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olivLaw · US equity research

Keysight Technologies, Inc. KEYS

Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control · SIC 3823 · Vertical: Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control (SIC 3823)

285.86USD−6.31% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Keysight Technologies, Inc. (KEYS) is a global provider of design and test solutions for electronics and communications, with revenue of 5375 million USD in fiscal 2025. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 revenue reached 1.85 billion USD, up 43 percent in CSG, and guidance for the fourth quarter implies growth of about 37 percent at the midpoint.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Keysight Technologies, Inc. (KEYS) stock was 285.86 USD (−6.31% on the day), with market capitalisation 48.7 bn USD, P/E 39.2 on diluted EPS of 7.30 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.51, 52-week range 169.67–388.03 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.8 bn USD (+36.5% YoY), net income of 397.0 m USD (+107.9% YoY), diluted EPS 2.30 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
48.7 bn USD
shares as of 27 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
39.2
Diluted EPS TTM 7.30 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.55%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.51
Volatility (1y) 46%
52-week range
169.67388.03

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
31.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
282.04 – 387.81
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.04 · band width 31.6%
SMA 50 / 200
339.68 / 317.97
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-13.53 / -8.14
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−25.6%−1.1%−24.5 pp—
3 months−14.9%−0.5%−14.5 pp—
6 months−22.0%+4.4%−26.4 pp—
Year to date+40.7%+12.3%+28.4 pp—
1 year+59.6%+13.5%+46.1 pp+24.7%
3 years+127.3%+76.4%+50.9 pp+5.2%
5 years+55.6%+63.7%−8.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.3%
06 Oct 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−42.6%
27 Dec 2021 → 27 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+9.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
1.8 bn USD
+36.5% YoY
Net income
397.0 m USD
+107.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.30
+109.1% YoY
net / operating
21.5% / 25.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn
Cost of revenue485.0 m478.0 m492.0 m518.0 m550.0 m605.0 m539.0 m630.0 m
Research & development233.0 m249.0 m250.0 m250.0 m258.0 m303.0 m320.0 m312.0 m
SG&A343.0 m361.0 m360.0 m354.0 m399.0 m447.0 m456.0 m446.0 m
Operating income230.0 m218.0 m207.0 m234.0 m217.0 m248.0 m407.0 m461.0 m
Interest expense23.0 m20.0 m20.0 m28.0 m28.0 m29.0 m25.0 m26.0 m
Pre-tax income248.0 m199.0 m320.0 m241.0 m322.0 m198.0 m418.0 m477.0 m
Income tax321.0 m30.0 m63.0 m50.0 m70.0 m-83.0 m69.0 m80.0 m
Net income-73.0 m169.0 m257.0 m191.0 m233.0 m281.0 m349.0 m397.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.42 ≈0.971.491.101.35 ≈1.632.022.30
Operating cash flow359.0 m378.0 m484.0 m ≈322.0 m ≈225.0 m441.0 m501.0 m ≈437.0 m ≈
Capex38.0 m32.0 m27.0 m ≈31.0 m ≈38.0 m34.0 m29.0 m ≈34.0 m ≈
Share repurchases150.0 m75.0 m150.0 m ≈50.0 m ≈100.0 m87.0 m220.0 m ≈210.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 67 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 7.9, median 32.4, max 99.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.9 bn4.3 bn4.2 bn4.9 bn5.4 bn5.5 bn5.0 bn5.4 bn
Revenue YoY+21.6%+11.0%−1.9%+17.1%+9.7%+0.8%−8.9%+8.0%
Net income165.0 m621.0 m627.0 m894.0 m1.1 bn1.1 bn614.0 m850.0 m
Net income YoY+61.8%+276.4%+1.0%+42.6%+25.7%−6.0%−41.9%+38.4%
Diluted EPS0.863.253.314.786.185.913.514.91
Diluted EPS YoY+53.6%+277.9%+1.8%+44.4%+29.3%−4.4%−40.6%+39.9%
net %4.3%14.4%14.9%18.1%20.7%19.3%12.3%15.8%
Free cash flow423.0 m878.0 m899.0 m1.1 bn959.0 m1.2 bn898.0 m1.3 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Oct 2025

Cash
1.9 bn USD
Financial debt
2.5 bn USD
Net debt
661.0 m USD
Equity
5.9 bn USD
Total assets
11.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.43x
Current ratio
2.35x
ROE
15.5%
ROA
8.3%
FCF margin
23.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
3.5 bn ≈
2024
3.1 bn ≈
2025
3.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025derived

Research & development
2023
882.0 m
2024
919.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

SG&A
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
1.4 bn
2024
833.0 m
2025
876.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Interest expense
2023
78.0 m
2024
84.0 m
2025
96.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.4 bn
2024
865.0 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
300.0 m
2024
251.0 m
2025
213.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
614.0 m
2025
850.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
5.91
2024
3.51
2025
4.91

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
179.0 m
2024
175.0 m
2025
173.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
900.0 m
2024
857.0 m
2025
939.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Inventories
2023
985.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
4.8 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
761.0 m
2024
774.0 m
2025
795.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
155.0 m
2024
607.0 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
8.7 bn
2024
9.3 bn
2025
11.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
286.0 m
2024
313.0 m
2025
355.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
599.0 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Jun 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
4.7 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
197.0 m
2024
154.0 m
2025
128.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
898.0 m ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-288.0 m
2024
-819.0 m
2025
-1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-687.0 m
2024
-913.0 m
2025
385.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
702.0 m
2024
439.0 m
2025
375.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Dec 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
5.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
38.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
39.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
42.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
64.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
20.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
22.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
11.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROCE
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-88.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
12.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
135.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
116.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
162 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
60 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
151 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
48.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
48.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
38.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
39.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
7.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
7.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
36.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
7.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
33.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

285.86 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 48.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
48.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
39.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
7.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
20.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Sept 2026
verified 2003derived 171

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation31
  • Quality96
  • Growth0
  • Returns18

Estimated value range

Low
147.94
USD per share
Mid
185.89
USD per share
High
216.36
USD per share
Price: 285.86 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -35.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -53.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 111.45 – 262.20 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)111.45 – 170.51 (Mid 134.33)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 1.6 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 36.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E184.42 – 262.20 (Mid 237.46)
    7 companies used · median multiple 32.5x · quartiles 25.3x – 35.9x
    AME, CGNX, DHR, FTV, MKSI, ROP, ST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control (SIC 3823)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality20.0%100 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality19.1%87 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality116.6%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.3%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-7.4%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet12.3x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation39.2x25 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.0%38 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.3%18 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality96/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial18/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation31/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

KEYSIGHT TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (KEYS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.0%; net margin 19.1%; ROE 20.6%.

The estimated value range is 147.94–216.36 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 185.89 USD, the price of 285.86 USD leaves a potential of -35.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -53.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 20.0%
  • Net margin: 19.1%
  • FCF conversion: 116.6%
  • Interest coverage: 12.3x
  • Current ratio: 2.0x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -7.4%
  • P/E (TTM): 39.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.3%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Industrial Instruments For Measurement, Display, and Control (SIC 3823) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
39.2x
vertical median 33.0x
above median (+18.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.8x
P/S
7.4x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+126.9%)
P/B
7.4x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+127.8%)
ROE
20.6%
vertical median 2.7%
above median (+674.7%)
Net margin
19.1%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+895.9%)
EBIT margin
20.3%
vertical median 9.0%
above median (+125.0%)
Revenue YoY
8.0%
vertical median 2.9%
above median (+174.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
DHRDanaher Corporation165.3 bn38.48.3%16.9%+2.9%+4% / +5%
AMEAMETEK, Inc.54.4 bn33.414.7%19.9%+6.6%+20% / +53%
ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.48.7 bn19.413.2%30.7%+12.3%+10% / −9%
KEYSKeysight Technologies, Inc.48.7 bn39.220.6%19.1%+8.0%+60% / +127%
FTVFortive Corporation20.3 bn32.510.5%14.8%+1.9%+28% / +31%
MKSIMks Inc.13.2 bn31.115.9%10.1%+9.6%+25% / +136%
CGNXCognex Corp8.9 bn51.311.1%16.1%+8.7%+39% / +41%
RALRalliant Corporation7.9 bn—-51.8%-52.1%−4.0%+45% / unavailable
STSensata Technologies Holding PLC6.0 bn16.512.7%9.5%−5.8%+28% / +26%
MLABMesa Laboratories Inc706.1 m148.12.7%1.9%+3.4%+57% / +48%
SENSSenseonics Holdings, Inc.476.9 m—-118.2%-225.3%+56.9%+46% / −24%
HURCHurco Companies, Inc.137.6 m—-3.3%-3.6%−4.3%+31% / +1%
SYPRSypris Solutions, Inc.29.2 m—-69.9%-9.2%−14.5%−42% / −33%
CLIRClearsign Technologies Corporation16.5 m—-51.7%-96.1%+45.6%−67% / −80%
FCUVFocus Universal Inc.2.2 m—-106.0%-637.2%−35.9%−98% / −99%
POASPhaos Technology Holdings (Cayman) Limited——-363.8%-4,662.3%−19.3%−98% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for KEYS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
163.15
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
289.14
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
436.48
Total return 53% · Per year 53%
3 years
143.50
Total return -50% · Per year -21%
287.54
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
478.68
Total return 67% · Per year 19%
5 years
126.22
Total return -56% · Per year -15%
285.94
Total return 0% · Per year 0%
524.96
Total return 84% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 71.88
  • Net margin± 50.32
  • Annual revenue growth± 43.29
  • Annual dilution± 4.23

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Keysight Technologies, Inc. (KEYS) is a global provider of design and test solutions for electronics and communications, with revenue of 5375 million USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 revenue reached 1.85 billion USD, up 43 percent in CSG 3, and guidance for the fourth quarter implies growth of about 37 percent at the midpoint 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Broad portfolio of hardware, software and services, with a large installed base and long-term customer relationships 1.
  • Sustained research and development capacity, including an in-house semiconductor fab and proprietary packaging technology 1.
  • Strong recent order and revenue growth in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 23.

