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olivLaw · US equity research

Pilgrim's Pride Corporation PPC

Poultry Slaughtering and Processing · SIC 2015 · Vertical: Food products (SIC 201x)

29.01USD+6.34% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Pilgrim's Pride is one of the largest chicken producers in the world, with operations in the U.S., the U.K., Europe and Mexico, and a vertically integrated model that lets it control nearly every stage of production. It reported sales above 18.5 billion USD in fiscal 2025, while in the first half of 2026 pressure in commodity markets cut margins, which makes the resilience of its earnings worth examining.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) stock was 29.01 USD (+6.34% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.9 bn USD, P/E 21.5 on diluted EPS of 1.35 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.12, 52-week range 25.20–43.76 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.7 bn USD (−2.2% YoY), net income of 117.6 m USD (−65.7% YoY), diluted EPS 0.49 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.9 bn USD
shares as of 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.5
Diluted EPS TTM 1.35 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.65%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta (2y)
0.12
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
25.2043.76

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
26.72 – 29.76
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.75 · band width 10.8%
SMA 50 / 200
28.87 / 32.25
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.14 / -0.24
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+3.6%−1.1%+4.7 pp—
3 months+9.1%−0.5%+9.6 pp—
6 months−7.3%+4.4%−11.7 pp—
Year to date−25.6%+12.3%−37.9 pp—
1 year−22.1%+13.5%−35.7 pp−1.9%
3 years+10.9%+76.4%−65.6 pp+1.3%
5 years+3.5%+63.7%−60.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−42.4%
18 Feb 2026 → 01 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−55.2%
01 Apr 2025 → 01 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
4.7 bn USD
−2.2% YoY
Net income
117.6 m USD
−65.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.49
−66.0% YoY
net / operating
2.5% / 4.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.4 bn4.5 bn4.8 bn4.8 bn4.5 bn4.5 bn4.6 bn4.7 bn
Cost of revenue3.8 bn3.9 bn4.0 bn4.1 bn4.1 bn4.2 bn4.3 bn4.3 bn
Gross profit553.3 m554.9 m715.3 m659.4 m428.6 m345.5 m339.8 m333.7 m
SG&A235.3 m133.8 m199.5 m165.0 m215.0 m180.2 m265.1 m142.2 m
Operating income306.7 m404.5 m512.3 m492.6 m204.1 m162.6 m66.0 m191.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation111.9 m104.5 m113.5 m116.4 m121.7 m118.5 m123.3 m123.2 m
Interest expense47.1 m41.7 m42.5 m38.2 m39.0 m37.8 m49.9 m31.8 m
Pre-tax income276.5 m390.4 m475.6 m461.4 m174.7 m131.8 m21.8 m160.3 m
Income tax40.7 m94.1 m119.6 m118.3 m86.8 m30.4 m8.6 m44.0 m
Net income235.9 m296.0 m355.5 m342.8 m88.0 m101.4 m13.4 m117.6 m
Diluted EPS0.99 ≈1.241.491.440.37 ≈0.430.060.49
Operating cash flow349.3 m126.9 m495.2 m ≈458.3 m ≈291.2 m140.8 m331.0 m ≈212.3 m ≈
Capex172.7 m98.8 m156.1 m ≈182.4 m ≈281.2 m236.2 m254.2 m ≈201.3 m ≈
Dividends paid0——498.9 m ≈0——0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 76 percentile of its own 38-quarter history (min 6.2, median 11.8, max 212.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue10.9 bn11.4 bn12.1 bn14.8 bn17.5 bn17.4 bn17.9 bn18.5 bn
Revenue YoY+1.6%+4.3%+6.0%+22.2%+18.2%−0.6%+3.0%+3.5%
Net income247.9 m455.9 m94.8 m31.0 m745.9 m321.6 m1.1 bn1.1 bn
Net income YoY−64.3%+83.9%−79.2%−67.3%+2,306.2%−56.9%+237.9%−0.4%
Diluted EPS1.001.830.390.133.101.364.574.54
Diluted EPS YoY−64.2%+83.0%−78.7%−66.7%+2,284.6%−56.1%+236.0%−0.7%
net %2.3%4.0%0.8%0.2%4.3%1.9%6.1%5.9%
Free cash flow143.0 m318.4 m369.5 m-55.2 m182.8 m120.1 m1.5 bn653.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
640.2 m USD
Financial debt
924.0 k USD
Net debt
-639.3 m USD
Equity
3.7 bn USD
Total assets
10.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
1.47x
ROE
27.2%
ROA
10.3%
FCF margin
3.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
17.4 bn
2024
17.9 bn
2025
18.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
16.2 bn
2024
15.6 bn
2025
16.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.1 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
5.7 m
2024
12.4 m
2025
17.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
551.8 m
2024
713.3 m
2025
713.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
522.3 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
419.9 m
2024
433.6 m
2025
456.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
942.2 m ≈
2024
1.9 bn ≈
2025
2.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
202.3 m
2024
161.2 m
2025
161.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
365.2 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
42.9 m
2024
325.0 m
2025
418.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
321.6 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.36
2024
4.57
2025
4.54

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
237.3 m
2024
237.8 m
2025
238.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
697.7 m
2024
2.0 bn
2025
640.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.2 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
854.0 m
2024
806.2 m
2025
832.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
9.8 bn
2024
10.7 bn
2025
10.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
674.0 k
2024
858.0 k
2025
924.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
6.5 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
6.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.3 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
677.9 m
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
557.8 m
2024
458.5 m
2025
718.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
120.1 m ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
653.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-503.4 m
2024
-460.8 m
2025
-705.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
116.7 m
2024
-150.9 m
2025
-2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
0
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
8.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
62.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
13.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
63.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-57.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
13.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-934.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
3.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
975.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
972.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
2.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
87.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
44 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
6.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
9.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
2,766.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

29.01 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROE
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2653derived 198

Score by group

  • Valuation55
  • Returns40
  • Quality35
  • Balance sheet74
  • Growth53

Estimated value range

Low
10.55
USD per share
Mid
22.05
USD per share
High
30.58
USD per share
Price: 29.01 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -24.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -31.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 9.44 – 48.88 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)9.44 – 12.27 (Mid 10.55)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 105.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E11.67 – 48.88 (Mid 33.55)
    5 companies used · median multiple 24.9x · quartiles 8.6x – 36.2x
    HRL, JBS, SFD, TSN, WYHG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food products (SIC 201x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality13.8%60 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality1.7%29 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality0.8%0 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.9%16 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth13.6%90 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.8x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.9x37 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x62 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.5x67 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.4x87 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation0.0%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet74/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth53/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality35/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

PILGRIM’S PRIDE CORPORATION (PPC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 18.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.5%; net margin 1.7%; ROE 8.6%; net debt/EBITDA -0.8x.

The estimated value range is 10.55–30.58 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 22.05 USD, the price of 29.01 USD leaves a potential of -24.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -31.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 13.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.8x
  • EV/EBITDA: 5.4x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 1.7%
  • FCF conversion: 0.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.9%
  • FCF yield: 0.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Food products (SIC 201x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.5x
vertical median 30.6x
below median (−29.6%)
EV/EBITDA
5.4x
vertical median —
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−62.2%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+56.9%)
ROE
8.6%
vertical median 4.8%
above median (+78.8%)
Net margin
1.7%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−38.0%)
EBIT margin
3.4%
vertical median 4.6%
below median (−26.6%)
Revenue YoY
3.5%
vertical median 3.3%
above median (+5.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.8x
vertical median 0.3x
below median (−422.5%)
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc.7.8 bn8.613.4%5.9%+9.8%−9% / unavailable
PPCPilgrim’s Pride Corporation6.9 bn21.58.6%1.7%+3.5%−22% / +11%
MAMAMama’s Creations, Inc.629.4 m78.17.5%3.5%+39.2%+18% / +230%
WYHGWing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited200.3 m24.94.8%5.9%−6.5%+8% / unavailable
BRIDBridgford Foods Corporation49.3 m—-12.3%-6.1%+3.3%−32% / −49%
TSNTyson Foods, Inc.—37.03.2%1.0%+2.1%+3% / +28%
JBSJbs N.V.—6.925.6%2.3%+11.7%−12% / unavailable
HRLHormel Foods Corporation—36.24.3%2.8%+1.6%−2% / −26%

1- and 3-year price returns: for PPC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
16.66
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
29.50
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
44.48
Total return 53% · Per year 53%
3 years
15.35
Total return -47% · Per year -19%
30.64
Total return 6% · Per year 2%
50.86
Total return 75% · Per year 21%
5 years
14.13
Total return -51% · Per year -13%
31.84
Total return 10% · Per year 2%
58.15
Total return 100% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 7.66
  • Net margin± 5.36
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.51
  • Annual dilution± 0.45

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

Pilgrim's Pride is one of the largest chicken producers in the world, with operations in the U.S., the U.K., Europe and Mexico, and a vertically integrated model that lets it control nearly every stage of production. It reported sales above 18.5 billion USD in fiscal 2025, while in the first half of 2026 pressure in commodity markets cut margins, which makes the resilience of its earnings worth examining.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Full vertical integration, from growers to distribution, gives control over quality, costs and deliveries.
  • Presence in several markets, the U.S., Europe and Mexico, reduces dependence on a single region.
  • Brand development and prepared products provide steadier revenue than selling commodity product.

Weaknesses

  • Margins are sensitive to meat and grain price cycles, and margins in the second quarter of 2026 fell from the prior year 3.
  • Concentration on a few large U.S. customers means losing one important client could have a considerable impact.
  • The majority shareholder holds a very large stake, which limits the influence of other shareholders.

Opportunities

  • Expanding capacity for prepared foods and boneless products could support margin improvement.
  • Demand for chicken as an affordable protein could support volumes over the long term.
  • Exports to Middle East and Asian markets could become an additional revenue source if international trade stabilizes.

Threats

  • Outbreaks of avian influenza or other animal diseases could disrupt operations and reduce demand for the company's products.
  • Product contamination could lead to recalls and costly liability claims.
  • Trade tensions, tariffs and instability in the Middle East could raise costs and disrupt supply chains 2.

Risks

  • Volatility of feed grain priceshigh

    Feed costs can rise sharply because of global supply, agricultural policies or weather, and the company could lose margin if it cannot pass these costs on to customers 1.

  • Animal disease and avian influenzahigh

    Outbreaks of avian influenza or African swine fever could reduce demand, impose export restrictions and require culling of flocks or herds 1.

  • Market price cyclemedium

    U.S. chicken prices fell in the second quarter of 2026, and continued oversupply could prolong pressure on margins 23.

  • Product liability and recallsmedium

    Contamination with pathogens such as Listeria or Salmonella could lead to liability claims, recalls and reputational damage, and insurance may not cover all losses 1.

  • International operations riskmedium

    Currency fluctuations, tariffs, trade restrictions and regulatory changes in Mexico, the U.K. and Europe could affect results and the ability of subsidiaries to transfer funds 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If chicken demand stays firm and oversupply eases, margins could recover toward earlier levels, particularly in prepared products 23.
  • Vertical integration and brand development, such as Just Bare, could stabilize revenue and reduce dependence on commodity prices 3.
  • Net leverage of 1.43 times Adjusted EBITDA, below the target range of 2x to 3x, could give flexibility for investment 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If chicken supply continues to exceed demand, price pressure could persist and further reduce margins in the U.S. 2.
  • Feed and energy costs could rise again because of geopolitical tensions, weighing on profitability across all segments 2.
  • Reliance on a few large customers and on a majority shareholder could limit strategic flexibility and expose the company to sudden volume changes.

What to watch

  • Trend of U.S. chicken margins and commodity pricesQ3 2026
  • Impact of pork imports on U.K. marginsQ3 2026
  • Progress of the Walker County and Ellijay investments2027
  • Margin and feed cost disclosures in the next annual reportnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

The company produces, processes, markets and distributes fresh, frozen and value-added chicken and pork products to retailers, distributors and foodservice operators 1. Its key customers include chain restaurants and grocery chains, and its two largest U.S. customers together accounted for approximately 16.8% of consolidated net sales in 2025 1. Its vertically integrated model, spanning growers, feed mills, hatcheries and processing plants, is described by the company as a source of long-term cost and quality advantages 1.

In fiscal 2025 the company reported net income attributable to it of 1.1 billion USD, or 4.54 USD per diluted share, with a consolidated operating margin of 8.7% 1. For the six months ended June 28, 2026, net income attributable to it was 114.8 million USD, and the consolidated operating margin fell to 2.5% 2. For the second quarter of 2026 it reported net sales of 4.6 billion USD and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.8% 3.

The company runs a 52/53-week fiscal year, and demand for chicken is usually highest in spring and summer, while demand for pork rises in summer and peaks in winter around the holiday season 1. JBS beneficially owns 82.28% of the outstanding common stock, so control is concentrated 1.

Segments

U.S.

The U.S. segment generated net sales of 11.0 billion USD in fiscal 2025, the largest segment, with an operating margin of 10.7% 1. Fresh products dominate, while prepared foods grew to about 1.3 billion USD, helped by the Just Bare brand, whose retail sales rose more than 30% according to the second-quarter 2026 release 3.

Europe

The European segment had net sales of 5.4 billion USD in fiscal 2025, with an operating margin of 5.1% 1. Prepared foods are central here, and pressure on U.K. pork margins came from imports from other European countries, which weighed on the second quarter of 2026 3.

Mexico

The Mexican segment had net sales of 2.1 billion USD in fiscal 2025, with an operating margin of 7.9% 1. In the second quarter of 2026 margins were compressed by higher domestic production and imports of chicken and eggs, while expansion of live operations in the Southern Peninsula continued as planned 3.

Market context

U.S. chicken prices in the first half of 2026 stayed below prior-year levels, because supply grew faster than demand and cold storage stocks ended the quarter above the historical five-year average 2. Demand was supported by chicken's affordability relative to other proteins, and the company noted that U.K. and Mexican prices were also below prior-year levels because of ample supply 2.

Trends

  • U.S. chicken oversupplyheadwind

    Higher production, chick placements and liveweights outpaced demand in the first half of 2026 and pressured market prices, and the company said supply growth was faster than demand 23. If this oversupply persists, margins in the American segment could stay under pressure.

  • Chicken as an affordable proteintailwind

    Chicken remains an affordable protein compared with beef, and foodservice operators have expanded chicken offerings as a value alternative 2. This trend could support volumes, especially for fresh and prepared products.

  • Energy and trade pressuresmixed

    The armed conflict involving Iran and the Gulf has raised energy and freight costs and disrupted shipping lanes, and tariff and trade policy changes could affect exports and international operations 2. The company said the supply constraints did not have a material impact on its costs in the period, but prolonged hostilities could have a more pronounced effect 2.

  • Value-added prepared productstailwind

    Prepared foods and branded products such as Just Bare are growing in the U.S., adding diversification away from commodity fresh meat, which could reduce earnings volatility from commodity markets 3.

Competitive position

The chicken and pork industries in the U.S., the U.K., continental Europe and Mexico are highly competitive, and the main factors are price, product quality, product development, brand identification, breadth of product line and customer service 1. The company believes its vertical integration gives it cost and quality advantages over non-integrated processors 1. Indirect competition also comes from other meats and fish, since changes in relative prices can alter consumer buying patterns 1.

Markets are also shaped by imports, such as pork imports into the U.K. from European countries, which pressured the company's margins in the second quarter of 2026 3. Competition on price and volume remains intense, particularly when supply exceeds demand.

  • Tyson FoodsTSN

    Another large U.S. chicken processor; the supplied sources do not analyze it, and information about it does not come from the company's own filings.

  • Mexican chicken producers

    Local Mexican chicken producers put pressure on commodity prices, especially through higher production and imports, as the company's results indicate 3.

  • European pork processors

    Pork imports from European countries into the U.K. pressured the margins of the British segment, according to the company's communication 3.

  • Producers of other proteins

    Beef, fish and other proteins compete for consumer spending, and their relative prices can change demand for chicken 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 18 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report29 Oct 2026
  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Oct 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report23 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report17 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / Pilgrim's Pride Corporation · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / Pilgrim's Pride Corporation · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Pilgrim's Pride Corporation · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.