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olivLaw · US equity research

NRC Health NRC

Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research · SIC 8731 · Vertical: Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research (SIC 8731)

27.07USD+12.46% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

NRC Health is a healthcare experience and market research company that sells subscription analytics to US health systems. After TRCV recovered to a record above 150 million dollars, the company is trying to show that revenue growth can return in 2026, though quarterly profitability remains under pressure.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, NRC Health (NRC) stock was 27.07 USD (+12.46% on the day), with market capitalisation 574.5 m USD, P/E 95.9 on diluted EPS of 0.28 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.36%, beta 0.73, 52-week range 12.03–27.07 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 38.4 m USD (+11.0% YoY), net income of 4.7 m USD (+14.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.21 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
574.5 m USD
shares as of 31 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
95.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.28 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.04%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.36%
DPS 12m 0.64
Beta (2y)
0.73
Volatility (1y) 59%
52-week range
12.0327.07

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
77.2
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
18.22 – 25.60
above the upper band · %B 1.20 · band width 33.7%
SMA 50 / 200
21.40 / 19.22
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.10 / 0.57
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+30.3%−1.1%+31.4 pp—
3 months+38.5%−0.5%+39.0 pp—
6 months+51.6%+4.4%+47.2 pp—
Year to date+44.2%+12.3%+31.9 pp—
1 year+96.4%+13.5%+82.9 pp+10.9%
3 years−35.0%+76.4%−111.4 pp+18.0%
5 years−44.8%+63.7%−108.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−46.5%
21 Jan 2026 → 17 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−79.2%
09 Nov 2021 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−11.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
38.4 m USD
+11.0% YoY
Net income
4.7 m USD
+14.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.21
+16.7% YoY
net / operating
12.3% / 23.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue36.9 m33.6 m34.0 m34.6 m35.2 m34.8 m35.4 m38.4 m
SG&A11.5 m10.4 m17.7 m12.3 m14.4 m13.4 m22.9 m12.0 m
Operating income9.6 m8.6 m1.6 m7.7 m4.7 m5.6 m-3.2 m8.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.5 m1.5 m1.7 m2.2 m2.1 m2.2 m2.1 m2.1 m
Interest expense729.0 k899.0 k1.0 m1.5 m1.4 m1.3 m1.3 m1.5 m
Pre-tax income8.9 m7.7 m581.0 k6.3 m3.3 m4.4 m-4.5 m7.4 m
Income tax2.3 m1.9 m687.0 k2.2 m1.5 m1.2 m-1.3 m2.7 m
Net income6.6 m5.8 m-106.0 k4.1 m1.8 m3.2 m-3.3 m4.7 m
Diluted EPS0.28 ≈0.25-0.010.180.08 ≈0.14-0.150.21
Operating cash flow6.4 m6.6 m-1.1 m ≈13.8 m ≈7.2 m7.2 m1.4 m ≈8.0 m ≈
Capex4.4 m3.0 m3.0 m ≈3.6 m ≈1.1 m1.8 m1.3 m ≈1.0 m ≈
Dividends paid2.8 m2.8 m2.7 m ≈2.8 m ≈2.7 m3.6 m3.6 m ≈3.5 m ≈
Share repurchases7.4 m4.9 m6.0 m ≈9.3 m ≈1.0 k1.9 m7.6 m ≈16.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 28-quarter history (min 12.4, median 31.8, max 85.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue119.7 m128.0 m133.3 m148.0 m151.6 m148.6 m143.1 m137.4 m
Revenue YoY+1.8%+6.9%+4.1%+11.0%+2.4%−2.0%−3.7%−4.0%
Net income30.0 m32.4 m37.3 m37.5 m31.8 m31.0 m24.8 m11.6 m
Net income YoY+31.0%+7.9%+15.0%+0.6%−15.1%−2.6%−20.0%−53.2%
Diluted EPSunavailable1.261.451.461.271.251.0450.00
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable+15.1%+0.7%−13.0%−1.6%−16.8%+4,707.7%
net %25.1%25.3%28.0%25.3%21.0%20.8%17.3%8.4%
Free cash flow33.9 m36.3 m36.7 m40.8 m26.4 m22.3 m19.2 m15.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
4.1 m USD
Financial debt
79.0 m USD
Net debt
74.9 m USD
Equity
14.0 m USD
Total assets
134.9 m USD
Debt / equity
5.65x
Current ratio
0.55x
ROE
51.2%
ROA
8.7%
FCF margin
11.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
148.6 m
2024
143.1 m
2025
137.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
46.6 m
2024
44.9 m
2025
54.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
40.0 m
2024
35.2 m
2025
22.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.9 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
7.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
45.9 m ≈
2024
41.2 m ≈
2025
30.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
862.0 k
2024
2.6 m
2025
4.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
40.0 m
2024
32.7 m
2025
17.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
9.0 m
2024
7.9 m
2025
6.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
31.0 m
2024
24.8 m
2025
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.25
2024
1.04
2025
50.00

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
24.7 m
2024
23.7 m
2025
22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.48
2024
0.48
2025
0.52

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
6.7 m
2024
4.2 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
12.4 m
2024
11.1 m
2025
11.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
24.4 m
2024
19.6 m
2025
20.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
28.2 m
2024
38.3 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 May 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
61.6 m
2024
66.2 m
2025
66.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.5 m
2024
2.6 m
2025
2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
122.4 m
2024
132.5 m
2025
134.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.3 m
2024
1.2 m
2025
1.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
29.5 m
2024
57.9 m
2025
75.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
36.2 m
2024
35.9 m
2025
36.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
73.5 m
2024
101.3 m
2025
120.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
49.0 m †
2024
31.3 m †
2025
14.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
38.1 m
2024
34.6 m
2025
26.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
15.8 m
2024
15.4 m
2025
10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
22.3 m ≈
2024
19.2 m ≈
2025
15.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-15.8 m
2024
-20.3 m
2025
-10.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-40.7 m
2024
-16.8 m
2025
-15.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
36.4 m
2024
11.5 m
2025
11.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
19.1 m
2024
30.9 m
2025
20.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-35.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-53.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-28.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-20.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
4,707.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
240.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
103.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-17.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
17.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
11.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
248.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
16.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
226.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
73.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
99.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
2.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
23.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
5.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
18.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
286.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
97.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
36 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
574.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
673.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
89.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
95.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
4.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
27.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
42.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
31.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 39 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

27.07 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 574.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
574.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
95.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
27.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
248.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2293derived 196

Score by group

  • Balance sheet6
  • Growth50
  • Quality86
  • Returns85
  • Valuation19

Estimated value range

Low
8.94
USD per share
Mid
12.58
USD per share
High
17.19
USD per share
Price: 27.07 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -53.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -115.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 6.83 – 27.70 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)7.91 – 15.63 (Mid 10.80)
    WACC 8.4% · starting FCFF 21.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 30.1%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA17.29 – 27.70 (Mid 20.08)
    3 companies used · median multiple 21.5x · quartiles 19.1x – 28.1x
    CRL, ICLR, IQV
  • Peers: P/E9.98 – 18.76 (Mid 14.35)
    4 companies used · median multiple 50.8x · quartiles 35.3x – 66.4x
    ICLR, INCY, IQV, MEDP
  • Dividend discount (DDM)6.83 – 9.19 (Mid 7.84)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research (SIC 8731)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 39/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality4.5%73 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality286.4%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.2%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth240.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.1x0 (on a fixed band)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.9x22 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.6x0 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation95.9x20 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation27.6x0 (on a fixed band)12%
FCF yield · Valuation3.2%40 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.8%97 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns73.0%67 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet6/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality86/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns85/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation19/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

NRC Health (NRC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 137.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -4.0%; net margin 4.5%; ROE 248.1%; net debt/EBITDA 4.1x.

The estimated value range is 8.94–17.19 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 12.58 USD, the price of 27.07 USD leaves a potential of -53.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -115.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 39/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 4.5%
  • FCF conversion: 286.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 240.2%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.8%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.1x
  • Interest coverage: 2.9x
  • Current ratio: 0.6x
  • P/E (TTM): 95.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 27.6x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Commercial Physical & Biological Research (SIC 8731) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
95.9x
vertical median 65.2x
above median (+46.9%)
EV/EBITDA
27.6x
vertical median 21.5x
above median (+28.2%)
P/S
4.0x
vertical median 4.6x
below median (−12.3%)
P/B
—
vertical median 4.6x
ROE
248.1%
vertical median -7.6%
above median
Net margin
4.5%
vertical median -108.1%
above median
EBIT margin
11.1%
vertical median -115.9%
above median
Revenue YoY
-4.0%
vertical median -0.9%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
4.1x
vertical median 2.7x
above median (+50.9%)
Dividend yield
2.4%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IQVIqvia Holdings Inc.43.5 bn32.021.7%8.1%+5.9%+15% / +23%
INCYIncyte Corporation25.0 bn65.27.8%6.7%+21.2%+18% / +126%
MEDPMedpace Holdings, Inc.18.4 bn36.4117.9%18.2%+20.0%+11% / +143%
CRLCharles River Laboratories International, Inc.15.6 bn385.51.2%1.0%−0.9%+83% / +66%
ICLRICON plc15.6 bn70.02.5%2.8%+0.8%+10% / −24%
ABSIAbsci Corp1.8 bn—-57.7%-7,756.4%−38.2%+231% / +528%
OABIOmniab, Inc.755.6 m—-16.5%-108.1%−29.3%+186% / +18%
NRCNRC Health574.5 m95.9248.1%4.5%−4.0%+96% / −35%
ONMDOnemednet Corporation269.2 m——-584.2%+111.4%−75% / −89%
MXCTMaxCyte, Inc.143.5 m—-20.4%-114.8%−14.5%−21% / −71%
BIAFbioAffinity Technologies, Inc.23.7 m—-1,860.2%-257.3%−34.2%−87% / −100%
ISPCiSpecimen Inc.2.1 m—-968.5%-2,449.0%−79.2%−95% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NRC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
15.86
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
28.16
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
42.57
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
13.10
Total return -49% · Per year -20%
26.37
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
44.09
Total return 67% · Per year 19%
5 years
10.82
Total return -57% · Per year -15%
24.70
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
45.68
Total return 76% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.59
  • Net margin± 4.62
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.09
  • Annual dilution± 0.39

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

NRC Health is a healthcare experience and market research company that sells subscription analytics to US health systems. After TRCV recovered to a record above 150 million dollars, the company is trying to show that revenue growth can return in 2026, though quarterly profitability remains under pressure.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a long history in healthcare and a consumer database that is hard to replicate 1.
  • The recurring subscription model gives revenue visibility, and the TRCV indicator is rising 13.
  • The portfolio spans several experience categories and includes a governance division that reported strong bookings 13.

Weaknesses

  • GAAP revenue and operating margin have declined in recent years, and the company posted a net loss in the second quarter of 2026 123.
  • Dependence on a small number of large customers creates exposure to losing an important contract 1.
  • Executive compensation costs and rising debt have added expense and reduced financial flexibility 23.

Opportunities

  • TRCV growth could translate into higher revenue if retention and upselling hold 13.
  • New AI-enabled products and wider use cases could open new customer segments 1.
  • Complementary acquisitions, a tool the company has used before, could add technology capabilities 1.

Threats

  • Larger competitors with superior resources could intensify price pressure 1.
  • Consolidation in healthcare and cuts to public funding could shrink customer budgets 1.
  • Cyber risks and failures of IT platforms could damage customer confidence 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on contract renewalshigh

    Most revenue comes from recurring contracts, and a decline in renewal rates would directly hit revenue 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    The ten largest customers make up a significant share of revenue, and losing one could have visible effects 1.

  • Competitive pressuremedium

    Larger competitors and low barriers to entry could lead to lower prices and share losses 1.

  • Debt and financing costsmedium

    Higher debt and interest expense weighed on profit in 2026, which could limit investment capacity 23.

  • IT and cyber risksmedium

    Platform failures or cyber attacks could disrupt services and harm the company's reputation 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If TRCV growth converts into higher revenue in the second half of the year, the company could recover lost margins 13.
  • A unique consumer database and a recurring subscription model could support a solid position in its niche 1.
  • The governance division reported its strongest bookings in seven years, which could add a further revenue stream 3.

What would break the thesis

  • GAAP profit was negative in the second quarter and the operating margin deteriorated, which could signal persistent pressure 23.
  • Customer concentration and larger competitors could limit growth and bargaining power 1.
  • Executive costs and growing debt could reduce financial flexibility in the coming years 23.

What to watch

  • Trend in TRCV and customer retentionQ3 2026
  • Recovery of operating margin after compensation adjustmentsQ4 2026
  • Debt level and interest costs2027
  • Results of the governance division and new AI productsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

NRC Health, also known as National Research Corporation, frames its expertise around Human Understanding and offers subscription digital solutions to health systems that want to understand the patients, consumers, employees and communities they serve 1. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Lincoln, Nebraska, and most revenue comes from renewal of recurring contracts 1. It combines survey-based data with analytics and workflow tools, including an AI engine called Huey 1.

The business model relies on TRCV, which represents projected revenue over 12 months from recurring contracts and is viewed as a leading indicator of future revenue 1. A concentrated customer base means that the ten largest customers account for a significant share of revenue 1. The company says its strategy rests on selling more to existing customers, winning new ones and pursuing strategic acquisitions 1.

Activity in 2026 was marked by an executive leadership transition that brought unusual compensation costs and accelerated vesting of stock, raising SG&A expenses in the second quarter 23. The company nonetheless reported TRCV growth and a renewed confidence in its financial direction 13.

Segments

Market Experience

Market solutions are subscription services that track awareness, perception and consistency of healthcare brands, built on a syndicated survey called Market Insights 1. It is described as the largest US healthcare consumer database of its kind 1.

Patient Experience

Patient experience solutions are provided on subscription through a multi-mode digital platform and include CAHPS-compliant surveys, discharge call workflows and rounding tools for staff 1. They help health systems improve scores and reputation under value-based payment programs 1.

Governance Solutions

The governance division, branded The Governance Institute, serves not-for-profit hospital boards and executives through conferences, publications, advisory services and an online portal 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported its strongest bookings performance in seven years 3.

Market context

NRC Health operates in healthcare information and market research services, a highly competitive field with relatively low barriers to entry 1. Customers are almost entirely in healthcare, so demand depends on provider and payer budgets and policies 1.

Demand is shaped by industry consolidation, cost pressure and regulatory change, which can reduce or delay service purchases 1. If these trends persist, pricing pressure could keep rising.

Competitive position

The main direct competitors are Press Ganey and Qualtrics, which the company says have significantly higher annual revenue 1. Competition also comes from healthcare organisations' internal marketing and quality departments, and from market research firms and software vendors 1.

The company argues it differentiates through its long focus on healthcare, its broad solution portfolio and its relationships with leading providers 1. However, many competitors have larger financial and marketing resources, which could amplify price pressure 1.

  • Press Ganey

    Direct competitor in patient experience surveys, described by the company as having higher annual revenue than NRC Health 1.

  • Qualtrics

    Experience and feedback platform named as a primary competitor, with considerably larger resources 1.

  • In-house departments of health systems

    Marketing, research and quality teams that build their own performance measurement tools 1.

  • Market research firms and software vendors

    Companies offering general surveys or healthcare software that can overlap with NRC Health services 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / NRC Health · 05 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / NRC Health · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / NRC Health · 28 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.