (+6.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ESIElement Solutions Inc8.1 bn39.67.4%5.9%+3.8%+29% / +60%
CBTCabot Corp3.9 bn21.112.1%5.2%−7.0%+20% / −1%
WDFCWd-40 Company3.1 bn38.330.4%12.0%+11.0%+19% / −4%
FTKFlotek Industries Inc895.4 m25.037.8%13.0%+26.9%+73% / +685%
OECOrion S.A.331.8 m—-8.1%-1.8%−3.8%+11% / −72%
ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.292.8 m—-80.9%-380.3%+475.5%−69% / −1%
ARQArq, Inc.81.8 m—-25.0%-38.5%+10.4%−50% / −31%
FSIFlexible Solutions International, Inc80.1 m—-8.2%-8.8%+0.7%−8% / +313%

1- and 3-year price returns: for OEC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    In brief

    Orion S.A. is one of the largest global producers of carbon black, with Specialty and Rubber segments serving tires, coatings, inks and batteries. The company is under pressure: annual net sales fell to 1806.7 million USD in fiscal 2025, and second-quarter 2026 net sales reached 500.9 million USD amid oil price swings and cheap Asian tire imports.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a diversified process technology base, several innovation centers and long-term customer contracts that add stability.
    • Its presence on three continents and plant network allow local supply, an advantage management highlighted in the second quarter of 2026.
    • The Specialty segment showed strong recovery in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, where premium products are valued.

    Weaknesses

    • High net debt relative to Adjusted EBITDA limits financial flexibility.
    • Dependence on carbon black oil prices leaves margins exposed to cost shocks, even with pass-through mechanisms.
    • Customer concentration in the tire industry exposes the company to volume losses if a major customer reduces orders.

    Opportunities

    • EU and US tariff measures could encourage local tire production and support Rubber segment volumes.
    • Demand for specialty carbon black in batteries, especially for electric vehicles, could grow over the long term.
    • Cost savings and better working capital could strengthen free cash flow and reduce debt.

    Threats

    • Low-cost Asian tire imports could keep reducing European production and Western demand for carbon black.
    • Substitution by precipitated silica in passenger car tires could increase if technology advances.
    • Geopolitical tensions and tariff policy could raise costs and disrupt supply chains.

    Risks

    • Raw material cost volatilityhigh

      Prices of carbon black oil and natural gas can directly affect volumes and margins, and cost pass-through is not instantaneous 1. If prices rise sharply, margins could be compressed.

    • High leveragehigh

      Net debt and the ratio to Adjusted EBITDA raise questions about refinancing capacity, especially if operating results remain weak 3.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      A small number of large customers account for a significant share of sales, and losing one could materially affect revenue 1.

    • Asian tire importsmedium

      Pressure from low-cost imports on Western tire markets could persist and reduce demand for the Rubber segment 1.

    • Goodwill impairmentlow

      The company impaired all of its existing goodwill in 2025, a sign that profitability expectations were revised down 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the second-quarter 2026 recovery strengthens and Specialty keeps growing in high-margin regions, the company could reach its reaffirmed Adjusted EBITDA range 3.
    • If EU and US tariff measures slow tire imports, the Rubber segment could recover lost volume 3.
    • If cost reduction and working capital management hold, free cash flow could turn positive and support debt reduction 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If Asian imports stay high, the Rubber segment could keep reporting declines in Adjusted EBITDA and contractual pricing.
    • If net debt stays high relative to EBITDA, financial flexibility for investment and shareholder returns could remain limited.
    • If silica substitution accelerates, demand for carbon black in tires could decline over time.

    What to watch

    • Whether results reach the reaffirmed 2026 Adjusted EBITDA range2026
    • Rubber segment margin trends and contractual pricingQ3 2026
    • Trend in net debt and the ratio to Adjusted EBITDAnext 10-K
    • Effect of EU and US tariff measures on tire production2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

    The business

    Orion S.A. is a Luxembourg joint stock corporation with its principal executive office in Spring, Texas, and a corporate lineage going back more than 160 years to Germany. The company produces carbon black, a powdered form of carbon used to give materials color, reinforcement, conductivity and UV protection 1. It operates 14 wholly owned production facilities plus one jointly owned plant in Dortmund, Germany, and reports about 1,639 employees 1.

    The company runs two reportable segments and sells mostly under long-term contracts with formula-driven price adjustments for raw material and energy costs 1. Because most volume is tied to carbon black oil prices, revenue and margins react quickly to oil price moves 1. Orion also reports non-GAAP measures such as Adjusted EBITDA, which management uses to evaluate operating performance 1.

    From the second quarter of 2026, Orion reports cost savings and working capital gains that helped cash flow, with a target of 20 million USD of full-year benefit 3. The company reaffirmed a 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range of 170 to 210 million USD 3.

    Segments

    Specialty Carbon Black

    The Specialty segment supplies carbon black for coatings, polymers, printing inks and lithium-ion batteries, where product specifications are demanding 1. In the second quarter of 2026, segment net sales rose 17% year over year and Adjusted EBITDA rose 96%, supported by better pricing and higher volumes in high-margin regions 3.

    Rubber Carbon Black

    The Rubber segment supplies carbon black for tires and mechanical rubber goods, and is the larger segment by revenue and volume 1. In the second quarter of 2026, segment Adjusted EBITDA fell 61%, driven by lower contractual pricing, unfavorable customer mix and low-value tire imports from Asia 3.

    Market context

    Demand for carbon black depends on automotive production, construction and general industrial activity, and the market is served by a few large global producers 1. The company notes that tire production volumes and consumer replacement spending directly drive volumes, while pressure in Europe comes from Asian imports 1.

    In Specialty, demand from polymers and inks was soft in 2025 but strengthened in key western regions in 2026 3. For Rubber, management hopes that recently implemented EU duties and US tariffs could support local tire production, though no clear effect was visible yet 3.

    Trends

    • Oil price pass-throughmixed

      Raw material costs depend on carbon black oil derived from petroleum, and price changes flow into sales through formula mechanisms with a lag 1. Higher oil prices in 2026 raised both sales and cost of sales, but could compress margins if adjustments are delayed 2.

    • Asian tire importsheadwind

      Low-cost tire imports from Asia have hurt demand for rubber carbon black in Western markets, and the company says they have reduced its profitability 1. If trade policies in the EU and US changed import flows, pressure on the Rubber segment could ease 3.

    • Cost reduction and working capitaltailwind

      The company launched cost saving and working capital initiatives that contributed to second-quarter 2026 cash flow 3. If these efforts are sustained, they could support debt reduction 3.

    • Geopolitical and tariff uncertaintyheadwind

      The Middle East conflict, US tariff policy and EU climate rules affect both costs and demand, and the company treats them as sources of volatility 12. This uncertainty could affect demand across all segments.

    Competitive position

    Orion is one of the largest global producers of specialty carbon black, alongside two other large global producers, plus regional producers and technology specialists 1. In rubber carbon black there are two other global companies and several regional ones, and competition rests on quality, supply reliability and innovation 1.

    The company says it differentiates itself through the broadest process technology and specialty product portfolio in the industry 1. A key threat is substitution by precipitated silica in tires, which could grow if technology advances 1.

    • Cabot CorporationCBT

      Large global carbon black producer, one of the two other large global specialty competitors, though not named in the source.

    • Cabot Corporation (Rubber segment)CBT

      Global rubber carbon black competitor, one of the two other global players in the Rubber segment.

    • Regional carbon black producers

      Regional suppliers that mainly serve standard and mechanical rubber goods applications rather than the most specialized products.

    • Precipitated silica producers

      Suppliers of an alternative material that competes with carbon black in certain tire rolling-resistance applications.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Orion S.A. · 17 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Orion S.A. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Orion S.A. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.