olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

MongoDB, Inc. MDB

Services-Prepackaged Software · SIC 7372 · Vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

335.37USD+1.50% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

MongoDB is a developer data platform built around a document-based database, offered as a managed cloud service or as self-managed software. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 total revenue grew 30% year-over-year to 771.8 million USD, as demand for AI applications gained momentum.

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) stock was 335.37 USD (+1.50% on the day), with market capitalisation 27.0 bn USD, P/E 458.7 on diluted EPS of -0.88 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.80, 52-week range 225.95–472.29 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 771.8 m USD (+30.5% YoY), net income of 40.9 m USD, diluted EPS 0.50 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
27.0 bn USD
shares as of 28 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
458.7
Diluted EPS TTM -0.88 · TTM to 31 Jan 2026
E/P (TTM)
-0.26%
TTM to 31 Jan 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.80
Volatility (1y) 73%
52-week range
225.95472.29

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
40.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
329.78 – 405.23
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.07 · band width 20.5%
SMA 50 / 200
379.47 / 337.09
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-6.04 / -2.94
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−6.3%−2.0%−4.3 pp—
3 months−11.8%−2.2%−9.6 pp—
6 months+25.8%+4.3%+21.5 pp—
Year to date−20.1%+10.6%−30.7 pp—
1 year−9.1%+10.5%−19.6 pp−4.2%
3 years−2.3%+73.7%−75.9 pp+20.9%
5 years−37.3%+61.7%−99.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−48.7%
07 Jan 2026 → 10 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−76.5%
16 Nov 2021 → 09 Nov 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.9%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
771.8 m USD
+30.5% YoY
Net income
40.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.50
unavailable YoY
net / operating
5.3% / 3.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue529.4 m548.4 m549.0 m591.4 m628.3 m695.1 m687.6 m771.8 m
Cost of revenue135.3 m149.0 m158.0 m171.4 m179.2 m187.4 m191.4 m202.0 m
Gross profit394.0 m399.4 m391.0 m420.0 m449.1 m507.7 m496.2 m569.8 m
Research & development151.4 m150.4 m168.8 m181.7 m176.6 m189.1 m200.4 m213.9 m
Operating income-27.9 m-18.6 m-53.6 m-65.3 m-18.4 m304.0 k-24.8 m28.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation2.4 m ≈2.2 m5.3 m5.7 m ≈5.7 m ≈5.7 m5.6 m5.9 m ≈
Interest expense2.3 m1.6 m1.1 m1.5 m801.0 k-212.0 k853.0 k924.0 k
Pre-tax income-7.1 m4.2 m-33.3 m-43.1 m1.4 m19.4 m8.8 m45.9 m
Income tax2.7 m-11.7 m4.3 m3.9 m3.4 m3.9 m4.4 m5.0 m
Net income-9.8 m15.8 m-37.6 m-47.0 m-2.0 m15.5 m4.4 m40.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.13—-0.46-0.58-0.02—0.050.50
Operating cash flow37.4 m ≈50.5 m109.9 m72.1 m ≈143.5 m ≈179.6 m201.6 m141.9 m ≈
Capex2.0 m ≈26.0 m1.6 m537.0 k ≈1.7 m ≈1.1 m2.3 m2.5 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈00194.4 m ≈148.6 m ≈57.3 m100.3 m100.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue267.0 m421.7 m590.4 m873.8 m1.3 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn2.5 bn
Revenue YoY+60.8%+57.9%+40.0%+48.0%+47.0%+31.1%+19.2%+22.8%
Net income-99.0 m-175.5 m-266.9 m-306.9 m-345.4 m-176.6 m-129.1 m-71.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-4.53-4.75-5.03-2.48-1.73-0.88
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-37.1%-41.6%-45.2%-35.1%-26.9%-10.5%-6.4%-2.9%
Free cash flow-48.8 m-33.1 m-54.4 m-1.1 m-20.2 m115.4 m120.6 m500.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
3.0 bn USD
Total assets
3.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
4.65x
ROE
-2.5%
ROA
-2.0%
FCF margin
20.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.0 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
424.5 m
2025
535.3 m
2026
696.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2024
515.9 m
2025
596.8 m
2026
716.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-233.7 m
2025
-216.1 m
2026
-137.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
18.9 m
2025
11.8 m
2026
22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-214.8 m ≈
2025
-204.3 m ≈
2026
-114.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
9.4 m
2025
8.1 m
2026
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-163.5 m
2025
-131.6 m
2026
-55.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
13.1 m
2025
-2.5 m
2026
15.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
-176.6 m
2025
-129.1 m
2026
-71.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-2.48
2025
-1.73
2026
-0.88

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
71.2 m
2025
74.6 m
2026
81.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
803.0 m
2025
490.1 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2024
325.6 m
2025
393.1 m
2026
499.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
53.0 m
2025
46.4 m
2026
39.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 29 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
69.7 m
2025
69.7 m
2026
191.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
4.0 m
2025
24.6 m
2026
34.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.4 bn
2026
3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
9.9 m
2025
10.5 m
2026
20.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
564.2 m
2025
562.0 m
2026
669.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.8 bn
2025
648.1 m
2026
806.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
1.1 bn †
2025
2.8 bn †
2026
3.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
121.5 m
2025
150.2 m
2026
505.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
6.1 m
2025
29.6 m
2026
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
115.4 m ≈
2025
120.6 m ≈
2026
500.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
188.0 m
2025
-657.4 m
2026
538.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
38.2 m
2025
202.1 m
2026
-462.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
0
2026
400.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
24.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
33.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
314.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
72.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
-0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
23.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-6.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
666.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
7.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
659.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
1,118.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
7,955.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
53 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
7 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
27.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
458.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
458.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
9.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
9.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
41.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

335.37 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 27.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
27.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
458.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
9.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 01 Sept 2026
verified 1363derived 148

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality72.7%82 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality-0.5%20 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality23.7%95 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth24.3%97 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth22.8%90 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.9x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation2.4%49 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.5%58 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth95/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality67/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns58/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial49/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

MONGODB, INC. (MDB). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.5 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 22.8%; net margin 2.1%; ROE 2.0%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 72.7%
  • FCF margin: 23.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 24.3%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 22.8%
  • Current ratio: 4.9x

What contradicts it

  • EBIT margin: -0.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 20 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.6 bn and 233.4 bn (within 8× of the company's); 201 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
458.7x
vertical median 40.8x
above median (+1,023.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 29.8x
P/S
9.7x
vertical median 6.3x
above median (+53.3%)
P/B
9.1x
vertical median 6.6x
above median (+37.2%)
ROE
2.0%
vertical median 13.6%
below median (−85.4%)
Net margin
2.1%
vertical median 13.3%
below median (−84.1%)
EBIT margin
-0.5%
vertical median 12.3%
below median (−104.2%)
Revenue YoY
22.8%
vertical median 14.6%
above median (+55.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.4x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CRMSalesforce, Inc.182.9 bn20.319.4%22.0%+9.6%−4% / −12%
NOWServicenow, Inc.113.3 bn78.311.8%9.4%+20.9%−33% / −20%
SNOWSnowflake Inc.104.1 bn—-48.2%-20.1%+29.2%+17% / +57%
ADBEAdobe Inc.95.8 bn13.761.9%28.0%+10.5%−23% / −60%
INTUIntuit Inc.92.1 bn20.923.6%21.3%+13.9%−46% / −40%
CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.88.8 bn64.322.9%22.5%+14.1%+4% / +18%
SNPSSynopsys Inc88.7 bn81.83.7%11.4%+15.1%+11% / −15%
ADSKAutodesk, Inc.52.7 bn32.753.9%21.1%+17.5%−17% / +16%
VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.49.1 bn49.614.4%29.3%+16.3%+26% / +74%
TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.36.5 bn—-9.0%-4.8%+18.2%−21% / +23%
TWLOTwilio Inc.33.1 bn26.914.9%21.8%+13.7%+65% / +231%
RBLXRoblox Corporation32.5 bn—-478.2%-16.5%+35.8%−52% / +16%
MDBMongodb, Inc.27.0 bn458.72.0%2.1%+22.8%−9% / −2%
PTCPTC Inc.21.1 bn18.935.1%41.4%+19.2%+11% / +23%
SSNCSs&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.19.0 bn23.312.7%13.2%+6.6%−6% / +44%
UUnity Software Inc.17.8 bn—-18.9%-29.0%+2.0%−5% / +37%
NTNXNutanix, Inc.17.5 bn12.537,460.2%52.8%+12.4%+35% / +50%
TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.16.1 bn50.910.5%13.5%+9.1%−14% / −1%
DOCUDocusign, Inc.15.0 bn49.017.8%9.8%+8.2%+16% / +86%
DTDynatrace, Inc.13.5 bn87.46.4%7.4%+18.8%+6% / −12%
GWREGuidewire Software, Inc.13.2 bn98.810.5%9.4%+22.7%−25% / +61%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MDB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
219.15
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
385.68
Total return 15% · Per year 15%
578.51
Total return 73% · Per year 73%
3 years
259.95
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
510.06
Total return 52% · Per year 15%
833.06
Total return 148% · Per year 35%
5 years
308.34
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
674.55
Total return 101% · Per year 15%
1,199.61
Total return 258% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 127.51
  • Net margin± 89.26
  • Annual revenue growth± 66.57
  • Annual dilution± 7.50

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

MongoDB is a developer data platform built around a document-based database, offered as a managed cloud service or as self-managed software. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 total revenue grew 30% year-over-year to 771.8 million USD 3, as demand for AI applications gained momentum.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Differentiated document architecture and integration of search, vector and stream processing in a single platform.
  • Accelerating revenue growth and improving operating margins, supported by cost discipline.
  • A broad customer base and a high rate of expansion revenue from existing customers.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on Atlas, which provides most revenue, makes results sensitive to that service.
  • A history of net losses in earlier periods and a significant accumulated deficit.
  • Multi-year cloud capacity commitments payable regardless of actual usage, which raise fixed costs.

Opportunities

  • Demand for AI applications could expand platform usage, especially through vector search features.
  • Converting developers from free versions into paying customers could grow the revenue base.
  • Migration of applications from legacy databases to the cloud could bring new large contracts.

Threats

  • Intense competition from larger, established companies that may reduce prices.
  • A slowing economy or lower IT budgets could weaken expansion of existing contracts.
  • Changes to open source licensing or difficulty protecting intellectual property could affect monetization.

Risks

  • Dependence on Atlashigh

    Most revenue comes from Atlas, so performance problems with that service could affect results and the predictability of revenue.

  • Economic conditions and IT spendinghigh

    An economic slowdown or lower IT budgets could lead to smaller contracts or longer sales cycles.

  • Security and sensitive datamedium

    A security breach at the company or at third-party providers could damage reputation and lead to litigation and liability.

  • Open source licensingmedium

    The SSPL applied to Community Server could reduce its adoption and could be challenged legally.

  • Cloud capacity commitmentslow

    Multi-year capacity contracts with cloud providers could create large fixed costs if demand falls.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If revenue growth and the pace seen in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 hold, the company could justify a strong position in AI data demand.
  • The raised revenue guidance for fiscal 2027 suggests Atlas demand could prove more durable than previously expected.
  • A high rate of expansion revenue from existing customers could support growth even when IT budgets are tighter.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on Atlas makes results vulnerable to any slowdown in that segment, and competition from large companies could pressure margins.
  • If the economy slows, customers could postpone IT spending, which could lengthen sales cycles.
  • The loss history and fixed cloud commitments could make profitability more sensitive to a drop in revenue.

What to watch

  • Actual results against revenue guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2027Q3 2027
  • Trend in the Atlas share of revenue and the net ARR expansion rateQ3 2027
  • Growth of remaining performance obligations and current RPO as an indicator of future revenue visibilityQ3 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company offers a general purpose document database integrated with search, vector, time series and stream processing services. Its main product, Atlas, the managed multi-cloud service, accounted for 73% of total revenue in the quarter ended July 31, 2026 2. Customers can also run the platform self-managed through MongoDB Enterprise Advanced, and subscriptions generate 97% of revenue 2.

The business model combines open source developer adoption with subscription revenue. Developers typically start with the free Community Server or the free Atlas tier, and the company aims to convert them into paying customers. Services, consisting of consulting and training, make up 3% of revenue 2.

In February 2025 the company acquired Voyage AI, a provider of embedding and reranking models, and integrated the technology into Atlas to improve retrieval accuracy for generative AI applications 1. The company positions its platform as a central place for operational data used by AI applications.

Segments

MongoDB Enterprise Advanced

This is the commercial self-managed offering, which can run in the cloud, on-premises or in a hybrid setup. It represented 21% of subscription revenue in the quarter ended July 31, 2026 2. Contracts are typically one year and invoiced upfront, and sales also go through channel partners.

Professional services

Services include consulting and training and aim to speed up adoption, which supports customer retention and expansion. They represent 3% of revenue 2.

Market context

According to IDC, the worldwide database management software market was 108 billion USD in 2025 and could reach about 193 billion USD in 2030, a 12% five-year compound annual growth rate 2. Faster application development driven by AI coding assistants could further increase demand for scalable data platforms.

The market is still dominated by legacy relational databases, and companies moving modern applications to the cloud represent an opportunity for the company. Competition is intense, however, and many competitors are larger and more established 1.

Trends

  • Generative AItailwind

    Organizations want to combine proprietary data with foundation models, and AI applications require databases that process complex data quickly. If this demand strengthens, the platform with vector search could benefit directly 1.

  • AI coding assistantstailwind

    Tools that use generative AI to write code accelerate application development, which could increase data volumes and demand for flexible platforms 2.

  • Macroeconomic uncertaintyheadwind

    Slower growth, inflation and geopolitical tensions could reduce customers' IT spending. The company expects near-term headwinds to growth rates for existing Atlas applications 2.

  • Cost discipline and consolidationmixed

    Revenue growth together with cost discipline has improved operating profitability, but industry consolidation could reduce overall customer spending 1.

Competitive position

The company competes with established relational database vendors, other non-relational alternatives and cloud providers offering their own data services. The sources note that many competitors are larger and more established and may lower prices to win customers 1.

Its edge lies in the document-based architecture, deployment across any cloud, and the integration of search and vector functions in one platform, which reduces the need for separate systems 1.

  • OracleORCL

    Established relational database vendor, cited in competitive discussions as the traditional alternative.

  • Traditional relational database providers

    Dominant systems whose older architecture is the company's main argument.

  • Non-relational database providers

    Alternatives that have not achieved broad adoption due to technical trade-offs, according to the source.

  • Cloud providers with their own database services

    Large companies offering cloud data services that can compete directly with Atlas.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 28 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 15 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / MongoDB, Inc. · 11 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / MongoDB, Inc. · 01 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / MongoDB, Inc. · 01 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

MongoDB, Inc. (MDB): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw