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olivLaw · US equity research

Seneca Foods Corporation SENEA

Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies · SIC 2033 · Vertical: Food products (SIC 203x)

146.70USD−4.60% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Seneca Foods is one of the largest US producers of packaged fruits and vegetables, with canned vegetables dominating its sales. Its first quarter of fiscal 2027 showed strong sales growth, driven mainly by volumes, but gross margin fell from the prior year as the LIFO credit shrank. Net sales for fiscal 2026 reached 1659.7 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Seneca Foods Corporation (SENEA) stock was 146.70 USD (−4.60% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.7 bn USD, P/E 24.9 on diluted EPS of 5.90 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 0.12, 52-week range 101.18–207.30 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 492.6 m USD (+7.1% YoY), net income of 29.2 m USD (−1.7% YoY), diluted EPS 4.27 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.7 bn USD
shares as of 29 Jul 2011
P/E (TTM)
24.9
Diluted EPS TTM 5.90 · TTM to 31 Mar 2025
E/P (TTM)
4.02%
TTM to 31 Mar 2025
Dividend yield
0.00%
Beta (2y)
0.12
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
101.18207.30

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
24.8
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
144.28 – 186.69
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.06 · band width 25.6%
SMA 50 / 200
178.30 / 157.74
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-7.17 / -6.21
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−17.4%−1.1%−16.3 pp—
3 months−14.1%−0.5%−13.6 pp—
6 months+2.8%+4.4%−1.6 pp—
Year to date+32.6%+12.3%+20.3 pp—
1 year+42.5%+13.5%+29.0 pp−32.9%
3 years+166.7%+76.4%+90.3 pp−43.4%
5 years+174.4%+63.7%+110.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−29.2%
02 Sept 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−51.3%
06 Dec 2022 → 30 Jun 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+22.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
492.6 m USD
+7.1% YoY
Net income
29.2 m USD
−1.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.27
−0.5% YoY
net / operating
5.9% / 7.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue425.5 m502.9 m345.8 m297.5 m460.0 m508.3 m405.2 m492.6 m
Cost of revenue382.6 m453.7 m330.3 m255.6 m398.2 m424.9 m357.3 m431.0 m
SG&A18.1 m22.7 m17.2 m18.7 m20.5 m23.6 m20.4 m23.6 m
Operating income24.7 m25.7 m2.0 m23.2 m41.5 m60.0 m26.2 m37.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.2 m11.5 m11.2 m11.1 m11.4 m10.9 m10.6 m10.9 m
Interest expense9.0 m7.8 m6.0 m5.4 m4.7 m4.1 m3.1 m2.1 m
Pre-tax income17.1 m19.3 m1.6 m19.7 m38.7 m58.6 m26.0 m38.5 m
Income tax3.8 m4.7 m965.0 k4.8 m9.0 m13.9 m6.5 m9.3 m
Net income13.3 m14.7 m601.0 k14.9 m29.7 m44.8 m19.5 m29.2 m
Diluted EPS1.902.100.09 ≈2.144.296.482.854.27
Operating cash flow75.5 m ≈117.7 m ≈91.9 m53.7 m29.3 m ≈31.1 m ≈109.1 m-27.9 m ≈
Capex5.6 m ≈9.1 m ≈10.5 m11.3 m7.5 m ≈8.2 m ≈17.2 m17.5 m ≈
Dividends paid0 ≈0 ≈11.0 k12.0 k0 ≈0 ≈12.0 k0 ≈
Share repurchases3.4 m ≈814.0 k ≈786.0 k3.8 m1.1 m ≈2.8 m ≈1.4 m1.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 86 percentile of its own 28-quarter history (min 0.2, median 9.6, max 56.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.3 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn
Revenue YoY+4.2%−8.8%+11.4%+9.9%−5.6%+9.0%−3.4%+8.2%
Net income-8.5 m5.7 m52.3 m126.1 m46.2 m9.2 m63.3 m41.2 m
Net income YoY−153.4%unavailable+810.6%+140.9%−63.4%−80.0%+585.9%−34.9%
Diluted EPS-0.870.595.5813.725.241.168.565.90
Diluted EPS YoY−154.4%unavailable+845.8%+145.9%−61.8%−77.9%+637.9%−31.1%
net %-0.6%0.5%3.9%8.6%3.3%0.6%4.3%2.6%
Free cash flow-45.9 m59.4 m61.6 m111.7 m-23.2 m-283.4 m-119.6 m298.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Mar 2025

Cash
42.7 m USD
Financial debt
465.9 m USD
Net debt
423.2 m USD
Equity
633.0 m USD
Total assets
1.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.74x
Current ratio
3.52x
ROE
6.8%
ROA
3.2%
FCF margin
18.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
104.3 m ≈
2024
188.2 m ≈
2025
150.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025derived

SG&A
2023
81.1 m
2024
81.2 m
2025
75.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Operating income
2023
21.4 m
2024
107.2 m
2025
77.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
40.9 m
2024
43.5 m
2025
44.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
62.3 m ≈
2024
150.7 m ≈
2025
122.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
14.3 m
2024
34.0 m
2025
33.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
13.8 m
2024
83.0 m
2025
54.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Income tax
2023
4.6 m
2024
19.7 m
2025
13.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Net income
2023
9.2 m
2024
63.3 m
2025
41.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.16
2024
8.56
2025
5.90

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
7.9 m
2024
7.4 m
2025
7.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
5.2 m
2024
4.5 m
2025
42.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Receivables
2023
97.1 m
2024
79.8 m
2025
96.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Inventories
2023
670.9 m
2024
872.7 m
2025
604.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Current assets
2023
794.0 m
2024
967.0 m
2025
755.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
301.2 m
2024
305.0 m
2025
324.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
69.2 m
2024
40.3 m
2025
43.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
10.0 m
2024
19.0 m
2025
96.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
432.7 m
2024
585.8 m
2025
369.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
156.2 m
2024
151.0 m
2025
214.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
658.0 m
2024
801.1 m
2025
548.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Equity
2023
554.8 m †
2024
582.9 m †
2025
633.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-212.8 m
2024
-83.0 m
2025
335.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Capex
2023
70.6 m
2024
36.6 m
2025
37.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
-283.4 m ≈
2024
-119.6 m ≈
2025
298.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-64.9 m
2024
-47.2 m
2025
-34.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
279.0 m
2024
129.8 m
2025
-262.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
23.0 k
2024
23.0 k
2025
23.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
41.2 m
2024
33.0 m
2025
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Jun 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-27.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-34.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-3.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-31.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
12.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
EBITDA margin
10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
EBIT margin
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Net margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
FCF margin
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025

Returns

ROE
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025

Balance sheet

Net debt
193.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
206.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Capital expenditure
37.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Free cash flow
168.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
FCF conversion
187.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Cash conversion
120.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
27 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
205 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
63 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
169 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
19.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Earnings yield
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
10.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
9.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 62 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

146.70 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
P/B
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROE
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Dec 2025

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 29 Jul 2011
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2404derived 210

Score by group

  • Valuation59
  • Returns44
  • Quality78
  • Balance sheet83
  • Growth32

Estimated value range

Low
194.20
USD per share
Mid
243.33
USD per share
High
341.17
USD per share
Price: 146.70 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 65.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 39.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 186.04 – 354.55 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)202.37 – 327.78 (Mid 250.24)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 183.9 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -15.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E186.04 – 354.55 (Mid 236.41)
    3 companies used · median multiple 30.8x · quartiles 24.3x – 46.2x
    LW, MZTI, SJM
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food products (SIC 203x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 62/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.9%60 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality5.6%86 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality187.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.5%37 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth4.0%27 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.1x82 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet6.2x73 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.6x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation19.1x49 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation11.2x35 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation9.8%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.5%7 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns0.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet83/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth32/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality78/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns44/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation59/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Seneca Foods Corporation (SENEA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 8.2%; net margin 5.6%; ROE 12.2%; net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.

The estimated value range is 194.20–341.17 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 243.33 USD, the price of 146.70 USD leaves a potential of 65.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 39.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 62/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 5.6%
  • FCF conversion: 187.2%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 1.1x
  • Interest coverage: 6.2x
  • Current ratio: 2.6x
  • FCF yield: 9.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 0.0%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 4.0%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.5%

Versus the vertical median

Food products (SIC 203x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.1x
vertical median 30.8x
below median (−37.9%)
EV/EBITDA
11.2x
vertical median —
P/S
1.1x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−9.3%)
P/B
2.1x
vertical median 2.5x
below median (−12.7%)
ROE
12.2%
vertical median -9.0%
above median
Net margin
5.6%
vertical median -14.0%
above median
EBIT margin
7.9%
vertical median -13.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
8.2%
vertical median 1.1%
above median (+660.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.1x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 3.5%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KHCKraft Heinz Co30.1 bn—-9.0%-14.0%−3.5%−0% / −28%
SJMJ M SMUCKER Co14.1 bn61.63.9%2.5%+3.7%+27% / +21%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.7.8 bn30.814.2%3.8%+2.5%−4% / −43%
MZTIThe Marzetti Company3.1 bn17.716.8%9.1%+1.1%−33% / −32%
BRFHBarfresh Food Group Inc.8.8 m—-364.2%-17.9%+32.6%−83% / −61%
PLAGPlanet Green Holdings Corp.5.2 m—-706.0%-308.0%−35.2%−86% / −89%
FAMIFarmmi, Inc.538.9 k—-36.1%-189.8%−56.4%−94% / −99%
SENEASeneca Foods Corporation——12.2%5.6%+8.2%+43% / +167%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SENEA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
86.68
Total return -41% · Per year -41%
153.24
Total return 4% · Per year 4%
230.82
Total return 57% · Per year 57%
3 years
84.05
Total return -43% · Per year -17%
167.20
Total return 14% · Per year 4%
276.55
Total return 89% · Per year 24%
5 years
81.50
Total return -44% · Per year -11%
182.44
Total return 24% · Per year 4%
331.33
Total return 126% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 41.80
  • Net margin± 29.26
  • Annual revenue growth± 24.03
  • Annual dilution± 2.46

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Seneca Foods is one of the largest US producers of packaged fruits and vegetables, with canned vegetables dominating its sales. Its first quarter of fiscal 2027 showed strong sales growth, driven mainly by volumes, but gross margin fell from the prior year as the LIFO credit shrank 2. Net sales for fiscal 2026 reached 1659.7 million USD 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a leading position in canned vegetables, a broad base of contracted farms and an integrated network of facilities covering packing, can manufacturing and seed 1.
  • Cost structure and supply chain efficiency are presented by the company as durable competitive advantages 1.

Weaknesses

  • Activity is highly seasonal, with inventory and receivables concentrated in a few quarters, which makes quarterly results volatile 1.
  • Dependence on a small number of large customers creates exposure to price pressure and to the loss of a key account 1.
  • Margins are sensitive to LIFO effects and input costs, and gross margin fell in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 2.

Opportunities

  • Expansion in frozen vegetables through the Green Giant acquisition could diversify sales and raise the share of higher-value products 12.
  • Higher volumes in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 suggest demand for the company's products could support growth if the trend continues 2.
  • Export markets with customers in many countries could offer an alternative to the mature domestic market 1.

Threats

  • Oversupply in the fruit and vegetable industry can press prices and margins, and companies sometimes close plants in response 1.
  • Imports and retailer private label competition could erode market share and pressure prices 1.
  • Climate regulation and compliance costs could add expense, although the company does not expect unusual environmental capital spending in the near term 1.

Risks

  • Price pressure from oversupplyhigh

    Excess industry capacity can lower selling prices and weaken margins, especially when supply exceeds demand.

  • Dependence on large customershigh

    A small number of customers represent a large part of sales, and losing one could significantly affect results.

  • Input cost inflationmedium

    Prices for raw materials, steel and transport could rise faster than selling prices, compressing margins.

  • Product recallsmedium

    Contamination or mislabeling could lead to recalls, liability for damages and harm to brand reputation.

  • Litigation and pension planlow

    Product and employment litigation, and obligations under the defined benefit pension plan, could generate significant costs.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Higher volumes in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, combined with the Green Giant acquisition, could strengthen the company's position in frozen and diversify sales 12.
  • Its leading position in canned vegetables and its integrated farm and plant base could support stable margins if costs settle 1.
  • If cost pressure keeps easing, margins could recover toward earlier levels as the negative LIFO effect fades 2.

What would break the thesis

  • A mature industry with excess capacity could keep prices under pressure and limit margin recovery 1.
  • Dependence on a few large customers and the expansion of retailer private labels could weaken the company's bargaining power 1.
  • If input costs stay high, gross margin could keep falling, as it did in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 2.

What to watch

  • Trend in gross margin and the LIFO effect in coming quartersQ2 2027
  • Contribution of the Green Giant acquisition to frozen vegetable sales2027
  • Share of the ten largest customers in annual salesnext 10-K
  • Trend in steel, transport and labor costs2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Seneca Foods Corporation, founded in 1949, packages fruits and vegetables mainly in the United States, with 27 main facilities including packaging plants, can manufacturing, seed production and a farm 1. The company operates almost entirely in two reportable food packaging segments, Vegetable and Fruit/Snack, and fiscal 2026 included the acquisition of the Green Giant U.S. frozen business 1. Products are sold under private label, under owned brands such as Libby's, Green Valley and Aunt Nellie's, and to the food industry, foodservice and export customers in about 55 countries 12.

The company's stated strategy aims to grow market share, expand leadership in packaged fruit and vegetables, cut supply chain costs and pursue acquisitions that leverage core competencies 1. Raw materials are sourced from more than 1,100 American farms, while inputs such as steel are exposed to import tariffs 1.

Activity is highly seasonal: production starts with spring planting, and packing and peak sales fall in the second and third fiscal quarters, so single-quarter results are hard to extrapolate 1.

Segments

Canned vegetables

Canned vegetables are the dominant segment, at 82% of food packaging net sales in fiscal 2026, and the company builds its market position on private label and co-pack contracts alongside its brands 1.

Frozen vegetables

Frozen vegetables were 9% of food sales in fiscal 2026, and the Green Giant acquisition could strengthen this category, which grew in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 12.

Fruit and snacks

Fruit products were 6% of food sales and snack products only 1%, smaller categories that complete the portfolio 1.

Market context

The US packaged fruit and vegetable industry is described by the company as mature, with excess capacity that pressures prices, and sales depend on product availability and market prices 1. Demand is shaped by shifting consumer preferences toward fresh produce and by import competition 1.

Recent sales growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 points to solid demand for canned and frozen products, but margins were under pressure from high input costs and a smaller LIFO effect 2.

Trends

  • High input costsheadwind

    Raw material, steel, transport and labor costs have risen in recent years and remain above historical levels, which could compress margins if selling prices do not offset them 12.

  • Growth in sales volumestailwind

    Sales grew in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 mainly from volumes, with frozen and canned categories contributing most, suggesting rising demand for the company's products 2.

  • Retailer consolidationheadwind

    Large grocery chains and discounters are increasing promotions and shelf space for their own brands at the expense of packagers' brands, which could pressure prices and share 1.

  • Green Giant acquisitionmixed

    Acquiring the Green Giant US frozen business extends the company's frozen presence and brand rights, though integration could bring transition costs, such as those seen in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 12.

Competitive position

Competition in packaged food is intense, and brand recognition, quality, service and pricing determine relative market position; rivals include divisions or subsidiaries of larger companies that may have greater resources and brand recognition 1.

The company argues that its focus on product quality, cost control, an efficient supply chain and customer partnerships lets it compete effectively, while imports and retailer private labels remain major pressures 1.

  • Private label and regional canners

    Numerous competitors of varying size, including divisions of larger companies that may have greater resources and brand recognition 1.

  • Divisions of large food groups

    Larger companies with packaged fruit and vegetable divisions that can compete on brand and promotion 1.

  • Importers of packaged products

    Imported products compete in the same market and can pressure prices for US producers 1.

  • Retailer private label brands

    Retail chains developing their own brands can reduce shelf space for packagers' brands, including Seneca's 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 29 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-03-31 · SEC / Seneca Foods Corporation · 11 Jun 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Seneca Foods Corporation · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Seneca Foods Corporation · 09 Aug 2023

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.