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olivLaw · US equity research

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY

Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys · SIC 3812 · Vertical: Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys (SIC 3812)

632.01USD−4.76% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Teledyne Technologies (TDY) supplies sensing, imaging, instrumentation and defense electronics technologies to industrial markets that demand high reliability. Net sales reached 6115.4 million USD in fiscal 2025, and grew 9.0% in the first nine months of 2026. The company announced the pending acquisition of Varex Imaging for about 1.1 billion USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) stock was 632.01 USD (−4.76% on the day), with market capitalisation 29.1 bn USD, P/E 28.9 on diluted EPS of 21.85 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.89, 52-week range 484.47–691.30 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.7 bn USD (+9.4% YoY), net income of 272.8 m USD (+23.6% YoY), diluted EPS 5.82 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
29.1 bn USD
shares as of 14 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.9
Diluted EPS TTM 21.85 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.46%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.89
Volatility (1y) 26%
52-week range
484.47691.30

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
48.6
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
590.58 – 677.02
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.48 · band width 13.6%
SMA 50 / 200
619.54 / 634.94
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
10.62 / 9.13
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+2.0%−1.1%+3.1 pp—
3 months−7.6%−0.5%−7.1 pp—
6 months−1.9%+4.4%−6.3 pp—
Year to date+23.7%+12.3%+11.4 pp—
1 year+23.6%+13.5%+10.1 pp−2.2%
3 years+66.6%+76.4%−9.9 pp+72.2%
5 years+41.6%+63.7%−22.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−15.2%
02 Mar 2026 → 30 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−32.2%
20 Apr 2022 → 14 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+7.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.7 bn USD
+9.4% YoY
Net income
272.8 m USD
+23.6% YoY
Diluted EPS
5.82
+25.2% YoY
net / operating
16.2% / 20.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.5 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Cost of revenue859.6 m830.4 m869.1 m880.0 m921.1 m886.3 m924.4 m945.5 m
Research & development71.4 m74.3 m82.4 m83.4 m77.2 m84.6 m90.2 m78.6 m
SG&A232.0 m233.9 m229.4 m238.2 m229.6 m237.4 m258.7 m258.4 m
Operating income237.1 m259.3 m278.2 m282.8 m329.5 m294.2 m333.2 m347.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation77.2 m80.7 m86.5 m ≈84.5 m ≈84.6 m87.2 m85.7 m ≈84.7 m ≈
Interest expense13.7 m17.3 m17.6 m12.6 m12.1 m12.3 m13.6 m10.5 m
Pre-tax income225.6 m238.9 m260.6 m273.8 m321.2 m278.7 m321.3 m346.8 m
Income tax26.5 m50.1 m50.2 m52.9 m45.6 m51.9 m69.6 m74.0 m
Net income198.5 m188.6 m209.9 m220.7 m275.6 m226.8 m251.7 m272.8 m
Diluted EPS4.20 ≈3.994.434.655.81 ≈4.855.375.82
Operating cash flow332.4 m242.6 m226.6 m ≈343.1 m ≈379.0 m234.0 m315.2 m ≈352.5 m ≈
Capex29.0 m18.0 m30.3 m ≈29.2 m ≈39.8 m29.7 m30.5 m ≈33.0 m ≈
Share repurchases21.4 m——0 ≈400.0 m——94.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 58 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 16.3, median 28.1, max 44.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year⚠ 20172018201920212022202320242025
Revenue2.6 bn2.9 bn3.2 bn3.1 bn4.6 bn5.6 bn5.7 bn6.1 bn
Revenue YoY—+11.4%+9.0%unavailable+49.5%+22.1%+0.6%+7.9%
Net income227.2 m333.8 m402.3 m401.9 m445.3 m885.7 m819.2 m894.8 m
Net income YoY—+46.9%+20.5%unavailable+10.8%+98.9%−7.5%+9.2%
Diluted EPS6.269.0110.7310.6210.0518.4917.2118.88
Diluted EPS YoY—+43.9%+19.1%unavailable−5.4%+84.0%−6.9%+9.7%
net %8.7%11.5%12.7%13.0%9.7%15.7%14.4%14.6%
Free cash flow316.2 m360.1 m393.7 m547.5 m723.0 m721.2 m1.1 bn1.1 bn

The series breaks before 2017: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
352.4 m USD
Financial debt
2.5 bn USD
Net debt
2.1 bn USD
Equity
10.5 bn USD
Total assets
15.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.24x
Current ratio
1.64x
ROE
8.9%
ROA
6.1%
FCF margin
17.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.6 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
6.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.4 bn ≈
2024
2.4 bn ≈
2025
2.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
356.3 m
2024
292.6 m
2025
317.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
852.0 m
2024
902.6 m
2025
931.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.0 bn
2024
989.1 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
316.4 m
2024
309.9 m
2025
336.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
77.3 m
2024
57.9 m
2025
59.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
958.9 m
2024
937.9 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
72.3 m
2024
117.2 m
2025
198.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
885.7 m
2024
819.2 m
2025
894.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
18.49
2024
17.21
2025
18.88

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
47.9 m
2024
47.6 m
2025
47.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
648.3 m
2024
649.8 m
2025
352.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
899.7 m
2024
901.1 m
2025
992.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
917.7 m
2024
914.4 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
777.0 m
2024
745.2 m
2025
839.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
8.0 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
14.5 bn
2024
14.2 bn
2025
15.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
384.7 m
2024
416.4 m
2025
486.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
600.1 m
2024
300.0 k
2025
450.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.3 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
9.2 bn †
2024
9.5 bn †
2025
10.5 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
836.1 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
114.9 m
2024
83.7 m
2025
117.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
721.2 m ≈
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-190.3 m
2024
-207.2 m
2025
-937.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-651.5 m
2024
-945.8 m
2025
-555.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
354.0 m
2025
402.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
16.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
9.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
26.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
9.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
23.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
43.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
25.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
20.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
17.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
26.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
133.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
111.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
77.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
53 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
113 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
117 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
29.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
30.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
28.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
4.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
23.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
4.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
25.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 59 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

632.01 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 29.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
29.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
28.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROE
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 14 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Oct 2026
verified 2824derived 142

Score by group

  • Balance sheet94
  • Valuation14
  • Quality70
  • Growth91
  • Returns24

Estimated value range

Low
408.63
USD per share
Mid
468.82
USD per share
High
570.95
USD per share
Price: 632.01 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -25.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -34.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 362.74 – 580.58 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)362.74 – 580.58 (Mid 446.73)
    WACC 9.0% · starting FCFF 1.2 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 25.5%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA408.63 – 533.16 (Mid 468.82)
    3 companies used · median multiple 14.0x · quartiles 12.3x – 15.8x
    DRS, LHX, NOC
  • Peers: P/E444.40 – 570.95 (Mid 529.15)
    5 companies used · median multiple 24.2x · quartiles 20.3x – 26.1x
    CODA, DRS, GRMN, LHX, NOC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys (SIC 3812)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 59/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.4%49 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality15.8%75 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality111.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth9.8%82 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth23.4%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.9x89 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet26.9x100 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation28.9x0 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation18.6x0 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation3.9%49 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.7%24 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet94/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth91/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial24/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation14/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TELEDYNE TECHNOLOGIES INC (TDY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 7.9%; net margin 15.8%; ROE 9.5%; net debt/EBITDA 0.9x.

The estimated value range is 408.63–570.95 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 468.82 USD, the price of 632.01 USD leaves a potential of -25.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -34.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 59/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 15.8%
  • FCF conversion: 111.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 9.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 23.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.9x
  • Interest coverage: 26.9x
  • Current ratio: 2.3x

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 28.9x
  • EV/EBITDA: 18.6x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.7%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys (SIC 3812) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
28.9x
vertical median 24.2x
above median (+19.4%)
EV/EBITDA
18.6x
vertical median 14.0x
above median (+32.6%)
P/S
4.5x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+115.1%)
P/B
2.6x
vertical median 3.3x
below median (−20.3%)
ROE
9.5%
vertical median 10.3%
below median (−7.9%)
Net margin
15.8%
vertical median 7.3%
above median (+116.3%)
EBIT margin
20.0%
vertical median 10.6%
above median (+88.4%)
Revenue YoY
7.9%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+250.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.9x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−44.1%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.4%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp74.6 bn16.626.1%10.4%+2.2%−8% / +11%
GRMNGarmin Ltd55.7 bn27.822.4%25.6%+15.1%+48% / +137%
LHXL3harris Technologies, Inc.48.4 bn24.210.3%5.2%unavailable−7% / +36%
TDYTeledyne Technologies Inc29.1 bn28.99.5%15.8%+7.9%+24% / +67%
DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.9.5 bn26.113.2%9.4%+12.8%+4% / +93%
NNNextNav Inc.1.5 bn—-77.9%-2,812.5%−19.3%−38% / +121%
LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.835.8 m——-26.6%−7.9%+5% / +248%
CODACoda Octopus Group, Inc.101.4 m20.38.4%17.6%+30.7%+2% / +52%
MINDMind Technology, Inc33.6 m—-6.8%-6.8%−12.6%−61% / −29%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TDY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
401.77
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
708.57
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
1,064.94
Total return 69% · Per year 69%
3 years
432.93
Total return -31% · Per year -12%
854.93
Total return 35% · Per year 11%
1,404.55
Total return 122% · Per year 30%
5 years
466.51
Total return -26% · Per year -6%
1,031.52
Total return 63% · Per year 10%
1,852.45
Total return 193% · Per year 24%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 213.73
  • Net margin± 149.61
  • Annual revenue growth± 116.83
  • Annual dilution± 12.57

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Teledyne Technologies (TDY) supplies sensing, imaging, instrumentation and defense electronics technologies to industrial markets that demand high reliability. Net sales reached 6115.4 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, and grew 9.0% in the first nine months of 2026 2. The company announced the pending acquisition of Varex Imaging for about 1.1 billion USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A diversified technology portfolio with high barriers to entry and a broad customer base across several markets 1.
  • Operating profit and free cash flow have grown consistently in recent periods, according to the quarterly results 3.
  • Leverage is modest relative to operating results, according to the company 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on complex supply chains and components from limited sources can cause delays 1.
  • Reliance on acquisitions brings integration risks, loss of key staff and unexpected liabilities 1.
  • Fixed-price government contracts shift the risk of cost overruns to the company 1.

Opportunities

  • The Varex Imaging acquisition could expand Digital Imaging if the transaction closes as planned 3.
  • Demand from defense and space markets could support growth in imaging and electronics segments 2.
  • Environmental and climate monitoring solutions could gain demand as regulation expands 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and export restrictions could raise costs and limit access to the Chinese market 1.
  • A military conflict in the region could seriously affect sales and the supply chain 1.
  • An economic recession could reduce orders from cyclically sensitive industries 1.

Risks

  • Economic recessionmedium

    If the United States or global economy enters recession, customer demand could fall and payments could be delayed 1.

  • Acquisition riskshigh

    Integrating acquired companies, including Varex, may prove difficult and could expose the company to unexpected liabilities 13.

  • Component and labor costsmedium

    Rising component, labor and shipping costs could reduce margins if prices cannot be raised sufficiently 1.

  • China trade restrictionshigh

    Tariffs, sanctions and export restrictions could disrupt deliveries and sales in China and other markets 12.

  • Russia sanctionslow

    International sanctions have led to a comprehensive ban on commercial activity with Russia, limiting access to that market 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Sales and operating profit rose in the third quarter of 2026 and the full year outlook was raised, which points to solid execution 3.
  • Orders exceeded sales in every quarter of the last three years, and funded backlog is substantial 3.
  • Diversification across segments and markets could reduce dependence on any single industry, according to the structure the company describes 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Growth partly depends on acquisitions, and integrating them could bring unforeseen costs and risks 1.
  • Tariffs, trade restrictions and geopolitical tensions could weigh on margins and on access to important markets 2.
  • Demand in interest-rate-sensitive and cyclical industries could decline if financial conditions worsen 1.

What to watch

  • Closing of the Varex Imaging acquisition and its integration into Digital Imagingearly 2027
  • Development of the GAAP and non-GAAP outlook for fiscal 2026Q4 2026
  • Capital expenditure levels and net debt after the Varex acquisition2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Teledyne is a Delaware corporation providing technologies that sense, analyze and distribute information for markets such as aerospace and defense, factory automation, environmental monitoring, oceanographic research and medical imaging 1. Its products include sensors and cameras across visible, infrared and X-ray spectra, marine and environmental instruments, harsh environment interconnects, test and measurement equipment, aircraft information systems and satellite communication subsystems 1. The company is organized into four segments and states that its growth strategy relies on targeted acquisitions and product development 1.

Segments

Aerospace and Defense Electronics

Provides electronic and optical components, avionics systems and connectivity solutions for civil and military aircraft 1. Fiscal 2025 sales rose 36.3% to 1058.7 million USD, a growth driven in large part by acquisitions 1.

Market context

Teledyne operates in markets with high barriers to entry and specialized products that are less likely to be commoditized 1. Defense demand contributes to growth, and the company states it benefits from higher global defense spending 2.

End markets are sensitive to the general economic cycle and to customer capital spending, which could decline if interest rates stay high 1. Across the company, orders exceeded sales in every quarter of the last three years, which points to solid demand 3.

Trends

  • Tariffs and trade restrictionsmixed

    Tariffs and retaliatory measures between the United States and other countries, including China, could reduce revenue or raise material costs 2. The company received IEEPA tariff refunds after the Supreme Court ruling of February 2026 2.

  • Export restrictions and raw materialsheadwind

    China has restricted exports of rare earth minerals and permanent magnets used in Teledyne products, which could delay deliveries and reduce margins 1.

  • Defense spendingtailwind

    Higher global defense spending supports the Digital Imaging and Aerospace and Defense Electronics segments, according to the company 2.

  • Geopolitical conflictsheadwind

    Conflicts in the Middle East and tensions over Taiwan could disrupt the supply chain and sales to some regions, although the company has not reported a material impact so far 12.

Competitive position

Teledyne competes in highly competitive markets where rivals may have greater name recognition, a larger installed base and more financial resources 1. Competition can also come from customers who vertically integrate their products and from low-cost suppliers in China 1.

The company competes on quality, performance, reliability, technical expertise, price and service 1. Expiring patents could open the market to additional competitors 1.

  • Larger rivals with greater financial resources

    The SEC sources do not name competitors; the company refers only to rivals with greater recognition and resources.

  • Low-cost suppliers in China and other developing countries

    The company flags price pressure from low-cost producers without naming them.

  • Customers that vertically integrate

    Some customers develop their own products or replace Teledyne solutions with in-house ones.

  • New technologies from existing competitors

    Existing or new competitors may develop technologies that could reduce demand for the company's products.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report23 Oct 2026
  • Current report21 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report10 Aug 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report24 Jul 2026
  • Current report22 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report24 Apr 2026
  • Current report23 Apr 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report22 Apr 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / Teledyne Technologies Incorporated · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-27 · SEC / Teledyne Technologies Incorporated · 23 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Teledyne Technologies Incorporated · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.