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olivLaw · US equity research

Otis Worldwide Corporation OTIS

Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) · SIC 3600 · Vertical: Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) (SIC 3600)

79.79USD+3.87% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Otis is the world's largest manufacturer, installer and service provider of elevators and escalators, with revenue dominated by its Service segment. Amid tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, growth in Service offsets weakness in New Equipment.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS) stock was 79.79 USD (+3.87% on the day), with market capitalisation 30.4 bn USD, P/E 19.8 on diluted EPS of 4.02 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.16%, beta 0.37, 52-week range 64.05–93.62 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.9 bn USD (+6.1% YoY), net income of 414.0 m USD (+10.7% YoY), diluted EPS 1.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
30.4 bn USD
shares as of 15 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.8
Diluted EPS TTM 4.02 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.04%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.16%
DPS 12m 1.72
Beta (2y)
0.37
Volatility (1y) 23%
52-week range
64.0593.62

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
71.7
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
64.71 – 80.41
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.96 · band width 21.6%
SMA 50 / 200
70.04 / 76.12
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.50 / 1.82
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+21.1%−1.1%+22.2 pp—
3 months+9.2%−0.5%+9.6 pp—
6 months+4.0%+4.4%−0.4 pp—
Year to date−8.7%+12.3%−21.0 pp—
1 year−12.0%+13.5%−25.6 pp−39.2%
3 years−0.0%+76.4%−76.4 pp−99.9%
5 years−2.3%+63.7%−66.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.6%
02 Mar 2026 → 02 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−39.6%
18 Oct 2024 → 02 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−0.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.9 bn USD
+6.1% YoY
Net income
414.0 m USD
+10.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.08
+13.7% YoY
net / operating
10.6% / 15.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.7 bn3.4 bn3.6 bn3.7 bn3.8 bn3.6 bn3.9 bn3.9 bn
Research & development37.0 m37.0 m38.0 m36.0 m41.0 m38.0 m39.0 m40.0 m
SG&A495.0 m464.0 m499.0 m504.0 m512.0 m510.0 m520.0 m489.0 m
Operating income531.0 m411.0 m547.0 m586.0 m589.0 m539.0 m575.0 m620.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation48.0 m42.0 m44.0 m ≈44.0 m ≈45.0 m41.0 m42.0 m ≈41.0 m ≈
Interest expense54.0 m57.0 m50.0 m53.0 m57.0 m58.0 m62.0 m65.0 m
Pre-tax income483.0 m366.0 m521.0 m521.0 m526.0 m480.0 m547.0 m552.0 m
Income tax130.0 m110.0 m98.0 m129.0 m142.0 m127.0 m98.0 m126.0 m
Net income337.0 m243.0 m393.0 m374.0 m374.0 m340.0 m428.0 m414.0 m
Diluted EPS0.84 ≈0.610.990.950.95 ≈0.871.121.08
Operating cash flow690.0 m190.0 m215.0 m ≈374.0 m ≈817.0 m413.0 m267.0 m ≈337.0 m ≈
Capex39.0 m34.0 m36.0 m ≈37.0 m ≈45.0 m33.0 m44.0 m ≈39.0 m ≈
Dividends paid156.0 m155.0 m164.0 m ≈164.0 m ≈164.0 m163.0 m167.0 m ≈168.0 m ≈
Share repurchases207.0 m253.0 m308.0 m ≈248.0 m ≈0400.0 m407.0 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 7 percentile of its own 27-quarter history (min 16.0, median 26.4, max 32.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue12.9 bn13.1 bn12.8 bn14.3 bn13.7 bn14.2 bn14.3 bn14.4 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+1.6%−2.8%+12.1%−4.3%+3.8%+0.4%+1.2%
Net income1.0 bn1.1 bn906.0 m1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn
Net income YoYunavailable+6.4%−18.8%+37.5%+0.6%+12.2%+17.0%−15.9%
Diluted EPS2.422.552.082.892.963.394.073.50
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+5.4%−18.4%+38.9%+2.4%+14.5%+20.1%−14.0%
net %8.1%8.5%7.1%8.7%9.2%9.9%11.5%9.6%
Free cash flow1.4 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
8.0 bn USD
Net debt
6.9 bn USD
Equity
-5.3 bn USD
Total assets
10.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
0.85x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
12.6%
FCF margin
10.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
14.2 bn
2024
14.3 bn
2025
14.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
144.0 m
2024
152.0 m
2025
152.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
193.0 m
2024
181.0 m
2025
175.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
2.4 bn ≈
2024
2.2 bn ≈
2025
2.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
155.0 m
2024
183.0 m
2025
217.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
533.0 m
2024
305.0 m
2025
479.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.39
2024
4.07
2025
3.50

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
414.6 m
2024
404.4 m
2025
394.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.31
2024
1.51
2025
1.65

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.3 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.5 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
612.0 m
2024
557.0 m
2025
613.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
6.4 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
6.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
727.0 m
2024
701.0 m
2025
743.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
335.0 m
2024
311.0 m
2025
343.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
10.1 bn
2024
11.3 bn
2025
10.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
32.0 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
6.9 bn
2024
7.0 bn
2025
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
6.5 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
7.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
14.8 bn
2024
16.0 bn
2025
15.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
-4.9 bn
2024
-4.8 bn
2025
-5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
405.5 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Oct 2023verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
138.0 m
2024
126.0 m
2025
152.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.5 bn ≈
2024
1.4 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-183.0 m
2024
-164.0 m
2025
-406.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.4 bn
2024
-309.0 m
2025
-2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
539.0 m
2024
606.0 m
2025
647.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
800.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
809.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
5.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
11.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
16.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
15.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
ROA
14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
71.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
42.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
39.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
7.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
9.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
161.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
107.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
73.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
94 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
30.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
37.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
16.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
18.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 48 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

79.79 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 30.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
30.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Net margin
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 1325derived 104

Score by group

  • Valuation89
  • Returns100
  • Quality53
  • Balance sheet2
  • Growth10

Estimated value range

Low
122.63
USD per share
Mid
142.69
USD per share
High
177.98
USD per share
Price: 79.79 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 78.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 44.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 49.16 – 262.81 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)49.16 – 93.15 (Mid 65.49)
    WACC 8.3% · starting FCFF 1.9 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 8.6%
  • Peers: EV/Sales196.10 – 262.81 (Mid 219.88)
    4 companies used · median multiple 6.0x · quartiles 5.4x – 7.1x
    EMR, GE, GEV, MKDW
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) (SIC 3600)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 48/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
EBIT margin · Quality15.3%61 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF margin · Quality11.1%44 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.8%7 (on a fixed band)19%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth1.2%17 (vs peers)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.0x1 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x3 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation2.5x80 (vs peers)19%
FCF yield · Valuation5.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.8%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet2/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth10/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality53/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation89/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION (OTIS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 14.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.2%; net margin 10.3%; net debt/EBITDA 3.0x.

The estimated value range is 122.63–177.98 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 142.69 USD, the price of 79.79 USD leaves a potential of 78.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 44.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 48/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/Sales: 2.5x
  • FCF yield: 5.5%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 4.8%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.8%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 1.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.0x
  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Gross margin.

Versus the vertical median

Electronic & Other Electrical Equipment (No Computer Equip) (SIC 3600) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.8x
vertical median 37.3x
below median (−46.9%)
EV/EBITDA
15.2x
vertical median —
P/S
2.0x
vertical median 5.1x
below median (−60.3%)
P/B
—
vertical median 4.3x
ROE
—
vertical median -158.0%
Net margin
10.3%
vertical median -0.2%
above median
EBIT margin
15.3%
vertical median -41.9%
above median
Revenue YoY
1.2%
vertical median 13.7%
below median (−91.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.0x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
2.2%
vertical median 0.5%
above median (+301.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GEGeneral Electric Company340.4 bn38.050.1%17.3%+18.5%+10% / +239%
GEVGE Vernova Inc.220.4 bn21.8103.5%23.5%+9.0%+39% / unavailable
EMREmerson Electric Co.95.1 bn37.312.8%13.8%+3.0%+28% / +92%
OTISOtis Worldwide Corporation30.4 bn19.8—10.3%+1.2%−12% / −0%
MKDWMKDWELL Tech Inc.22.7 m—-401.0%-104.0%+51.6%−97% / −100%
FXHOUTime Limited11.0 m—-328.7%-14.2%−17.7%−89% / −100%
TRNRInteractive Strength Inc.2.0 m—-336.8%-159.3%+114.3%−99% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for OTIS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
46.60
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
82.50
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
124.42
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
42.79
Total return -42% · Per year -16%
85.47
Total return 14% · Per year 4%
141.87
Total return 86% · Per year 23%
5 years
39.30
Total return -43% · Per year -11%
88.55
Total return 23% · Per year 4%
161.78
Total return 118% · Per year 17%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 21.37
  • Net margin± 14.96
  • Annual revenue growth± 12.61
  • Annual dilution± 1.26

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 23 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Otis is the world's largest manufacturer, installer and service provider of elevators and escalators, with revenue dominated by its Service segment. Amid tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, growth in Service offsets weakness in New Equipment 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading global position in elevators and escalators, with a broad branch network and the largest maintenance portfolio in the industry 13.
  • The Service segment generates most of the profit and provides recurring revenue backed by long-term contracts with building owners and managers 1.
  • A large patent portfolio and a network of R&D centers and factories support product innovation and digitalization 1.

Weaknesses

  • The New Equipment segment has very thin operating margins and weak sales in China, weighing on overall profitability 3.
  • Dependence on foreign markets and local currencies exposes results to exchange rate swings, and a stronger US dollar has already hurt reported sales 1.
  • Restructuring and transformation costs have risen in recent years, and adjusted profit declined in the first half of 2026 13.

Opportunities

  • Modernization of an aging elevator base and demand for reliability could expand Service revenue 3.
  • Digital and predictive maintenance solutions could increase the number and value of service contracts 1.
  • Emerging markets, where urbanization continues, could create new demand for equipment and services 1.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and US-China tensions could raise costs and reduce demand for new equipment 12.
  • Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine could disrupt supply chains and reduce investment 2.
  • Strong competition from global rivals and local operators could pressure prices and margins 1.

Risks

  • China exposurehigh

    China is the largest market for new equipment, and a pullback in credit or investment there could hurt New Equipment sales and Service growth 13.

  • Tariffs and trademedium

    Changes in trade policy could raise product and service costs, and the ability to pass these on to customers may be limited 12.

  • Currencymedium

    Most sales come from outside the US, and currency moves can change reported results in dollars 1.

  • Geopolitical conflictsmedium

    Conflicts in the Middle East and between Russia and Ukraine could raise operating costs and affect capital markets and supply chains 2.

  • Supplier dependencelow

    Some components come from a limited number of suppliers, and their difficulties could delay projects and raise costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Growth in Service, with modernization and repair expanding, can support recurring revenue and long-term margins if demand holds 3.
  • Modernization orders and a strong backlog give visibility into future revenue, and adjusted cash flow remains solid 3.
  • The global leadership position and large maintenance portfolio could provide a lasting competitive advantage if digitalization expands 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If weakness in China and New Equipment persists, overall profitability could remain under pressure 3.
  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensions could raise costs and slow customer investment 12.
  • Adjusted profit fell in the first half of the year, and continued spending on service quality could keep margins constrained 3.

What to watch

  • Development of New Equipment sales in China and Asia PacificQ3 2026
  • Pace of Service growth and modernization ordersQ3 2026
  • Delivery against the 2026 adjusted operating profit and free cash flow outlook2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 23 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Otis operates two segments, New Equipment and Service, which in 2025 contributed 35% and 65% of net sales respectively, while Service generated 91% of segment operating profit 1. Net sales for 2025 were 14431 million USD 1. The company serves customers in over 200 countries and territories, with more than 1400 branches and offices 1.

The New Equipment segment designs, manufactures and installs passenger and freight elevators, escalators and moving walkways for residential, commercial and infrastructure projects, with customers mainly developers and general contractors 1. The Service segment provides maintenance, repair and modernization for a portfolio of approximately 2.5 million units 1.

The strategy relies on converting new installations into maintenance contracts, and the UpLift program, with annual run-rate savings of approximately 200 million USD, aims to simplify the operating model 12. The company also invests in digitalization through Otis ONE, with about 1.1 million units connected 1.

Segments

New Equipment

New Equipment net sales were flat in the second quarter of 2026, with a segment operating margin of just 3.1%, weighed down by declines in China and EMEA 3. In 2025 the segment accounted for 35% of net sales 1.

Market context

The elevator and escalator market is closely tied to construction and infrastructure investment, and China remains the largest market for new equipment, representing about one fifth of global New Equipment net sales 1. International operations make up 71% of net sales, showing strong exposure to foreign markets 1. The maintenance market is fragmented, and independent operators hold a significant share of installed units 1.

Trends

  • Demand for modernization and repairtailwind

    An aging installed base and customer focus on reliability and uptime support demand for modernization and repair, with modernization orders up 9% at constant currency 3. If this continues, it could support long-term Service growth.

  • Digitalization and operating efficiencymixed

    The Otis ONE platform and predictive maintenance tools could improve technician productivity and reduce elevator downtime, and the UpLift program has generated savings 13. The margin effect is mixed, as investment in service quality weighed on adjusted profit in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Competitive position

Major global competitors are KONE Oyj, Schindler Group and TK Elevator, with several additional competitors in Asia Pacific 1. In maintenance, independent service providers and small operators are significant competitors, holding about half of service units though a smaller share by value 1.

Competitiveness depends on local codes, price and reputation, delivery and execution, product quality and reliability, and long-term support 1. Distributors that also sell competing products can affect access to local markets, especially in China 1.

  • KONE Oyj

    Major global competitor in New Equipment and Service, named in the company's own filing.

  • Schindler Group

    Major global competitor in elevators and escalators, named in the company's own filing.

  • TK Elevator

    Major global competitor in New Equipment and maintenance, named in the company's own filing.

  • Independent service providers

    Local maintenance providers that control a significant share of installed units but a smaller share by value.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 14 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Otis Worldwide Corporation · 05 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Otis Worldwide Corporation · 23 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Otis Worldwide Corporation · 22 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.