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olivLaw · US equity research

Eversource Energy ES

Electric Services · SIC 4911 · Vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

69.03USD−0.75% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Eversource Energy (NYSE: ES) is a Boston and Hartford utility holding company delivering electricity and natural gas across Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire. It earned $1.69 billion, or $4.56 per share, in 2025, and its 2026 non-GAAP guidance is $4.57 to $4.72 per share. The company sold Aquarion Water in Q2 2026 and plans $26.51 billion of capital expenditure over 2026-2030.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, Eversource Energy (ES) stock was 69.03 USD (−0.75% on the day), with market capitalisation 26.0 bn USD, P/E 17.9 on diluted EPS of 3.87 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.46%, beta 0.27, 52-week range 63.28–76.21 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 2.9 bn USD (+2.3% YoY), net income of 55.6 m USD (−84.3% YoY), diluted EPS 0.14 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
26.0 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.9
Diluted EPS TTM 3.87 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.60%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
4.46%
DPS 12m 3.08
Beta (2y)
0.27
Volatility (1y) 25%
52-week range
63.2876.21

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
64.14 – 69.47
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.92 · band width 8.0%
SMA 50 / 200
67.39 / 70.02
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.54 / 0.11
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.0%−2.0%+9.0 pp—
3 months−5.0%−2.2%−2.9 pp—
6 months+0.2%+4.3%−4.1 pp—
Year to date+2.5%+10.6%−8.0 pp—
1 year−7.2%+10.5%−17.6 pp−1.1%
3 years+24.5%+73.7%−49.1 pp+50.4%
5 years−17.6%+61.7%−79.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−17.0%
27 Feb 2026 → 28 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−44.2%
18 Aug 2022 → 23 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
2.9 bn USD
+2.3% YoY
Net income
55.6 m USD
−84.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.14
−85.4% YoY
net / operating
1.9% / 18.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue3.1 bn3.0 bn4.1 bn2.8 bn3.2 bn3.4 bn4.5 bn2.9 bn
Operating income612.4 m347.8 m926.4 m663.0 m688.7 m710.5 m1.1 bn540.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation610.1 m588.3 m835.0 m494.7 m503.6 m571.1 m823.3 m379.6 m
Interest expense300.6 m288.7 m300.8 m293.2 m318.1 m331.2 m365.3 m355.5 m
Income tax76.5 m76.4 m165.2 m110.6 m-197.0 m61.4 m203.3 m79.9 m
Net income-116.2 m74.4 m552.7 m354.6 m369.4 m423.2 m608.7 m55.6 m
Diluted EPS-0.330.20 ≈1.500.960.991.13 ≈1.610.14
Operating cash flow555.6 m ≈642.1 m1.0 bn1.1 bn ≈1.1 bn ≈916.1 m1.3 bn1.1 bn ≈
Capex1.1 bn ≈1.2 bn1.0 bn1.0 bn ≈1.1 bn ≈983.3 m1.0 bn1.0 bn ≈
Dividends paid254.3 m ≈256.3 m270.2 m270.6 m ≈275.6 m ≈276.6 m290.0 m290.3 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 8 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 14.7, median 21.0, max 30.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue8.4 bn8.5 bn8.9 bn9.9 bn12.3 bn11.9 bn11.9 bn13.5 bn
Revenue YoY+9.0%+0.9%+4.4%+10.8%+24.6%−3.1%−0.1%+13.8%
Net income1.0 bn916.6 m1.2 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn-434.7 m819.2 m1.7 bn
Net income YoY+4.5%−11.9%+32.3%+1.3%+15.0%−130.8%unavailable+107.5%
Diluted EPS3.252.813.553.544.05-1.262.274.56
Diluted EPS YoY+4.5%−13.5%+26.3%−0.3%+14.4%−131.1%unavailable+100.9%
net %12.3%10.7%13.6%12.5%11.5%-3.6%6.9%12.5%
Free cash flow-739.4 m-901.9 m-1.3 bn-1.2 bn-1.0 bn-2.7 bn-2.3 bn-45.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
135.4 m USD
Financial debt
28.3 bn USD
Net debt
28.1 bn USD
Equity
16.2 bn USD
Total assets
63.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.75x
Current ratio
0.65x
ROE
10.9%
ROA
2.8%
FCF margin
-0.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
11.9 bn
2024
11.9 bn
2025
13.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
815.7 m
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
3.2 bn ≈
2024
4.2 bn ≈
2025
5.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
855.4 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
159.7 m
2024
424.7 m
2025
140.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-434.7 m
2024
819.2 m
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.26
2024
2.27
2025
4.56

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
349.8 m
2024
357.8 m
2025
371.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.70
2024
2.86
2025
3.01

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
53.9 m
2024
26.7 m
2025
135.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.2 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
4.5 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
55.6 bn
2024
59.6 bn
2025
63.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
824.8 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
23.6 bn
2024
25.7 bn
2025
26.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
6.3 bn
2024
6.7 bn
2025
7.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
14.2 bn †
2024
15.0 bn †
2025
16.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.5 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-2.7 bn ≈
2024
-2.3 bn ≈
2025
-45.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.9 bn
2024
-4.5 bn
2025
-4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
311.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
919.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
24.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
107.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
100.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
37.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
21.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
79.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
380.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
27.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
4.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
4.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
297.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
20.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
83.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
26.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
53.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
17.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
17.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
87.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

3 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 57 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

69.03 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 26.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
26.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

26/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Aug 2026
verified 2106derived 145

Score by group

  • Valuation83
  • Returns79
  • Quality31
  • Balance sheet35
  • Growth46

Estimated value range

Low
51.12
USD per share
Mid
69.09
USD per share
High
78.11
USD per share
Price: 69.03 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 0.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 0.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.70 – 124.56 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)5.70 – 56.89 (Mid 15.81)
    WACC 7.0% · starting FCFF 1.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 81%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 25.1%
  • Dividend discount (DDM)39.55 – 53.19 (Mid 45.37)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA62.70 – 124.56 (Mid 107.58)
    10 companies used · median multiple 12.8x · quartiles 9.6x – 14.0x
    AEP, CEG, CNP, D, EIX, ETR, NEE, NRG, SO, VST
  • Peers: P/E83.58 – 99.33 (Mid 92.81)
    11 companies used · median multiple 24.0x · quartiles 21.6x – 25.7x
    AEP, CEG, CNP, D, ETR, FE, NEE, NRG, PPL, SO, VST
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electric Services (SIC 4911)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 57/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality5.8%38 (vs peers)6%
Net margin · Quality10.4%23 (vs peers)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.3%53 (on a fixed band)6%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth4.0%40 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.2x55 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.2x20 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x12 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation17.9x92 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.1x73 (vs peers)11%
Dividend yield · Returns4.5%92 (vs peers)15%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns79.7%51 (on a fixed band)6%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet35/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth46/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality31/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns79/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation83/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

EVERSOURCE ENERGY (ES). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 13.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 13.8%; net margin 10.4%; ROE 9.1%; net debt/EBITDA 5.2x.

The estimated value range is 51.12–78.11 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 69.09 USD, the price of 69.03 USD leaves a potential of 0.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 0.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 57/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • P/E (TTM): 17.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 10.1x
  • Dividend yield: 4.5%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 10.4%
  • Interest coverage: 2.2x
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Electric Services (SIC 4911) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 13 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.2 bn and 204.4 bn (within 8× of the company's); 39 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
17.9x
vertical median 23.5x
below median (−24.1%)
EV/EBITDA
10.1x
vertical median 13.4x
below median (−24.8%)
P/S
1.9x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−37.8%)
P/B
1.6x
vertical median 2.6x
below median (−39.9%)
ROE
9.1%
vertical median 11.3%
below median (−19.5%)
Net margin
10.4%
vertical median 13.1%
below median (−20.5%)
EBIT margin
21.5%
vertical median 23.1%
below median (−6.9%)
Revenue YoY
13.8%
vertical median 9.8%
above median (+41.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.2x
vertical median 5.4x
at median
Dividend yield
4.5%
vertical median 3.0%
above median (+49.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NEENextera Energy Inc175.9 bn21.415.6%31.5%+9.8%−2% / +44%
SOSouthern Co105.7 bn24.011.3%14.5%+10.6%+3% / +32%
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation93.3 bn25.715.3%11.1%+8.3%−28% / +118%
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.70.7 bn19.012.8%16.9%+10.9%+5% / +63%
DDominion Energy, Inc58.7 bn19.810.5%16.9%+14.2%+6% / +47%
ETREntergy Corp49.9 bn27.711.1%13.6%+9.0%+12% / +115%
VSTVistra Operations Company LLC46.9 bn23.043.1%11.6%+3.0%−22% / +294%
CNPCenterpoint Energy Inc27.8 bn26.19.6%11.4%+8.3%+6% / +50%
FEFirstenergy Corp27.3 bn25.78.4%6.9%+12.0%−1% / +28%
PPLPPL Corp26.9 bn21.88.3%13.1%+6.9%−3% / +37%
ESEversource Energy26.0 bn17.99.1%10.4%+13.8%−7% / +25%
EIXEdison International22.9 bn6.320.8%19.6%+9.8%+1% / −11%
NRGNRG Energy, Inc20.2 bn24.923.8%2.6%+9.2%−43% / +101%
TLNTalen Energy Corporation15.5 bn—-16.7%-6.4%+22.0%−9% / +523%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ES from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
40.34
Total return -38% · Per year -38%
71.36
Total return 8% · Per year 8%
107.54
Total return 61% · Per year 61%
3 years
38.21
Total return -34% · Per year -13%
76.15
Total return 25% · Per year 8%
126.14
Total return 101% · Per year 26%
5 years
36.20
Total return -31% · Per year -7%
81.26
Total return 42% · Per year 7%
147.95
Total return 147% · Per year 20%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 19.04
  • Net margin± 13.33
  • Annual revenue growth± 11.07
  • Annual dilution± 1.12

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Aug 2026).

In brief

Eversource Energy (NYSE: ES) is a Boston and Hartford utility holding company delivering electricity and natural gas across Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire 12. It earned $1.69 billion, or $4.56 per share, in 2025, and its 2026 non-GAAP guidance is $4.57 to $4.72 per share 12. The company sold Aquarion Water in Q2 2026 and plans $26.51 billion of capital expenditure over 2026-2030 12.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The regulated asset base is large and growing, and rules allow recovery of prudent costs with a reasonable return 1.
  • The company serves an extensive New England customer base with a stable delivery model 2.
  • Selling Aquarion and the offshore wind assets has simplified the portfolio and strengthened the balance sheet 12.

Weaknesses

  • Results are sensitive to regulatory decisions that can challenge costs or reduce allowed returns 1.
  • Higher interest costs weigh on earnings across several segments 2.
  • A contingent liability tied to the offshore wind sale could affect future results 2.

Opportunities

  • The extensive transmission and distribution investment plan could support growth in the asset base 1.
  • Transmission projects awarded through ISO-NE processes could open new investment avenues 2.
  • Grid modernisation and reliability spending could bring rate increases approved by regulators 1.

Threats

  • Pressure on customer bills and regulation could limit cost recovery or delay rate increases 1.
  • Cyberattacks and security incidents could disrupt operations and bring costs and fines 1.
  • Changes in tax or regulatory policy could alter returns and cash flows 1.

Risks

  • Regulation and cost recoveryhigh

    Regulators may disallow costs, reduce returns or delay rates, which could affect revenue and cash flow 1.

  • Transmission ROEhigh

    The FERC decision on transmission ROE and related refunds could reduce earnings from the transmission segment 2.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    A major cyber event could interrupt service, lead to litigation and fines, and damage reputation 1.

  • Offshore-related liabilitiesmedium

    Obligations tied to the offshore wind sale to the buyer could create further financial charges 12.

  • Environmental compliance costslow

    Climate and environmental rules could raise operating and investment costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If planned grid investments are approved on time, the regulated asset base could keep growing and support the EPS growth target.
  • The Aquarion and offshore sales could simplify the company and strengthen the balance sheet, reducing risks outside the core model.
  • Winning transmission projects through ISO-NE processes could provide new long-term growth sources.

What would break the thesis

  • FERC and state decisions could lower returns or delay cost recovery, which could limit earnings growth.
  • Political pressure on bills could push regulators to refuse rate increases, affecting the investment plan.
  • Contingent liabilities and interest costs could reduce earnings and financial flexibility, especially if financing conditions worsen.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and non-GAAP EPS reconciliationQ3 2026
  • Update to 2026 EPS guidanceQ3 2026
  • Rate decisions in Connecticut, Massachusetts and New Hampshire2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Aug 2026).

The business

Eversource operates through regulated subsidiaries: CL&P in Connecticut, NSTAR Electric and PSNH for electricity, NSTAR Gas, EGMA and Yankee Gas for natural gas, and Aquarion for water 1. At 31 December 2025 CL&P served about 1.32 million customers and NSTAR Electric about 1.62 million 1. CL&P owns no generation and passes supply costs through without mark-up 1.

The company reports four segments: electric distribution, electric transmission, natural gas distribution and water distribution 1. Its offshore wind assets were sold in 2024, leaving only a noncontrolling tax equity stake in South Fork Wind, while a contingent liability tied to that sale continues to affect results 12. After the Aquarion sale, the company describes itself as a pure-play regulated electric and gas delivery business 2.

Rates are set by state and federal regulators, which generally allow recovery of prudently incurred costs plus a reasonable return 1. Several rate decisions in 2025 were contested or appealed, including in New Hampshire and Connecticut 1.

Market context

Eversource operates in New England, where energy costs and public policy charges have pushed customer bills higher, creating regulatory and affordability pressure 1. Transmission development in the region is opening to competitive solicitations, which may change access to projects 1.

Rising energy demand, grid investment and environmental rules shape demand for the company's services 1. Long-term growth depends on its EPS guidance, which targets 5 to 7 percent through 2030 2.

Trends

  • Transmission ROE resetheadwind

    The March 2026 FERC decision cut the New England transmission ROE, with estimated refunds that weighed on the first half 2. If the lower return persists, it could limit growth in the transmission rate base.

  • Grid investmenttailwind

    The planned 2026-2030 capital program is large and supports growth in the regulated asset base 1. If the spending is approved on time, it could support earnings growth.

  • Bill affordabilityheadwind

    High bills and political pressure could limit cost recovery or delay rate increases 1. The effect depends on decisions by regulators.

  • Non-core asset exitsmixed

    The Aquarion sale and exit from offshore wind assets simplify the portfolio toward electric and gas delivery 2. The business becomes more focused, though it gives up water revenue.

Competitive position

Eversource competes for transmission projects with non-incumbent developers through ISO-NE competitive solicitations, rather than relying only on cost-of-service recovery 12. These processes can reduce the ROE earned or impose cost caps.

In electricity supply, customers can choose competitive suppliers while the company remains the distribution operator 1. Supply competition therefore does not directly affect distribution revenue 1.

  • Independent transmission developers

    Non-incumbent developers that could win projects through ISO-NE competitive processes, as an alternative to the cost-of-service model 1.

  • Competitive electricity suppliers

    Suppliers competing for customers who choose not to stay on standard rates, while the company keeps the distribution role 1.

  • Other New England utilities

    Regional utilities competing for transmission projects and for favourable regulatory outcomes 1.

  • Offshore wind project investors

    Parties that acquired or develop offshore wind assets, such as those sold by the company in 2024 to GIP 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 17 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report03 Aug 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report07 May 2026
  • Current report06 May 2026
    Results of operations · Shareholder vote · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report31 Mar 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement27 Mar 2026
  • Current report26 Feb 2026
    Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Annual report17 Feb 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Eversource Energy · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Eversource Energy · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.