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olivLaw · US equity research

3M Company MMM

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

174.34USD−1.70% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

3M Company is a diversified technology company with three segments: Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics and Consumer. Net sales were 24.948 bn USD in fiscal 2025 and 19.114 bn USD in the first nine months of 2026. Adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 was raised to 9.10-9.15 USD, which could reflect productivity gains if the trend holds.

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, 3M Company (MMM) stock was 174.34 USD (−1.70% on the day), with market capitalisation 90.1 bn USD, P/E 26.0 on diluted EPS of 6.71 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.76%, beta 0.97, 52-week range 141.20–183.78 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 6.6 bn USD (+1.0% YoY), net income of 1.4 bn USD (+64.6% YoY), diluted EPS 2.63 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
90.1 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.0
Diluted EPS TTM 6.71 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.85%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.76%
DPS 12m 3.07
Beta (2y)
0.97
Volatility (1y) 26%
52-week range
141.20183.78

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
156.57 – 179.10
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.79 · band width 13.4%
SMA 50 / 200
168.47 / 161.08
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.21 / 1.13
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+6.2%−0.9%+7.1 pp—
3 months−1.1%+1.2%−2.3 pp—
6 months+22.3%+4.8%+17.5 pp—
Year to date+8.9%+10.7%−1.8 pp—
1 year+4.7%+11.1%−6.4 pp+17.0%
3 years+129.3%+80.7%+48.5 pp+3.8%
5 years+16.7%+64.6%−47.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−19.1%
12 Feb 2026 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−53.4%
12 Nov 2021 → 23 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+3.1%
S&P 500 +10.5%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
6.6 bn USD
+1.0% YoY
Net income
1.4 bn USD
+64.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.63
+69.7% YoY
net / operating
20.9% / 23.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue6.0 bn6.0 bn6.3 bn6.5 bn6.1 bn6.0 bn6.5 bn6.6 bn
Cost of revenue3.7 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.8 bn4.1 bn3.6 bn3.8 bn3.8 bn
SG&A899.0 m945.0 m1.3 bn820.0 m965.0 m744.0 m1.1 bn921.0 m
Operating income1.1 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.4 bn796.0 m1.4 bn984.0 m1.6 bn
Depreciation & amortisation322.0 m290.0 m290.0 m ≈298.0 m ≈430.0 m326.0 m335.0 m ≈336.0 m ≈
Interest expense252.0 m255.0 m237.0 m232.0 m222.0 m214.0 m202.0 m217.0 m
Pre-tax income759.0 m1.4 bn923.0 m1.1 bn758.0 m878.0 m1.1 bn1.7 bn
Income tax33.0 m265.0 m245.0 m308.0 m185.0 m221.0 m183.0 m261.0 m
Net income728.0 m1.1 bn723.0 m834.0 m577.0 m653.0 m933.0 m1.4 bn
Diluted EPS1.332.041.341.551.07 ≈1.231.782.63
Operating cash flow1.8 bn-79.0 m-954.0 m ≈1.8 bn ≈1.6 bn574.0 m986.0 m ≈486.0 m ≈
Capex291.0 m236.0 m208.0 m ≈218.0 m ≈248.0 m225.0 m223.0 m ≈256.0 m ≈
Dividends paid378.0 m396.0 m390.0 m ≈389.0 m ≈387.0 m412.0 m401.0 m ≈403.0 m ≈
Share repurchases705.0 m1.3 bn953.0 m ≈472.0 m ≈552.0 m2.0 bn994.0 m ≈232.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 88 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 8.0, median 18.1, max 60.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue32.8 bn32.1 bn32.2 bn35.4 bn26.2 bn24.6 bn24.6 bn24.9 bn
Revenue YoY+3.5%−1.9%+0.1%+9.9%−26.0%−5.9%−0.1%+1.5%
Net income5.3 bn4.5 bn5.4 bn5.9 bn5.8 bn-7.0 bn4.2 bn3.3 bn
Net income YoY+10.1%−15.6%+20.6%+8.7%−2.4%−221.1%unavailable−22.1%
Diluted EPS8.897.729.3610.1210.18-12.637.556.00
Diluted EPS YoY+12.1%−13.2%+21.2%+8.1%+0.6%−224.1%unavailable−20.5%
net %16.3%14.1%16.9%16.7%22.1%-28.4%17.0%13.0%
Free cash flow4.9 bn5.4 bn6.6 bn5.9 bn3.8 bn5.1 bn638.0 m1.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
5.2 bn USD
Financial debt
12.6 bn USD
Net debt
7.4 bn USD
Equity
4.7 bn USD
Total assets
37.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
2.65x
Current ratio
1.71x
ROE
75.2%
ROA
8.4%
FCF margin
5.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
24.6 bn
2024
24.6 bn
2025
24.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
15.0 bn
2024
14.4 bn
2025
15.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
9.6 bn ≈
2024
10.1 bn ≈
2025
10.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
700.0 m
2024
700.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Feb 2025verified

SG&A
2023
19.2 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-10.7 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-8.7 bn ≈
2024
6.2 bn ≈
2025
5.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
942.0 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
946.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-11.3 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-2.9 bn
2024
804.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-7.0 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-12.63
2024
7.55
2025
6.00

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
553.9 m
2024
552.4 m
2025
541.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
6.00
2024
3.61
2025
2.92

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
5.9 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
16.4 bn
2024
15.9 bn
2025
16.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
7.7 bn
2024
7.4 bn
2025
7.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
6.4 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
6.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
50.6 bn
2024
39.9 bn
2025
37.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.8 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
13.1 bn
2024
11.1 bn
2025
10.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
15.3 bn
2024
11.3 bn
2025
9.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
45.7 bn
2024
36.0 bn
2025
33.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.9 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
6.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
910.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
5.1 bn ≈
2024
638.0 m ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.2 bn
2024
-3.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-3.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
-4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
3.3 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
33.0 m
2024
1.8 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-22.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-17.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-20.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-16.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-8.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
118.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
39.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
24.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
80.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
9.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
28.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
45.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
59.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
10.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
952.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
2.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
75.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
58.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
95 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
69 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
83 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
90.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
100.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
25.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
21.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
21.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
33.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 50 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

174.34 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 90.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
90.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
21.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
80.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

36/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 20 Oct 2026
verified 3165derived 213

Score by group

  • Returns86
  • Quality72
  • Growth0
  • Valuation49
  • Balance sheet49

Estimated value range

Low
100.14
USD per share
Mid
116.82
USD per share
High
138.17
USD per share
Price: 174.34 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -33.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -49.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 38.37 – 287.51 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)60.99 – 108.14 (Mid 78.87)
    WACC 8.7% · starting FCFF 3.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 30.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA139.29 – 168.19 (Mid 154.78)
    4 companies used · median multiple 14.6x · quartiles 13.3x – 15.8x
    BDX, BSX, RMD, SYK
  • Peers: P/E157.52 – 287.51 (Mid 213.00)
    6 companies used · median multiple 31.7x · quartiles 23.5x – 42.8x
    BDX, BSX, DXCM, RMD, SYK, WST
  • Dividend discount (DDM)38.37 – 51.60 (Mid 44.01)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 50/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality28.4%100 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality14.0%33 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality75.7%65 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.6%0 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-16.2%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.6x40 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.5x62 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x51 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation26.0x67 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation16.3x40 (vs peers)10%
FCF yield · Valuation3.0%37 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.0%85 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns59.9%86 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet49/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality72/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns86/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation49/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

3M COMPANY (MMM). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 24.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.5%; net margin 14.0%; ROE 80.8%; net debt/EBITDA 1.6x.

The estimated value range is 100.14–138.17 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 116.82 USD, the price of 174.34 USD leaves a potential of -33.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -49.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 50/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 28.4%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.0%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 59.9%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -16.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 6 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 11.3 bn and 725.7 bn (within 8× of the company's); 107 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
26.0x
vertical median 31.7x
below median (−18.1%)
EV/EBITDA
16.3x
vertical median 15.2x
above median (+7.0%)
P/S
3.6x
vertical median 4.9x
below median (−27.7%)
P/B
21.8x
vertical median 5.1x
above median (+329.1%)
ROE
80.8%
vertical median 18.6%
above median (+333.8%)
Net margin
14.0%
vertical median 18.1%
below median (−22.8%)
EBIT margin
18.8%
vertical median 21.8%
below median (−14.0%)
Revenue YoY
1.5%
vertical median 10.5%
below median (−85.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.6x
vertical median 0.2x
above median (+684.4%)
Dividend yield
1.8%
vertical median 1.1%
above median (+54.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp111.1 bn31.116.0%13.8%+11.2%−18% / +8%
MMM3m Company90.1 bn26.080.8%14.0%+1.5%+5% / +129%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation60.8 bn17.015.5%17.5%+19.9%−58% / −18%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company53.9 bn59.73.8%4.0%+8.2%+41% / −0%
RMDResMed Inc.32.3 bn20.926.4%27.8%+9.9%−7% / +63%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.30.7 bn32.437.7%19.4%+15.6%+41% / −7%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.7 bn46.321.2%18.8%+6.3%+46% / +30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MMM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
98.67
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
174.99
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
264.32
Total return 54% · Per year 54%
3 years
84.44
Total return -48% · Per year -20%
169.54
Total return 2% · Per year 1%
282.77
Total return 69% · Per year 19%
5 years
72.25
Total return -53% · Per year -14%
164.25
Total return 3% · Per year 1%
302.50
Total return 85% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 42.38
  • Net margin± 29.67
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.86
  • Annual dilution± 2.49

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

3M Company is a diversified technology company with three segments: Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics and Consumer. Net sales were 24.948 bn USD in fiscal 2025 1 and 19.114 bn USD in the first nine months of 2026 2. Adjusted EPS guidance for 2026 was raised to 9.10-9.15 USD 3, which could reflect productivity gains if the trend holds.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad product portfolio and well-known brands, backed by patents and steady innovation 1.
  • A strong global presence and a diversified distribution network 1.
  • Cash generation capacity, reflected in the 2026 guidance for operating and free cash flow 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on revenues from outside the United States exposes the company to currency and geopolitical risk 1.
  • Weakness in autos and consumer electronics slowed growth in some quarters 2.
  • Transformation and PFAS exit costs have affected reported results 2.

Opportunities

  • Demand from data centers and the semiconductor industry could become an important growth driver 3.
  • Thermal management for transport and display innovation could open new markets 3.
  • Productivity programs could support higher margins if they are sustained 23.

Threats

  • PFAS litigation and obligations could generate significant additional expenses 1.
  • Tariffs and trade tensions could raise costs and restrict market access 1.
  • Changes in PFAS regulation could require further remediation actions 1.

Risks

  • PFAS liabilities and litigationhigh

    PFAS-related actions, including class-action settlements, could affect results, cash flows and financial position 1.

  • Tariffs and geopoliticshigh

    Trade tensions and tariff measures could have a significant adverse effect on costs and revenues 1.

  • Currency exchangemedium

    A significant strengthening of the US dollar could reduce reported revenues and affect projected growth 1.

  • Execution of transformation programmedium

    Implementing new systems and the productivity plan may face delays or unexpected costs 12.

  • Demand in autos and electronicslow

    Continued weakness in these sectors could limit segment sales growth 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand from data centers and semiconductors develops as the announced partnerships suggest, the company could accelerate sales growth 3.
  • Productivity programs and cost control could keep operating margins at elevated levels 23.
  • A broad portfolio and strong patents could support new product launches with rapid adoption 1.

What would break the thesis

  • PFAS liabilities could exceed current estimates if new litigation or stricter regulation emerges 1.
  • Reliance on foreign markets and tariffs could compress margins if trade tensions intensify 1.
  • Weakness in autos and consumer electronics could persist and limit organic growth 2.

What to watch

  • Development of adjusted EPS guidance and free cash flowQ4 2026
  • PFAS-related expenses and payments under the PWS Settlement2027
  • Sales development for data center products after the Amazon agreement2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

3M is a diversified technology company with global operations across three segments: Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics and Consumer 1. At December 31, 2025 it employed about 60,500 full-time equivalents 1. Products reach customers through varied channels, from distributors to direct and e-commerce sales 1.

In 2025 about 56 percent of revenues came from outside the United States 1, so results depend heavily on currency movements and international trade. The company completed its exit from PFAS manufacturing at the end of 2025 and continues treatment and remediation of these substances 12. Organizational and segment profit metrics were adjusted in 2026 2.

Segments

Safety and Industrial

This segment includes abrasives, industrial adhesives, personal safety and roofing granules 1. In the first nine months of 2026 growth was supported by industrial, safety and semiconductor demand 2.

Transportation and Electronics

The segment covers advanced materials, automotive and aerospace solutions, display films and electronic interconnect products 1. In the third quarter of 2026 it was held back by weakness in consumer electronics and autos 2.

Consumer

The segment covers home cleaning, home improvement, personal health and office products 1. Seasonality affects sales, especially around back-to-school and holiday periods 1.

Market context

3M's end markets are sensitive to industrial cycles, auto production and demand for data center and semiconductor equipment 12. Pricing pressure, tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty have led producers to adjust capacity, causing supply constraints and inflation in raw materials 1.

Demand for protection solutions, optical connectivity and advanced displays could support medium-term growth if innovation investments translate into customer adoption 3. A continued slowdown in autos and consumer electronics remains a market risk 2.

Trends

  • Tariffs and international tradeheadwind

    Tariffs and trade measures have raised production costs and complicated long-term investment planning 1. Compliance with changing rules requires significant time and resources 1.

  • Data centers and semiconductorstailwind

    Demand for optical connectivity and semiconductor materials has become a growth driver, as the Amazon relationship and the GSEO collaboration show 3.

  • PFAS exitmixed

    Exiting PFAS manufacturing at the end of 2025 created transition and remediation costs, but could lower long-term costs if substitutes are available 12.

  • Productivity and transformationtailwind

    Productivity programs and structural transformation supported margins in 2026 23, though transformation costs appeared as a special item in reporting 2.

Competitive position

3M competes with other technologically oriented manufacturers, and product success depends on trademarks, patents and trade secrets 1. The company believes these assets provide an important competitive advantage in new product introductions 1.

Competition appears through competitive conditions and customer preferences, as well as the ability to launch accepted new products 2. Relationships with distributors and channel partners are a differentiating factor 1.

  • Other innovation-oriented materials and technology manufacturers

    The SEC sources refer to technologically oriented competitors in general, without naming specific companies 1.

  • Optical connectivity and data center component suppliers

    Competition in this area is cited as part of competitive conditions, without company names in the sources reviewed 2.

  • Display and electronics materials producers

    The joint laboratory with BOE points to an area of both competition and collaboration in the same ecosystem 3.

  • Personal protective equipment manufacturers

    Respiratory and hearing protection is a product line exposed to direct competition 13.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / 3M Company · 03 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / 3M Company · 20 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / 3M Company · 20 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

3M Company (MMM): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw