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olivLaw · US equity research

TPR TPR

Leather & Leather Products · SIC 3100 · Vertical: Leather products (SIC 31xx)

125.31USD+3.54% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

In fiscal 2026, Tapestry reported net sales of 8004.2 million USD, up 14.2% from the prior year. The Coach segment accounted for 86.4% of total sales, and the GAAP operating margin reached 23.9%. For fiscal 2027 the company is initiating guidance for mid-single digit revenue growth, which could hold if the post-Investor Day trend continues.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, TPR (TPR) stock was 125.31 USD (+3.54% on the day), with market capitalisation 25.0 bn USD, P/E 17.2 on diluted EPS of 7.27 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.28%, beta 1.21, 52-week range 98.81–164.78 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q4 2026): revenue of 1.9 bn USD (+8.9% YoY), net income of 347.8 m USD, diluted EPS 1.68 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
25.0 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.2
Diluted EPS TTM 7.27 · TTM to 27 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.80%
TTM to 27 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.28%
DPS 12m 1.60
Beta (2y)
1.21
Volatility (1y) 42%
52-week range
98.81164.78

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
108.95 – 123.94
above the upper band · %B 1.09 · band width 12.9%
SMA 50 / 200
117.20 / 137.07
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.52 / -0.82
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.1%−1.1%+8.2 pp—
3 months−21.3%−0.5%−20.8 pp—
6 months−15.8%+4.4%−20.2 pp—
Year to date−1.9%+12.3%−14.2 pp—
1 year+17.8%+13.5%+4.2 pp+12.4%
3 years+348.5%+76.4%+272.1 pp−9.5%
5 years+194.8%+63.7%+131.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.0%
10 Aug 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−43.0%
01 Feb 2023 → 01 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+24.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q4 2026 · 27 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.9 bn USD
+8.9% YoY
Net income
347.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
1.68
unavailable YoY
net / operating
18.5% / 23.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26
Revenue1.5 bn2.2 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn2.5 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn
Cost of revenue372.6 m562.3 m378.8 m408.1 m404.1 m614.0 m444.1 m313.0 m
Gross profit1.1 bn1.6 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.9 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn
SG&A882.9 m1.1 bn952.1 m1.0 bn972.3 m1.2 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn
Operating income252.0 m492.8 m253.7 m-583.5 m328.2 m716.4 m427.5 m442.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation40.9 m40.9 m41.4 m43.1 m37.2 m41.0 m41.5 m45.2 m
Interest expense123.2 m85.8 m32.8 m29.4 m30.1 m30.9 m29.3 m29.0 m
Pre-tax income225.7 m345.3 m239.1 m-594.0 m318.7 m697.1 m416.0 m428.8 m
Income tax39.1 m34.9 m35.8 m-76.9 m43.9 m135.8 m72.2 m81.0 m
Net income186.6 m310.4 m203.3 m-517.1 m274.8 m561.3 m343.8 m347.8 m
Diluted EPS0.791.380.95-2.40 ≈1.282.681.651.68 ≈
Operating cash flow119.5 m506.0 m ≈144.3 m ≈446.8 m112.6 m1.1 bn ≈262.6 m ≈522.2 m
Capex25.6 m30.9 m ≈30.9 m ≈35.3 m32.4 m43.6 m ≈36.8 m ≈53.2 m
Dividends paid81.4 m72.4 m ≈72.7 m ≈72.8 m83.3 m81.3 m ≈81.0 m ≈80.5 m
Share repurchases01.6 bn ≈52.3 m ≈53.4 m698.2 m403.5 m ≈150.2 m ≈302.7 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 49 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 7.3, median 18.5, max 120.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue6.0 bn5.0 bn5.7 bn6.7 bn6.7 bn6.7 bn7.0 bn8.0 bn
Revenue YoY+2.5%−17.7%+15.8%+16.3%−0.4%+0.2%+5.1%+14.2%
Net income643.4 m-652.1 m834.2 m856.3 m936.0 m816.0 m183.2 m1.5 bn
Net income YoY+61.9%−201.4%unavailable+2.6%+9.3%−12.8%−77.5%+733.9%
Diluted EPS2.21-2.342.953.173.883.500.827.27
Diluted EPS YoY+60.1%−205.9%unavailable+7.5%+22.4%−9.8%−76.6%+786.6%
net %10.7%-13.1%14.5%12.8%14.1%12.2%2.6%19.1%
Free cash flow518.2 m201.6 m1.2 bn759.3 m791.0 m1.1 bn1.1 bn1.8 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 27 Jun 2026

Cash
974.7 m USD
Financial debt
2.4 bn USD
Net debt
1.4 bn USD
Equity
692.1 m USD
Total assets
6.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
3.46x
Current ratio
1.75x
ROE
197.1%
ROA
23.0%
FCF margin
22.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
6.7 bn
2025
7.0 bn
2026
8.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
4.9 bn
2025
5.3 bn
2026
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
3.7 bn
2025
4.0 bn
2026
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
1.1 bn
2025
415.0 m
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
174.0 m
2025
162.9 m
2026
160.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
577.9 m ≈
2026
2.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
369.6 m
2025
271.2 m
2026
119.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
1.0 bn
2025
216.1 m
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
195.9 m
2025
32.9 m
2026
332.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
816.0 m
2025
183.2 m
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.50
2025
0.82
2026
7.27

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
233.2 m
2025
222.5 m
2026
210.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
1.40
2025
1.40
2026
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
6.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
974.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Receivables
2024
228.2 m
2025
239.3 m
2026
237.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
824.8 m
2025
860.7 m
2026
826.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
8.8 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
1.2 bn
2025
983.3 m
2026
957.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
1.4 bn
2025
719.6 m
2026
716.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
13.4 bn
2025
6.6 bn
2026
6.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
452.2 m
2025
456.1 m
2026
582.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
303.4 m
2025
16.7 m
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
7.0 bn
2025
2.4 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
10.5 bn
2025
5.7 bn
2026
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
2.9 bn †
2025
857.8 m †
2026
692.1 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
108.9 m
2025
122.7 m
2026
166.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
1.1 bn ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈
2026
1.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
914.0 m
2026
-218.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
5.2 bn
2025
-7.2 bn
2026
-1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
321.4 m
2025
299.3 m
2026
326.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
0
2025
1.7 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
361.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
733.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
17.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
12.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
786.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
23.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
19.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
65.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
77.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBITDA margin
25.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EBIT margin
23.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net margin
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF margin
22.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Returns

ROE
197.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
ROA
23.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
ROIC
73.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
ROCE
37.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
22.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
18.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
16.0x
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
2.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Capital expenditure
166.0 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Free cash flow
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawFY 2026
FCF conversion
118.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Cash conversion
95.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
173 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
107 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
78 days
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
25.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
26.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
16.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Earnings yield
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
36.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
P/S
3.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
13.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
3.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
P/FCF
13.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
FCF yield
7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 81 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

125.31 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 25.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
25.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2026
P/B
36.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
ROE
197.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Jun 2026
Net margin
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 27 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 3188derived 261

Score by group

  • Valuation51
  • Returns100
  • Quality100
  • Balance sheet96
  • Growth76

Estimated value range

Low
99.98
USD per share
Mid
117.44
USD per share
High
134.47
USD per share
Price: 125.31 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -6.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -6.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 86.88 – 207.15 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)130.22 – 207.15 (Mid 159.75)
    WACC 8.9% · starting FCFF 1.9 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -3.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA99.98 – 134.47 (Mid 117.44)
    3 companies used · median multiple 12.0x · quartiles 10.3x – 13.6x
    CPRI, RCKY, WWW
  • Peers: P/E86.88 – 132.16 (Mid 87.27)
    5 companies used · median multiple 12.0x · quartiles 12.0x – 18.2x
    CAL, CPRI, RCKY, SHOO, WWW
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate21.03 – 28.28 (Mid 24.12)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Leather products (SIC 31xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 81/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality73.4%100 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality19.1%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality118.6%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.3%53 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth23.3%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.7x100 (vs peers)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet16.0x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x79 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation17.2x50 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation12.7x21 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation7.3%91 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.5%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns18.0%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet96/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth76/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation51/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Tapestry, Inc. (TPR). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-06-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 8.0 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 14.2%; net margin 19.1%; ROE 197.1%; net debt/EBITDA 0.7x.

The estimated value range is 99.98–134.47 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 117.44 USD, the price of 125.31 USD leaves a potential of -6.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -6.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 81/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 73.4%
  • Net margin: 19.1%
  • FCF conversion: 118.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 23.3%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.7x
  • Interest coverage: 16.0x
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • FCF yield: 7.3%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.5%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 18.0%

What contradicts it

  • EV/EBITDA: 12.7x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Leather products (SIC 31xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
17.2x
vertical median 15.1x
above median (+14.2%)
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
vertical median 12.0x
above median (+6.3%)
P/S
3.1x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+296.6%)
P/B
36.1x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+2,111.4%)
ROE
197.1%
vertical median 13.1%
above median (+1,403.7%)
Net margin
19.1%
vertical median 5.4%
above median (+254.3%)
EBIT margin
23.9%
vertical median 3.1%
above median (+682.9%)
Revenue YoY
14.2%
vertical median 4.4%
above median (+221.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.7x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−65.9%)
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 1.8%
below median (−28.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TPRTapestry, Inc.25.0 bn17.2197.1%19.1%+14.2%+18% / +348%
SHOOSteven Madden, Ltd.3.4 bn22.916.7%5.4%+11.0%+12% / +24%
CPRICapri Holdings Limited2.2 bn12.0—6.1%−4.1%−16% / −56%
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.1.9 bn18.227.1%5.5%unavailable+45% / +174%
CALCaleres, Inc507.6 m9.98.2%1.8%+1.3%+26% / −52%
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.411.2 m12.013.2%6.6%+6.2%+80% / +89%
VRAVera Bradley, Inc.216.0 m—-7.4%-3.7%−15.4%+165% / +0%
TLFTandy Leather Factory, Inc18.6 m—-3.2%-2.1%+2.6%−17% / −45%
FMFCKandal M Venture Limited—366.076.7%1.2%+23.0%−85% / unavailable
BIRKBirkenstock Holding plc——13.0%16.6%+16.2%−14% / −19%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TPR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
79.49
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
140.40
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
211.32
Total return 70% · Per year 70%
3 years
79.98
Total return -33% · Per year -12%
158.70
Total return 31% · Per year 9%
261.85
Total return 115% · Per year 29%
5 years
80.48
Total return -30% · Per year -7%
179.37
Total return 51% · Per year 9%
324.46
Total return 170% · Per year 22%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 39.67
  • Net margin± 27.77
  • Annual revenue growth± 22.41
  • Annual dilution± 2.33

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (05 Nov 2026).

In brief

In fiscal 2026, Tapestry reported net sales of 8004.2 million USD, up 14.2% from the prior year 12. The Coach segment accounted for 86.4% of total sales, and the GAAP operating margin reached 23.9% 1. For fiscal 2027 the company is initiating guidance for mid-single digit revenue growth, which could hold if the post-Investor Day trend continues 2.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The Coach brand grew strongly in fiscal 2026, with growth in every quarter 2.
  • Operating margins expanded year over year and exceeded company guidance 2.
  • The company returned a substantial amount to shareholders through dividends and buybacks 2.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on one brand for most sales makes the company vulnerable to shifts in demand for Coach 1.
  • The Kate Spade brand declined in fiscal 2026 and its store count shrank 12.
  • Production is concentrated in a few Asian countries, raising exposure to tariffs and logistics disruption 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion in mainland China and Europe could add growth if the pace holds 2.
  • Recently acquired Gen Z customers could become loyal buyers if the brand relationship deepens 2.
  • Footwear expansion, part of the Amplify strategy, could diversify revenue 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade policy changes can raise costs and reduce margins 1.
  • An economic recession could reduce spending on discretionary products 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions, including in the Middle East, may disrupt supply chains and consumer behavior 1.

Risks

  • Trade tariffshigh

    Tariffs on imports from producing countries can directly affect costs and margins, and legal decisions still in progress could change refunds 1.

  • Dependence on Coachhigh

    The Coach segment makes up most sales, so a slowdown in demand for that brand would have a major impact 1.

  • International exposuremedium

    Operations outside the United States and reliance on Greater China expose the company to political, currency and regulatory risks 1.

  • Mall trafficmedium

    Lower mall traffic can reduce sales in physical stores and lead to asset impairments 1.

  • Supply chain riskmedium

    Shipping delays, reliance on independent manufacturers and compliance issues can affect deliveries and reputation 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong Coach growth together with the acquisition of new customers could support revenue and margins if the trend continues 2.
  • Exceeding margin targets and raising the dividend show operational discipline and capacity to return capital 2.
  • Geographic diversification and expansion in Asia and Europe could reduce reliance on any single market 12.

What would break the thesis

  • If tariffs stay high, margins could come under pressure again, especially for products imported from Asia 1.
  • Concentration of sales in one brand makes the company sensitive to shifts in fashion or demand 1.
  • Continued decline at Kate Spade and a shrinking store count could limit the group's growth potential 12.

What to watch

  • Coach sales trajectory and Gen Z customer retentionQ1 2027
  • Delivery against fiscal 2027 guidance for revenue growth and marginsnext 10-K
  • Effect of the Ohio to Pennsylvania fulfillment transition2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 13 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (05 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (05 Nov 2026).

The business

Tapestry, Inc. is a global house of accessories and lifestyle brands uniting Coach and kate spade new york 1. It reports two segments: Coach, with 86.4% of fiscal 2026 net sales, and Kate Spade, with 13.4% 1. Direct-to-consumer represented about 87% of total net sales in fiscal 2026, and wholesale about 12% 1.

Coach net sales were 6914.7 million USD in fiscal 2026, while Kate Spade generated 1074.9 million USD 1. The company sold Stuart Weitzman on August 4, 2025 for 109.1 million USD, after that brand had net sales of only 14.6 million USD in the period before the sale 1. The 2028 Amplify strategy focuses on Gen Z consumers, leathergoods and international expansion 1.

Production relies on a limited number of independent manufacturers, mainly in Vietnam, Cambodia, the Philippines, India and Bangladesh 1. The company maintains sourcing offices in Vietnam, mainland China, the Philippines and Cambodia, with fulfillment through owned and third-party centers in North America, Europe and Asia 1.

Market context

The macroeconomic backdrop remains volatile, with trade tensions and tariffs that could affect costs and margins 1. The company cited a gross margin impact of about 130 basis points from tariffs, but recorded a probable IEEPA refund of 114.7 million USD 1.

Trends

  • Coach brand momentum and younger customerstailwind

    Coach growth and the acquisition of about 11.0 million new customers in fiscal 2026 point to strong demand among Gen Z 2. If this trend holds, it could support revenue growth over the medium term 2.

  • Tariffs and trade policymixed

    Tariffs on imports from producing countries reduced gross margin, and new tariffs could change sourcing costs 1. IEEPA refunds could partly offset the impact, but timing depends on the CBP process 1.

  • Expansion in Asia and Europetailwind

    Growth in Europe and Asian regions was significant in fiscal 2026, supported by the push to internationalize 2. If momentum in Greater China continues, exposure to that region could also heighten sensitivity to geopolitical risk 1.

  • Declining mall trafficheadwind

    Lower traffic in malls and shopping centers can reduce sales in physical stores, which form part of the DTC channel 1. The company notes that impairment charges could arise if expected cash flows fall 1.

Competitive position

Tapestry competes with other luxury and lifestyle houses for consumer attention and mall space, and the source offers limited detail on individual rivals 1. Competitive pressure is amplified by the need to attract new customers while marketing spend is high 1.

Tapestry's position depends on keeping its brands desirable and responding quickly to consumer preferences 1. If competitors gain share in handbags and leathergoods, pressure on prices and volumes could increase 1.

  • Other luxury accessories and leathergoods houses

    Direct rivals in handbags and leathergoods, referred to generically in the sources without specific identification.

  • Lifestyle and mass-fashion brands

    Competing for younger consumers and mall space, mentioned in the context of risk factors.

  • Third-party digital platforms

    Channels that can capture online sales, including marketplaces used by the company.

  • Wholesale department and specialty store partners

    Retailers that compete for shelf space and customer attention in the wholesale channel.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / TPR · 13 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / TPR · 13 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.