Weaknesses

  • Gross margin declined in 2025 compared with earlier years, mainly due to tariffs and product mix 1.
  • Dependence on customers' research and development spending makes revenue sensitive to economic cycles 1.
  • Debt has increased following acquisitions, and integrating them can be complex and costly 12.

Opportunities

  • Demand for 6G, satellite, AI and electric vehicle technologies could expand the addressable market 1.
  • Growing software and services content could raise recurring revenue and long-term margins 1.
  • Recent acquisitions may open cross-selling opportunities with existing communications and design customers 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs, sanctions and export restrictions could affect sales and supply chains 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions and regional conflicts could limit access to markets and raise energy costs 1.
  • Competition and rapid product introductions could pressure prices and make existing solutions obsolete 1.

Risks

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Changes in US tariffs and retaliation by other countries could affect costs, demand and orders, and litigation over tariff validity remains open 12.

  • Export restrictions and sanctionshigh

    Sanctions could prevent sales to certain customers or countries, and replacing affected suppliers could be difficult 1.

  • Cyclicality of customer marketsmedium

    Revenue depends on the timing and volume of technology spending, which is hard to forecast and can be cancelled 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Integrating recently acquired businesses could cost more or delay expected synergies 12.

  • Recognition of tariff refundslow

    Tariff refunds and customer obligations could change quarterly results until the process is completed 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand from AI infrastructure and advanced communications holds, recent order growth could continue in the coming quarters.
  • A first-to-market portfolio and a growing software share could improve recurring revenue and margin stability.
  • A balance sheet with substantial liquidity provides room for investment and shareholder returns if conditions remain favorable.

What would break the thesis

  • If tariffs and sanctions widen, costs and demand could be hit and margins could fall.
  • Part of recent growth reflects acquisitions, so slower integration or softer demand could reduce the growth rate.
  • Customer markets are cyclical, and a pullback in research spending could reduce orders quickly.

What to watch

  • Fourth quarter fiscal 2026 results against guidanceQ4 2026
  • Integration of Spirent and other recent acquisitions2027
  • Effect of new tariffs and trade litigation on gross margin2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Keysight serves approximately 40000 end customers each year in over 100 countries, offering hardware, software and services for designing, validating and manufacturing electronic products 1. The company reports two segments, Communications Solutions Group and Electronic Industrial Solutions Group, and revenue was 5375 million USD in 2025 1. Its strategy rests on first-to-market solutions, growing recurring software and services revenue, and disciplined capital allocation across investment, acquisitions and shareholder returns 1.

Market context

Keysight is focused on research and development spending, where demand is supported by technologies such as 5G, 6G, data center networks, satellites and artificial intelligence 1. The company reported orders of 5787 million USD in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, up 48 percent year over year 2. However, demand in these markets can be affected by economic volatility and trade policy, which could change the pace of orders 1.

Trends

  • Demand for AI infrastructuretailwind

    Customers are investing in AI compute cluster efficiency and new interconnect technologies for data centers, which could sustain demand for Keysight solutions 1.

  • Tariffs and trade restrictionsheadwind

    US tariffs and retaliatory measures could raise component costs and reduce customer demand, and litigation over tariffs remains unresolved 12.

  • IEEPA tariff refundsmixed

    After a Supreme Court ruling, the company recorded a recovery receivable and a liability to refund customer surcharges, so the net effect depends on the refund process 2.

  • Integration of software acquisitionsmixed

    Recent software and computer-aided engineering acquisitions could expand the recurring portfolio, but integration may bring additional costs in the coming period 1.

Competitive position

The electronic test and measurement market is competitive, and Keysight faces local competitors and frequent new product introductions 1. The company notes that failing to introduce new solutions quickly could make its offerings obsolete 1.

Keysight differentiates through its integrated technology chain, long customer relationships and first-to-market solutions, which can weigh against rivals offering isolated components 1.

  • Viavi Solutions Inc.VIAV

    Acquirer of certain Spirent business lines divested to meet regulatory conditions of the acquisition 1.

  • Synopsys, Inc.SNPS

    Seller of the Optical Solutions Group business acquired by Keysight in October 2025 1.

  • Ansys, Inc.

    Seller of the PowerArtist RTL business acquired by the company, reflecting overlap in design software 1.

  • Smaller and regional test equipment providers

    Companies offering competing instruments in local markets, referenced in the source materials as active competitors 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 19 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-31 · SEC / Keysight Technologies, Inc. · 17 Dec 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / Keysight Technologies, Inc. · 02 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Keysight Technologies, Inc. · 18 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.