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olivLaw · US equity research

Dynatrace, Inc. DT

Services-Prepackaged Software · SIC 7372 · Vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

46.78USD−0.53% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Dynatrace (DT) is an observability and runtime security platform with total revenue of 2,018 million USD in fiscal 2026. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 revenue reached 555 million USD, up 16%, and the company exceeded the high end of its guidance.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Dynatrace, Inc. (DT) stock was 46.78 USD (−0.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 13.4 bn USD, P/E 87.0 on diluted EPS of 0.54 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.93, 52-week range 32.36–65.25 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 579.9 m USD (+17.4% YoY), net income of 67.8 m USD (+18.4% YoY), diluted EPS 0.23 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
13.4 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
87.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.54 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.15%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.93
Volatility (1y) 46%
52-week range
32.3665.25

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
23.0
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
50.43 – 71.42
below the lower band · %B -0.17 · band width 34.4%
SMA 50 / 200
57.59 / 44.65
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.60 / 0.60
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−22.3%−1.1%−21.2 pp—
3 months−8.0%−0.5%−7.6 pp—
6 months+22.4%+4.4%+18.0 pp—
Year to date+7.9%+12.3%−4.4 pp—
1 year−5.7%+13.5%−19.3 pp−0.7%
3 years−1.8%+76.4%−78.3 pp+28.7%
5 years−38.7%+63.7%−102.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.7%
05 Nov 2025 → 10 Apr 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−60.5%
08 Nov 2021 → 11 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−9.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
579.9 m USD
+17.4% YoY
Net income
67.8 m USD
+18.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.23
+21.1% YoY
net / operating
11.7% / 16.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue436.2 m445.2 m477.3 m493.8 m515.5 m531.7 m554.5 m579.9 m
Cost of revenue82.6 m85.1 m85.2 m89.8 m95.8 m101.4 m103.5 m112.8 m
Gross profit353.6 m360.1 m392.1 m404.1 m419.6 m430.3 m451.1 m467.2 m
Research & development98.3 m103.3 m108.2 m115.0 m120.6 m130.6 m136.0 m132.2 m
Operating income47.5 m42.9 m62.3 m73.0 m72.7 m37.3 m71.5 m95.6 m
Interest expense300.0 k200.0 k200.0 k200.0 k200.0 k100.0 k200.0 k700.0 k
Pre-tax income57.1 m55.7 m81.4 m87.1 m84.5 m46.8 m80.8 m107.0 m
Income tax-304.6 m16.4 m33.4 m29.9 m44.4 m29.4 m44.2 m39.2 m
Net income361.8 m39.3 m48.0 m57.2 m40.1 m17.4 m36.7 m67.8 m
Diluted EPS1.190.13 ≈0.160.190.130.06 ≈0.120.23
Operating cash flow42.2 m ≈162.8 m269.7 m32.0 m ≈33.8 m ≈226.4 m306.2 m41.1 m ≈
Capex4.7 m ≈14.6 m7.5 m4.2 m ≈6.5 m ≈14.0 m3.2 m5.1 m ≈
Share repurchases——45.0 m50.0 m ≈——275.5 m247.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 36 percentile of its own 25-quarter history (min 29.0, median 104.4, max 371.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue431.0 m545.8 m703.5 m929.4 m1.2 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn
Revenue YoY+8.3%+26.6%+28.9%+32.1%+24.6%+23.5%+18.7%+18.8%
Net income-116.2 m-413.8 m75.7 m52.5 m108.0 m154.6 m483.7 m162.7 m
Net income YoY−1,360.0%unavailableunavailable−30.7%+105.8%+43.2%+212.8%−66.4%
Diluted EPSunavailable-1.560.260.180.370.521.590.54
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−30.8%+105.6%+40.5%+205.8%−66.0%
net %-27.0%-75.8%10.8%5.6%9.3%10.8%28.5%8.1%
Free cash flow139.8 m-162.2 m206.4 m233.2 m333.3 m351.7 m433.3 m529.7 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
2.6 bn USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.35x
ROE
6.2%
ROA
3.8%
FCF margin
26.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
266.5 m
2025
320.2 m
2026
372.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Research & development
2024
304.7 m
2025
384.6 m
2026
474.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
128.4 m
2025
179.4 m
2026
245.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 May 2023verified

EBITDA
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 May 2023derived

Interest expense
2024
1.4 m
2025
1.0 m
2026
800.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
154.9 m
2025
223.4 m
2026
299.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
283.0 k
2025
-260.3 m
2026
137.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
154.6 m
2025
483.7 m
2026
162.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
0.52
2025
1.59
2026
0.54

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
299.3 m
2025
303.6 m
2026
303.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
779.0 m
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
602.7 m
2025
624.4 m
2026
710.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
53.3 m
2025
61.5 m
2026
73.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
51.0 m
2025
25.5 m
2026
22.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
3.4 bn
2025
4.1 bn
2026
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
21.4 m
2025
27.3 m
2026
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 May 2022verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 May 2023verified

Current liabilities
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
2.0 bn †
2025
2.6 bn †
2026
2.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
378.1 m
2025
459.4 m
2026
561.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
26.5 m
2025
26.1 m
2026
32.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
351.7 m ≈
2025
433.3 m ≈
2026
529.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-193.0 m
2025
-69.3 m
2026
-15.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
50.7 m
2025
-151.6 m
2026
-474.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
172.6 m
2026
478.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
18.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
20.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
23.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
36.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
-66.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
16.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
-66.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
13.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
15.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
22.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
81.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
231.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
607.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
28.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
578.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
357.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
64 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
23 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
13.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
82.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
87.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
23.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

46.78 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 13.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
13.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
87.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
5.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 1244derived 106

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality81.0%100 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality12.7%56 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality26.5%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth20.3%81 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth18.8%72 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.1x76 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.3%86 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.8%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial76/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth78/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality86/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial86/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Dynatrace, Inc. (DT). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.0 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 18.8%; net margin 7.4%; ROE 6.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 81.0%
  • FCF margin: 26.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 20.3%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 18.8%
  • Current ratio: 2.1x
  • FCF yield: 4.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.8%

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Prepackaged Software (SIC 7372) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 18 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 2.3 bn and 146.5 bn (within 8× of the company's); 203 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
87.0x
vertical median 42.0x
above median (+107.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 30.7x
P/S
6.2x
vertical median 7.0x
below median (−11.8%)
P/B
5.9x
vertical median 8.2x
below median (−28.2%)
ROE
6.4%
vertical median 13.6%
below median (−52.8%)
Net margin
7.4%
vertical median 13.3%
below median (−44.4%)
EBIT margin
12.7%
vertical median 11.1%
above median (+14.9%)
Revenue YoY
18.8%
vertical median 14.6%
above median (+28.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SNOWSnowflake Inc.102.5 bn—-48.2%-20.1%+29.2%+16% / +55%
ADBEAdobe Inc.96.7 bn13.961.9%28.0%+10.5%−22% / −59%
INTUIntuit Inc.95.3 bn21.723.6%21.3%+13.9%−44% / −38%
CDNSCadence Design Systems, Inc.90.4 bn65.522.9%22.5%+14.1%+6% / +21%
SNPSSynopsys Inc88.7 bn81.83.7%11.4%+15.1%+11% / −15%
ADSKAutodesk, Inc.56.4 bn35.053.9%21.1%+17.5%−11% / +24%
VEEVVeeva Systems Inc.50.3 bn50.814.4%29.3%+16.3%+29% / +78%
TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.39.1 bn—-9.0%-4.8%+18.2%−15% / +32%
RBLXRoblox Corporation35.3 bn—-478.2%-16.5%+35.8%−48% / +25%
TWLOTwilio Inc.33.0 bn26.814.9%21.8%+13.7%+65% / +230%
MDBMongodb, Inc.26.5 bn449.12.0%2.1%+22.8%−1% / −21%
PTCPTC Inc.21.2 bn19.035.1%41.4%+19.2%+11% / +24%
UUnity Software Inc.18.7 bn—-18.9%-29.0%+2.0%−0% / +44%
SSNCSs&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.18.7 bn22.912.7%13.2%+6.6%−7% / +41%
NTNXNutanix, Inc.17.2 bn12.337,460.2%52.8%+12.4%+33% / +48%
TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.16.8 bn53.310.5%13.5%+9.1%−10% / +4%
DOCUDocusign, Inc.15.0 bn49.117.8%9.8%+8.2%+16% / +87%
GWREGuidewire Software, Inc.14.0 bn104.710.5%9.4%+22.7%−21% / +71%
DTDynatrace, Inc.13.4 bn87.06.4%7.4%+18.8%−6% / −2%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
32.06
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
56.42
Total return 21% · Per year 21%
84.63
Total return 81% · Per year 81%
3 years
38.03
Total return -19% · Per year -7%
74.62
Total return 60% · Per year 17%
121.87
Total return 161% · Per year 38%
5 years
45.11
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
98.68
Total return 111% · Per year 16%
175.49
Total return 275% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 18.65
  • Net margin± 13.06
  • Annual revenue growth± 9.74
  • Annual dilution± 1.10

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Dynatrace (DT) is an observability and runtime security platform with total revenue of 2,018 million USD in fiscal 2026 1. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 revenue reached 555 million USD, up 16% 2, and the company exceeded the high end of its guidance 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The unified platform with a common data layer and dependency mapping differentiates it from fragmented toolchains 1. The company delivered solid results in the latest quarter and exceeded guidance 3.
  • Relationships with major cloud providers and global integrators extend commercial reach 1. The flexible subscription model can drive consumption within existing customers 1.
  • Gartner has named the company a Leader for many consecutive years, supporting market credibility 3.

Weaknesses

  • The company relies on a small number of channel partners, one of which accounted for a significant share of revenue 1. This concentration could create vulnerability if that relationship changes.
  • Revenue growth has slowed compared with earlier periods, and currency effects have lowered recent guidance 23.
  • GAAP results are well below non-GAAP results, reflecting high share-based compensation costs 1.

Opportunities

  • AI adoption and agentic workloads could create new demand for observability and automation 1. Expansion into less penetrated international markets could grow the customer base 1.
  • Log consumption is growing quickly and could become a major revenue driver if the trend holds 3.
  • Deeper partnerships with cloud providers could bring digital transformation projects earlier in the buying cycle 1.

Threats

  • Larger competitors with more resources could reduce market share or press prices 1. Recent industry deals could strengthen those rivals 1.
  • Generic AI-based solutions could in some cases replace specialized platforms 1.
  • An uncertain macroeconomic and currency environment could lengthen sales cycles and reduce contract sizes 2.

Risks

  • Dependence on AI-driven observability demandhigh

    If demand for AI-based observability and analytics does not grow as the company expects, revenue growth could slow 1.

  • Competition from large platformshigh

    Competitors with greater resources or bundled products could reduce market share and affect margins 1.

  • Channel concentrationmedium

    One channel partner accounted for a significant share of revenue, and changes in that relationship could affect sales 1.

  • Currency exposuremedium

    Currency fluctuations reduced ARR and revenue in the updated guidance, and the effect could continue 3.

  • Change in finance leadershiplow

    The chief financial officer will resign by the end of the current fiscal year and the company has started a search, which could create a transition period 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If ARR growth accelerates and log consumption keeps rising quickly, the company could return to a stronger growth trajectory 23.
  • Non-GAAP margins and free cash flow are solid, and share repurchases signal confidence in the growth plan 23.
  • Partnerships with cloud providers and integrators could widen access to large customers, and the AI platform could provide a competitive edge 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If large competitors keep consolidating and offering bundled products, Dynatrace could lose market share or need to cut prices 1.
  • If currency effects and macroeconomic uncertainty persist, guidance could be lowered again 3.
  • Changing the finance chief during a growth phase could slow execution if the transition is poorly managed 3.

What to watch

  • Evolution of ARR and net new organic ARR growthQ2 2027
  • Revenue and ARR guidance for fiscal 2027Q2 2027
  • Appointment of a new chief financial officer2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Dynatrace combines broad and deep observability, continuous runtime application security and agentic AI operations for IT operations, development, security and business teams 1. The Grail data lakehouse stores all observability data types, and the Smartscape technology maps dependencies across applications, infrastructure and services 1. The company had approximately 4,100 customers in over 110 countries as of March 31, 2026 1.

The Dynatrace Platform Subscription model requires a minimum annual spend commitment at platform level, consumed based on actual usage and a transparent rate card 1. Most customers use the SaaS solution, while some run the platform on their own infrastructure 1. Sales go through a global direct team targeting the largest 15,000 companies, and through a partner network including global system integrators and cloud providers 1.

Segments

Subscriptions

Subscription revenue was 1,930 million USD in fiscal 2026, up 19% 1. In the first quarter of fiscal 2027 subscription revenue was 530 million USD 2.

Professional services

Services help customers deploy the software in operational environments and train their staff 1. Revenue is recognized as the services are performed 1. Their share of total revenue remains smaller than that of subscriptions 1.

Market context

The company targets markets such as AI observability, log management and analytics, cloud observability, application security and business analytics 1. Demand could grow if enterprises expand cloud workloads and AI adoption, but demand dynamics are hard to predict 1. Competitive pressure is high, with a relatively low barrier to entry in some segments 1.

Macroeconomic conditions, tariffs, currency fluctuations and customer spending cycles can affect transaction sizes and sales cycle length 2. The company has seen resilience in its industry, but an uncertain environment could slow new purchases 2. ARR is also sensitive to exchange rates, with guidance including a currency headwind 3.

Trends

  • AI adoption and agentic workloadstailwind

    Growing AI adoption and agentic workloads could create demand for observability and automation, and Dynatrace has launched Dynatrace Intelligence 1. The company has also extended its offering for AI-first teams 3.

  • Competitive pressure from generic AIheadwind

    Generic LLM-based solutions and platforms where large vendors bundle monitoring products could reduce demand or pricing 1. Recent industry deals show large players consolidating the market 1.

  • Macroeconomic and currency environmentmixed

    Tariffs, trade policies and currency fluctuations can affect customer budgets and reported results 2. ARR guidance was reduced for currency effects, so reported growth could come in below constant currency growth 3.

Competitive position

Competition comes from infrastructure monitoring, APM, log management, digital experience, security vendors and cloud providers 1. Many competitors have stronger brands, bigger budgets or can bundle products 1. Some large companies may build in-house solutions, sometimes based on open source 1.

Cisco acquired Splunk in 2024 and Palo Alto Networks acquired Chronosphere in 2026, showing market consolidation 1. If a competitor strengthens its ties with major cloud providers, Dynatrace's position could be affected 1.

  • Splunk (Cisco)CSCO

    Acquired by Cisco in 2024 and competes in log management and observability 1.

  • Chronosphere (Palo Alto Networks)PANW

    Acquired by Palo Alto Networks in 2026, a competitor in cloud-native observability 1.

  • Cloud providers with native monitoring tools

    Point solutions from major cloud providers compete with Dynatrace on some capabilities 1.

  • In-house built solutions

    Large customers can build their own solutions, sometimes free, based on AI and open source 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 12 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report03 Nov 2026
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Aug 2026
    Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report05 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement10 Jul 2026
  • Current report01 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Dynatrace, Inc. · 20 May 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Dynatrace, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Dynatrace, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.