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olivLaw · US equity research

UFP Industries, Inc. UFPI

Sawmills & Planting Mills, General · SIC 2421 · Vertical: Lumber and wood products (SIC 24xx)

82.97USD−3.87% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

UFP Industries, Inc. is a Grand Rapids, Michigan company that makes wood and composite products for retail, packaging and construction customers. Second-quarter 2026 sales rose slightly, but margins were pressured by higher transportation costs, which makes the trend in housing demand relevant.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) stock was 82.97 USD (−3.87% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.5 bn USD, P/E 20.1 on diluted EPS of 4.12 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.72%, beta 0.79, 52-week range 74.21–115.62 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.7 bn USD (+11.1% YoY), net income of 58.0 m USD (−23.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.5 bn USD
shares as of 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.1
Diluted EPS TTM 4.12 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.97%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.72%
DPS 12m 1.43
Beta (2y)
0.79
Volatility (1y) 32%
52-week range
74.21115.62

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
73.75 – 85.90
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.76 · band width 15.2%
SMA 50 / 200
80.36 / 88.99
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.97 / 0.35
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.0%−1.1%+6.1 pp—
3 months−9.7%−0.5%−9.2 pp—
6 months−1.1%+4.4%−5.5 pp—
Year to date−8.9%+12.3%−21.2 pp—
1 year−9.4%+13.5%−22.9 pp+8.3%
3 years−18.6%+76.4%−95.1 pp−8.4%
5 years−5.0%+63.7%−68.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−35.8%
10 Feb 2026 → 09 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−46.6%
25 Nov 2024 → 09 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−1.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.7 bn USD
+11.1% YoY
Net income
58.0 m USD
−23.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.05
−18.6% YoY
net / operating
3.3% / 4.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.5 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn1.6 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.9 bn1.7 bn
Cost of revenue1.2 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.3 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn
Gross profit239.5 m268.2 m312.7 m262.7 m216.5 m235.9 m290.2 m244.9 m
SG&A156.5 m176.3 m185.0 m170.0 m159.7 m172.9 m185.7 m178.1 m
Operating income79.5 m92.3 m123.1 m89.5 m59.1 m64.1 m103.4 m70.2 m
Interest expense3.5 m2.7 m2.7 m2.8 m2.8 m2.6 m2.0 m2.7 m
Pre-tax income91.0 m100.7 m131.9 m99.1 m60.5 m66.9 m112.9 m76.9 m
Income tax21.2 m21.3 m31.1 m23.6 m20.3 m15.8 m29.7 m18.2 m
Net income68.0 m78.8 m100.7 m75.3 m40.0 m50.8 m82.9 m58.0 m
Diluted EPS1.121.301.701.290.700.891.481.05
Operating cash flow144.9 m-108.8 m221.9 m ≈286.0 m ≈146.6 m-103.6 m164.3 m ≈173.9 m ≈
Capex66.8 m67.3 m62.5 m ≈75.8 m ≈63.9 m48.3 m38.3 m ≈36.1 m ≈
Dividends paid20.1 m21.3 m20.7 m ≈20.5 m ≈19.9 m20.5 m19.9 m ≈19.8 m ≈
Share repurchases-2.0 k60.6 m191.4 m ≈29.1 m ≈152.0 m24.0 m116.5 m ≈40.8 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 95 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 6.3, median 14.9, max 21.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.5 bn4.4 bn5.2 bn8.6 bn9.6 bn7.2 bn6.7 bn6.3 bn
Revenue YoY+13.9%−1.6%+16.7%+67.6%+11.5%−25.0%−7.8%−5.0%
Net income148.6 m179.7 m246.8 m535.6 m692.7 m514.3 m414.6 m294.8 m
Net income YoY+24.3%+20.9%+37.4%+117.1%+29.3%−25.7%−19.4%−28.9%
Diluted EPS2.402.914.008.5910.978.076.775.00
Diluted EPS YoY+23.7%+21.3%+37.5%+114.8%+27.7%−26.4%−16.1%−26.1%
net %3.3%4.1%4.8%6.2%7.2%7.1%6.2%4.7%
Free cash flow20.8 m264.4 m247.3 m361.3 m657.4 m779.5 m410.3 m276.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Cash
914.2 m USD
Financial debt
229.8 m USD
Net debt
-684.4 m USD
Equity
3.1 bn USD
Total assets
4.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.07x
Current ratio
4.59x
ROE
9.3%
ROA
7.2%
FCF margin
4.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
7.2 bn
2024
6.7 bn
2025
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
5.8 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
766.6 m
2024
735.0 m
2025
691.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
646.5 m
2024
492.2 m
2025
363.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
12.8 m
2024
12.7 m
2025
10.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
671.2 m
2024
540.2 m
2025
392.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
156.8 m
2024
121.4 m
2025
96.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
514.3 m
2024
414.6 m
2025
294.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
8.07
2024
6.77
2025
5.00

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
60.6 m
2024
58.9 m
2025
56.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.10
2024
1.32
2025
1.40

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
914.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
549.5 m
2024
500.9 m
2025
476.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
727.8 m
2024
720.8 m
2025
722.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
776.6 m
2024
890.7 m
2025
992.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
336.3 m
2024
339.8 m
2025
343.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
175.2 m
2024
152.5 m
2025
133.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
203.1 m
2024
224.7 m
2025
205.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
42.9 m
2024
4.1 m
2025
899.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
233.5 m
2024
229.8 m
2025
228.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
568.0 m
2024
512.4 m
2025
494.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
967.6 m
2024
900.9 m
2025
934.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
959.9 m
2024
642.6 m
2025
545.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
180.4 m
2024
232.3 m
2025
269.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
779.5 m ≈
2024
410.3 m ≈
2025
276.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-240.2 m
2024
-270.8 m
2025
-273.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-162.9 m
2024
-307.1 m
2025
-530.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
68.2 m
2024
80.8 m
2025
82.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
82.1 m
2024
141.1 m
2025
433.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-26.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-28.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-24.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
3.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-26.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-23.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-32.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
34.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
41.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-443.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
29.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
381.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
186.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
194.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
84.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
37 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
17 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
67 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
4.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
13.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
23.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 60 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

82.97 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2922derived 196

Score by group

  • Quality61
  • Growth0
  • Balance sheet100
  • Returns100
  • Valuation70

Estimated value range

Low
48.27
USD per share
Mid
56.55
USD per share
High
69.70
USD per share
Price: 82.97 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -31.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -46.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 18.40 – 134.04 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)48.27 – 69.70 (Mid 56.55)
    WACC 9.1% · starting FCFF 202.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 14.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E112.44 – 134.04 (Mid 114.11)
    5 companies used · median multiple 27.7x · quartiles 27.3x – 32.5x
    CVCO, FBIN, LEGH, SKY, TREX
  • Dividend discount (DDM)18.40 – 24.74 (Mid 21.10)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Lumber and wood products (SIC 24xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 60/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.6%51 (on a fixed band)13%
Net margin · Quality3.6%60 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality84.0%77 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-13.1%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-23.0%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet29.3x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.9x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.1x83 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.3%54 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns9.1%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns41.2%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality61/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation70/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

Memo

UFP INDUSTRIES, INC. (UFPI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.0%; net margin 3.6%; ROE 7.5%.

The estimated value range is 48.27–69.70 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 56.55 USD, the price of 82.97 USD leaves a potential of -31.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -46.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 60/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 84.0%
  • Interest coverage: 29.3x
  • Current ratio: 3.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 20.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 9.1%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 41.2%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -13.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -23.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Lumber and wood products (SIC 24xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.1x
vertical median 30.1x
below median (−33.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 15.8x
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−61.7%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 2.8x
below median (−46.0%)
ROE
7.5%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+58.7%)
Net margin
3.6%
vertical median 2.8%
above median (+27.7%)
EBIT margin
4.6%
vertical median 5.4%
below median (−13.5%)
Revenue YoY
-5.0%
vertical median -9.0%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -1.5x
Dividend yield
1.7%
vertical median 1.4%
above median (+27.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TREXTrex Company, Inc.5.6 bn32.517.3%13.9%+2.0%+60% / −20%
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.5.6 bn44.25.5%2.9%−3.2%−9% / −31%
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corporation5.4 bn78.93.9%2.7%−7.9%−6% / +26%
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.5.0 bn27.711.8%6.8%+7.3%+9% / +55%
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.4.9 bn27.316.6%7.7%+11.4%+8% / +128%
UFPIUfp Industries, Inc.4.5 bn20.17.5%3.6%−5.0%−9% / −19%
KOPKoppers Holdings Inc.749.7 m—-19.0%-4.6%−10.2%+34% / −12%
LEGHLegacy Housing Corporation716.1 m11.311.4%30.1%−10.7%+51% / +34%
JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc.87.6 m—-454.4%-5.3%−14.9%−62% / −94%
NWGLCL Workshop Group Ltd4.4 m—-64.0%-40.5%−15.4%−98% / −100%
WFGWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.——-14.6%-17.2%−11.5%+13% / −5%

1- and 3-year price returns: for UFPI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
45.67
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
81.15
Total return -1% · Per year -1%
122.79
Total return 50% · Per year 50%
3 years
36.26
Total return -53% · Per year -22%
73.24
Total return -7% · Per year -2%
122.79
Total return 54% · Per year 16%
5 years
28.79
Total return -60% · Per year -17%
66.10
Total return -13% · Per year -3%
122.79
Total return 58% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 18.31
  • Net margin± 12.82
  • Annual revenue growth± 11.57
  • Annual dilution± 1.08

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

UFP Industries, Inc. is a Grand Rapids, Michigan company that makes wood and composite products for retail, packaging and construction customers. Second-quarter 2026 sales rose slightly, but margins were pressured by higher transportation costs, which makes the trend in housing demand relevant.13

SWOT

Strengths

  • Diversification across three segments and many end markets gives a partial hedge against construction cycles.
  • The company has a strong position in lumber purchasing and long-standing supplier relationships.
  • Liquidity remains solid, and the company has continued its share repurchase programs.

Weaknesses

  • Margins declined in 2026, and transportation and lumber costs pressured results.
  • Sales are concentrated among a few large retail customers, increasing exposure to their decisions.
  • Operating cash flow fell in the first half of 2026 because of seasonal working capital needs.

Opportunities

  • Growth in value-added products such as Surestone could improve margins over the long term.
  • Acquisitions in packaging and decking could fill portfolio gaps and extend geographic reach.
  • A recovery in housing demand could support volumes in the Construction and Retail segments.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade policy on Canadian lumber could change prices and costs.
  • Competitive pressure in Site Built and transportation costs could keep margins under pressure.
  • Macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty could prolong weak demand in end markets.

Risks

  • Lumber price volatilityhigh

    Lumber prices directly affect sales and margins, especially for products indexed to the market. If prices rise sharply, margins could decline.1

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A large share of sales comes from two retail customers. A reduction in their orders could affect results.1

  • Tariffs and international trademedium

    Tariffs and regulatory changes can raise import costs and reduce export sales.1

  • Transportation costshigh

    Transportation is a significant share of costs, and higher fuel and freight rates could reduce margins.13

  • Acquisition risksmedium

    Integrating acquisitions can be difficult and could affect results if expectations are not met.1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If Surestone and other value-added products keep growing, the company could improve margins over the long term.
  • A gradual recovery in housing demand could support volumes across several segments.
  • Solid liquidity could allow investment and acquisitions without immediate pressure on the balance sheet.

What would break the thesis

  • If transportation and lumber costs stay high, margins could remain below historical levels.
  • Dependence on a few large retail customers could amplify the impact of any order reduction.
  • If housing demand stays weak, Construction sales could keep declining.

What to watch

  • Trend in transportation costs and adjusted EBITDA marginQ3 2026
  • Surestone sales development and backlogQ3 2026
  • Delivery of the initial cost reduction program2026
  • Release of seasonal working capital and operating cash flowQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

UFP Industries is a holding company with subsidiaries in the United States, Mexico, Canada, Spain, India and Australia that design, manufacture and supply products made from wood, wood and non-wood composites and other materials. Its business is organized into three segments: Retail Solutions, Packaging and Construction, plus an International segment and the Ardellis captive insurer, grouped as All Other.1 The company says its diversification across end markets gives an inherent hedge against business cycles.1

The structure by end market lets the company allocate capital and resources by segment, and automation investments are shared across units. The stated goal is stable earnings and cash flows for shareholders even when lumber prices are volatile.1 In the latest reported quarter, UFP completed acquisitions in decking, pallets and packaging, showing continued use of inorganic growth.23

The largest retail customers are The Home Depot and Lowe's, each representing a significant share of net sales in fiscal 2025.1 This concentration makes those relationships central to short-term performance.1

Segments

Retail Solutions

The segment sells pressure-treated lumber, lawn and garden products and Deckorators decking, including Surestone. Surestone sales rose 37 percent in the second quarter of 2026, while ProWood prices and volumes were affected by weak consumer demand.3

Packaging

The segment produces pallets, structural packaging and protective packaging, including labels and corrugate. Sales rose in the second quarter of 2026, but adjusted EBITDA fell because of transportation costs and startup costs at new locations.3

Construction

The segment includes factory-built housing components, site-built framing, commercial interior fixtures and concrete forming. Sales declined in the second quarter of 2026, while the Commercial and Concrete Forming business units grew organically.3

Market context

Softwood lumber prices averaged higher in 2025 than in 2024, even though demand from new housing, repair and remodeling and industrial markets was weak.1 In the first half of 2026, lumber costs were 43.7 percent of net sales, showing continued margin pressure.2

Housing demand remains weak, with lower new construction and tougher competition in Site Built products. Industry players face transportation rates that rose sharply in the second quarter of 2026.3

Trends

  • Transportation costsheadwind

    Spot freight rates rose over 30 percent in the second quarter of 2026 because of tighter carrier capacity. If these costs stay elevated, margins could come under further pressure.3

  • Housing demandheadwind

    Sales of Site Built and Factory Built products declined in the second quarter of 2026 because of affordability pressures and economic uncertainty. A recovery in construction could support volumes.3

  • Acquisitions and capacitymixed

    The company closed three acquisitions in the second quarter of 2026 to expand capacity and geographic reach. Acquisitions can add growth but also carry integration risk.3

Competitive position

The company says it is not aware of any competitor that manufactures, treats and distributes a full line of value-added and commodity products on a national basis.1 In packaging and construction there are many regional and local producers that compete on price and service.1

Competition includes regional packaging, pallet and building component producers, as well as national and regional building products distributors.1 The company points to its scale, vertical integration and ability to offer complete solutions as its key advantages.1

  • Regional wood treaters

    The sources mention numerous regional and local pressure-treaters without volumes comparable to UFP.

  • Regional pallet producers

    Local and regional pallet manufacturers are named as competitors in the PalletOne market.

  • Regional building component producers

    The sources describe national and regional building products dealers that also make wood components.

  • Regional structural packaging producers

    Regional companies with similar product lines and small single-location competitors are named.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report04 Nov 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report26 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Oct 2026
    Item 5.01 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · SEC / UFP Industries, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / UFP Industries, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / UFP Industries, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.