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olivLaw · US equity research

NerdWallet, Inc. NRDS

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation · SIC 7374 · Vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

11.81USD+8.95% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

NerdWallet provides consumers and small and mid-sized businesses with independent financial guidance through editorial content, comparison tools, product marketplaces and regulated financial services. Revenue grew 22% in 2025 to 836.6 million USD, while growth slowed in the second quarter of 2026 as pressure on organic search traffic weighs on the SMB segment.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, NerdWallet, Inc. (NRDS) stock was 11.81 USD (+8.95% on the day), with market capitalisation 754.4 m USD, P/E 13.3 on diluted EPS of 0.89 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.12, 52-week range 7.58–15.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 197.3 m USD (+5.6% YoY), net income of 4.3 m USD (−47.6% YoY), diluted EPS 0.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
754.4 m USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.3
Diluted EPS TTM 0.89 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
7.53%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.12
Volatility (1y) 49%
52-week range
7.5815.93

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
70.3
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.25 – 11.75
above the upper band · %B 1.02 · band width 23.8%
SMA 50 / 200
9.71 / 9.82
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.52 / 0.44
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+33.7%−1.1%+34.8 pp—
3 months+30.1%−0.5%+30.5 pp—
6 months+5.4%+4.4%+1.1 pp—
Year to date−12.8%+12.3%−25.2 pp—
1 year−1.5%+13.5%−15.0 pp−24.8%
3 years+3.1%+76.4%−73.4 pp−26.9%
5 years−54.4%+63.7%−118.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.4%
02 Dec 2025 → 14 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.3%
18 Nov 2021 → 25 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−14.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
197.3 m USD
+5.6% YoY
Net income
4.3 m USD
−47.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.07
−36.4% YoY
net / operating
2.2% / 3.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue191.3 m183.8 m209.2 m186.9 m215.1 m225.4 m222.2 m197.3 m
Cost of revenue17.7 m16.7 m18.2 m16.6 m15.3 m13.6 m13.6 m13.4 m
Research & development23.0 m16.1 m16.8 m17.9 m15.7 m16.3 m16.8 m17.5 m
Operating income6.6 m8.7 m700.0 k10.7 m34.4 m19.4 m27.2 m7.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation12.9 m ≈11.4 m12.6 m12.7 m11.6 m ≈9.5 m9.7 m9.3 m ≈
Interest expense100.0 k200.0 k100.0 k200.0 k200.0 k100.0 k200.0 k100.0 k
Pre-tax income7.8 m700.0 k1.3 m11.5 m35.5 m19.9 m28.0 m7.3 m
Income tax7.7 m-37.9 m1.1 m3.3 m9.2 m5.9 m7.6 m3.0 m
Net income100.0 k38.6 m200.0 k8.2 m26.3 m14.0 m20.4 m4.3 m
Diluted EPS0.000.46 ≈0.000.110.340.19 ≈0.290.07
Operating cash flow29.0 m ≈9.9 m26.7 m17.5 m ≈48.5 m ≈38.9 m35.7 m41.2 m ≈
Capex100.0 k ≈200.0 k200.0 k700.0 k ≈100.0 k ≈300.0 k400.0 k100.0 k ≈
Share repurchases68.7 m ≈10.3 m0300.0 k ≈19.2 m ≈50.7 m66.0 m22.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 9-quarter history (min 10.4, median 21.2, max 1,786.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue228.3 m245.3 m379.6 m538.9 m599.4 m687.6 m836.6 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+7.4%+54.7%+42.0%+11.2%+14.7%+21.7%
Net income24.2 m5.3 m-42.5 m-10.2 m-11.8 m30.4 m48.7 m
Net income YoYunavailable−78.1%−901.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable+60.2%
Diluted EPS0.450.09-0.82-0.14-0.150.380.64
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−80.0%−1,011.1%unavailableunavailableunavailable+68.4%
net %10.6%2.2%-11.2%-1.9%-2.0%4.4%5.8%
Free cash flow30.7 m14.1 m4.9 m20.4 m71.4 m71.2 m130.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
98.3 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
374.5 m USD
Total assets
461.1 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
3.45x
ROE
13.2%
ROA
10.8%
FCF margin
15.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
599.4 m
2024
687.6 m
2025
836.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
54.0 m
2024
63.5 m
2025
63.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
545.4 m ≈
2024
624.1 m ≈
2025
772.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
80.5 m
2024
82.5 m
2025
66.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
3.6 m
2024
9.4 m
2025
65.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
48.2 m
2024
48.4 m
2025
46.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
51.8 m ≈
2024
57.8 m ≈
2025
111.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
800.0 k
2024
700.0 k
2025
600.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
6.3 m
2024
5.0 m
2025
68.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
18.1 m
2024
-25.4 m
2025
19.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-11.8 m
2024
30.4 m
2025
48.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.15
2024
0.38
2025
0.64

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
76.7 m
2024
78.9 m
2025
75.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
100.4 m
2024
66.3 m
2025
98.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
198.4 m
2024
196.7 m
2025
244.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
52.6 m
2024
43.0 m
2025
31.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
111.5 m
2024
112.4 m
2025
123.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
46.9 m
2024
33.3 m
2025
21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
418.6 m
2024
437.6 m
2025
461.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.7 m
2024
8.9 m
2025
5.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Mar 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
37.3 m
2024
60.1 m
2025
70.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
51.7 m
2024
73.4 m
2025
86.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
366.9 m †
2024
364.2 m †
2025
374.5 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
72.1 m
2024
71.8 m
2025
131.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
700.0 k
2024
600.0 k
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
71.4 m ≈
2024
71.2 m ≈
2025
130.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-29.5 m
2024
-29.7 m
2025
-33.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-26.2 m
2024
-76.5 m
2025
-66.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
20.0 m
2024
80.1 m
2025
70.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
21.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
27.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
593.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
60.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
55.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
68.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
48.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
83.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
93.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
19.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
18.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
14.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
146.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
164.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
900.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
163.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
251.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
128.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
80 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
754.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
4.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
21.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
21.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

11.81 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 754.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
754.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
18.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
21.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 775derived 68

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality93.5%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality10.2%65 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality19.0%76 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth15.8%63 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth21.7%81 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.6x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation21.7%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns21.0%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth69/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality82/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

NerdWallet, Inc. (NRDS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 836.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 21.7%; net margin 7.6%; ROE 18.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 93.5%
  • FCF margin: 19.0%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 21.7%
  • Current ratio: 2.6x
  • FCF yield: 21.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 21.0%

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
13.3x
vertical median 25.1x
below median (−47.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 7.5x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−43.7%)
P/B
2.3x
vertical median 2.4x
at median
ROE
18.2%
vertical median 11.4%
above median (+58.8%)
Net margin
7.6%
vertical median 4.4%
above median (+71.4%)
EBIT margin
10.2%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+118.8%)
Revenue YoY
21.7%
vertical median 7.2%
above median (+199.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.119.8 bn27.777.0%20.1%+6.7%+19% / +32%
WDAYWorkday, Inc.44.4 bn40.916.0%12.3%+13.1%−6% / −25%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.25.9 bn30.1—29.3%+6.6%−12% / −18%
FIRYFiry Inc.4.3 bn—-63.0%-60.2%+12.5%+107% / +94%
FAFirst Advantage Corp3.9 bn160.51.9%1.5%+83.0%+62% / +45%
FIVNFive9, Inc.2.7 bn52.77.9%4.9%+10.3%+86% / −52%
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn15.816.2%18.7%+9.0%+41% / +39%
INFQInfleqtion, Inc.1.9 bn—-70.8%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
INODInnodata Inc1.5 bn32.837.7%14.7%+47.6%−25% / +541%
CLVTClarivate PLC1.4 bn—-8.2%-15.1%−4.0%−44% / −73%
UPWKUpwork Inc.1.3 bn12.916.3%13.5%+2.4%−48% / −27%
LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.1.1 bn56.012.1%2.6%+10.9%−26% / −40%
PLTKPlaytika Holding Corp.808.6 m——-9.9%+8.1%−48% / −76%
YEXTYext, Inc.775.0 m40.627.8%5.9%+6.1%−7% / +18%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc.754.4 m13.318.2%7.6%+21.7%−2% / +3%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.736.5 m—-59.4%-2,356.0%+545.3%−99% / −100%
CARSCars.com Inc.682.5 m22.47.4%4.7%+0.6%+10% / −32%
IBEXIBEX Limited593.6 m14.330.4%7.2%+15.4%+27% / +152%
OOMAOoma, Inc.524.7 m49.811.7%3.6%+6.5%+69% / +64%
GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.475.7 m0.016.5%17.0%−31.0%+19% / −6%
EGHT8x8, Inc.326.4 m55.53.5%0.6%+2.9%+16% / −27%
TCXTucows Inc140.3 m——-21.2%+7.7%−42% / −41%
TRAKRepositrak, Inc.132.7 m18.714.9%32.5%+3.0%−46% / −29%
BIRDSmartbird, Inc.92.1 m—-164.0%-72.8%−19.7%−68% / −91%
VERIVeritone, Inc.56.7 m—-517.7%-117.5%−0.5%−87% / −73%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NRDS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
8.83
Total return -25% · Per year -25%
15.55
Total return 32% · Per year 32%
23.32
Total return 97% · Per year 97%
3 years
10.48
Total return -11% · Per year -4%
20.56
Total return 74% · Per year 20%
33.58
Total return 184% · Per year 42%
5 years
12.43
Total return 5% · Per year 1%
27.19
Total return 130% · Per year 18%
48.36
Total return 309% · Per year 33%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 5.14
  • Net margin± 3.60
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.68
  • Annual dilution± 0.30

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

NerdWallet provides consumers and small and mid-sized businesses with independent financial guidance through editorial content, comparison tools, product marketplaces and regulated financial services. Revenue grew 22% in 2025 to 836.6 million USD, while growth slowed in the second quarter of 2026 as pressure on organic search traffic weighs on the SMB segment.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Recognized brand and strong organic traffic provide an advantage in acquiring users, while the partner-neutral model supports customer trust.
  • The platform integrates content, marketplaces and regulated services under one architecture, allowing more coherent user journeys.
  • The balance sheet carries no large debt, and operating cash flow improved in the first half of 2026 2.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends on partner marketing budgets, which can be cut quickly in difficult economic conditions.
  • Reliance on Google for traffic makes the company vulnerable to algorithm changes and declining organic search.
  • Sales and marketing costs absorb a large share of revenue, which limits operating margin.

Opportunities

  • Vertical integration into insurance, mortgages and advisory could create direct customer relationships and more predictable revenue.
  • The acquisition of a student loan marketplace could extend the offering to new customer groups.
  • Building owned audiences and direct relationships could reduce dependence on search engines over the long term.

Threats

  • Search engine algorithm changes could abruptly reduce traffic and user growth.
  • Financial regulations in the United States, United Kingdom and Canada are complex and evolving, which may lead to claims.
  • Competitors with large advertising budgets and new entrants could intensify competition for users and partner budgets.

Risks

  • Dependence on financial partnershigh

    Revenue depends on partners who pay referral fees. If they become more cautious or reduce budgets, revenue could be directly affected.

  • Dependence on search engineshigh

    Organic traffic, especially through Google, is essential for user growth. Changes in policies or algorithms could significantly reduce access to customers.

  • Complex regulationmedium

    Financial activity is subject to overlapping rules in several jurisdictions. Failure to comply could lead to fines or reputational damage.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Security incidents or system errors could compromise user data and damage the brand.

  • Concentrated controllow

    The dual class share structure concentrates voting control with the co-founder and chief executive, which may limit shareholder influence over corporate decisions.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If consumer segment revenue keeps growing and investments in new verticals turn into recurring revenue, the company could show a more diversified growth profile.
  • Improved profitability in the first half of 2026, combined with a balance sheet without large debt, could give the company flexibility for investment and share repurchases.
  • If brand strength and user trust translate into direct customer relationships, dependence on Google could gradually decline.

What would break the thesis

  • If the decline in organic traffic and pressure on the SMB segment persist, revenue could stay below potential for several more quarters.
  • High marketing expenses and incremental investments could limit profitability if revenue growth does not accelerate.
  • If financial partners cut budgets in weaker economic conditions, the company could feel a rapid impact on revenue.

What to watch

  • Trend in SMB revenue and organic search trafficQ3 2026
  • Effect of incremental investments on marketing costs and operating margin2026
  • Contribution of the College Finance Company acquisition to revenueQ4 2026
  • Results of the insurance, mortgage and investment advisory segmentsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

NerdWallet, Inc. (Nasdaq: NRDS) is a digital personal finance platform that integrates independent editorial content, comparison tools, financial product marketplaces and regulated services through subsidiaries. The company earns revenue mainly from referral fees, lead generation and partner-based monetization, as well as from brokerage and advisory services. According to the 2025 annual report, total revenue was 836.6 million USD, up 22% from 2024 1.

The business model is designed to be partner-neutral, offering side-by-side comparisons and information backed by editorial standards. The platform operates in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom, and the company is remote-first, with primary offices in San Mateo and Scottsdale.

Over the past year the company expanded into new verticals through acquisitions and subsidiaries: NerdWallet Wealth Partners for investment advisory, Next Door Lending for mortgage brokerage and NerdWallet Insurance Experts for insurance brokerage 1. The College Finance Company acquisition, announced in February 2026, adds a student loan marketplace 2.

Segments

Consumer

The consumer segment covers insurance, credit cards, loans, bank accounts and other products for individuals. In the second quarter of 2026 it generated 175.2 million USD, up 8% year over year, supported by personal loans and deposit accounts and partly offset by credit cards 3.

Small and mid-sized businesses

The SMB segment covers loans, credit cards and other financial products for small and mid-sized firms. In the second quarter of 2026 it fell 11% year over year, due to persistent pressure on organic search traffic, partly offset by higher business loan originations 3.

Market context

The company competes in the market for financial comparison services and marketplaces for banking, credit and insurance products, where revenue depends on the marketing budgets of financial services providers. The 6% revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 points to a recovery after a weaker prior quarter 3.

The market is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions and inflation, which can reduce partner budgets. Market share also depends on access to search engine traffic, which makes long-term trends difficult to predict.

Trends

  • Reliance on organic searchheadwind

    The company depends on search engines, particularly Google, and algorithm changes can reduce traffic. Declining organic search traffic weighed on credit card and SMB revenue in the second quarter of 2026 3.

  • Expansion into new verticalstailwind

    Acquisitions and subsidiaries in insurance, mortgages and investment advisory open new revenue sources. Over time, diversification could reduce dependence on a single product type, if integration proves effective.

  • Growth in personal loanstailwind

    Personal loans grew in the latest quarter as the company expanded its offering to a broader range of borrowers, contributing to growth in the consumer segment 3.

  • Higher investment and cost pressuremixed

    The company plans to increase incremental investments in 2026 and faces high marketing costs, which could limit operating margin if revenue does not grow sufficiently.

Competitive position

Competition comes from financial advisors, traditional media, social media influencers, financial institutions with their own marketing and online marketplaces. The company explicitly names Bankrate, Credit Karma, LendingTree and Zillow as alternatives for advertising budgets in the sector 1.

The company says it differentiates itself through the depth of its financial guidance, the trust built with users, and its brand, organic traffic and convenience. If search engines were to favor competitors, its competitive position could be affected.

  • Bankrate

    Online financial products marketplace explicitly cited by the company as competing for advertising budgets.

  • Credit Karma

    Credit monitoring and marketplace platform cited as an online alternative.

  • LendingTree

    Lending and financial products marketplace named among online competitors.

  • Zillow

    Real estate platform competing for attention and budgets tied to mortgages.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / NerdWallet, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / NerdWallet, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / NerdWallet, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.