olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Salesforce, Inc. CRM

Services-Prepackaged Software · SIC 7372 · Vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

227.11USD+2.21% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Salesforce is a global leader in customer relationship management technology that is steering its platform toward autonomous AI agents working alongside people. Revenue reached 41.5 billion USD in fiscal 2026 and nearly 22.5 billion USD in the first six months of fiscal 2027, showing how central the AI push has become to the company.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) stock was 227.11 USD (+2.21% on the day), with market capitalisation 186.9 bn USD, P/E 20.7 on diluted EPS of 10.97 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.75%, beta 0.88, 52-week range 150.12–266.23 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 11.3 bn USD (+10.8% YoY), net income of 3.5 bn USD (+86.9% YoY), diluted EPS 4.29 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
186.9 bn USD
shares as of 20 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.7
Diluted EPS TTM 10.97 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.83%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.75%
DPS 12m 1.71
Beta (2y)
0.88
Volatility (1y) 47%
52-week range
150.12266.23

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
42.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
220.80 – 253.60
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.19 · band width 13.8%
SMA 50 / 200
239.93 / 198.28
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.62 / 0.79
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.2%−1.1%−0.1 pp—
3 months+17.7%−0.5%+18.1 pp—
6 months+25.3%+4.4%+21.0 pp—
Year to date−14.3%+12.3%−26.6 pp—
1 year−10.7%+13.5%−24.3 pp−1.2%
3 years+9.5%+76.4%−66.9 pp+23.7%
5 years−26.1%+63.7%−89.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.6%
29 Dec 2025 → 22 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−59.2%
04 Dec 2024 → 22 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−5.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
11.3 bn USD
+10.8% YoY
Net income
3.5 bn USD
+86.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.29
+118.9% YoY
net / operating
31.1% / 20.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue9.4 bn10.0 bn9.8 bn10.2 bn10.3 bn11.2 bn11.1 bn11.3 bn
Cost of revenue2.1 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.5 bn2.6 bn2.6 bn
Gross profit7.3 bn7.8 bn7.6 bn8.0 bn8.0 bn8.7 bn8.6 bn8.7 bn
Research & development1.4 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn
Operating income1.9 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn2.2 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn
Depreciation & amortisation814.0 m-1.6 bn843.0 m817.0 m851.0 m-1.3 bn985.0 m966.0 m
Interest expense67.0 m68.0 m68.0 m67.0 m67.0 m122.0 m317.0 m473.0 m
Pre-tax income1.7 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.6 bn2.7 bn4.6 bn
Income tax219.0 m280.0 m433.0 m519.0 m426.0 m685.0 m614.0 m1.0 bn
Net income1.5 bn1.7 bn1.5 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn3.5 bn
Diluted EPS1.581.76 ≈1.591.962.192.07 ≈2.424.29
Operating cash flow2.0 bn4.0 bn6.5 bn740.0 m2.3 bn5.5 bn6.7 bn1.3 bn
Capex204.0 m154.0 m179.0 m135.0 m139.0 m141.0 m145.0 m171.0 m
Dividends paid382.0 m383.0 m402.0 m399.0 m395.0 m391.0 m365.0 m364.0 m
Share repurchases1.3 bn76.0 m2.6 bn2.2 bn3.8 bn3.9 bn27.2 bn84.0 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 5 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 16.8, median 108.9, max 911.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue13.3 bn17.1 bn21.3 bn26.5 bn31.4 bn34.9 bn37.9 bn41.5 bn
Revenue YoY+26.0%+28.7%+24.3%+24.7%+18.3%+11.2%+8.7%+9.6%
Net income1.1 bn126.0 m4.1 bn1.4 bn208.0 m4.1 bn6.2 bn7.5 bn
Net income YoY+208.3%−88.6%+3,131.7%−64.5%−85.6%+1,888.5%+49.8%+20.3%
Diluted EPS1.430.154.381.480.214.206.367.80
Diluted EPS YoY+191.8%−89.5%+2,820.0%−66.2%−85.8%+1,900.0%+51.4%+22.6%
net %8.4%0.7%19.2%5.5%0.7%11.9%16.4%18.0%
Free cash flow2.8 bn3.7 bn4.1 bn5.3 bn6.3 bn9.5 bn12.4 bn14.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
7.3 bn USD
Financial debt
14.4 bn USD
Net debt
7.1 bn USD
Equity
59.1 bn USD
Total assets
112.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.24x
Current ratio
0.76x
ROE
12.4%
ROA
6.9%
FCF margin
34.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
34.9 bn
2025
37.9 bn
2026
41.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
8.5 bn
2025
8.6 bn
2026
9.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
26.3 bn
2025
29.3 bn
2026
32.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.5 bn
2026
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
5.0 bn
2025
7.2 bn
2026
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
6.1 bn ≈
2025
8.2 bn ≈
2026
9.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
283.0 m
2025
272.0 m
2026
324.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
5.0 bn
2025
7.4 bn
2026
9.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
814.0 m
2025
1.2 bn
2026
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
4.1 bn
2025
6.2 bn
2026
7.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
4.20
2025
6.36
2026
7.80

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
984.0 m
2025
974.0 m
2026
956.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
8.5 bn
2025
8.8 bn
2026
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2024
11.4 bn
2025
11.9 bn
2026
14.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
29.1 bn
2025
29.7 bn
2026
28.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2021verified

Goodwill
2024
48.6 bn
2025
51.3 bn
2026
57.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
5.3 bn
2025
4.4 bn
2026
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
99.8 bn
2025
102.9 bn
2026
112.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
999.0 m
2025
0
2026
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
8.4 bn
2025
8.4 bn
2026
10.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
26.6 bn
2025
28.0 bn
2026
37.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
40.2 bn
2025
41.8 bn
2026
53.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
59.6 bn †
2025
61.2 bn †
2026
59.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
10.2 bn
2025
13.1 bn
2026
15.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
736.0 m
2025
658.0 m
2026
594.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
9.5 bn ≈
2025
12.4 bn ≈
2026
14.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-1.3 bn
2025
-3.2 bn
2026
-8.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-7.5 bn
2025
-9.4 bn
2026
-8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
0
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
7.6 bn
2025
7.8 bn
2026
12.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
9.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
20.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
229.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
12.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
22.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
233.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
15.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
77.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
23.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
22.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
34.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
19.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROCE
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
15.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
10.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
31.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
8.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
15.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
596.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
15.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
156.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
154.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
186.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
217.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
4.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
24.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
5.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
12.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
19.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 61 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

227.11 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 186.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
186.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
21.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROE
19.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
22.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 20 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Aug 2026
verified 2955derived 211

Score by group

  • Valuation89
  • Returns100
  • Quality83
  • Balance sheet8
  • Growth26

Estimated value range

Low
249.88
USD per share
Mid
282.26
USD per share
High
351.53
USD per share
Price: 227.11 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 24.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 19.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 178.21 – 474.31 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)278.75 – 474.31 (Mid 352.21)
    WACC 8.5% · starting FCFF 15.9 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -6.8%
  • Peers: EV/Sales249.88 – 351.53 (Mid 282.26)
    8 companies used · median multiple 6.0x · quartiles 5.4x – 7.3x
    ADBE, ADSK, INTU, NOW, RBLX, SNPS, TTWO, TWLO
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA178.21 – 343.29 (Mid 271.85)
    3 companies used · median multiple 24.9x · quartiles 17.4x – 30.7x
    ADBE, ADSK, SNPS
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 61/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality77.3%93 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality19.9%53 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality34.5%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth9.8%39 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth9.6%0 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.0x14 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x2 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation5.0x80 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation8.1%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns19.6%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet8/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth26/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality83/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation89/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

Salesforce, Inc. (CRM). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 41.5 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 9.6%; net margin 22.0%; ROE 19.4%; net debt/EBITDA 3.0x.

The estimated value range is 249.88–351.53 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 282.26 USD, the price of 227.11 USD leaves a potential of 24.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 19.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 61/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 77.3%
  • FCF margin: 34.5%
  • EV/Sales: 5.0x
  • FCF yield: 8.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 19.6%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue growth (YoY): 9.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.0x
  • Current ratio: 0.8x

Versus the vertical median

Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 25.7 bn and 1,647.9 bn (within 8× of the company's); 206 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.7x
vertical median 58.1x
below median (−64.4%)
EV/EBITDA
21.3x
vertical median 42.4x
below median (−49.7%)
P/S
4.3x
vertical median 7.3x
below median (−41.9%)
P/B
4.9x
vertical median 8.8x
below median (−44.3%)
ROE
19.4%
vertical median 14.4%
above median (+34.4%)
Net margin
22.0%
vertical median 21.1%
at median
EBIT margin
19.9%
vertical median 9.7%
above median (+105.5%)
Revenue YoY
9.6%
vertical median 17.5%
below median (−45.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.0x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+534.1%)
Dividend yield
0.8%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.413.7 bn120.441.2%50.3%+56.2%+2% / +756%
ORCLOracle Corporation374.1 bn19.341.6%26.4%+17.3%−39% / +6%
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.246.8 bn1,120.41.3%1.1%+21.7%+89% / +307%
CRMSalesforce, Inc.186.9 bn20.719.4%22.0%+9.6%−11% / +9%
NOWServicenow, Inc.112.9 bn78.111.8%9.4%+20.9%−33% / −21%
SNOWSnowflake Inc.102.5 bn—-48.2%-20.1%+29.2%+16% / +55%
ADBEAdobe Inc.96.7 bn13.961.9%28.0%+10.5%−22% / −59%
INTUIntuit Inc.95.3 bn21.723.6%21.3%+13.9%−44% / −38%
CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.90.4 bn65.522.9%22.5%+14.1%+6% / +21%
SNPSSynopsys Inc88.7 bn81.83.7%11.4%+15.1%+11% / −15%
ADSKAutodesk, Inc.56.4 bn35.053.9%21.1%+17.5%−11% / +24%
VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.50.3 bn50.814.4%29.3%+16.3%+29% / +78%
TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.39.1 bn—-9.0%-4.8%+18.2%−15% / +32%
RBLXRoblox Corporation35.3 bn—-478.2%-16.5%+35.8%−48% / +25%
TWLOTwilio Inc.33.0 bn26.814.9%21.8%+13.7%+65% / +230%
MDBMongodb, Inc.26.5 bn449.12.0%2.1%+22.8%−1% / −21%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CRM from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
151.33
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
266.89
Total return 18% · Per year 18%
401.13
Total return 78% · Per year 78%
3 years
163.00
Total return -26% · Per year -10%
321.89
Total return 45% · Per year 13%
528.83
Total return 137% · Per year 33%
5 years
175.56
Total return -19% · Per year -4%
388.21
Total return 76% · Per year 12%
697.19
Total return 214% · Per year 26%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 80.47
  • Net margin± 56.33
  • Annual revenue growth± 44.00
  • Annual dilution± 4.73

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Salesforce is a global leader in customer relationship management technology that is steering its platform toward autonomous AI agents working alongside people. Revenue reached 41.5 billion USD in fiscal 2026 1 and nearly 22.5 billion USD in the first six months of fiscal 2027 2, showing how central the AI push has become to the company.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A unified platform with a large enterprise customer base and a subscription-based recurring revenue model that provides financial predictability 1.
  • A diversified portfolio of AI, data and collaboration products that has supported demand resilience during uncertain periods 2.
  • Solid operating cash generation and an active share repurchase programme 12.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on acquisitions to accelerate the agentic agenda brings integration risks and high transaction costs 1.
  • Exposure to currency fluctuations can reduce reported revenue, especially when the dollar strengthens 3.
  • Sales cycles for large customers are long and costly, and pricing can be pressured by powerful buyers 1.

Opportunities

  • Monetising AI agents and premium products for Agentforce and Slack could open new revenue streams 3.
  • Expansion into vertical industries and international markets offers further growth potential 1.
  • Integrating acquired data capabilities could strengthen the company's position as a trust layer for enterprises adopting AI 1.

Threats

  • AI-assisted cyberattacks could compromise customer data and erode trust in the platform 1.
  • Large competitors and new AI agent providers could reduce market share or pressure prices 1.
  • Regulation on privacy, AI and cross-border data transfers could raise compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • Data securityhigh

    A breach in the company's or its vendors' systems could lead to unauthorised access to sensitive data, loss of customers and legal penalties 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Difficulty integrating acquired businesses could delay the expected financial and technological benefits 1.

  • AI regulationmedium

    The legal framework for artificial intelligence and cross-border data is changing, and new rules could limit how products are developed and sold 1.

  • Currency riskmedium

    Exchange rate movements can affect revenue and margins, especially if the dollar remains strong against local currencies 13.

  • Customer retentionlow

    If customer attrition rises, sustaining subscription revenue growth could become harder 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If efficiency efforts succeed, operating margin could keep improving while revenue stays steady 13.
  • A large customer base and rising remaining performance obligation could give good visibility into future revenue if renewals continue at current levels 23.

What would break the thesis

  • If competition in AI agents intensifies, pricing pressure could limit margin and revenue growth from new products 1.
  • If acquisition integration runs late or costs more than estimated, the announced benefits could be postponed 1.
  • If the dollar stays strong, reported results could be hurt, reducing the currency tailwind the company had expected 3.

What to watch

  • Closing of the Contentful and Fin acquisitions and their effect on guidanceQ3 2027
  • Third-quarter revenue guidance outcome and cRPO growthQ3 2027
  • Final settlement of the 25 billion USD accelerated share repurchase programmeOctober 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Salesforce aims to turn every organization into an 'agentic enterprise' by uniting data, applications and AI agents on one trusted platform covering sales, service, marketing, commerce, collaboration and analytics 1. The business model rests mainly on subscriptions: about 95% of fiscal 2026 revenue came from subscription and support 1. The company sells directly and through partners and offers a marketplace for third-party applications on its platform 1.

The company operates as one reportable segment, so performance is presented on a consolidated basis rather than by product line 1. Margin is tracked as an efficiency gauge: operating margin rose to about 20% in fiscal 2026 1, and the fiscal 2027 target for non-GAAP operating margin is 34.3% 3.

Segments

Subscription and support

Recurring revenue from cloud services, term licences and support, generally recognised ratably over the contract term 1. It represents about 95% of total revenue 1 and is the main source of financial predictability.

Professional services and other

Covers implementation, configuration and consulting for customers, plus other revenue not included in subscriptions 1. Its share of total revenue is small, and its trend depends on how quickly new products are adopted.

Market context

Exchange rates affect reported results: in the first six months of fiscal 2027 revenue was helped by roughly 1% from currency fluctuations 2, while in the second quarter the dollar strengthened, reducing the currency tailwind previously expected 3.

Trends

  • Cost efficiency drivemixed

    The company is reducing operating expenses and streamlining its structure, including through restructuring and reductions in office space and data centres 1. This could improve margins over the long term, but it brings short-term restructuring costs.

Competitive position

The company operates in a highly competitive market in which CRM, cloud, data and analytics vendors compete for the same enterprise budgets 1. The risk covers both traditional competitors and new AI agent providers, which could change pricing and customer expectations.

Competition intensifies as data, analytics and integration platform providers extend their offerings toward AI agents 1. The company's stated advantage lies in its unified platform and its ecosystem of partners and developers 1.

  • MicrosoftMSFT

    Offers CRM, productivity and integrated AI agent solutions, a direct competitor in enterprise software, noted in the competitive context of the company's sources.

  • OracleORCL

    Enterprise software, database and cloud application provider whose offerings overlap with the company's data and application segments.

  • SAP

    European enterprise software provider with sales, service and data modules competing for the same large contracts.

  • ServiceNowNOW

    Workflow automation and IT service platform whose offering overlaps with the AI agent space for operations.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Salesforce, Inc. · 02 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / Salesforce, Inc. · 27 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Salesforce, Inc. · 26 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.