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olivLaw · US equity research

PLTR PLTR

Services-Prepackaged Software · SIC 7372 · Vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

175.40USD−1.65% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) builds software platforms that integrate an organization's data, decisions and operations. Revenue rose to 4.5 billion USD in 2025, up 56%, and reached 1.935 billion USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 93% year over year. Fiscal 2026 revenue guidance was raised to 8.150-8.158 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, PLTR (PLTR) stock was 175.40 USD (−1.65% on the day), with market capitalisation 422.6 bn USD, P/E 123.0 on diluted EPS of 1.43 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.10, 52-week range 107.27–209.05 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.3 bn USD (+95.9% YoY), net income of 1.1 bn USD (+137.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.44 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
422.6 bn USD
shares as of 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
123.0
Diluted EPS TTM 1.43 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.81%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.10
Volatility (1y) 59%
52-week range
107.27209.05

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
35.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
177.99 – 213.73
below the lower band · %B -0.07 · band width 18.3%
SMA 50 / 200
186.86 / 153.60
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.85 / 2.42
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−7.1%−2.0%−5.1 pp—
3 months+7.8%−2.2%+10.0 pp—
6 months+29.1%+4.3%+24.8 pp—
Year to date−1.3%+10.6%−11.9 pp—
1 year−15.3%+10.5%−25.8 pp−3.6%
3 years+828.5%+73.7%+754.9 pp−11.8%
5 years+562.6%+61.7%+500.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−44.8%
24 Dec 2025 → 25 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−77.6%
08 Nov 2021 → 27 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+46.0%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.3 bn USD
+95.9% YoY
Net income
1.1 bn USD
+137.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.44
+144.4% YoY
net / operating
48.8% / 46.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue827.5 m883.9 m1.0 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn
Cost of revenue174.5 m173.0 m192.9 m207.3 m216.0 m215.8 m296.9 m383.3 m
Gross profit653.0 m710.9 m810.8 m973.8 m1.2 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn
Research & development171.5 m134.9 m135.0 m144.2 m143.6 m161.0 m192.5 m219.7 m
Operating income11.0 m176.0 m269.3 m393.3 m575.4 m754.0 m912.0 m1.1 bn
Depreciation & amortisation7.0 m6.6 m6.5 m ≈6.0 m ≈7.0 m6.8 m8.2 m ≈7.0 m ≈
Pre-tax income80.5 m223.3 m332.2 m480.5 m621.4 m888.6 m1.1 bn1.1 bn
Income tax3.6 m5.6 m3.6 m3.8 m9.8 m12.2 m15.4 m13.6 m
Net income79.0 m214.0 m326.7 m475.6 m608.7 m870.5 m1.1 bn1.1 bn
Diluted EPS0.03 ≈0.080.130.180.24 ≈0.340.410.44
Operating cash flow460.3 m310.3 m539.3 m ≈507.7 m ≈777.3 m899.2 m1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈
Capex3.1 m6.2 m7.6 m ≈6.8 m ≈13.3 m7.4 m14.6 m ≈8.0 m ≈
Share repurchases18.6 m18.0 m18.6 m ≈19.2 m ≈19.2 m———

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 8 percentile of its own 13-quarter history (min 100.0, median 192.1, max 452.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue595.4 m742.6 m1.1 bn1.5 bn1.9 bn2.2 bn2.9 bn4.5 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+24.7%+47.2%+41.1%+23.6%+16.7%+28.8%+56.2%
Net income-580.0 m-579.6 m-1.2 bn-520.4 m-373.7 m209.8 m462.2 m1.6 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+120.3%+251.6%
Diluted EPS-1.17-1.02-1.20-0.27-0.180.090.190.63
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+111.1%+231.6%
net %-97.4%-78.1%-106.7%-33.7%-19.6%9.4%16.1%36.3%
Free cash flow-52.0 m-178.3 m-308.8 m321.2 m183.7 m697.1 m1.1 bn2.1 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.4 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
7.5 bn USD
Total assets
8.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
7.11x
ROE
25.8%
ROA
21.3%
FCF margin
46.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
431.1 m
2024
566.0 m
2025
789.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.8 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
404.6 m
2024
507.9 m
2025
557.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
120.0 m
2024
310.4 m
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
33.4 m
2024
31.6 m
2025
26.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
153.3 m ≈
2024
342.0 m ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
3.5 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
237.1 m
2024
489.2 m
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
19.7 m
2024
21.3 m
2025
22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
209.8 m
2024
462.2 m
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.09
2024
0.19
2025
0.63

