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olivLaw · US equity research

Emerson Electric Co. EMR

Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) · SIC 3600 · Vertical: Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) (SIC 3600)

170.44USD+2.43% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Emerson Electric is a global technology and software company providing automation solutions to process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers, with AspenTech and Test & Measurement in its portfolio. In fiscal 2025 sales reached 18.0 billion USD, up 3 percent, and the company closed the year with an order backlog of 8.6 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) stock was 170.44 USD (+2.43% on the day), with market capitalisation 95.1 bn USD, P/E 37.3 on diluted EPS of 4.57 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.29%, beta 1.39, 52-week range 123.30–170.74 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.9 bn USD (+7.0% YoY), net income of 718.0 m USD (+22.5% YoY), diluted EPS 1.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
95.1 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.3
Diluted EPS TTM 4.57 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.68%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.29%
DPS 12m 2.19
Beta (2y)
1.39
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
123.30170.74

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
157.06 – 170.11
above the upper band · %B 1.03 · band width 8.0%
SMA 50 / 200
157.72 / 147.33
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.82 / 2.47
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.0%−1.1%+6.1 pp—
3 months+4.9%−0.5%+5.4 pp—
6 months+15.2%+4.4%+10.8 pp—
Year to date+28.4%+12.3%+16.1 pp—
1 year+23.7%+13.5%+10.2 pp−49.5%
3 years+85.3%+76.4%+8.9 pp−99.9%
5 years+74.0%+63.7%+10.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−23.7%
10 Feb 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−29.9%
04 Dec 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.9 bn USD
+7.0% YoY
Net income
718.0 m USD
+22.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.28
+23.1% YoY
net / operating
14.7% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.6 bn4.2 bn4.4 bn4.6 bn4.9 bn4.3 bn4.6 bn4.9 bn
Cost of revenue2.2 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn
Gross profit2.4 bn2.2 bn2.4 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn———
SG&A1.3 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation426.0 m383.0 m384.0 m372.0 m379.0 m359.0 m369.0 m377.0 m
Pre-tax income679.0 m775.0 m629.0 m734.0 m796.0 m775.0 m793.0 m916.0 m
Income tax149.0 m182.0 m199.0 m154.0 m160.0 m169.0 m175.0 m198.0 m
Net income996.0 m585.0 m485.0 m586.0 m637.0 m605.0 m618.0 m718.0 m
Diluted EPS1.731.020.861.041.121.071.10 ≈1.28
Operating cash flow1.1 bn777.0 m241.0 m ≈1.1 bn ≈1.0 bn699.0 m779.0 m ≈1.4 bn ≈
Capex168.0 m83.0 m87.0 m ≈93.0 m ≈168.0 m97.0 m85.0 m ≈102.0 m ≈
Dividends paid300.0 m301.0 m297.0 m ≈297.0 m ≈297.0 m312.0 m312.0 m ≈311.0 m ≈
Share repurchases260.0 m899.0 m223.0 m ≈25.0 m ≈20.0 m250.0 m292.0 m ≈356.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 4.0, median 21.6, max 37.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue17.4 bn18.4 bn16.8 bn12.9 bn13.8 bn15.2 bn17.5 bn18.0 bn
Revenue YoY+14.0%+5.5%−8.6%−23.0%+6.7%+9.9%+15.3%+3.0%
Net income2.2 bn2.3 bn2.0 bn2.3 bn3.2 bn13.2 bn2.0 bn2.3 bn
Net income YoY+45.1%+4.7%−14.8%+17.2%+40.3%+309.1%−85.1%+16.5%
Diluted EPS3.463.713.243.825.4122.883.434.04
Diluted EPS YoY+47.2%+7.2%−12.7%+17.9%+41.6%+322.9%−85.0%+17.8%
net %12.7%12.6%11.7%17.8%23.4%87.2%11.3%12.7%
Free cash flow2.3 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn3.2 bn2.6 bn274.0 m2.9 bn2.7 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
1.5 bn USD
Financial debt
13.1 bn USD
Net debt
11.6 bn USD
Equity
20.3 bn USD
Total assets
42.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.65x
Current ratio
0.88x
ROE
9.6%
ROA
5.3%
FCF margin
14.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
15.2 bn
2024
17.5 bn
2025
18.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
7.7 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
7.4 bn
2024
8.9 bn
2025
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Research & development
2023
523.0 m
2024
781.0 m
2025
771.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
4.2 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Nov 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
642.0 m
2024
415.0 m
2025
696.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
13.2 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
22.88
2024
3.43
2025
4.04

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
577.3 m
2024
574.0 m
2025
566.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.08
2024
2.10
2025
2.11

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
8.1 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
13.8 bn
2024
10.2 bn
2025
8.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
14.5 bn
2024
18.1 bn
2025
18.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
6.3 bn
2024
10.4 bn
2025
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
42.7 bn
2024
44.2 bn
2025
42.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
547.0 m
2024
532.0 m
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
7.6 bn
2024
7.2 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
5.0 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
9.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
26.6 bn
2024
27.5 bn
2025
20.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
637.0 m
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
363.0 m
2024
419.0 m
2025
431.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
274.0 m ≈
2024
2.9 bn ≈
2025
2.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
12.4 bn
2024
-5.4 bn
2025
-593.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-6.8 bn
2024
-2.5 bn
2025
-4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
2.0 bn
2024
435.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
16.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
17.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
51.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
13.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
18.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
48.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
10.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
452.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
134.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
95.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
106.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
36.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
5.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
27.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 45 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

170.44 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 95.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
95.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
13.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Aug 2026
verified 3003derived 199

Score by group

  • Balance sheet6
  • Valuation54
  • Quality48
  • Growth36
  • Returns71

Estimated value range

Low
117.15
USD per share
Mid
163.79
USD per share
High
217.62
USD per share
Price: 170.44 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -3.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -4.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 117.15 – 217.62 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Sales117.15 – 217.62 (Mid 163.79)
    4 companies used · median multiple 5.5x · quartiles 4.1x – 7.1x
    GE, GEV, MKDW, OTIS
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) (SIC 3600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 45/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality51.1%28 (on a fixed band)13%
EBIT margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
FCF margin · Quality18.6%74 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth9.3%37 (on a fixed band)20%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth3.0%33 (vs peers)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x6 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuation5.7x40 (vs peers)20%
FCF yield · Valuation3.6%73 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.3%71 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial6/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth36/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality48/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns71/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation54/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

EMERSON ELECTRIC CO. (EMR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 18.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.0%; net margin 13.8%; ROE 12.8%.

The estimated value range is 117.15–217.62 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 163.79 USD, the price of 170.44 USD leaves a potential of -3.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -4.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 45/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF margin: 18.6%
  • FCF yield: 3.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 2.3%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 51.1%
  • Current ratio: 0.9x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EBIT margin, Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) (SIC 3600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
37.3x
vertical median 21.8x
above median (+70.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
5.1x
vertical median 3.5x
above median (+45.5%)
P/B
4.7x
vertical median 3.9x
above median (+18.8%)
ROE
12.8%
vertical median -328.7%
above median
Net margin
13.8%
vertical median -1.9%
above median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median -11.1%
Revenue YoY
3.0%
vertical median 13.7%
below median (−78.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+139.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GEGeneral Electric Company340.4 bn38.050.1%17.3%+18.5%+10% / +239%
GEVGE Vernova Inc.220.4 bn21.8103.5%23.5%+9.0%+39% / unavailable
EMREmerson Electric Co.95.1 bn37.312.8%13.8%+3.0%+24% / +85%
OTISOtis Worldwide Corporation30.4 bn19.8—10.3%+1.2%−10% / −7%
MKDWMKDWELL Tech Inc.22.7 m—-401.0%-104.0%+51.6%−97% / −100%
FXHOUTime Limited11.0 m—-328.7%-14.2%−17.7%−89% / −100%
TRNRInteractive Strength Inc.2.0 m—-336.8%-159.3%+114.3%−99% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for EMR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
106.84
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
188.46
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
283.31
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
113.89
Total return -30% · Per year -11%
225.08
Total return 37% · Per year 11%
370.02
Total return 123% · Per year 31%
5 years
121.42
Total return -23% · Per year -5%
268.80
Total return 66% · Per year 11%
483.27
Total return 195% · Per year 24%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 56.27
  • Net margin± 39.39
  • Annual revenue growth± 30.92
  • Annual dilution± 3.31

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Emerson Electric is a global technology and software company providing automation solutions to process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers, with AspenTech and Test & Measurement in its portfolio. In fiscal 2025 sales reached 18.0 billion USD, up 3 percent, and the company closed the year with an order backlog of 8.6 billion USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad automation portfolio covering valves, instrumentation, control software and tools, with a declared market leadership position in many product lines 1.
  • A solid order backlog and sales growth in fiscal 2025, supported by a steady program of research and development 1.
  • Integration of AspenTech and Test & Measurement gives the company a stronger software base for growth 1.

Weaknesses

  • Most manufacturing facilities are located outside the United States, which exposes the company to political and infrastructure risks in various countries 1.
  • Reliance on a limited number of suppliers for raw materials and components could make production costs vulnerable to shortages 1.
  • Amortization of acquired intangibles and restructuring costs affect reported results, even though adjustments exclude them from core measures 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for automation, digitalization and decarbonization solutions could grow if customers adopt new technologies such as energy storage 1.
  • Growth in the software segment, focused on optimization and cybersecurity, could improve margins if integration proceeds as planned 1.
  • Emerging markets, where the company plans to expand production and sales, could offer new customers 1.

Threats

  • Intense competition could pressure prices and market share, especially from rivals with greater financial resources 1.
  • Cyberattacks, which may become more sophisticated as artificial intelligence improves, could affect operations and reputation 1.
  • Regulatory changes or geopolitical tensions could limit access to certain markets and raise compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • Competitive pricing pressuremedium

    Competitors with larger resources could lower prices or win customers if products do not remain differentiated 1.

  • Exposure to overseas manufacturinghigh

    Disruptions from war, political instability or natural disasters could delay shipments and lead to lost customers 1.

  • Cybersecurityhigh

    A successful attack or data breach could expose the company to fines, litigation and reputational damage, and the risk rises with artificial intelligence 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Difficulties integrating AspenTech and other assets could prevent the anticipated growth and profitability benefits from materializing 1.

  • Access to capital marketsmedium

    Volatility in capital markets could raise borrowing costs and limit investment and refinancing of debt 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the trend of growing sales and adjusted profitability continues, a portfolio concentrated on software and automation could support a favorable trajectory 1.
  • A steady order backlog and a leadership position in many product lines could provide visibility into future revenue 1.
  • Integration of AspenTech and Test & Measurement could create synergies that improve margins over the medium term 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If competition in automation markets intensifies, pricing pressure could limit the company's margins 1.
  • Dependence on plants outside the United States and on volatile raw materials could add unforeseen costs and delays 1.
  • If acquisition integration does not deliver the anticipated growth, profitability could remain below expectations 1.

What to watch

  • Development of sales and adjusted EBITA margin compared with the prior periodQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Emerson is a technology and software company that helps process, hybrid and discrete manufacturers optimize operations, protect personnel and reduce emissions 1. After a three-year portfolio transformation, it now reports six segments grouped into two business groups: Intelligent Devices and Software and Control 1. In 2025 sales by destination were 51 percent Americas, 30 percent Asia, Middle East and Africa, and 19 percent Europe 1.

Segments

Control Systems & Software

This segment supplies control systems and software that manage plant processes, including distributed control, safety instrumented systems, SCADA, digital twins and cybersecurity, and includes AspenTech, a leader in asset optimization software 1.

Intelligent Devices

This group includes Final Control, which makes valves and actuators, and Measurement & Analytical, which makes intelligent instrumentation for pressure, temperature, level and flow, while Discrete Automation adds pneumatic valves, switches and programmable systems 1.

Safety & Productivity

This segment delivers tools for professionals and homeowners, including pipe-working and electrical tools, drain cleaners and commercial vacuums, under brands such as RIDGID and Greenlee 1.

Market context

Growth takes place in highly competitive conditions, where some rivals have far greater financial resources, and demand depends on capital and consumer spending 1. Management believes Emerson holds a market leadership position in many of its product lines 1.

Trends

  • Decarbonization and electrificationtailwind

    The shift toward cleaner energy, energy efficiency and emissions reduction could create demand for automation technologies if the company's products adapt to solutions such as battery storage or industrial hydrogen 1.

  • Artificial intelligence and digitalizationmixed

    The growth of artificial intelligence and machine learning shifts customer demand and shortens product life cycles, which favors whoever brings new products to market first 1.

  • Climate policy and project financingmixed

    Carbon taxes, energy mandates and policies affecting the availability of financing could influence customers' projects, depending on how regulations develop 1.

  • Geopolitical and supply chain riskheadwind

    Plants located mostly outside the United States, and dependence on materials such as steel, rare earth metals and electronics, could be affected by war, political unrest and natural disasters 1.

Competitive position

Emerson operates in highly competitive markets where it competes on product performance, quality, branding, service and price 1. The company notes that some competitors have substantially greater sales, assets and financial resources, while many smaller firms compete in individual product lines 1.

The sources do not identify a single direct competitor across all product lines, so each division faces a different set of rivals 1. A more detailed comparison would require additional sources beyond the filings reviewed here.

  • Larger competitors with substantially greater financial resources

    The filing states that some competitors have substantially greater sales, assets and financial resources than Emerson, without naming them 1.

  • Smaller firms specialized in individual product lines

    The company also faces many smaller companies whose presence varies by product line 1.

  • Automation and instrumentation suppliers

    The filing indicates that various companies compete in one or more product lines, with the number varying by line 1.

  • Industrial software and test suppliers

    Competition in software and test systems varies by product line and is not detailed in the sources reviewed 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 May 2026
  • Current report05 May 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Feb 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report06 Feb 2026
    Shareholder vote
  • Quarterly report03 Feb 2026
  • Current report03 Feb 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Emerson Electric Co. · 10 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Emerson Electric Co. · 13 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.