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olivLaw · US equity research

Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

311.49USD−0.32% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Texas Instruments (TXN) designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing semiconductors, with revenue of 17.68 bn USD in 2025. Third quarter 2026 revenue rose 28% year on year to 6.06 bn USD. The company has agreed to acquire Silicon Labs, which could change its portfolio once the deal closes.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) stock was 311.49 USD (−0.32% on the day), with market capitalisation 284.6 bn USD, P/E 40.4 on diluted EPS of 7.72 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.82%, beta 1.39, 52-week range 153.33–332.28 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 6.1 bn USD (+27.7% YoY), net income of 2.4 bn USD (+77.8% YoY), diluted EPS 2.62 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
284.6 bn USD
shares as of 14 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.4
Diluted EPS TTM 7.72 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.48%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.82%
DPS 12m 5.68
Beta (2y)
1.39
Volatility (1y) 42%
52-week range
153.33332.28

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
265.34 – 318.38
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 18.2%
SMA 50 / 200
278.51 / 261.44
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
8.51 / 6.58
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.6%−1.1%+6.7 pp—
3 months+12.2%−0.5%+12.6 pp—
6 months+7.6%+4.4%+3.2 pp—
Year to date+79.5%+12.3%+67.2 pp—
1 year+95.5%+13.5%+81.9 pp+43.7%
3 years+107.3%+76.4%+30.9 pp+138.2%
5 years+61.1%+63.7%−2.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−23.8%
22 Jun 2026 → 01 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−33.9%
08 Nov 2024 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+10.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
6.1 bn USD
+27.7% YoY
Net income
2.4 bn USD
+77.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.62
+77.0% YoY
net / operating
40.0% / 47.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.0 bn4.1 bn4.4 bn4.7 bn4.4 bn4.8 bn5.5 bn6.1 bn
Cost of revenue1.7 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn
Gross profit2.3 bn2.3 bn2.6 bn2.7 bn2.5 bn2.8 bn3.4 bn3.9 bn
Research & development491.0 m517.0 m527.0 m518.0 m521.0 m510.0 m535.0 m530.0 m
SG&A446.0 m472.0 m485.0 m457.0 m446.0 m464.0 m490.0 m476.0 m
Operating income1.4 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.5 bn1.8 bn2.3 bn2.9 bn
Interest expense130.0 m128.0 m133.0 m141.0 m141.0 m141.0 m141.0 m141.0 m
Pre-tax income1.4 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn2.2 bn2.8 bn
Income tax154.0 m97.0 m183.0 m220.0 m209.0 m169.0 m258.0 m380.0 m
Net income1.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.5 bn2.0 bn2.4 bn
Diluted EPS1.31 ≈1.281.411.481.28 ≈1.682.142.62
Operating cash flow2.0 bn849.0 m1.9 bn ≈2.2 bn ≈2.3 bn1.5 bn2.7 bn ≈3.4 bn ≈
Capex1.2 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈925.0 m676.0 m514.0 m ≈463.0 m ≈
Dividends paid1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn ≈1.3 bn ≈
Share repurchases537.0 m653.0 m302.0 m ≈119.0 m ≈403.0 m158.0 m27.0 m ≈48.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 98 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 16.2, median 23.9, max 45.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue15.8 bn14.4 bn14.5 bn18.3 bn20.0 bn17.5 bn15.6 bn17.7 bn
Revenue YoY+5.5%−8.9%+0.5%+26.9%+9.2%−12.5%−10.7%+13.0%
Net income5.6 bn5.0 bn5.6 bn7.8 bn8.7 bn6.5 bn4.8 bn5.0 bn
Net income YoY+51.5%−10.1%+11.5%+38.9%+12.6%−25.6%−26.3%+4.2%
Diluted EPS5.595.245.978.269.417.075.205.45
Diluted EPS YoY+54.8%−6.3%+13.9%+38.4%+13.9%−24.9%−26.4%+4.8%
net %35.4%34.9%38.7%42.4%43.7%37.2%30.7%28.3%
Free cash flow6.1 bn5.8 bn5.5 bn6.3 bn5.9 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn2.6 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
3.2 bn USD
Financial debt
14.0 bn USD
Net debt
10.8 bn USD
Equity
16.3 bn USD
Total assets
34.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.86x
Current ratio
4.35x
ROE
30.1%
ROA
14.3%
FCF margin
14.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
17.5 bn
2024
15.6 bn
2025
17.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
6.5 bn
2024
6.5 bn
2025
7.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
11.0 bn
2024
9.1 bn
2025
10.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
7.3 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
353.0 m
2024
508.0 m
2025
543.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
7.4 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
908.0 m
2024
654.0 m
2025
709.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
6.5 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.07
2024
5.20
2025
5.45

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
916.0 m
2024
919.0 m
2025
913.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
5.02
2024
5.26
2025
5.50

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.5 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
15.1 bn
2024
15.0 bn
2025
13.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
10.0 bn
2024
11.3 bn
2025
12.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
238.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Jul 2026verified

Total assets
2023
32.3 bn
2024
35.5 bn
2025
34.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
802.0 m
2024
820.0 m
2025
756.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
599.0 m
2024
750.0 m
2025
500.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
10.6 bn
2024
12.8 bn
2025
13.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
15.5 bn
2024
18.6 bn
2025
18.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
16.9 bn †
2024
16.9 bn †
2025
16.3 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
6.4 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
7.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
5.1 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.3 bn ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
2.6 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.4 bn
2024
-3.2 bn
2025
-1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-2.1 bn
2024
-2.9 bn
2025
-5.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
293.0 m
2024
929.0 m
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 06 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
10.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
73.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
60.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
40.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
34.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
35.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
39.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
19.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
25.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
73.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
70.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
9.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
15.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
5.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
9.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
2.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
7.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
102.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
36 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
284.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
294.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
40.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
14.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
13.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
34.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
14.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
38.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

311.49 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 284.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
284.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
40.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
14.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
39.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
34.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 14 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Oct 2026
verified 3049derived 223

Score by group

  • Valuation47
  • Returns67
  • Quality75
  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth12

Estimated value range

Low
110.65
USD per share
Mid
154.37
USD per share
High
231.50
USD per share
Price: 311.49 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -50.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -101.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 84.00 – 329.23 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)84.00 – 133.77 (Mid 103.28)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 7.8 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales137.31 – 329.23 (Mid 205.45)
    9 companies used · median multiple 9.5x · quartiles 6.5x – 14.9x
    ADI, AMAT, AMD, AVGO, INTC, MCHP, MRVL, MU, NXPI
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality60.2%51 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality40.8%82 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality35.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.1%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth13.0%36 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet5.6x100 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation14.2x44 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation2.6%51 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.0%67 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth12/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality75/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns67/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation47/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC (TXN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 13.0%; net margin 34.3%; ROE 39.7%.

The estimated value range is 110.65–231.50 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 154.37 USD, the price of 311.49 USD leaves a potential of -50.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -101.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 40.8%
  • FCF margin: 35.2%
  • Current ratio: 5.6x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.1%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 31.9 bn and 2,042.0 bn (within 8× of the company's); 85 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
40.4x
vertical median 50.5x
below median (−20.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 21.1x
P/S
13.7x
vertical median 14.2x
at median
P/B
14.8x
vertical median 7.6x
above median (+96.2%)
ROE
39.7%
vertical median 25.1%
above median (+58.1%)
Net margin
34.3%
vertical median 27.9%
above median (+22.6%)
EBIT margin
40.8%
vertical median 29.5%
above median (+38.2%)
Revenue YoY
13.0%
vertical median 23.9%
below median (−45.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.2x
Dividend yield
1.8%
vertical median 0.7%
above median (+179.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AVGOBroadcom Inc.1,553.7 bn41.644.2%42.9%+23.9%−19% / +252%
MUMicron Technology, Inc.899.7 bn10.788.3%63.8%+256.3%+236% / +945%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc801.6 bn106.311.8%16.8%+34.3%+125% / +303%
INTCIntel Corporation309.7 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+44% / +30%
AMATApplied Materials Inc293.2 bn31.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+46% / +147%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc284.6 bn40.439.7%34.3%+13.0%+95% / +107%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc196.8 bn48.212.2%29.8%+16.9%+53% / +122%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc140.1 bn52.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+79% / +187%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.8 bn20.829.2%23.4%−2.7%+36% / +30%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.61.5 bn69.525.1%23.9%+26.4%+36% / +130%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated40.9 bn104.27.2%9.3%+7.1%+41% / −10%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.39.0 bn89.028.2%29.6%+115.1%+42% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for TXN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
169.71
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
301.38
Total return -1% · Per year -1%
455.82
Total return 48% · Per year 48%
3 years
137.56
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
277.36
Total return -6% · Per year -2%
464.36
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
5 years
111.50
Total return -59% · Per year -16%
255.26
Total return -10% · Per year -2%
473.06
Total return 63% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 69.34
  • Net margin± 48.54
  • Annual revenue growth± 43.41
  • Annual dilution± 4.08

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Texas Instruments (TXN) designs and manufactures analog and embedded processing semiconductors, with revenue of 17.68 bn USD in 2025 1. Third quarter 2026 revenue rose 28% year on year to 6.06 bn USD 3. The company has agreed to acquire Silicon Labs, which could change its portfolio once the deal closes 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a cost advantage from in-house manufacturing and large wafer production, which gives control over its supply chain.
  • A very broad portfolio of analog and embedded processing products reduces dependence on any single product or market.
  • Operating cash flow is strong, which supports investment and dividend payments.

Weaknesses

  • High fixed factory costs can reduce margins when factory loading falls.
  • The Embedded Processing segment carried lower margins linked to the LFAB fab during its ramp.
  • Significant revenue comes from customers and shipments into China, which exposes the company to political risk.

Opportunities

  • Rising semiconductor content in automotive, industrial and data center applications could support long-term demand.
  • The Silicon Labs acquisition could expand the embedded processor portfolio if the deal closes.
  • Lower capital spending after the current cycle could improve free cash flow.

Threats

  • Trade tensions and tariffs between the United States and China could limit market access and supply chains.
  • Asian competitors backed by state policy could push down prices and margins.
  • Semiconductor cycles can quickly produce inventory surpluses and falling demand.

Risks

  • Geopolitical and trade riskshigh

    Tariffs, export controls and tensions between countries could affect sales and shipments.

  • Cyclical demandhigh

    A drop in demand in one sector or the loss of a large customer could reduce revenue significantly.

  • Competitive price pressuremedium

    Rivals with government support could force price cuts and margin reductions.

  • Supply chain risksmedium

    Delays or higher costs for materials and equipment could affect production.

  • Cybersecuritymedium

    Information security incidents could disrupt manufacturing or online services, or expose confidential data.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the demand recovery holds, revenue growth seen in the third quarter could continue, and free cash flow could support dividends and buybacks.
  • Cost advantages from 300mm fabs could deliver better margins than rivals on older technology, especially if factory loading rises.
  • The Silicon Labs acquisition could add processors and connectivity to the portfolio if integration succeeds and approvals are obtained.

What would break the thesis

  • If trade tensions with China intensify, sales and shipments to customers there could decline significantly.
  • The semiconductor cycle could quickly reverse current growth, particularly if customers cut inventories or rivals lower prices.
  • High fixed factory costs and capital spending could reduce margins if demand does not support production volumes.

What to watch

  • Fourth quarter revenue guidance compared with actual results against the announced rangeQ4 2026
  • Progress of the Silicon Labs acquisition, including regulatory approvals and debt financing2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Texas Instruments designs and manufactures semiconductors sold to electronics designers and manufacturers worldwide, headquartered in Dallas, Texas, with operations in more than 30 countries 1. It has two reportable segments, Analog and Embedded Processing, and reports remaining activities in Other 1. Its stated strategy aims at long-term growth of free cash flow per share, supported by four competitive advantages: manufacturing, a broad portfolio, market channel reach and diversity of products and customers 1.

The business relies largely on in-house manufacturing, including 300mm wafer fabs that the company says make an unpackaged chip about 40% cheaper than one built on a 200mm wafer 1. More than 80% of 2025 revenue was direct, through TI.com and its own sales team 1. The portfolio exceeds 80,000 products, sold to more than 100,000 customers, with about half of revenue from outside the 50 largest 1.

Segments

Embedded Processing

The Embedded Processing segment generated 2.70 bn USD in 2025, about 15% of revenue 1. It includes microcontrollers, processors, wireless connectivity and radar products, used mainly in industrial and automotive markets 1. Its 2025 operating margin was lower because of manufacturing costs at the LFAB fab, which could improve as production ramps 12.

Market context

The main markets are industrial, automotive, data center, personal electronics and communications equipment 1. In 2025 industrial and automotive each accounted for about 33% of revenue, personal electronics 21% and data center 9% 1. The analog and embedded market remains fragmented, with competition from dozens of companies, including in Asia 1.

The semiconductor cycle drives demand and inventory, and management describes a cyclical recovery alongside long-term growth in semiconductor content in electronics 12. Cycles could change revenue quickly if demand weakens or customers adjust inventories 1.

Trends

  • Cyclical demand recoverytailwind

    Demand grew across all end markets in the third quarter of 2026, which could support revenue if the trend continues 23.

  • Rising semiconductor contenttailwind

    Management says more chips in electronics support long-term demand, especially in automotive and industrial applications 12.

  • Geopolitical tensions and tariffsheadwind

    Tariffs and trade restrictions between the United States and China could limit market access or supply chains 1.

  • Capacity spending and tax changesmixed

    Lower capital spending after the current cycle and tax benefits from US legislation could improve cash flow, while the effect on the effective tax rate needs monitoring 1.

Competitive position

The market is fragmented, and competition comes from large and small companies, including niche suppliers and emerging companies in Asia 1. The company points to its product breadth, sales channels, manufacturing technology and customers' software investments as advantages in embedded processing 1.

Price competition could reduce margins if Texas Instruments cannot match price declines or technology progress from rivals 1. Government support for domestic semiconductor industries, such as in China, could make competition harder 1.

  • Analog and niche suppliers in the US and elsewhere

    The source mentions dozens of large and small companies competing in analog and processor markets without naming them.

  • Emerging companies in Asia

    The source notes that new Asian companies are entering the same markets, particularly with state policy support.

  • Well-resourced technology producers

    The source describes rivals with strong financial and technical resources that can develop competitive products with government incentives.

  • Outside foundries and subcontractors

    The company sometimes uses their capacity, so they act as partners as well as potential competitors in the wider chip supply chain.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 23 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Texas Instruments Incorporated · 06 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Texas Instruments Incorporated · 23 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Texas Instruments Incorporated · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.