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
831.0 m
2024
2.1 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
364.8 m
2024
575.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.1 bn
2024
5.9 bn
2025
8.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
47.8 m
2024
39.6 m
2025
52.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2023verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
25.9 m
2024
18.1 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2025verified

Total assets
2023
4.5 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
8.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
12.1 m
2024
103.0 k
2025
8.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
746.0 m
2024
996.0 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
961.5 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.6 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
712.2 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
15.1 m
2024
12.6 m
2025
33.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
697.1 m ≈
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
2.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.7 bn
2024
-340.7 m
2025
-2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
218.8 m
2024
463.4 m
2025
-26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
64.2 m
2025
75.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
56.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
32.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
32.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
355.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
251.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
231.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
84.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
84.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
46.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
45.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
50.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
55.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
34.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
28.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
7.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
4.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
43.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
4.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
110.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
122.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
72 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
26 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
422.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
115.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
123.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
37.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
58.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
104.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

175.40 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 422.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
422.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
123.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
37.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
50.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
56.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 1034derived 102

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality84.7%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality45.6%100 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality55.6%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth32.9%100 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth56.2%100 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet7.1x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation1.0%19 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%34 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns34/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial19/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 56.2%; net margin 50.3%; ROE 41.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 84.7%
  • EBIT margin: 45.6%
  • FCF margin: 55.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 32.9%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 56.2%
  • Current ratio: 7.1x

What contradicts it

  • FCF yield: 1.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 58.9 bn and 3,771.4 bn (within 8× of the company's); 212 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
123.0x
vertical median 42.6x
above median (+188.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 36.4x
P/S
58.0x
vertical median 7.3x
above median (+689.6%)
P/B
37.6x
vertical median 8.1x
above median (+362.2%)
ROE
41.2%
vertical median 19.4%
above median (+112.5%)
Net margin
50.3%
vertical median 21.3%
above median (+136.5%)
EBIT margin
45.6%
vertical median 19.9%
above median (+129.6%)
Revenue YoY
56.2%
vertical median 15.1%
above median (+271.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.422.6 bn123.041.2%50.3%+56.2%−15% / +829%
ORCLOracle Corporation381.6 bn19.741.6%26.4%+17.3%−38% / +9%
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.250.5 bn1,137.51.3%1.1%+21.7%+92% / +313%
CRMSalesforce, Inc.182.9 bn20.319.4%22.0%+9.6%−4% / −12%
NOWServicenow, Inc.113.3 bn78.311.8%9.4%+20.9%−33% / −20%
SNOWSnowflake Inc.104.1 bn—-48.2%-20.1%+29.2%+17% / +57%
ADBEAdobe Inc.95.8 bn13.761.9%28.0%+10.5%−23% / −60%
INTUIntuit Inc.92.1 bn20.923.6%21.3%+13.9%−46% / −40%
CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.88.8 bn64.322.9%22.5%+14.1%+4% / +18%
SNPSSynopsys Inc88.7 bn81.83.7%11.4%+15.1%+11% / −15%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PLTR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
122.37
Total return -30% · Per year -30%
215.35
Total return 23% · Per year 23%
323.03
Total return 84% · Per year 84%
3 years
145.15
Total return -17% · Per year -6%
284.80
Total return 62% · Per year 18%
465.16
Total return 165% · Per year 38%
5 years
172.17
Total return -2% · Per year -0%
376.65
Total return 115% · Per year 17%
669.83
Total return 282% · Per year 31%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 71.20
  • Net margin± 49.84
  • Annual revenue growth± 37.17
  • Annual dilution± 4.19

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) builds software platforms that integrate an organization's data, decisions and operations. Revenue rose to 4.5 billion USD in 2025, up 56% 1, and reached 1.935 billion USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 93% year over year 3. Fiscal 2026 revenue guidance was raised to 8.150-8.158 billion USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The integrated platform and the Ontology create a shared understanding for users with differing technical skills 1.
  • High gross and operating margins in 2026 point to a favourable cost structure 23.
  • Existing customers frequently expand their contracts, supporting revenue growth from the same customer base 1.

Weaknesses

  • A small number of customers generate a significant part of revenue, and losing them would have a large impact 1.
  • Sales cycles are long and unpredictable, which makes quarterly revenue planning difficult 1.
  • Reliance on contracts that can be terminated for convenience limits the visibility of future revenue 1.

Opportunities

  • If demand for sovereign AI continues, the AIP platform could attract new commercial customers 3.
  • Building solutions for entire industries could extend use of the platforms beyond individual institutions 1.
  • Partnerships with cloud providers and other companies could open access to large customer bases 1.

Threats

  • Government budgets and policy changes can delay or reduce public contracts 1.
  • Competition with customers' in-house solutions and with vendors offering better terms could limit growth 1.
  • Regulatory risks on privacy and AI use could generate costs or liability 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of large customers make up a substantial part of revenue, and cuts in their spending or contract terminations would have a direct effect 1.

  • Termination for conveniencehigh

    Many contracts can be ended by the customer at any time, which reduces the effective value of the remaining deal value 1.

  • Long sales cyclemedium

    Large projects require considerable time and resources, and not all of them turn into revenue-generating contracts 1.

  • AI-related risksmedium

    Problems arising from AI use in the platforms could cause reputational damage or legal liability 1.

  • Dependence on third partieslow

    The company relies on computing infrastructure and technologies supplied by third parties, which may suffer errors or outages 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rapid growth in US commercial revenue and a raised guidance point to continued demand for the platform 3.
  • High operating and cash flow margins, together with strongly growing remaining deal value, could support future investment 3.
  • Existing customers often expand their use of the platform, which can grow revenue without relying only on new customers 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue concentrated in a few large customers means a cut in their spending could materially affect results 1.
  • Terminable contracts and uncertain government budgets could limit the predictability of long-term revenue 1.
  • Recent accelerated growth may be hard to sustain, and a slower pace could disappoint expectations 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against third-quarter 2026 revenue guidance of 2.160 to 2.164 billion USDQ3 2026
  • Pace of AIP adoption and its effect on margins2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 04 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

The company was founded in 2003 and initially built software for the United States intelligence community 1. Its principal platforms are Gotham, Foundry, Apollo and AIP, with the Ontology at the core linking data, logic and actions 1. It had 954 customers at 31 December 2025 1 and 1,049 at 30 June 2026 2.

Geographically, the United States accounted for 74% of fiscal 2025 revenue, with the remaining 26% from outside the country 1. Total remaining deal value stood at 11.2 billion USD at year-end 2025, up 105% 1. Customer concentration matters, as the top three customers accounted for 16% of revenue in fiscal 2025 1.

Segments

Government

The government segment represented 54% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1. In the second quarter of 2026, US government revenue was 809 million USD, up 90% year over year 3. Its share in the first half of 2026 was 52% 2.

Commercial

The commercial segment represented 46% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1. US commercial revenue grew 149% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, to 764 million USD 3. US commercial remaining deal value reached 6.238 billion USD at 30 June 2026 3.

Market context

Palantir sells its platforms to public institutions and private companies, and the sources describe a market in which organizations prefer solutions that can be delivered in days rather than months or years 1. The company extends access to customers through AIP bootcamps and a developer tier with limited upfront cost 1.

Demand for sovereign AI, supported by the AIP platform, is cited by management as the main driver of recent growth 3. Part of the market remains sensitive to government budgets and policy changes, which makes the timing of contracts hard to predict 1.

Trends

  • Adoption of generative AI through AIPtailwind

    AIP connects large language models to customer data and operations, with security controls and human review checkpoints 1. If demand for such solutions continues, it could support growth in commercial revenue 3.

  • Preference for rapid deploymentmixed

    Customers that can no longer wait for internal projects lasting years turn to software that can be ready in days 1. This favours the platform, but sales cycles remain long and hard to predict 1.

  • Uncertain government budgetsheadwind

    Large government customers face uncertainty over budgets and spending priorities, making contract timing difficult to anticipate 1. Policy changes could slow certain procurements 1.

  • Trade and geopolitical tensionsheadwind

    The Russia-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts, fluctuating interest rates and possible tariffs are cited as factors that can affect customer decisions 1. If these conditions worsen, customer spending could decline 1.

Competitive position

The sources show Palantir competing mainly with in-house software built by customers and with software vendors offering more favourable contract terms 1. The company says it keeps competition in check through complex projects with high barriers to entry 1.

A second group consists of cloud service providers that have relationships with nearly every major enterprise and can distribute the platforms 1. Partnerships with such providers can both extend access and shift the balance of power in sales 1.

  • In-house software built by customers

    Customers that prefer internally built software can slow or block sales of Palantir platforms 1.

  • Public, private and hybrid cloud providers

    These providers have large sales forces and relationships with most companies, acting as both partners and potential competitors 1.

  • Software vendors with more favourable contract terms

    The sources mention competitors that may offer customers terms more advantageous than Palantir's 1.

  • Smaller technology providers

    Smaller companies can enter partnerships or channel sales, but rarely compete directly for the largest projects 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / PLTR · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / PLTR · 04 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / PLTR · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

PLTR (PLTR): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw