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olivLaw · US equity research

Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. RBKB

Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered · SIC 6036 · Vertical: Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered (SIC 6036)

13.03USD+0.46% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Rhinebeck Bancorp is the holding company of community bank Rhinebeck Bank, active in New York's Hudson Valley with a focus on commercial lending and core deposits. After completing its conversion in July 2026 and listing on Nasdaq as RBKB, the company has fresh capital, and how it deploys that capital and how its earnings develop are worth following closely for the interested public.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. (RBKB) stock was 13.03 USD (+0.46% on the day), with market capitalisation 203.7 m USD, P/E 14.4 on diluted EPS of 0.90 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.13, 52-week range 6.91–13.23 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 744.0 k USD (+2.2% YoY), net income of 2.6 m USD (−4.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.24 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
203.7 m USD
shares as of 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.4
Diluted EPS TTM 0.90 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.93%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.13
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
6.9113.23

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
58.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
12.72 – 13.03
above the upper band · %B 1.01 · band width 2.4%
SMA 50 / 200
12.87 / 11.75
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.03 / 0.01
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.5%−2.0%+0.5 pp—
3 months+7.2%−2.2%+9.3 pp—
6 months+13.3%+4.3%+9.1 pp—
Year to date+51.4%+10.6%+40.9 pp—
1 year+86.3%+10.5%+75.8 pp+27.2%
3 years+180.9%+73.7%+107.2 pp+46.5%
5 years+68.4%+61.7%+6.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−8.0%
04 Mar 2026 → 18 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−46.2%
05 Jan 2022 → 06 Dec 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+11.0%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
744.0 k USD
+2.2% YoY
Net income
2.6 m USD
−4.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.24
−4.0% YoY
net / operating
351.6% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue773.0 k750.0 k773.0 k728.0 k739.0 k744.0 k764.0 k744.0 k
Pre-tax income-10.3 m-3.3 m2.9 m3.5 m3.3 m2.9 m2.9 m3.4 m
Income tax-2.2 m-683.0 k639.0 k762.0 k648.0 k591.0 k635.0 k762.0 k
Net income-8.1 m-2.7 m2.3 m2.7 m2.7 m2.3 m2.2 m2.6 m
Diluted EPS-0.75-0.25 ≈0.210.250.250.21 ≈0.200.24
Operating cash flow-3.6 m ≈3.6 m4.3 m2.4 m ≈2.2 m ≈2.8 m3.5 m5.6 m ≈
Capex49.0 k ≈369.0 k116.0 k182.0 k ≈199.0 k ≈353.0 k637.0 k205.0 k ≈
Share repurchases——————220.0 k1.6 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 87 percentile of its own 23-quarter history (min 7.2, median 10.3, max 17.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue2.8 m2.8 m2.3 m2.6 m2.8 m2.9 m3.0 m3.0 m
Revenue YoY+16.6%+0.6%−19.4%+13.5%+9.5%+1.8%+4.2%−0.6%
Net income4.4 m6.0 m5.9 m11.6 m7.0 m4.4 m-8.6 m10.0 m
Net income YoY+45.1%+36.9%−0.8%+95.3%−39.5%−37.2%−296.1%unavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable0.560.551.060.640.40-0.800.92
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−1.8%+92.7%−39.6%−37.5%−300.0%unavailable
net %155.3%211.2%260.0%447.3%247.3%152.6%-287.1%336.6%
Free cash flow7.5 m9.5 m13.0 m5.9 m13.7 m6.5 m7.7 m10.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
102.0 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
136.9 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
7.8%
ROA
0.8%
FCF margin
365.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Income statement · USD

Net interest income
2023
38.0 m
2024
37.7 m
2025
46.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Net fee income
2023
5.8 m
2024
-9.0 m
2025
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Non-interest expense
2023
36.4 m
2024
36.8 m
2025
39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
5.6 m
2024
-10.9 m
2025
12.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
4.4 m
2024
-8.6 m
2025
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.40
2024
-0.80
2025
0.92

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
22.1 m
2024
37.5 m
2025
102.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Loans
2023
1.0 bn
2024
971.8 m
2025
953.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Deposits
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
113.7 m †
2024
121.8 m †
2025
136.9 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
95.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
11.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
12.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025

Profitability

Net margin
329.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
203.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
20.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
6.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
68.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Banking

Net interest margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cost-to-income
73.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Loan-to-deposit
71.6%
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
NPL ratio
unavailable
input data missing
CET1 ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cost of risk
unavailable
input data missing

32 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 50 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

13.03 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 203.7 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
203.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
329.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

13/20 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 01 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1110derived 106

Score by group

  • Quality42
  • Growth65
  • Valuation49
  • Balance sheet71

Estimated value range

Low
7.69
USD per share
Mid
8.88
USD per share
High
9.17
USD per share
Price: 13.03 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -31.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -46.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.55 – 15.10 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Residual income8.34 – 8.73 (Mid 8.54)
  • Justified P/B5.55 – 7.46 (Mid 6.36)
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
  • Peers: P/E13.71 – 15.10 (Mid 14.82)
    5 companies used · median multiple 16.4x · quartiles 15.2x – 16.7x
    BBT, ECBK, FSBW, GCBC, PBFS
  • Peers: P/B7.04 – 9.61 (Mid 9.23)
    7 companies used · median multiple 1.0x · quartiles 0.8x – 1.1x
    BBT, ECBK, FBLA, FLG, FNWB, FSBW, PBFS
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered (SIC 6036)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 50/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality7.3%63 (vs peers)21%
ROA · Quality0.7%23 (on a fixed band)8%
Cost-to-income · Quality73.9%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net interest margin · Quality3.4%76 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth12.9%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.8%18 (on a fixed band)8%
NPL ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Cost of risk · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Loan-to-deposit · Balance sheet71.6%71 (on a fixed band)5%
P/B · Valuation1.5x13 (vs peers)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation14.4x86 (vs peers)13%
Dividend yield · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial71/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth65/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality42/100 · 4/4 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation49/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. (RBKB). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: net interest income 46.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.6%; net margin 329.8%; ROE 7.3%.

The estimated value range is 7.69–9.17 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 8.88 USD, the price of 13.03 USD leaves a potential of -31.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -46.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 50/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net interest margin: 3.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 12.9%
  • Loan-to-deposit: 71.6%
  • P/E (TTM): 14.4x

What contradicts it

  • ROA: 0.7%
  • Cost-to-income: 73.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.8%
  • P/B: 1.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): NPL ratio, Cost of risk, Dividend yield.

Versus the vertical median

Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered (SIC 6036) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
14.4x
vertical median 16.7x
below median (−13.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
68.1x
vertical median 58.2x
above median (+17.1%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+41.0%)
ROE
7.3%
vertical median 5.9%
above median (+24.5%)
Net margin
329.8%
vertical median 318.5%
at median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median —
Revenue YoY
-0.6%
vertical median 4.7%
below median (−112.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FLGFlagstar Bank, National Association4.5 bn220.30.6%—+17.4%−10% / −61%
BBTBeacon Financial Corp2.6 bn16.48.4%533.6%−92.5%+22% / +50%
GCBCGreene County Bancorp, Inc.623.0 m15.215.9%—+11.1%+60% / +46%
PBFSPioneer Bancorp, Inc.467.0 m27.15.2%103.4%+5.8%+41% / +127%
FSBWFS Bancorp, Inc.330.5 m10.210.8%—+44.8%+9% / +47%
FBLAFB Bancorp, Inc.271.4 m—-0.1%-0.4%−3.8%+35% / unavailable
RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc.203.7 m14.47.3%329.8%−0.6%+86% / +181%
ECBKECB Bancorp, Inc.200.7 m16.76.6%1,868.7%+3.6%+32% / +90%
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp98.3 m63.31.0%—−23.1%+5% / −30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for RBKB from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
5.23
Total return -60% · Per year -60%
9.26
Total return -29% · Per year -29%
13.97
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
3 years
4.81
Total return -63% · Per year -28%
9.60
Total return -26% · Per year -10%
15.93
Total return 22% · Per year 7%
5 years
4.41
Total return -66% · Per year -19%
9.95
Total return -24% · Per year -5%
18.17
Total return 39% · Per year 7%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.40
  • Net margin± 1.68
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.42
  • Annual dilution± 0.14

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Rhinebeck Bancorp is the holding company of community bank Rhinebeck Bank, active in New York's Hudson Valley with a focus on commercial lending and core deposits. After completing its conversion in July 2026 and listing on Nasdaq as RBKB, the company has fresh capital, and how it deploys that capital and how its earnings develop are worth following closely for the interested public.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a solid base of core deposits and close relationships with its local community. The fresh capital from the conversion strengthens the capital position and gives flexibility for lending.
  • Local recognition and knowledge of Hudson Valley markets are a competitive advantage against large banks. Management has also stressed its experience in personalized service and local decision-making.
  • Asset quality improved in the first half of 2026, with past-due loans lower than at the end of 2025.

Weaknesses

  • Profitability declined in the second quarter of 2026, and operating expenses grew faster than revenues.
  • The loan portfolio is concentrated in a few categories, especially commercial real estate and indirect automobile loans, which increases exposure to specific risks.
  • Activity is geographically concentrated in one region, which makes the company sensitive to local economic developments.

Opportunities

  • Growth in commercial lending and treasury management services could bring cheaper deposits and higher non-interest income.
  • New capital could finance expansion in counties with growth potential and possibly acquisitions, if suitable opportunities arise.
  • A possible banking-as-a-service partnership or private banking offering could widen the customer base and fee income.

Threats

  • A regional economic downturn could increase past-due loans and reduce the value of real estate collateral.
  • Competition from large banks, credit unions and fintech companies could pressure margins and the cost of attracting deposits.
  • Tariffs and trade tensions could affect customers in the industrial and agricultural sectors, with effects on their ability to repay.

Risks

  • Concentration in commercial lendinghigh

    Commercial real estate and commercial business loans are large in size and more sensitive to local economic conditions, so a single deteriorating loan can have a considerable effect 1.

  • Indirect automobile credit riskmedium

    Indirect automobile loans depend on dealers for compliance and for perfecting the security interest, and vehicles can lose value quickly 1.

  • Adequacy of loss provisionsmedium

    The allowance for credit losses relies on estimates and economic forecasts, and if the assumptions are wrong, the allowance could prove insufficient 1.

  • Margin pressuremedium

    The decline in the net interest margin and higher operating costs reduced profit in the first half of 2026, and the pressure could continue if the trend does not change 3.

  • Deployment of new capitallow

    The company must deploy the capital from the conversion prudently; if it cannot generate acceptable returns, its performance could suffer 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the bank converts its new capital and growing core deposit base into profitable commercial lending, profitability could gradually recover on a better trend.
  • Improving portfolio quality and lower past-due loans could show that risk management is working, which could support investor confidence.
  • If interest rates fall, the cost of funding could keep declining, and the margin could benefit from this trend.

What would break the thesis

  • Quarterly profit fell in the second quarter of 2026, and higher costs could keep eroding results if revenues do not grow enough.
  • Dependence on commercial lending and property collateral could expose the bank to large losses if the local market deteriorates.
  • The capital from the conversion could remain unused for a long period, which could dilute returns for shareholders.

What to watch

  • Development of the net interest margin and non-interest income after the conversionQ3 2026
  • How the company uses the offering proceeds to grow lending2027
  • Quality of the commercial loan and indirect automobile portfoliosnext 10-K
  • Trend of operating expenses relative to total revenuesQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Rhinebeck Bank is a community bank headquartered in Poughkeepsie, operating 12 branches in Dutchess, Orange and Ulster Counties and representative offices in Albany County 1. Its primary activity is accepting deposits from the public and using those funds, together with borrowings, mainly for commercial real estate loans, commercial business loans and indirect automobile loans 1. At December 31, 2025, total assets were 1.30 billion USD and total deposits were 1.10 billion USD 1.

In July 2026 the company completed its conversion from a mutual holding company structure into a fully public stock holding company, bringing in gross proceeds of 88.8 million USD 3. Because the offering was oversubscribed, the company returned part of the subscription funds to subscribers 2. Shares outstanding rose to about 15.6 million, and the new shares began trading on the Nasdaq Capital Market 2.

Management says the strategy aims to expand the net interest margin, non-interest income and efficiency through relationship-based commercial lending, lower-cost core deposits and investment in technology 1. Through June 30, 2026, net interest income rose slightly while quarterly profit fell, mainly because of higher operating expenses 3.

Segments

Indirect automobile loans

Indirect automobile loans, originated through dealerships, were 22.3% of total loans at December 31, 2025, but were reduced by 25.7 million USD in 2026 in line with a strategic decision to lower their concentration in the portfolio 3. Management has highlighted specific risks of this segment, including rapid depreciation of collateral and limited personal contact with borrowers 1.

Core deposits

Core deposits, meaning all non-time deposits, totaled 720.4 million USD, or 65.6% of total deposits at December 31, 2025 1. The company aims to grow these deposits through treasury management services for business customers and possibly banking-as-a-service partnerships 1.

Market context

The primary market is New York's Hudson Valley, where the economy is diversified and the unemployment rate in the served counties was below the New York State average at the end of 2025 1. Competition for deposits and loans is intense, given the presence of large New York City money center banks and large regional banks, as well as non-bank lenders and fintech companies 1. The company held a 10.44% share of FDIC-insured deposits in Dutchess County at June 30, 2025, while its shares in the other counties were much smaller 1.

Local economic developments and the commercial real estate market directly affect portfolio quality, because most loans are secured by property in the area 1. If inflation and interest rates stay high, demand for loans and collateral values could be affected, which could influence margins and credit costs 1.

Trends

  • Interest rates above historical normsmixed

    Interest rates have stayed above historical levels, which has eroded the value of longer-dated securities and raised the bank's operating costs 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the net interest margin declined, showing the pressure this trend places on asset yields 3.

  • Lower cost of fundingtailwind

    The cost of interest-bearing liabilities fell by 13 basis points in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting a lower rate environment and the maturity of higher-yielding FHLB advances 3. This trend could support margins if the decline in asset yields stabilizes 3.

  • Tariffs and supply chainsheadwind

    Changes in trade policy and tariffs could affect customers in agriculture, manufacturing and retail, reducing their revenues and ability to repay loans 1. The company has said it cannot predict the outcome of trade negotiations or their full impact on its business 1.

  • Digitalization and efficiencymixed

    The bank is investing in automation, digital account opening and analytics to reduce costs and support scalable growth 1. These investments, however, raised salary and data processing costs in the first half of 2026, pushing profit down 3. The net effect depends on whether these investments turn into savings or additional revenue.

Competitive position

The main competitors for deposits are other community and commercial banks, credit unions and fintech companies in the market area, many of them larger than the company 1. In Dutchess, Ulster and Orange Counties, large New York City banks and regional banks have a significant presence, and the company says it can maintain its position through local relationships and personalized service 1.

Competition for commercial loans also comes from large banks and non-bank lenders, which may offer more flexible terms 1. The company has said that intensifying competition, especially from technology platforms, could limit its future growth 1.

  • Major New York City money center banks

    Large banks with a significant presence in the counties served by Rhinebeck Bank, presented in the source without individual identification.

  • Large regional banks

    Large regional banks active in the same markets with resource advantages, according to the company.

  • Community and commercial banks in the Hudson Valley

    Direct local competitors for deposits and loans, many of them larger than the company.

  • Financial technology companies

    Non-bank companies offering traditional banking products and competing through digital channels.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. · 13 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. · 23 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.