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olivLaw · US equity research

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd CRDO

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

136.50USD−9.55% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) supplies high-speed connectivity solutions for AI data infrastructure, mainly ZeroFlap active electrical cables and optical DSPs. Revenue rose to $1.3 billion in fiscal 2026 from $436.8 million in fiscal 2025, and the first quarter of fiscal 2027 brought $479.0 million. The company depends heavily on a few large customers.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) stock was 136.50 USD (−9.55% on the day), with market capitalisation 25.7 bn USD, P/E 48.7 on diluted EPS of 2.81 USD over the last 12 months, beta 3.00, 52-week range 87.81–302.52 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 479.0 m USD (+114.7% YoY), net income of 129.4 m USD (+104.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.67 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
25.7 bn USD
shares as of 25 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
48.7
Diluted EPS TTM 2.81 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.06%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
3.00
Volatility (1y) 97%
52-week range
87.81302.52

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
36.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
127.42 – 215.35
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.10 · band width 51.3%
SMA 50 / 200
183.35 / 180.94
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-13.28 / -10.41
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−35.8%−1.1%−34.7 pp—
3 months−39.2%−0.5%−38.8 pp—
6 months−31.2%+4.4%−35.6 pp—
Year to date−5.1%+12.3%−17.5 pp—
1 year−16.9%+13.5%−30.4 pp+41.7%
3 years+819.2%+76.4%+742.8 pp+121.5%
5 yearsunavailable+63.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−54.9%
22 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−62.0%
14 Feb 2023 → 04 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
479.0 m USD
+114.7% YoY
Net income
129.4 m USD
+104.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.67
+97.1% YoY
net / operating
27.0% / 25.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue72.0 m135.0 m170.0 m223.1 m268.0 m407.0 m437.0 m479.0 m
Cost of revenue26.5 m49.1 m55.8 m72.7 m87.0 m128.1 m138.9 m169.9 m
Gross profit45.5 m85.9 m114.2 m150.4 m181.0 m278.9 m298.1 m309.1 m
Research & development31.7 m36.3 m48.5 m52.4 m57.9 m78.5 m90.5 m114.5 m
SG&A22.2 m23.5 m31.9 m37.2 m44.3 m50.8 m51.7 m73.9 m
Operating income-8.4 m26.2 m33.8 m60.7 m78.8 m149.6 m155.8 m120.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation5.0 m5.1 m7.7 m5.5 m6.5 m6.7 m15.9 m8.6 m
Pre-tax income-3.9 m30.1 m37.6 m64.7 m83.7 m159.1 m168.0 m128.8 m
Income tax292.0 k752.0 k1.0 m1.3 m1.0 m1.9 m-1.1 m-585.0 k
Net income-4.2 m29.4 m36.6 m63.4 m82.6 m157.1 m169.1 m129.4 m
Diluted EPS-0.030.160.20 ≈0.340.440.820.88 ≈0.67
Operating cash flow10.3 m ≈4.2 m ≈57.8 m54.2 m61.7 m ≈166.2 m ≈182.2 m90.2 m
Capex21.9 m ≈4.6 m ≈3.7 m2.8 m23.2 m ≈26.5 m ≈4.8 m7.3 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 7-quarter history (min 69.6, median 160.6, max 11,322.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2020202120222023202420252026
Revenue53.8 m58.7 m106.5 m184.2 m193.0 m436.8 m1.3 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+9.0%+81.4%+73.0%+4.8%+126.3%+205.7%
Net income1.3 m-27.5 m-22.2 m-16.5 m-28.4 m52.2 m472.3 m
Net income YoYunavailable−2,170.1%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+805.0%
Diluted EPS0.00-0.40-0.25-0.11-0.180.292.51
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+765.5%
net %2.5%-46.9%-20.8%-9.0%-14.7%11.9%35.4%
Free cash flow-19.1 m-48.4 m-48.4 m-46.3 m17.1 m29.0 m407.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 02 May 2026

Cash
1.2 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
2.1 bn USD
Total assets
2.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
10.15x
ROE
34.4%
ROA
30.4%
FCF margin
30.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
193.0 m
2025
436.8 m
2026
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
73.5 m
2025
153.9 m
2026
426.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
119.4 m
2025
282.9 m
2026
908.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Research & development
2024
96.3 m
2025
146.9 m
2026
279.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

SG&A
2024
60.2 m
2025
98.9 m
2026
184.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-37.1 m
2025
37.1 m
2026
445.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
13.8 m
2025
21.9 m
2026
34.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
-23.3 m ≈
2025
59.1 m ≈
2026
479.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2024
-22.7 m
2025
54.9 m
2026
475.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Income tax
2024
5.6 m
2025
2.7 m
2026
3.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Net income
2024
-28.4 m
2025
52.2 m
2026
472.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.18
2025
0.29
2026
2.51

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
155.1 m
2025
181.2 m
2026
188.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
66.9 m
2025
236.3 m
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Receivables
2024
59.7 m
2025
162.1 m
2026
233.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Inventories
2024
25.9 m
2025
90.0 m
2026
250.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Current assets
2024
530.3 m
2025
713.5 m
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
43.7 m
2025
63.6 m
2026
101.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
—
2025
0
2026
92.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
—
2025
0
2026
29.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Total assets
2024
601.9 m
2025
809.3 m
2026
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
13.4 m
2025
56.2 m
2026
107.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
44.6 m
2025
107.7 m
2026
197.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
61.7 m
2025
127.7 m
2026
232.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Equity
2024
540.2 m †
2025
681.6 m †
2026
2.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
32.7 m
2025
65.1 m
2026
464.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Capex
2024
15.7 m
2025
36.1 m
2026
57.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
17.1 m ≈
2025
29.0 m ≈
2026
407.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-249.5 m
2025
112.0 m
2026
-253.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
175.3 m
2025
-7.7 m
2026
717.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Jun 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Jun 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
205.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
93.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
86.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
1,098.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
805.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
765.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
1,302.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
67.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
34.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
31.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
33.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
27.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
30.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
27.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
7.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
500.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
61.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
438.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
81.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
92.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
55 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
25.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
47.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
48.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
9.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
16.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
58.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

136.50 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 25.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
25.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
48.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
9.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
30.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
33.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
205.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 25 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Sept 2026
verified 839derived 86

Score by group

72% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality67.1%68 (on a fixed band)15%
EBIT margin · Quality31.7%70 (vs peers)12%
FCF margin · Quality27.6%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth93.5%100 (on a fixed band)24%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth205.7%100 (vs peers)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet7.4x100 (on a fixed band)9%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation1.7%34 (on a fixed band)18%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality78/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial34/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.3 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 205.7%; net margin 33.8%; ROE 30.7%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EBIT margin: 31.7%
  • FCF margin: 27.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 93.5%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 205.7%
  • Current ratio: 7.4x

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.8 bn and 244.7 bn (within 8× of the company's); 85 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
48.7x
vertical median 50.5x
at median
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 18.0x
P/S
16.1x
vertical median 8.4x
above median (+91.7%)
P/B
9.4x
vertical median 5.9x
above median (+60.3%)
ROE
30.7%
vertical median 16.5%
above median (+85.6%)
Net margin
33.8%
vertical median 23.4%
above median (+44.6%)
EBIT margin
31.7%
vertical median 21.8%
above median (+45.5%)
Revenue YoY
205.7%
vertical median 24.1%
above median (+754.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADIAnalog Devices Inc196.8 bn48.212.2%29.8%+16.9%+53% / +122%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc140.1 bn52.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+79% / +187%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.8 bn20.829.2%23.4%−2.7%+36% / +30%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.61.5 bn69.525.1%23.9%+26.4%+36% / +130%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated40.9 bn104.27.2%9.3%+7.1%+41% / −10%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.39.0 bn89.028.2%29.6%+115.1%+42% / unavailable
ONOn Semiconductor Corp27.7 bn41.48.9%10.8%−15.3%+42% / −0%
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd25.7 bn48.730.7%33.8%+205.7%−17% / +819%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.8 bn42.07.6%11.5%+9.7%+46% / unavailable
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.9 bn11.318.7%37.1%+24.1%−29% / +23%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.17.8 bn74.617.2%20.7%+32.6%+33% / +178%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.0 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+121% / +347%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CRDO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
91.06
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
160.25
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
240.37
Total return 76% · Per year 76%
3 years
108.01
Total return -21% · Per year -8%
211.93
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
346.13
Total return 154% · Per year 36%
5 years
128.12
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
280.27
Total return 105% · Per year 15%
498.43
Total return 265% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 52.98
  • Net margin± 37.09
  • Annual revenue growth± 27.66
  • Annual dilution± 3.12

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 01 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Sept 2026).

In brief

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) supplies high-speed connectivity solutions for AI data infrastructure, mainly ZeroFlap active electrical cables and optical DSPs. Revenue rose to $1.3 billion in fiscal 2026 from $436.8 million in fiscal 2025 1, and the first quarter of fiscal 2027 brought $479.0 million 2. The company depends heavily on a few large customers.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a strong SerDes intellectual property base and a broad range of connectivity products, from cables to optical DSPs 1.
  • Rapid revenue growth and a return to profit in recent years point to good execution 12.
  • The fabless model allows focus on engineering and control of fixed costs 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends on a small number of customers, and losing one of them could seriously affect results 1.
  • Orders are generally placed on a purchase order basis without long-term commitments, which makes revenue volatile 1.
  • The company made net losses in earlier periods and carries an accumulated deficit, so its record of recent profitability is short 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets and new customer types could reduce dependence on current customers 1.
  • Adoption of OmniConnect and 200G products could open new growth cycles 1.
  • Growth of AI clusters could raise demand for highly reliable cables and transceivers 12.

Threats

  • Competition from larger firms with greater financial resources could press prices and margins 1.
  • Tariffs and trade tensions between the US and China could raise costs and disrupt supply chains 1.
  • A slowdown in AI infrastructure spending could reduce hyperscale orders 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of customers generates most revenue, and a cut in their orders could have major effects 1.

  • No long-term purchase commitmentshigh

    Customers can cancel, delay or change orders on short notice, which makes revenue hard to forecast 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policymedium

    Tariffs and trade restrictions could raise costs and affect international trade 1.

  • Intense competitionmedium

    A growing number of competitors could put pressure on prices and lead to loss of market share 1.

  • Inventory riskmedium

    Errors in demand forecasts can lead to shortages or to excess and obsolete inventory, affecting margins 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If AI infrastructure investment continues, demand for Credo's cables and DSPs could stay high and revenue growth could continue 12.
  • Technology advantage in SerDes and new products such as Bluebird and OmniConnect could support high gross margins 1.
  • Widening the customer base and product range could reduce revenue concentration over time 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on a few large customers could make revenue very sensitive to a change in their buying behavior 1.
  • Rising competition from firms with greater resources could lower prices and margins 1.
  • If tariffs and trade tensions intensify, costs and supply chains could be affected 1.

What to watch

  • Revenue and margin guidance for the second quarter of fiscal 2027Q2 2027
  • GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin compared with guidanceQ2 2027
  • Adoption of new products such as Bluebird and OmniConnect in customer orders2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 01 Sept 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Sept 2026).

The business

Credo designs, markets and sells product, software and IP solutions for connectivity, based on its proprietary SerDes and DSP technologies, with hyperscale data centers and NeoClouds as its main markets 1. Its model is fabless, with manufacturing carried out by outside partners, which lets it focus resources on engineering and design 1. In fiscal 2026, 42% of revenue came from the rest of the world, primarily Asia, and the rest from North America 1. The company reported net income of $472.3 million in fiscal 2026 1.

Segments

ZeroFlap active electrical cables (AEC)

Copper AECs are the main driver of revenue growth, with the fiscal 2026 increase attributed almost entirely to the ramp-up of AEC solutions at hyperscale customers 1. They are presented as a lower-cost, lower-power alternative to active optical cables in AI compute racks 1.

Optical DSPs and ZeroFlap transceivers

Credo optical DSPs, from the Seagull family to the 200G-per-lane Bluebird, are used in transceivers for AI clusters and carrier networks 1. ZeroFlap transceivers aim to reduce link flaps through telemetry and remote management 1.

OmniConnect and SerDes Chiplets

OmniConnect, with the Weaver product, targets memory limits in AI inference, while SerDes Chiplets allow integration into multi-chip packages 1. SerDes IP licensing complements the portfolio, though it is a smaller part of the business 1.

Market context

Credo describes the data infrastructure market as multibillion-dollar, driven by hyperscale data centers and NeoClouds, with growing demand for bandwidth and power efficiency 1. The company argues that Ethernet is becoming the standard for back-end scale-out networks 1. Fiscal 2026 was marked by strong volume growth, with AEC-driven revenue rising from $436.8 million to $1.3 billion 1.

The market is concentrated on a few large customers, and the company aims to widen its customer base and product range 1. The pace of growth, however, depends on hyperscale AI investment, which can change quickly 1.

Trends

  • AI infrastructure investmenttailwind

    Demand for connectivity in AI clusters grows as model sizes increase, which could support Credo's revenue growth 1.

  • Move to 200G-per-lane speedsmixed

    Products at 200G per lane could open new replacement cycles, but require continued R&D investment 1.

  • Tariffs and trade tensionsheadwind

    Tariffs and trade restrictions could raise component costs and disrupt supply chains, reducing margins 1.

  • Dependence on large customersmixed

    Revenue concentration could make a change in orders from one major customer materially affect results, although management expects diversification as products are adopted more widely 1.

Competitive position

The main competitors named in the annual report are Broadcom, Marvell Technology and Astera Labs, alongside cable and optical transceiver suppliers 1. Competition could increase price pressure and reduce margins if larger rivals offer discounts 1.

Credo says its SerDes architecture delivers performance similar to leading competitors at lower cost by using mature process nodes 1. This differentiation could matter most in pricing and in winning new designs 1.

  • Broadcom Ltd.AVGO

    Large semiconductor supplier named by the company as a principal competitor for its connectivity products 1.

  • Marvell Technology, Inc.MRVL

    Competitor named in the annual report for connectivity and data interconnect products 1.

  • Astera Labs, Inc.ALAB

    Competitor named for PCIe and Ethernet connectivity solutions as the data infrastructure market grows 1.

  • Cable and optical transceiver suppliers

    A group of competitors not individually named, cited in the annual report as part of product competition 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 16 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-05-02 · SEC / Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · 15 Jun 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · 01 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.