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olivLaw · US equity research

Analog Devices, Inc. ADI

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

419.79USD+1.68% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Analog Devices (ADI) is a global semiconductor leader in analog, mixed-signal and processing technologies, with revenue of 11.02 billion USD in fiscal 2025. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 revenue reached 4.02 billion USD, up 40% year over year, with a gross margin of 67.3%. The company remains exposed to industry cyclicality and to trade and export tensions, particularly those involving China.

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) stock was 419.79 USD (+1.68% on the day), with market capitalisation 203.4 bn USD, P/E 49.8 on diluted EPS of 8.43 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.00%, beta 1.62, 52-week range 225.20–445.48 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.0 bn USD (+39.6% YoY), net income of 1.3 bn USD (+158.4% YoY), diluted EPS 2.74 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
203.4 bn USD
shares as of 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
49.8
Diluted EPS TTM 8.43 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.01%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.00%
DPS 12m 4.18
Beta (2y)
1.62
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
225.20445.48

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.2
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
383.99 – 432.50
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.74 · band width 11.9%
SMA 50 / 200
390.31 / 373.28
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
7.40 / 6.66
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.6%−2.0%+2.6 pp—
3 months+10.4%−2.2%+12.6 pp—
6 months+3.7%+4.3%−0.6 pp—
Year to date+54.8%+10.6%+44.2 pp—
1 year+79.7%+10.5%+69.2 pp+48.8%
3 years+150.0%+73.7%+76.3 pp+142.1%
5 years+132.3%+61.7%+70.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.7%
22 Jun 2026 → 29 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−32.5%
20 Feb 2025 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+18.4%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
4.0 bn USD
+39.6% YoY
Net income
1.3 bn USD
+158.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
2.74
+163.5% YoY
net / operating
33.3% / 40.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.4 bn2.4 bn2.6 bn2.9 bn3.1 bn3.2 bn3.6 bn4.0 bn
Cost of revenue1.0 bn992.9 m1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn
Gross profit1.4 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.4 bn2.7 bn
Research & development378.9 m402.9 m441.8 m454.3 m467.0 m467.4 m509.3 m533.5 m
SG&A277.2 m284.8 m302.7 m325.7 m342.2 m345.3 m362.8 m397.3 m
Operating income569.4 m491.3 m677.9 m818.0 m945.2 m997.0 m1.4 bn1.6 bn
Interest expense82.8 m75.3 m74.7 m79.6 m88.2 m86.3 m87.6 m88.7 m
Pre-tax income516.3 m435.6 m625.9 m763.4 m887.2 m945.9 m1.3 bn1.5 bn
Income tax38.3 m44.3 m56.2 m244.9 m99.5 m115.0 m148.5 m205.8 m
Net income478.1 m391.3 m569.8 m518.5 m787.7 m830.8 m1.2 bn1.3 bn
Diluted EPS0.96 ≈0.781.141.041.60 ≈1.692.402.74
Operating cash flow1.1 bn1.1 bn819.5 m ≈1.2 bn ≈1.7 bn1.4 bn872.0 m ≈1.6 bn ≈
Capex165.4 m149.0 m90.3 m ≈79.2 m ≈215.2 m109.3 m137.7 m ≈145.7 m ≈
Dividends paid456.8 m456.3 m491.0 m ≈490.2 m ≈486.9 m484.3 m536.5 m ≈535.3 m ≈
Share repurchases94.9 m160.4 m248.6 m ≈1.1 bn ≈680.5 m516.5 m772.9 m ≈1.2 bn ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 79 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 21.8, median 36.2, max 68.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue6.2 bn6.0 bn5.6 bn7.3 bn12.0 bn12.3 bn9.4 bn11.0 bn
Revenue YoY+21.4%−3.4%−6.5%+30.6%+64.2%+2.4%−23.4%+16.9%
Net income1.5 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn2.7 bn3.3 bn1.6 bn2.3 bn
Net income YoY+87.1%−9.6%−10.4%+13.9%+97.7%+20.6%−50.7%+38.7%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable3.283.465.256.553.284.56
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+5.5%+51.7%+24.8%−49.9%+39.0%
net %24.3%22.8%21.8%19.0%22.9%26.9%17.3%20.6%
Free cash flow2.2 bn2.0 bn1.8 bn2.4 bn3.8 bn3.6 bn3.1 bn4.3 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 01 Nov 2025

Cash
2.5 bn USD
Financial debt
8.6 bn USD
Net debt
6.1 bn USD
Equity
33.8 bn USD
Total assets
48.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.25x
Current ratio
2.19x
ROE
6.6%
ROA
4.7%
FCF margin
38.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
12.3 bn
2024
9.4 bn
2025
11.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
7.9 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Research & development
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
3.8 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Interest expense
2023
264.6 m
2024
322.2 m
2025
317.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
3.6 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
293.4 m
2024
142.1 m
2025
444.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
3.3 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
6.55
2024
3.28
2025
4.56

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
506.0 m
2024
498.7 m
2025
496.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
3.34
2024
3.62
2025
3.89

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
958.1 m
2024
2.0 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
4.4 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
7.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
26.9 bn
2024
26.9 bn
2025
26.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
11.3 bn
2024
9.6 bn
2025
8.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
48.8 bn
2024
48.2 bn
2025
48.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
493.0 m
2024
487.5 m
2025
543.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
499.1 m
2024
947.7 m
2025
446.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
5.9 bn
2024
6.6 bn
2025
8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
35.6 bn †
2024
35.2 bn †
2025
33.8 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
496.3 m
2024
496.3 m
2025
489.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
4.8 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
1.3 bn
2024
730.5 m
2025
533.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
3.6 bn ≈
2024
3.1 bn ≈
2025
4.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.3 bn
2024
-1.1 bn
2025
-1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-4.1 bn
2024
-1.7 bn
2025
-3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
3.0 bn
2024
615.6 m
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
16.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
44.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
38.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
13.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
39.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
37.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
65.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
35.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROCE
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
49.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
41.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
6.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
5.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
607.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
4.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
119.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
52 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
45 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
203.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
209.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
49.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
49.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
42.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/Sales
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/FCF
41.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 44 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

419.79 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 203.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
203.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
49.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
6.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
12.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 01 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 19 Aug 2026
verified 3200derived 178

Score by group

  • Valuation34
  • Returns76
  • Quality81
  • Balance sheet26
  • Growth17

Estimated value range

Low
132.65
USD per share
Mid
193.93
USD per share
High
284.52
USD per share
Price: 419.79 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -53.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -116.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 110.12 – 394.53 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)110.12 – 174.52 (Mid 135.11)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 5.2 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales155.19 – 394.53 (Mid 252.76)
    9 companies used · median multiple 9.3x · quartiles 5.8x – 14.2x
    AMAT, AMD, INTC, MCHP, MRVL, MU, NXPI, ON, TXN
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 44/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality65.8%64 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality35.5%83 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality35.6%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.8%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth16.9%50 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x26 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation15.1x22 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation2.4%49 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.5%76 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial26/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth17/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality81/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns76/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation34/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ANALOG DEVICES INC (ADI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 11.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 16.9%; net margin 29.8%; ROE 12.2%.

The estimated value range is 132.65–284.52 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 193.93 USD, the price of 419.79 USD leaves a potential of -53.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -116.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 44/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 35.5%
  • FCF margin: 35.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 2.5%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -2.8%
  • Current ratio: 1.3x
  • EV/Sales: 15.1x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 23.4 bn and 1,495.4 bn (within 8× of the company's); 84 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
49.8x
vertical median 53.8x
below median (−7.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 18.3x
P/S
14.7x
vertical median 11.8x
above median (+24.3%)
P/B
6.1x
vertical median 9.3x
below median (−34.6%)
ROE
12.2%
vertical median 25.5%
below median (−52.0%)
Net margin
29.8%
vertical median 25.9%
above median (+14.9%)
EBIT margin
35.5%
vertical median 26.1%
above median (+36.1%)
Revenue YoY
16.9%
vertical median 19.7%
below median (−14.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.1x
Dividend yield
1.0%
vertical median 0.6%
above median (+66.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MUMicron Technology, Inc.967.5 bn11.588.3%63.8%+256.3%+262% / +1,023%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices Inc790.0 bn124.510.1%15.6%+34.3%+122% / +299%
INTCIntel Corporation321.8 bn—-10.9%-20.1%−0.5%+49% / +35%
AMATApplied Materials Inc303.1 bn32.941.1%30.1%+4.4%+51% / +155%
TXNTexas Instruments Inc285.5 bn40.539.7%34.3%+13.0%+86% / +105%
ADIAnalog Devices Inc203.4 bn49.812.2%29.8%+16.9%+80% / +150%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc150.8 bn56.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+92% / +209%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.2 bn20.729.2%23.4%−2.7%+35% / +29%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.64.8 bn73.225.1%23.9%+26.4%+43% / +142%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated42.3 bn107.77.2%9.3%+7.1%+45% / −7%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.40.5 bn115.825.8%30.7%+115.1%+48% / unavailable
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd28.4 bn53.830.7%33.8%+205.7%−15% / +743%
ONOn Semiconductor Corp28.3 bn42.28.9%10.8%−15.3%+45% / +2%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ADI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
232.73
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
413.02
Total return -1% · Per year -1%
624.27
Total return 50% · Per year 50%
3 years
193.78
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
389.91
Total return -4% · Per year -1%
651.55
Total return 59% · Per year 17%
5 years
161.35
Total return -58% · Per year -16%
368.09
Total return -8% · Per year -2%
680.03
Total return 68% · Per year 11%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 97.48
  • Net margin± 68.23
  • Annual revenue growth± 60.25
  • Annual dilution± 5.73

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Analog Devices (ADI) is a global semiconductor leader in analog, mixed-signal and processing technologies, with revenue of 11.02 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 revenue reached 4.02 billion USD, up 40% year over year, with a gross margin of 67.3% 23. The company remains exposed to industry cyclicality and to trade and export tensions, particularly those involving China 1.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of analog and mixed-signal circuits with many products and long product life cycles 1.
  • High gross margins supported by good factory utilisation and a favourable product mix 12.
  • Solid cash generation that supports dividends and share repurchases 3.

Weaknesses

  • Significant dependence on third-party distributors, which account for most revenue and may reduce selling effort for the company's products 1.
  • Reliance on external wafer foundries, especially one major supplier, which limits control over capacity and costs 1.
  • Exposure to industry cyclicality, with possible overcapacity or excess inventory when demand is weak 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for data centre and artificial intelligence infrastructure could grow communications revenue 2.
  • Long-term trends such as electrification, factory automation and digital healthcare could open new applications 1.
  • Expansion of software and digital platforms could strengthen the company's position in complete system solutions 1.

Threats

  • Trade and export restrictions, particularly those involving China, could limit sales and push customers toward other suppliers 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions around the Taiwan Strait could disrupt the wafer makers the company depends on 1.
  • New tariffs or trade investigations into semiconductors could raise costs and reduce demand in end markets 1.

Risks

  • Tariffs and trade restrictionshigh

    US tariffs, retaliation by other countries and export restrictions could affect revenue, costs and customers, particularly in China 1.

  • Semiconductor cyclicalityhigh

    Demand could fall quickly, leading to excess inventory, inventory write-downs and lower margins 1.

  • Dependence on distributorsmedium

    A large share of sales passes through distributors, and the loss of a major partner or collection difficulties could affect results 1.

  • Dependence on wafer foundriesmedium

    Disruption at external foundries, including through geopolitical tensions, could delay shipments 1.

  • International operationslow

    Operations across several countries expose the company to political instability, currency fluctuations and regulatory change 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rapid growth in revenue and margins in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 could indicate that demand is more durable than previously expected 23.
  • Solid cash flow and the ability to return capital to shareholders could provide flexibility if the industry cycle improves 3.
  • Exposure to AI infrastructure and to industrial and automotive markets could let the company benefit from several growth drivers at once 12.

What would break the thesis

  • If demand from data centres or industry slows, the accelerated growth of recent quarters might not be sustained 23.
  • Tariffs, export restrictions and trade investigations could reduce access to important markets or raise costs 1.
  • Dependence on distributors and on a small number of wafer suppliers could amplify the effects of operational or geopolitical shocks 1.

What to watch

  • Results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 against the revenue and margin outlookQ4 2026
  • Pace of demand from data centres and the communications segmentQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Analog Devices designs, manufactures, tests and markets a broad range of integrated circuits, software and subsystems built on high-performance analog, mixed-signal and digital signal processing technologies 1. The company presents itself as supplying the building blocks to sense, measure, interpret, connect and power electronic systems, and its products include data converters, amplifiers, power management, RF circuits and edge processors 1. Its headquarters are in Wilmington, Massachusetts, with manufacturing mainly in the United States, Ireland and Southeast Asia, and its shares trade on Nasdaq under the symbol ADI 1.

The stated strategy emphasises efficient use of capital, including acquisitions that complement research and development, closer customer relationships through engineering expertise, and capitalising on long-term trends such as factory digitisation, mobility and artificial intelligence 1. The company has about 13,000 engineers and incorporates AI capabilities into its products and internal operations 1.

Segments

Automotive and communications

Automotive accounted for 30% of fiscal 2025 revenue and communications for 13%, with communications driven especially by data center infrastructure for artificial intelligence applications 12. Consumer accounted for 13% of fiscal 2025 revenue 1.

Market context

The company has indicated that a record fourth quarter is possible on stronger demand and better margins, with a fourth quarter fiscal 2026 revenue forecast of about 4.3 billion USD 3. Such a result would depend on demand in industry and data centres being maintained and on the evolution of tariffs 3.

Trends

  • Data centre demand for AItailwind

    Growth in communications, driven by investment in AI infrastructure, supported revenue in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 23. If investment in this area continues, it could sustain growth.

  • Restocking by industrial customersmixed

    Normalisation of customer inventories helped industrial growth in fiscal 2025, and demand broadened in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 12. If the restocking cycle reverses, the effect could turn negative.

  • Manufacturing efficiency and utilisationtailwind

    Better factory utilisation, driven by higher demand and a favourable product mix, improved gross margins 12. Whether this effect persists depends on the level of demand.

Competitive position

The company competes in analog and mixed-signal semiconductors with other chip makers, and its stated advantages are accuracy, speed, low power consumption and strong application engineering 1. Customers can however switch to alternative suppliers, and export restrictions may lead customers to build local capacity or prefer suppliers not affected by those restrictions 1.

Wafer foundries the company uses, including TSMC, also serve competitors, which can create capacity limits in periods of high demand 1. Price competition could emerge if foundry capacity grows faster than demand 1.

  • Texas InstrumentsTXN

    Maker of analog and mixed-signal circuits, cited as part of the broader analog semiconductor competition.

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

    Major wafer foundry from which the company sources, and which also serves competitors.

  • Chipmakers with in-house local capacity

    Companies building local capacity can reduce customer reliance on US suppliers, an indirect form of competition.

  • Suppliers not subject to US export restrictions

    Suppliers outside these restrictions may win customers who avoid US-made products.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report17 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report19 Aug 2026
  • Current report19 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Other events
  • Current report02 Jul 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report20 May 2026
  • Current report20 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report19 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 Mar 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-11-01 · SEC / Analog Devices, Inc. · 25 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / Analog Devices, Inc. · 19 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Analog Devices, Inc. · 19 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw