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olivLaw · US equity research

WELL WELL

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

239.00USD+1.88% · 1 dayClose 02 Nov 2026

Welltower Inc. (WELL) is a NYSE-listed REIT focused on rental housing for aging seniors in the United States, United Kingdom and Canada, with over 2,500 communities. In fiscal 2025 the Seniors Housing Operating segment accounted for 78% of total revenues, and in the third quarter of 2026 same store NOI growth was 15.8%. Guidance for 2026 was revised upward, and the outlook depends on operator results and labor cost developments.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 02 Nov 2026, WELL (WELL) stock was 239.00 USD (+1.88% on the day), with market capitalisation 175.3 bn USD, P/E 102.3 on diluted EPS of 2.34 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.28%, beta 0.21, 52-week range 181.96–252.07 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.7 bn USD (+38.4% YoY), net income of 414.8 m USD (+47.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.54 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
175.3 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
102.3
Diluted EPS TTM 2.34 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.98%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.28%
DPS 12m 3.07
Beta (2y)
0.21
Volatility (1y) 23%
52-week range
181.96252.07

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
221.15 – 242.78
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.83 · band width 9.3%
SMA 50 / 200
233.44 / 218.74
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.90 / 0.48
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+5.0%−2.3%+7.3 pp—
3 months+2.5%−0.8%+3.3 pp—
6 months+10.1%+4.7%+5.3 pp—
Year to date+28.8%+10.2%+18.6 pp—
1 year+32.0%+10.3%+21.8 pp+5.7%
3 years+170.2%+73.0%+97.2 pp+16.3%
5 years+188.6%+61.8%+126.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−12.6%
28 Nov 2025 → 22 Jan 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−41.6%
29 Mar 2022 → 10 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+23.6%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.7 bn USD
+38.4% YoY
Net income
414.8 m USD
+47.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.54
+31.7% YoY
net / operating
11.2% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue2.3 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.7 bn3.2 bn3.4 bn3.5 bn3.7 bn
Cost of revenue1.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn
SG&A48.7 m63.8 m64.2 m63.1 m1.6 bn67.5 m67.5 m67.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation480.4 m485.9 m495.0 m509.8 m594.2 m622.8 m737.8 m706.8 m
Pre-tax income109.2 m198.7 m298.2 m293.1 m—345.2 m320.4 m338.0 m
Income tax114.0 k-5.5 m1.1 m2.3 m-5.0 m11.6 m-62.0 m7.1 m
Net income123.8 m257.3 m304.6 m282.2 m117.8 m752.3 m463.0 m414.8 m
Diluted EPS0.20 ≈0.400.450.410.17 ≈1.020.610.54
Operating cash flow559.2 m599.0 m770.0 m ≈858.4 m ≈654.3 m670.0 m1.0 bn ≈1.0 bn ≈
Dividends paid418.2 m432.4 m439.1 m ≈496.9 m ≈509.6 m520.5 m524.4 m ≈614.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 73 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 14.8, median 57.3, max 331.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue4.7 bn5.1 bn4.6 bn4.7 bn5.9 bn6.6 bn8.0 bn10.8 bn
Revenue YoY+8.9%+9.0%−10.1%+3.0%+23.6%+13.3%+20.4%+35.6%
Net income829.8 m1.3 bn1.0 bn374.5 m160.6 m358.1 m972.9 m961.8 m
Net income YoY+53.5%+60.3%−21.9%−64.0%−57.1%+123.0%+171.6%−1.1%
Diluted EPS2.023.052.330.780.300.661.571.39
Diluted EPS YoY+60.3%+51.0%−23.6%−66.5%−61.5%+120.0%+137.9%−11.5%
net %17.7%26.0%22.6%7.9%2.7%5.4%12.2%8.9%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
5.0 bn USD
Financial debt
19.2 bn USD
Net debt
14.2 bn USD
Equity
42.9 bn USD
Total assets
67.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.45x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
2.6%
ROA
1.6%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
6.6 bn
2024
8.0 bn
2025
10.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.9 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
6.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.7 bn ≈
2024
3.2 bn ≈
2025
4.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
179.1 m
2024
235.5 m
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
607.8 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 15 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
350.0 m
2024
524.4 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2025verified

Income tax
2023
6.4 m
2024
2.7 m
2025
-7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
358.1 m
2024
972.9 m
2025
961.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.66
2024
1.57
2025
1.39

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
518.7 m
2024
608.8 m
2025
679.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
2.44
2024
2.56
2025
2.82

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.0 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
68.3 m
2024
149.2 m
2025
346.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
514.8 m
2024
665.9 m
2025
908.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
44.0 bn
2024
51.0 bn
2025
67.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
15.7 bn
2024
15.5 bn
2025
19.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
17.6 bn
2024
18.5 bn
2025
24.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
26.1 bn
2024
32.3 bn
2025
42.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-5.7 bn
2024
-5.5 bn
2025
-10.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
5.4 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
9.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
35.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
22.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
18.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
81.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
66.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
39.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
131.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
15.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
175.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
191.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
100.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
102.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
12.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
13.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 28 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

239.00 USD

02 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 175.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
175.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
102.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
4.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

24/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 27 Oct 2026
verified 2265derived 187

Score by group

  • Growth100
  • Quality20
  • Returns6
  • Valuation23

Estimated value range

Low
92.33
USD per share
Mid
100.61
USD per share
High
111.60
USD per share
Price: 239.00 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -57.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -137.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 37.06 – 173.37 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)37.06 – 49.84 (Mid 42.51)
  • Peers: P/B147.60 – 173.37 (Mid 158.72)
    6 companies used · median multiple 2.4x · quartiles 2.2x – 2.6x
    DLR, EXR, O, PLD, VMRK, VTR
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 28/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality4.0%20 (vs peers)10%
EBITDA margin · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth22.7%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/B · Valuation3.6x30 (vs peers)31%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation102.3x8 (vs peers)14%
Dividend yield · Returns1.3%8 (vs peers)24%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returns131.4%0 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial20/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Returns6/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation23/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

WELLTOWER INC. (WELL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 10.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 35.6%; net margin 12.7%; ROE 4.0%.

The estimated value range is 92.33–111.60 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 100.61 USD, the price of 239.00 USD leaves a potential of -57.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -137.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 28/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, quality. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 22.7%

What contradicts it

  • ROE: 4.0%
  • P/B: 3.6x
  • P/E (TTM): 102.3x
  • Dividend yield: 1.3%
  • Payout ratio (EPS): 131.4%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EBITDA margin, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 20.9 bn and 1,340.7 bn (within 8× of the company's); 143 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
102.3x
vertical median 37.9x
above median (+169.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 20.5x
P/S
12.7x
vertical median 9.0x
above median (+41.3%)
P/B
3.6x
vertical median 2.6x
above median (+39.3%)
ROE
4.0%
vertical median 8.0%
below median (−49.9%)
Net margin
12.7%
vertical median 21.7%
below median (−41.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 43.8%
Revenue YoY
35.6%
vertical median 5.2%
above median (+580.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.6x
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 3.7%
below median (−64.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.175.3 bn102.34.0%12.7%+35.6%+32% / +170%
PLDPrologis, Inc.120.9 bn32.77.1%42.5%+7.2%+1% / +13%
EQIXEquinix Inc98.4 bn59.711.5%16.4%+5.4%+32% / +22%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation87.3 bn26.490.6%30.7%+5.1%+4% / −10%
PSAPublic Storage62.3 bn33.916.0%37.8%+2.7%+21% / +29%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.61.8 bn45.96.2%21.7%+10.0%+10% / +27%
ORealty Income Corporation54.5 bn42.03.3%21.5%+9.1%−0% / +7%
VTRVentas, Inc.45.9 bn163.11.9%4.0%+18.5%+8% / +89%
CCICrown Castle Inc.37.0 bn44.2—20.7%−4.4%−5% / −26%
IRMIron Mountain Inc34.3 bn81.6—5.7%+12.2%+33% / +80%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.32.6 bn31.77.9%29.9%+3.7%+17% / +20%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.27.5 bn11.58.3%56.5%+4.1%−13% / −16%
VMRKVivmark Residential23.3 bn27.28.1%—+4.8%+1% / +9%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WELL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
159.30
Total return -32% · Per year -32%
280.35
Total return 18% · Per year 18%
420.52
Total return 77% · Per year 77%
3 years
188.96
Total return -18% · Per year -6%
370.76
Total return 59% · Per year 17%
605.56
Total return 158% · Per year 37%
5 years
224.14
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
490.33
Total return 113% · Per year 16%
872.00
Total return 275% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 92.69
  • Net margin± 64.88
  • Annual revenue growth± 48.39
  • Annual dilution± 5.45

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

In brief

Welltower Inc. (WELL) is a NYSE-listed REIT focused on rental housing for aging seniors in the United States, United Kingdom and Canada, with over 2,500 communities. In fiscal 2025 the Seniors Housing Operating segment accounted for 78% of total revenues 1, and in the third quarter of 2026 same store NOI growth was 15.8% 3. Guidance for 2026 was revised upward, and the outlook depends on operator results and labor cost developments 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large portfolio diversified across property types and countries, which reduces dependence on a single operator or market 1.
  • Access to several funding sources and an undrawn credit line give flexibility in financing investments 23.
  • Master lease structures bundle risk across properties and limit a tenant's ability to select only the better performing assets 1.

Weaknesses

  • The company depends on external operators and managers who control the day-to-day running of properties 1.
  • Results are sensitive to occupancy, private pay rates and government reimbursement, any of which can decline 1.
  • Leverage and the cost of capital could limit the ability to finance new acquisitions under some market conditions 3.

Opportunities

  • A growing elderly population could support demand for seniors housing over the long term 1.
  • Announced large acquisitions could expand the portfolio if they close on favorable terms 23.
  • Rising revenue per occupied room suggests pricing power may exist in some segments 3.

Threats

  • Changes to Medicaid rules could reduce operator revenues and their capacity to pay rent 1.
  • Staff shortages and rising labor costs could compress operator margins 1.
  • A severe flu season or other public health crisis could reduce occupancy at the company's properties 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on operatorshigh

    Operators and tenants control day-to-day activity, and their financial difficulties could affect payments to the company 1.

  • Government reimbursementhigh

    Changes to reimbursement programs could reduce operator revenues and affect their payments to the company 1.

  • Labor costsmedium

    Staff shortages and higher wages could reduce operator margins and make it harder to meet minimum staffing requirements 1.

  • Leverage and financing costsmedium

    High interest rates and possible credit rating downgrades could affect access to capital and the cost of financing 1.

  • Currency and international exposurelow

    Properties in the United Kingdom and Canada expose the company to currency fluctuations and regulatory differences 13.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If occupancy and rate growth continue, same store NOI growth could remain strong in the coming years 3.
  • An aging population could sustain long-term demand for seniors housing, the segment where the company is positioned 1.
  • Access to financing across several markets and raised guidance could support growth in normalized FFO per share 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If Medicaid changes reduce reimbursement rates, operators could struggle to pay rent 1.
  • Rapid investment growth could expose the company to integration risk and higher purchase prices in a competitive market 13.
  • If occupancy falls due to public health crises or local oversupply, revenues from the operating segment could be affected 1.

What to watch

  • Occupancy and revenue per occupied room trends in Seniors Housing OperatingQ4 2026
  • Closing of announced acquisitions and how they are financed2027
  • Medicaid reimbursement changes and their impact on operators2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 26 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (27 Oct 2026).

The business

Welltower Inc. conducts its business through Welltower OP LLC, structured as an UPREIT, in which the company holds an approximate 98.378% interest as of December 31, 2025 1. The portfolio includes over 2,500 seniors and wellness communities positioned at the intersection of housing and hospitality 1. The company invests in seniors housing, wellness housing and post-acute care communities, and as of December 31, 2025 it had 62 partners managing its Seniors Housing Operating properties 1.

The revenue model combines long-term leases, in which tenants bear operating costs, with resident fees and services earned directly from properties. Approximately 96.9% of triple-net properties were subject to master leases, which groups risk across a set of assets 1. The company also makes real estate loans with an interest yield of approximately 8.9% per annum as of December 31, 2025 1.

Recent results show rapid expansion: in the nine months ended September 30, 2026, pro rata gross investments of 13.3 billion dollars were completed 3. The company also issued Canadian-dollar senior unsecured notes, which indicates access to several funding markets 3. Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA was 3.02x as of September 30, 2026 3.

Segments

Seniors Housing Operating

This is the largest segment, representing 78% of total revenues in 2025 1. It includes independent living, assisted living, Alzheimer's and dementia care and care homes in the United Kingdom, operated by partners. In the third quarter of 2026 same store NOI growth in this segment was 21.0%, supported by 320 basis points of average occupancy growth 3.

Outpatient Medical

The segment consists of leased outpatient medical buildings, largely affiliated with health systems 1. It represented 7% of total revenues in 2025, down from prior years 1. The company disposed of 25 outpatient medical properties in the third quarter of 2026, indicating a reshaping of the portfolio 3.

Market context

The company operates in the seniors housing market, where demand is linked to the aging population in the United States, United Kingdom and Canada 1. The market depends on private pay rates, Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement and staff availability, factors that can influence occupancy and operator revenues 1. The company describes an investment environment where margins could remain attractive if the cost of capital stays below acquisition yields 3.

The market is shaped by public policy, particularly changes to Medicaid funding that could reduce reimbursement rates if the cited legislation applies as described 1. Labor costs and high interest rates are relevant pressures for operators 1. If these conditions improve, the company could continue to report revenue growth on a same store basis 3.

Trends

  • Rising demand for seniors housingtailwind

    An aging population supports long-term demand for seniors housing, a segment in which the company is positioned 1. Higher occupancy and revenue per occupied room show that this demand is translating into revenue 3.

  • Labor cost pressuresheadwind

    Shortages of medical staff and rising wages affect operator costs, which could reduce their capacity to pay rent 1.

  • Medicaid reimbursement changesheadwind

    Changes to Medicaid reimbursement could reduce some operators' revenues if the referenced legislation applies as described 1.

  • Acquisition and disposition cyclemixed

    The company has pursued large acquisitions and asset sales, and results depend on how quickly capital is redeployed under favorable market conditions 23.

Competitive position

Operators and managers compete locally and regionally with other providers offering comparable services to residents and patients 1. Oversupply risk may affect operators' ability to meet their obligations to Welltower 1. The company identifies competition for acquisitions as a factor that can raise purchase prices 1.

In international markets, Welltower also competes through its financing structure and its ability to access capital in several currencies and markets 3. The 2026 acquisitions reflect competition for quality assets, and guidance could be affected if prices rise 3.

  • Care UK

    Seniors housing operator and a principal partner in the Seniors Housing Operating segment, accounting for a significant share of segment revenue in 2025.

  • Cogir Management Company

    Seniors property manager that generated part of Seniors Housing Operating segment revenue in 2025.

  • Sunrise Senior Living

    Senior living community operator and one of the company's principal operating partners.

  • Integra Healthcare Properties

    Tenant in the triple-net segment with a meaningful share of that segment's revenue in 2025.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 07 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 27 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / WELL · 12 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / WELL · 28 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / WELL · 26 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

WELL (WELL): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw